skymetweather-monsoon foreshadow april 2015
DESCRIPTION
As per the latest SkyMet weather report, India is expecting early monsoon with average rainfall. SkyMet Weather Wise, a premier weather forecast application, updates you about changing weather patterns of India. You can keep track of upcoming southwest monsoon with the help of this app. Moreover, you can customize the app to get updates on monsoon in your specific region. http://www.skymetweather.com/ - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
MONSOON SPATIAL VARIABILITYJUNE THROUGH SEPTEMBER
Kerala, Konkan and Goa, Punjab, Haryana, west UP will receive good amounts of rainfall. Parts of Tamil Nadu, Rayalseema and south Karnataka are at some risk
Rainfall Departure:+2%
Poor Signal
Poor Signal
MONSOON SPATIAL VARIABILITYJUNE
Country as a whole will receive good amounts of rainfall indicating timely onset
Rainfall Departure:+7%
Poor Signal
Poor Signal
MONSOON SPATIAL VARIABILITYJULY
Normal rainfall expectedRainfall Departure:+4%
Poor Signal
Poor Signal
MONSOON SPATIAL VARIABILITYAUGUST
Slightly less than normal rainfall is expected particularly over southern peninsular India
Rainfall Departure:-1%
Poor Signal
Poor Signal
MONSOON SPATIAL VARIABILITYSEPTEMBER
Little less than normal rainfall is expected particularly over Central and southern India
Rainfall Departure:-4%
Poor Signal
Poor Signal
• A cyclonic vortex is expected to move along the west coast in the last week of April to first week of May causing rainfall all along the west coast and Gujarat
• In second week of May, another spell of rainfall over parts of Gujarat and Maharashtra is expected
• Pre-Monsoon activity is expected to be frequent and strong through out May in North and North-East India
• Monsoon onset is likely to be strong and early
EXPECTED PRE-MONSOON ACTIVITIES
2012 2013 2014
Skymet Forecast 95% of LPA 103% of LPA 91% of LPA
Actual Monsoon 93% of LPA 105% of LPA 88% of LPA
PAST FORECAST PERFORMANCE
No Signal
No SignalNo SignalNo Signal
No Signal No Signal