smes: what is the real addressable market?

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What is the “Real” Addressable Market? Neal Polachek Board Advisor – vSplash/BuzzBoard November 19, 2013

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SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market? Neal Polachek, Independent Industry Advisor & former CEO, The Kelsey Group Conference presentations often tell us there are millions of small businesses (ie - SMEs, SMBs) that represent the addressable market for digital advertising. But recent survey data suggest that many SMBs are lifestyle businesses whose owners don't want to grow. If accurate the implications for the market fare potentially radical. This session will explore the "real, addressable SME market." It also asks whether the products being sold to SMEs are truly aligned with their needs.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

What is the “Real” Addressable Market?

Neal Polachek

Board Advisor – vSplash/BuzzBoard

November 19, 2013

Page 2: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

- Former CEO – The Kelsey Group and President – BIAKelsey

- 20+ years as industry analyst

- Board advisor for, and consultant to, large and small companies

Who am I and Why am I Here?

Page 3: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Why do we Care about SMEs

It is where Local and Social Intersect

Page 4: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Some Key Trends/Facts

• SMEs: 95 – 98% of Business establishments in most countries

• SMEs: employ upwards of 67% of private sector jobs in developed markets

• SMEs: drive as much as 50% of GDP in developed countries

• SMEs: drive a smaller % of GDP in developing countries but this % is increasing

Page 5: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

160 - 200 Million Identified SMEs

North America; 0

Western Europe; 0

Eastern Europe; 0

Latin America; 0

Asia; 1

ROW; 0

Sources: Various Government Sources

Page 6: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

SMEs Swim With the Sharks

Page 7: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

And the Sharks Want Their Food

Page 8: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

1999 – First Wave Kelsey Local Commerce Monitor - Illustrative

Yellow Pages; 70%

Newspapers; 15%

Direct mail; 10%Leaflets; 5%

Easy to Evaluate, Easy to Buy, Easy to Sell

Little fragmentation

& high margins all

around

Page 9: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

By 2013 – It Looks More like This - Illustrative

15%

10%

5%

10%

10%15%

10%

5%

10%

3%4% 3%

WebsiteSocialLanding PagesBlogsMobileVideoLeafletsIYPPrint YPNewspapersRadioTv

Difficult to Evaluate, to Buy, to Sell

High fragmentation

& low or no margins all

around

Page 10: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

SME Commerce Meets SME Cloud

SME Share of Cloud

Computing by 2015 = 65% or

$30B USD*

SME Share of Cloud

Computing by 2015 = 65% or

$30B USD*

SME Share of Global GDP of $70T = 40% or

$28T USD

SME Share of Global GDP of $70T = 40% or

$28T USD

*Source: McKinsey 2011

Page 11: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Market

Market

Connect

Connect

Transact

Transact

Commerce Solutions for SMEs

Page 12: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Market

• Traditional and Digital– YP– Search– Newspaper

• eCRM– eMail, rep mgt.

• Web presence– Mobile, responsive

• Social – Blogs, social updates

Acquire and

engage customer

s

Page 13: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Connect

• Connectivity– Broadband– Wireless

• Devices– Desktop– Tablet– Mobile

Connect with

customers

Page 14: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Transact

• POS – Square– Xyz– Etc

• Accounting – Billing – AP/AR– Taxes

Transact, track, bill

and collect

Page 15: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Market Size – 2013 and 2018

140

207

18

206

269

30

MarketConnectTransact

$365B $505B

Just Over 1% of SME GDP (assumes SME Share of GDP is 40%)

Page 16: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Advertising and Devices Today

Advertising; 0.27

eCRM; 0.02Web Presence; 0.01

Social; 0.08

Wireless Device; 0.34

Computing Device; 0.1

Wired Connectivity; 0.13

Accounting; 0.02Transaction; 0.03

$365B

Page 17: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Conversations and Content - Tomorrow

Advertising; 0.15

eCRM; 0.02Web Presence; 0.02

Social; 0.22

Wireless Device; 0.32

Computing Device; 0.12

Wired Connectivity; 0.1Accounting; 0.02Transaction; 0.04

$505B

Page 18: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Penetration Rates will Change

3126

33

9

59 57

39

2126

3036

68

40

87 85

4043

49

2013 2018

Market Connect Transact

Page 19: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

And the Money will Flow . . .

100

6 5

30

123

3847

7 10

78

9 9

109

161

5850

1218

2013 2018Market Connect Transact

Page 20: SMEs: What Is the Real Addressable Market?

Thank [email protected]

[email protected] twitter @nealbp