simon lushey, m&s, oal food manufacturing 2030 conference
TRANSCRIPT
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IMPORTANCE OF INNOVATION TO FOOD
RETAILING
SIMON LUSHEY
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HISTORY AND PROVENANCE
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1980’s Unique Supply base - Competency,
Capability, Complexity. National Chilled Distribution
network. Growing market
2010’s Level playing field with respect to
supply base National chilled distribution the
norm Highly competitive market place
30 YEARS OF RECIPE DISHES
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Recipe Raw Material Process
THREE ELEMENTS TO INNOVATION
Recipe
ProcessRaw Material
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THE 2030 “PERFECT STORM” SCENARIOThe year is 2030 and the “perfect storm” forecast by John Beddington, England’s chiefscientific advisor, has arrived. These are the key developments:• Consistent with earlier demographic projections, global population has increasedfrom 6.8 billion to 8.3 billion.• Demand for food has grown by 40 percent, but supplies have not kept up withdemand. World grain reserves are empty. The FAO warns that bad harvests andgrain export embargoes are pushing 200 million people to “the brink ofstarvation.”• Demand for energy has grown by 45 percent, but supplies in recent years have notkept up, and the resulting scarcity has pushed energy prices to record highs.• Global demand for water has grown by close to 30 percent. Water conservationmeasures have helped, but close to four billion people are now living in an area ofhigh water stress.• Efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions have fallen far short of the pledgesmade in 2010. Climate change is more evident, and the concentration ofgreenhouse gas emissions is dangerously close to the 450 ppm level that couldtrigger the worst effects of climate change.• Shortages of food, energy and water are increasing the number of failed states and ratcheting up international tensions.
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HEALTH OF THE NATION
2/3rds
MALNUTRITION ON THE INCREASE
4 MILLION
30%
60%<1in 3
3 MILLION
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MARKET BACKDROP
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FOOD WASTE
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FOOD FRAUD, FOOD ADULTERATION
Adulterated food is impure, unsafe, or unwholesome food.
food fraud is most commonly referred to as the intentional defrauding of food and food ingredients for economic gain.
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TECHNOLOGY AND PACKAGING INNOVATION
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INCREMENTAL VS. RADICAL INNOVATION
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WHAT IS INNOVATION?