smart energy markets
TRANSCRIPT
Iran - Gas by Wire..or Fibre?
Bosphorus Energy Club 11th October 2016Chris Cook
Institute for Security & Resilience Studies University College London
Gas Swaps
Category Swap – production sharing Gas to Power – gas by wire CNG/LNG to transport – eg Iran CNG fuelled public transport fleet
Location Swap – Gas by FibreFlow of gas into one location swapped for gas flow from another
Hybrid SwapFlow of gas fuel into one location exchanged for flow of energy as a service from another
Smart Gas SwapsIP use exchanged for gas savings – Fifth Fuel
2June 2016 Caspian Energy Grid – Silk Road
Smart Gas – Energy as a Service
Pumping-as-a-Service – from 1778 the great Scottish engineer & inventor James Watt supplied new & efficient steam powered water pumps to Tin mines in exchange for 33% of their coal savings.
Turbines-as-a-Service – Mitsubishi/Siemens/GE provide 60% efficient CCGT generators to replace 35% efficient generators and receive an agreed %age of gas savings
Solar-as-a-Service – electricity production of solar PV is shared with solar energy service provider.
Outcome – Technology (IP) swap for intrinsic retail value of Energy
3June 2016 Caspian Energy Grid – Silk Road
Smart Trade 1778 - Pumping as a Service
4June 2016 Caspian Energy Grid – Silk Road
Promises, Promises, Promises An Energy Credit is a Promise issued by an energy producer in exchange for value received and which he will accept in payment for energy production
An Energy Credit instrument is notDebt instrument - the holder may not demand moneyForward (Derivative) instrument– the holder may not demand deliveryEquity Share instrument – the holder has no asset ownership or dividend
An Energy Credit holder may use the credit to pay for energy supplied by the Promissor or by another energy producer who will accept it
Acceptance of a Promise requires Trust in the producer
5June 2016 Caspian Energy Grid – Silk Road
Clearing Union – 'Trust – but Validate' For Investors/Consumers to trust Producers to honour their Promises requires a “Trust Framework” agreement – a Clearing Union
Clearing Union mutually assures credit risk in the same way Protection & Indemnity (P&I) Clubs have assured shipping risk for 140 years
Trusted service provider administers system; manages mutual credit risk (but does not take risk); resolves disputes etc etc
Service providers require intellectual capital but not finance capital
Clearing Houses/Exchanges concentrate market risk in a single point of failure - Clearing Union distributes market risk among end users
6June 2016 Caspian Energy Grid – Silk Road
Energy Credits - Examples Renewable EnergyWind Turbine owner sells 100,000 electricity credits each returnable in payment for 10 kWh of production
Credits are returned in payment for electricity supply when the wind blows
Gas/PowerGas fuelled generator sells 100,000 electricity credits each returnable in payment for 10 kWh of production
Problem: If the generator's gas purchase price rises he may make a loss
Solution: Generator agrees a Gas/Power Swap and the gas supplier receives an entitlement to electricity credits
7June 2016 Caspian Energy Grid – Silk Road
Outcome - Smart Market
Smart Grid – Physical Energy Network'Smart' Grid optimising energy production and use
Clearing Union – Financial Energy NetworkProducers connect direct to consumers via Energy Swaps & Credits
Smart MarketMost efficiently produced power is always despatched first – Smart Market
8June 2016 Caspian Energy Grid – Silk Road
Energy Dividends Renewable EnergyWind Turbine owner sells 100,000 electricity credits each returnable in payment for 10 kWh of production
Credits are returned in payment for electricity supply when the wind blows
Gas/PowerGas fuelled generator sells 100,000 electricity credits each returnable in payment for 10 kWh of production
Problem: If the generator's gas purchase price rises he may make a loss
Solution: Generator agrees Gas/Power Swap and gas supplier receives entitlement to electricity credits
9June 2016 Caspian Energy Grid – Silk Road
Pool & Dividend Energy LeviesEnergy Pool fund in local currency is created by levies on
Renewable Energy – %age allocation of sales revenue Fossil Fuel - %age levy on gas & oil product consumption
Energy DividendEnergy Dividend of energy credits made to population - not inflationary local currency subsidy
Energy LoansEnergy Pool invests in renewable energy & energy efficiency projects with an Energy credit return.
10June 2016 Caspian Energy Grid – Silk Road
Why a Smart Market?
Fifth Fuel - Resource Resilience rationale is self evident: the higher the fossil fuel price the more profit in energy savings made at the retail price
COP 21 - reduction in gas use leads direct to reduction of CO2 production – a complementary market approach to COP21 implementation
Commodity to Service – (Smart) intellectual capital replaces finance capital
Co-operate to Compete – those who do not share risk and costs will be outcompeted by those who do
Maybe Ethical is Optimal?
11June 2016 Caspian Energy Grid – Silk Road