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  • 8/9/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 196

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    Issue 196Copyright © 2011-2014 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.

    http://www.propwise.sg/http://www.propwise.sg/

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    CONTENTS

    p2 Property Market Outlook in the Year

    of the Goat

    p9 Singapore Property News This Week

    p13 Resale Property Transactions

    (February 4 – February 6 )

    Welcome to the 196th edition of the

    Singapore Property Weekly .

    Hope you like it!

    Mr. Propwise

    FROM THE

    EDITOR

    mailto:[email protected]://www.propwise.sg/advertise/http://www.propwise.sg/advertise/mailto:[email protected]

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    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 196

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    By Property Soul (Guest Contributor)

     As we usher in the Lunar New Year, I’m going

    to peep into the crystal ball to see how the

    Singapore property market will fare in this

    Year of the Goat (or Sheep).   (Disclaimer: I 

    have no vested interest in any property-

    related company, or influence from any 

    individual in the real estate industry.)

    Property Market Outlook in the Year of the Goat

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    1. As gentle as a lamb

     According to Chinese Feng Shui masters,

    2015 is the Year of the Wood Goat that

    carries a strong earth element. Wood on dry

    earth with the absence of metal and fire is not

    a good sign for growth.

    Investors have to exercise extra caution to

    avoid any blunder that might leave them high

    and dry. For the same reason, the

    construction and real estate industries may

    face challenges this year.

    Gentle and timid are the traits of the sheep. It

    has no big ambition and lacks a fighting spirit.The animal is a follower rather than a leader.

    When something unexpected happens, it

    hesitates and acts cowardly.

    This year it is difficult to find any sign of 

    revival in the property market. Industry

    players have to go with the flow. Expectdevelopers to go deeper on discounts,

    investors to continue holding off purchases,

    and owners to further lower rental

    expectations.

     Another thing to keep in mind: The sheep hasa soft character and is not strong enough to

    suppress any instability and turbulence. If 

    there is a perfect storm, nothing is powerful

    enough to get things back under control.

    https://propertysoul.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/sheep1.jpg

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    2. The black sheep of the family

    The Chinese believe that nine out of ten

    goats are imperfect (十羊九不全). Being born

    under the goat sign implies a life full of 

    worries, hardships and misfortunes. That's

    why many superstitious mothers-to-be in

    China chose to induce labor in the past few

    weeks just for a horse baby.

    The fact is that whenever the road gets

    bumpy, we get grumpy and look around to

    find a scapegoat. It can be any convenient

    target: the government, the foreigners, our 

    fate, or our Chinese zodiac sign.

    Who is to blame for the slow market? The

    government which announced so many

    rounds of cooling measures; MAS that

    introduced TDSR and got us stuck in our 

    borrowing and refinancing; or developers who

    kept overbuilding overpriced projects to

    create a supply glut?

    The truth is: We are the ones who no longer 

    believe in the upward spiraling of property

    prices. We are the ones who have lost

    confidence in the property market. When

    HDB resale flat prices rise 0.6 percent last

    month and the media unanimously deny therebound of the market, we know that an

    upbeat note from a developer or agency can

    no longer save the negative market

    sentiments of the consumers.

    https://propertysoul.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/sheep2.jpg

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    3. Like lambs to the slaughter 

    Have you seen how the lambs line up calmly

    and obediently for the slaughter without the

    slightest complaint for their tragic fate?

    The character of the sheep is known to be

    tame. It is loyal and submissive. It always

    knows its place and behaves discreetly. It is a

    pessimist and believes in destiny. It is ready

    to compromise, sometimes even to the extent

    of self-sacrifice for the common good.

    In Singapore, 81.9 percent of the population

    stays in HDB flats. Most feel comfortable and

    are proud of their flats. Many cannot afford to

    upgrade to private properties. And the

    majority believe that prices are too high.

    Think the government will lift some cooling

    measures or borrowing restrictions this year 

    in celebration of SG50? Why rock the boat to

    please the minority before the next election?Maintaining a sustainable property market is

    in the interest of the whole society. So be

    patient and wait for that 'meaningful

    correction'.

    Perhaps the start of the sheep year is a good

    occasion to revisit what we learned in

    kindergarten.

    When IRAS sings,   “Baa,  baa, black sheep,

    have you any wool?”

    https://propertysoul.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/sheep3.jpg

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    Buyers reply,  “Yes sir, yes sir, three bags full.”

    "One for my mortgage (MSR and TDSR)

    One for my stamp (ABSD and SSD)

     And one for the property tax

    We pay down the years" (repeat chorus)

    4. Wolf in sheep's clothing

    Many people invest under ignorance, greed,

    fear, insecurity, kiasu or herd mentality. When

    the market is hot, they want to strike while the

    iron is hot. When the market direction

    reverses, they scramble for cover.

    People like to listen to what they want to hear.

    But if things sound too good to be true, they

    probably are. The more irresistible an

    investment scheme sounds, the more likely it

    is a fraud.

    More than 700 Singapore investors were left

    in the cold when the high-profile Braziliansocial housing developer EcoHouse closed its

    office.  Over $35 million was lost in Suisse

    International’s   gold buyback scam.   Easy

    money to flip old US houses promoted by

    CTL Global turned out to be an   investor’s

    nightmare.

    Donald Trump said if you go for get rich quick,

    you are really going for broke. Look at how

    some so-called property gurus who were

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 196

    https://propertysoul.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/sheep4.jpg

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    once authoritative and inspirational behave

    when things go sour. The once media

    darlings now become unreachable.

    Expect to see more get-rich-quick schemes

    fall flat in the sheep year. Watch how sheep

    are being slaughtered once the deceiving wolf 

    takes off the  sheep’s clothing.

    When will people learn their lessons?

    5. Separate the sheep from the goats

    Like any Chinese zodiac animal sign, the goat

    also has its share of favorable traits. The

    animal is known for its industriousness,

    perseverance, determination, stamina and

    strong vitality.

    When the going gets tough, the tough get

    going. Property owners who are resilient will

    be able to see it through. Those who have

    holding power will ride through any storm.

    Take a hint from the sheep to be a diligentworker.   Don’t  shun the hard work and work

    from the ground up. There are 24,000 unsold

    units, 69,000 in the supply pipeline and

    countless resale units. Train yourself to

    separate the sheep from the goats; to tell the

    good properties from a batch of mixed qualityprojects.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 196

    https://propertysoul.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/sheep5.jpg

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    Look closer and dig deeper for fire sales,

    especially projects launched during the peak

    of the market, high-end condos in CCR and

    properties with high quantums.

    Good luck in the Year of the Goat!

    By guest contributor Property Soul, a

    successful property investor,   blogger , and 

    author of the   No B.S. Guide to Property

    Investment.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 196

    http://propertysoul.com/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://www.anthonyrobbinssg.com/propwisehttp://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://aktive.com.sg/store/no-b-s-guide-to-property-investment/http://propertysoul.com/

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    Singapore Property This Week

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    Residential

    D ev el o p er s al es i n c reas e 6 2 p er c en t t o  

    372 u n i ts i n J an u ar y d u e t o i n c reas e i n  

    la u n c h e s  

    The sale of private homes by developers had

    increased by 62 percent to 372 units in

    January from 230 units in the previous month.

     According to the Business Times, this

    increase in sales transactions was due to an

    increase in property launches. These

    launches include the Marine Blue at Marine

    Parade, and the Symphony Suites at Yishun.

    50 out of the 124 units at Marine Blue had

    been launched for sale. Thus far, 32 units

    have been sold at a median price of $1,829

    psf. On the other hand, 54 units at the

    Symphony Suites have been sold at $1,010

    psf. Nonetheless, the number of transactions

    in January this year is still 35 percent less

    than in January last year. The implementation

    of the cooling measures and loan curbs have

    curbed demand, said market experts. Ong

    Teck Hui from JLL believes that it is more

    challenging to launch projects during the

    festivities when demand is usually low.

    However, Desmond Sim from CBRE

    Research believes that demand may be

    picking up.

    (Source: Business Times)

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    L u x u r y h o m e p r i c e s d o w n b y 6 % i n 2 01 4  

    Singapore’s   luxury home prices fell by 6

    percent in 2014. This is the highest drop in

     Asia, according to Jones Lang LaSalle. This

    decrease in prices is likely to have been a

    result of cooling measures and loan curbs

    that were implemented to keep property

    prices in check. According to Keppel Land,

    new home sales have halved in 2014 and

    residential prices have also remained weak.

    Market experts believe that the growth in

    Singapore’s residential market may stagnate

    in 2015 as  Singapore’s economy is expected

    to be affected by slow growth in China.

    Furthermore, a report by Knight Frank

    suggests that Singapore will remain a high-end housing market as it is one of the most

    expensive cities to buy a luxury home in.

    Demand for luxury homes may also be

    affected by the increase in property taxes,

    said market experts.

    (Source: Business Times)

    K i n g s f o r d W at e rb a y o p e n s f o r v i e w i n g  

    Located near Hougang MRT Station,

    Kingsford Waterbay has been launched for 

    viewing. The 99-year leasehold private

    residential project comprises of 1,157

    residential units. This includes one to five-

    bedroom apartments; strata terrace houses

    and strata semi-detached houses. Not only

    so, the riverfront residential project will

    include six commercial shops and a childcare

    centre. The project was built on two adjoining

    government land sales plots. Both plots

    account for a total of 27,292 square metres.

     According to Cui Zhengfeng from Kingsford

    Development, there will be water-themed

    recreational facilities within the riverfront

    development.

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    The development will begin sales in early

    March. Market experts predict that the project

    will sell for between $1000 per square foot

    and $1050 per square foot.

    (Source: Business Times)

    K h a w : S u p p l y -d e m a n d r e b al a n c i n g  

     According to Minister for National

    Development Khaw Boon Wan, supply and

    demand for residential property is

    recalibrating. Khaw said that with an increase

    supply of residential units, prices have gone

    down for a full year in 2014. This move has

    helped to regulate the number of buyers and

    sellers in the property market. Previously,

    200,034 new homes were expected to be

    built from 2014 to 2017. However, Khaw said

    that as the Housing Development Board

    eases supply for Build-To-Order flats, a total

    of 195,788 new homes are expected to be

    constructed during the same time period

    instead. Khaw added that the stock of 

    housing units would have increased from 1.28

    million this year to 1.43 million in 2018. This

    would be an 11 percent increase in the stockof housing units. Currently, 960,000

    residential units have been developed by

    HDB while 320,000 are supplied by private

    developers.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Commercial

    Frasers Tower along Cecil Street to be

    completed in 2018

    Frasers Tower, a 38-storey Grade A office

    tower, will be completed in 2018. Thisdevelopment will be located at Cecil Street. It

    will have a total net lettable area of about

    690,000 square feet, an open-space terrace

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    and a roof garden. Not only so, the

    development will comprise of a 17,200 square

    feet park and a restaurant. The office tower 

    itself will make up 664,000 square feet of net

    lettable area. This area will have column-freefloor plates that are between 19,000 square

    feet to 21,000 square feet. According to a

    spokesperson from Frasers Centrepoint

    Limited, the office tower is expected to be the

    only CBD Grade A office development that

    will be completed in 2018. Its marketingefforts will begin by the end of this year.

    (Source: The Straits Times)

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 196

    http://www.moneymatters.sg/

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    Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Feb 4  – Feb 6

    NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore Land Authority.Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after a purchasersigns an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    5 FLYNN PARK 2,196 2,408,888 1,097 FH

    10 TANGLIN PARK 1,335 2,450,000 1,836 FH

    10 SPANISH VILLAGE 1,668 2,050,000 1,229 FH

    11 THOMSON EURO-ASIA 1,292 2,180,000 1,688 FH

    11 DERBYSHIRE HEIGHTS 1,302 1,500,000 1,152 FH

    12 AVA TOWERS 1,281 1,000,000 781 FH

    14 THE SUNNY SPRING 1,109 1,108,888 1,000 FH

    14 ASTORIA PARK 1,001 980,000 979 99

    15 THE ESTA 1,313 2,020,000 1,538 FH

    15 ST PATRICK'S LOFT 1,066 1,288,000 1,209 FH15 OCEAN PARK 2,110 2,100,000 995 FH

    18 DOUBLE BAY RESIDENCES 936 1,045,000 1,116 99

    19 N.A. 1,701 970,000 570 103

    21 SIGNATURE PARK 1,033 1,115,000 1,079 FH

    21 PINE GROVE 1,755 1,300,000 741 99

    22 PARC OASIS 1,227 1,000,000 815 99

    23 DAIRY FARM ESTATE   2,131 2,250,000 1,056 FH

    23 GLENDALE PARK   1,249 1,230,000 985 FH

    http://propertymarketinsights.com/