significant opportunities exist within the us protection market
TRANSCRIPT
aegon.com
Analyst & Investor Conference
New York City – June 25, 2014
Life & Protection
Scott Ham Kevin Crist John Hunter
CEO CFO COO
2
Significant opportunities exist within the protection market
The US life insurance industry appears to be mature and slow-growth; however, opportunities exist for profitable growth
► The underpenetrated Generation X demographic desires to buy life insurance coverage*
► Consumer mindset is resetting post-financial crisis – protecting assets is now eight times more important than achieving higher, riskier returns**
► Americans 55+ are more interested in guarantees and financial peace of mind — believing peace of mind is four times more important than accumulating wealth**
Transamerica’s broad distribution network, diverse product mix and investments in technology and innovation position L&P to capture these opportunities
* Deloitte, “Life Insurers cast the net wider for growth: Enter Gen X” (2013) ** The AIG Retirement Re-Set Study (2013)
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Diverse product portfolio
Life & Protection — positioned to capture the opportunities
Multi-channel distribution
Multi-channel distribution network reaches across the whole range of the market
Deepening the customer relationship by creating an engaging, interactive online/mobile experience
Empowers consumer to control how they engage
Life products with strengths in term, universal life and indexed universal life
Health products are a broad mix that range from long term care insurance to trip insurance
Profitable on a market consistent basis
4
Multi-channel distribution empowers customer engagement
Broad, diversified distribution channel management
Organized at a distribution level empowers customers to
engage with us the way they choose ► Agency – close ties with distribution partners in underserved middle
market
► Brokerage – independent distributors in middle and affluent market
► Affinity – analytics driven marketing
► Worksite – accessing families at the workplace
► Direct – access to our products with the online convenience of
researching and buying anytime
22%
38%
29%
8%
Agency
Brokerage
Affinity
Worksite
Other/Closed
Expanding our distribution capabilities demonstrates execution of our growth strategy, including:
World Financial Group
Transamerica Employee Benefits
Healthcare exchanges
Transamerica Direct
L&P Premium USD 6.5
billion in 2013
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Spotlight on World Financial Group – agency distribution channel
Middle market focus
► Helping families across North America plan for their future through financial education, products & services
Field focused on business expansion & developing successful business owners
► Recruiting is the foundation of this business
• Over 95,000 recruits during 2013
► Access to an entrepreneurial career with low start-up cost
► Career progression: getting a financial education to becoming triple licensed (life license, securities registrations, investment advisor representative)
• Over 26,000 life licenses at end of 2013
Dual career
► Income stability as associates are being trained and getting licensed
► Keeps new associates in their natural markets
► Dual income for certain careers
• Teachers, CPAs, early retirees
Diverse field force
► Multicultural across gender, ethnicity, age and education
• According to Investment News, TFA* had the 2nd largest number of female Registered Representatives of all Independent Broker Dealers in 2013
WFG sales force growth
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2010 2011 2012 2013
Life Licenses (LL) Recruits
* All US WFG registered representatives are registered with Transamerica Financial Advisors (TFA)
2010 2011 2012 2013
WFG as a % of Agency premium
36% 38% 40% 42%
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Transamerica Employee Benefits outpacing industry growth
Middle market focus
► Helping the working middle class by providing access to voluntary life insurance and supplemental health products – both employee paid and employer contributed – via payroll deduction
Multi-channel distribution
► Brokers
► Technology platforms
► National accounts
► Specialty distribution – government contractors
► Private exchanges
Markets served
► Benefits solutions for employers, trade associations, unions
► Flexible plan designs that supplement major medical
► Easy, multi-state enrollment platforms with group based products
► Available guaranteed issue products with portable coverage
► Plan designs for full-time employees and family, part-time and seasonal employees
0.5%
10%
-2%
3% 5%
9%
39%
3%
9%
28%
15% 14%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Industry Growth TEB Growth
TEB named “Fastest Growing Company On Voluntary Sales” **
Year over year sales growth* (%)
* LIMRA US Worksite Sales Survey Reports ** U.S. Worksite/Voluntary Sales Report based on 2012 sales; conducted by Eastbridge Consulting Group, Inc.
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Expanded customer access through healthcare exchanges
Healthcare exchanges represent new, emerging distribution channels
► Exchange strategies in place for both the pre-65 and post-65 markets
Transamerica has an early presence on both public and private exchanges
► Distribute TEB supplemental health products thru seven private exchange platforms
► Affinity Markets: Products include Medicare Supplement, Part D and dental insurance
► Transamerica Direct: Initial launch of Medicare Part D on CMS* Plan Finder
Sales volume is minimal so far, but industry growth projections are significant
Exchanges are an online benefits marketplace for health and auxiliary products
Public exchange
As a result of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), Americans without access to health insurance through their employers are able to obtain coverage through public exchanges
Private exchange
While not directly linked to the ACA, private exchanges are emerging as a new distribution channel.
Private exchanges are typically sponsored by brokers and benefit consultants working with employers to provide health and related benefits to their employees or retirees.
A move to a private exchange can facilitate an employer’s transition to a “defined contribution” concept for funding health benefits, promoting enhanced employee choice
* Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
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Expanding our presence in the direct to consumer market
Directing consumers to digital platform and providing access to an agent via telephone, e-mail or click-to-chat
Providing online life insurance education, as well as product recommendations via a Personal Plan Builder
Access to term life, universal life, accidental death and dental insurance products
Expanding service offerings within active lifestyle community through activetransamerica.com
Living an active lifestyle leads to healthier individuals and a healthier society
Transamerica sponsoring running races and endurance events – providing protection for event registration fees, bicycle insurance and savings on life insurance for living a healthy lifestyle
Leveraging our expertise in analytics driven marketing to the direct channel
Transamerica’s partners in the active lifestyle community
Getting closer to our customers
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Diverse product portfolio delivers customer value
Full range of innovative product solutions
Life products with strengths in term, universal life and indexed universal life
Health products are a broad mix that range from long term care insurance to travel insurance
Some examples
Real Time Pricing – a unique approach to the secondary guaranteed universal life market
Long term care insurance – competing in profitable niches
Medicare supplement expansion – large market with stable earnings patterns
14%
11%
11%
<1%
64%
Universal life
Term life
Whole life/other
Variable life
Health
FY 2013 L&P sales
$1.4 billion
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Unique approach to secondary guaranteed universal life market
Real Time Pricing
A unique secondary guarantee universal life (SGUL) product with rates that reset weekly for new sales based on the interest rate and competitive environment
Patent for pricing technology pending
Redesigned products launched late 2012; Q1 2014 sales increased 39% over Q1 2013
Allows Transamerica to consistently participate on a profitable, market consistent basis in the SGUL market
2.75%
3.25%
3.75%
4.25%
Shadow Account Rates 30-Year Swap Rates
Weekly pricing vs. 30-year swap rates
Note: The shadow account interest rate determines the minimum premium that a customer must pay to guarantee that the policy will continue. As the rate goes up the minimum premium goes down.
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Transamerica’s strongly positioned to compete in the Long Term Care market due to early exit
from the legacy LTC market (2003) and early reentry (2009)
► 10 year track record of rate activity to address legacy pricing issues
► 5th largest block of long term care business gives us the scale and claim experience to compete effectively
► Strategically positioning growth in profitable niches, such as multi-life sales and lower benefit products
► Long term care expertise extended by developing and marketing life products with related riders
New LTC sales positively impacting overall interest adjusted benefit ratio
Competing in profitable niches of the LTC market
77% 79%
61%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q2014
Total Closed Block Open Block
* Total Incurred Benefits (paid and reserved) less imputed interest on the reserves divided by Total Premiums Earned; morbidity assumptions were updated on the old block in 2012 which resulted in recording additional loss recognition reserves
Interest adjusted benefit ratio*
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Medicare Supplement is insurance coverage for costs not covered by Medicare (government medical program for seniors 65+)
Transamerica has been offering Medicare Supplement in the affinity/group market for 25 years
► Sales expanded into individual market in 2012 (agent-sold)
► Sales expanded into direct to consumer market in 4Q13
Large market with stable earnings patterns
Significant expansion in Medicare supplement products
4 2 2 2 4
0.3 1
7
13
20
Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
Group sales
Individual sales
Medicare supplement sales (USD million)
13
Minor model refinements for underlying earnings
Minor model refinements for product mix and updated accounting policy changes
► General account and separate account reserve factors are unchanged
► Life premium factors increased from 7.0% to 8.3% due to sale of wider margin business
► Health premium factors decreased from 14.0% to 12.5% due to sale of lower margin business but with less capital intensive requirements
Underlying earnings before tax (USD million)
Sample model: (annual earnings)
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14
Health premium 585 589 601 594 571
Life premium 1,046 1,032 1,016 1,062 1,066
Separate account balance 4,742 4,699 4,876 5,142 5,095
General account reserves 32,283 32,198 32,374 32,619 32,894
Old factors New factors
+ % of health premium 14.00% 12.50%
+ % of life premium 7.00% 8.30%
+ % of separate account balance 0.60% 0.60%
+ % of general account reserves 0.35% 0.35%
0
100
200
Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Q213 Q313 Q413 Q114
Actual Old model New model
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Management actions taken in 2012 and 2013 are generating sales momentum in 4Q13 and 1Q14
Strong growth across a broad range of products consistent with our strategy
Maintaining strong industry rankings*:
► #6 total individual life
► #5 term life
► #6 universal life
► #4 indexed universal life
► #6 long term care
Increasing value with profitable sales on a market consistent basis
Total sales* (USD million)
133 135 132 163 119 133 124 128 134
231 225 219 230
264 207 201 230
338
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14
Life Accident and health
* Life sales are standardized = recurring premium + 1/10 of single premium; health sales are not standardized; ranking information sourced from LIMRA as of 1Q 2014
Management actions result in significant improvement in MCVNB in low interest rate environment
10 Y
r U
S T
reasury
rate
s
L&
P M
CVN
B
0
25
50
75
100
0.00
0.75
1.50
2.25
3.00
3.75
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14
364 360
351
393 383
340 325 358
472
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Life & Protection delivering on promises
Life & Protection
Protecting families and their dreams
Working together to understand and meet customer needs
Bringing clarity to customers so they can make the right choice
Exceeding expectations of our customers, colleagues and communities
Consumer Value
Engaging consumer as they choose to engage with us
Consumer focused product development
Investment in technology
Innovation
Shareholder Value
All products are producing positive MCVNB
Sales outpacing industry
Stable market with strong earnings growth
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Appendix
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Life & Protection at a glance
59% 41%
Life, supplemental health and worksite products
Stable market with solid earnings growth
Top 10 player in individual life, supplemental health and voluntary worksite
High quality, low risk earnings
Lower capital markets leverage
Strong distributable earnings
36%
64%
Health
Life
38% 62%
L&P L&P
Other Americas businesses
2013 L&P sales Life vs. health* (USD billion)
2013 Aegon Americas Inforce premium (USD billion)
2013 Aegon Americas Underlying earnings (USD billion)
1.4 10.6 1.7 Other
Americas businesses including run-off
Business profile Diverse distribution with target market focus
* Life sales are standardized = recurring premium + 1/10 of single premium; health sales are not standardized
22%
38%
29%
8% 3%
Agency
Brokerage
Affinity
Worksite
Other/Closed
6.5
(2013 L&P Inforce premium – USD billion)
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Diverse distribution and product portfolio
Affinity Analytics driven marketing
Agency Close ties with distribution partners in underserved middle market
Brokerage Independent distributors in middle and affluent market
Worksite Accessing families at the workplace
Direct to Customer Access to our products with the online convenience of researching and buying anytime
Distribution
Associations Employers Financial institutions Retailers Specialty (travel
agencies, schools, etc.) Exchanges
Career agencies Marketing
organizations World Financial Group Transamerica Financial
Advisors
Traditional general agencies
Independent marketing organizations
Independent brokers Internet life insurance
brokerage firms Financial institutions
Agents and brokers National employee
benefit consultants Private exchanges
Direct TV Direct mail Inbound phone Online SMS text
Products
Term life Supplemental health Accidental death Specialty (travel,
student, membership)
Term life Universal life Variable and indexed
universal life Whole life Medicare supplement
Term life Universal life Indexed universal life Long term care Whole life
Supplemental health Accident insurance Universal life Group term life
insurance
Term life Universal life Accidental death Dental Bike Event registration
refund
Competitive advantages
Market leader in the affinity space
Direct marketing skills and processes
Ability to tailor offerings and products
Breadth of product offerings
Brand loyalty/awareness
Recruiting expertise Broad product portfolio Lead generation
capabilities Close ties with
distribution partners
Brand awareness Integrated sales
solutions Large case
underwriting and advanced marketing expertise
Innovative and market-responsive products
Client service excellence through:
Comprehensive product portfolio
Concierge approach to large cases
Proprietary online enrollment tool
Direct marketing skills and processes
Ability to tailor offerings and products
Brand awareness Analytics driven
marketing
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Transamerica presence on healthcare exchanges
Type Pre-65 Post-65
Public exchange
Transamerica Direct No products currently offered in this segment due to
Essential Health (ACA) compliance Affinity Markets and Employee Benefits No plans to enter due to ACA compliance
Transamerica Direct Medicare Part D on Centers for Medicare and
Medicaid Services (CMS) Plan Finder Initial launch of Medicare Part D prescription
product Affinity Markets Medicare Supplement on Medicare.gov and State
websites Medicare Supplement sites are informational; links
to Company for additional information or sale
Private exchange
Affinity Markets Dental distribution on smaller private association
based exchange
Employee Benefits Distribute TEB supplemental health products thru
seven private exchange platforms Focus Open Enrollment 2015 for launch of Critical
Illness, Hospital Indemnity, Connect, Accident & Life
Affinity Markets Primary focus, with products for distribution
including Medicare Supplement and Medicare Part D prescription plan
Initial tests for Part D in smaller Retiree Exchanges for 2014
Thank you
For questions please contact
Investor Relations
+31 70 344 8305
P.O. Box 85
2501 CB The Hague
The Netherlands
21
Cautionary note regarding non-IFRS measures This document includes the non-IFRS financial measures: underlying earnings before tax, income tax, income before tax and market consistent value of new business. These non-IFRS measures are calculated by consolidating on a proportionate basis Aegon’s joint ventures and associated companies. The reconciliation of these measures, except for market consistent value of new business, to the most comparable IFRS measure is provided in note 3 ‘Segment information’ of Aegon’s Condensed Consolidated Interim Financial Statements. Market consistent value of new business is not based on IFRS, which are used to report Aegon’s primary financial statements and should not be viewed as a substitute for IFRS financial measures. Aegon may define and calculate market consistent value of new business differently than other companies. Aegon believes that its non-IFRS measures, together with the IFRS information, provide meaningful information about the underlying operating results of Aegon’s business including insight into the financial measures that senior management uses in managing the business. In addition, return on equity is a ratio using a non-GAAP measure and is calculated by dividing the net underlying earnings after cost of leverage by the average shareholders’ equity excluding the preferred shares, the revaluation reserve and the reserves related to defined benefit plans. Local currencies and constant currency exchange rates This document contains certain information about Aegon’s results, financial condition and revenue generating investments presented in USD for the Americas and GBP for the United Kingdom, because those businesses operate and are managed primarily in those currencies. Certain comparative information presented on a constant currency basis eliminates the effects of changes in currency exchange rates. None of this information is a substitute for or superior to financial information about Aegon presented in EUR, which is the currency of Aegon’s primary financial statements. Forward-looking statements The statements contained in this document that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The following are words that identify such forward-looking statements: aim, believe, estimate, target, intend, may, expect, anticipate, predict, project, counting on, plan, continue, want, forecast, goal, should, would, is confident, will, and similar expressions as they relate to Aegon. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Aegon undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which merely reflect company expectations at the time of writing. Actual results may differ materially from expectations conveyed in forward-looking statements due to changes caused by various risks and uncertainties. Such risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to the following: Changes in general economic conditions, particularly in the United States, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom; Changes in the performance of financial markets, including emerging markets, such as with regard to:
► The frequency and severity of defaults by issuers in Aegon’s fixed income investment portfolios; ► The effects of corporate bankruptcies and/or accounting restatements on the financial markets and the resulting decline in the value of equity and debt securities Aegon holds; and ► The effects of declining creditworthiness of certain private sector securities and the resulting decline in the value of sovereign exposure that Aegon holds;
Changes in the performance of Aegon’s investment portfolio and decline in ratings of Aegon’s counterparties; Consequences of a potential (partial) break-up of the euro or the potential independence of Scotland from the United Kingdom The frequency and severity of insured loss events; Changes affecting longevity, mortality, morbidity, persistence and other factors that may impact the profitability of Aegon’s insurance products; Reinsurers to whom Aegon has ceded significant underwriting risks may fail to meet their obligations; Changes affecting interest rate levels and continuing low or rapidly changing interest rate levels; Changes affecting currency exchange rates, in particular the EUR/USD and EUR/GBP exchange rates; Changes in the availability of, and costs associated with, liquidity sources such as bank and capital markets funding, as well as conditions in the credit markets in general such as changes in borrower and counterparty creditworthiness; Increasing levels of competition in the United States, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and emerging markets; Changes in laws and regulations, particularly those affecting Aegon’s operations, ability to hire and retain key personnel, the products Aegon sells, and the attractiveness of certain products to its consumers; Regulatory changes relating to the insurance industry in the jurisdictions in which Aegon operates; Changes in customer behavior and public opinion in general related to, among other things, the type of products also Aegon sells, including legal, regulatory or commercial necessity to meet changing customer expectations; Acts of God, acts of terrorism, acts of war and pandemics; Changes in the policies of central banks and/or governments; Lowering of one or more of Aegon’s debt ratings issued by recognized rating organizations and the adverse impact such action may have on Aegon’s ability to raise capital and on its liquidity and financial condition; Lowering of one or more of insurer financial strength ratings of Aegon’s insurance subsidiaries and the adverse impact such action may have on the premium writings, policy retention, profitability and liquidity of its insurance subsidiaries; The effect of the European Union’s Solvency II requirements and other regulations in other jurisdictions affecting the capital Aegon is required to maintain; Litigation or regulatory action that could require Aegon to pay significant damages or change the way Aegon does business; As Aegon’s operations support complex transactions and are highly dependent on the proper functioning of information technology, a computer system failure or security breach may disrupt Aegon’s business, damage its reputation and adversely affect its
results of operations, financial condition and cash flows; Customer responsiveness to both new products and distribution channels; Competitive, legal, regulatory, or tax changes that affect profitability, the distribution cost of or demand for Aegon’s products; Changes in accounting regulations and policies or a change by Aegon in applying such regulations and policies, voluntarily or otherwise, may affect Aegon’s reported results and shareholders’ equity; The impact of acquisitions and divestitures, restructurings, product withdrawals and other unusual items, including Aegon’s ability to integrate acquisitions and to obtain the anticipated results and synergies from acquisitions; Catastrophic events, either manmade or by nature, could result in material losses and significantly interrupt Aegon’s business; and Aegon’s failure to achieve anticipated levels of earnings or operational efficiencies as well as other cost saving and excess capital and leverage ratio management initiatives. Further details of potential risks and uncertainties affecting Aegon are described in its filings with the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets and the US Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Annual Report. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this document. Except as required by any applicable law or regulation, Aegon expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in Aegon’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.
Disclaimers