snohomish county gma population growth projection …

DRAFT Snohomish County Tomorrow 2016 Growth Monitoring Report

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 2032 2035

SNOHOMISH COUNTY GMA POPULATION GROWTH PROJECTION TO 2035

COMPARED WITH 1990-2016 OFM ANNUAL POPULATION ESTIMATES

OFM Estimates (Pre-Census 2010) OFM Estimates (Post-Census 2010) CPP Population Projection, 2011-2035 (955K)

2016 Estimate = 772,860

2016 Projection = 761,734


19%

72%

91%

38%

53%

9%

30%

62%

92%

70%

22%

8%

34%

59%

92%

80%

13%8%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Percent of Total Countywide Population Growth by Major County Subarea

2011-16 2011-35 2016-35

9%3%

23%

3%

53%

9%

26%

11%

27%

6%

22%

8%

31%

13%

28%

8%13%

8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Percent of Total Countywide Population Growth by Regional Geography

2011-16 2011-35 2016-35


CPP 2035Reconciled

Pct of Total Pop Targets Pct of TotalArea 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Amount County Chng (Dec 13/12 bdys) Amount County Chng

Non-S.W. County UGA 161,288 162,634 164,373 165,716 168,606 171,819 10,531 18.9% 233,097 71,809 30.1%

Arlington UGA 18,489 18,512 18,791 18,881 19,026 19,166 677 1.2% 26,002 7,512 3.2% Arlington City 17,966 17,988 18,270 18,354 18,484 18,614 648 1.2% 24,937 6,971 2.9% Unincorporated 523 524 521 527 542 552 29 0.1% 1,065 541 0.2%

Darrington UGA 1,420 1,420 1,425 1,426 1,429 1,431 11 0.0% 2,161 741 0.3% Darrington Town 1,345 1,345 1,350 1,350 1,350 1,350 5 0.0% 1,764 419 0.2% Unincorporated 75 75 75 76 79 81 6 0.0% 397 322 0.1%

Gold Bar UGA 2,909 2,915 2,933 2,952 3,013 3,047 138 0.2% 3,319 411 0.2% Gold Bar City 2,060 2,060 2,080 2,085 2,115 2,125 65 0.1% 2,406 346 0.1% Unincorporated 849 855 853 867 898 922 73 0.1% 913 65 0.0%

Granite Falls UGA 3,517 3,527 3,532 3,538 3,541 3,548 31 0.1% 8,517 5,000 2.1% Granite Falls City 3,370 3,380 3,385 3,390 3,390 3,395 25 0.0% 7,624 4,254 1.8% Unincorporated 147 147 147 148 151 153 6 0.0% 893 746 0.3%

Index UGA (incorporated) 180 180 180 180 160 165 (15) 0.0% 220 40 0.0%

Lake Stevens UGA 33,218 33,676 34,186 34,477 35,418 36,615 3,397 6.1% 46,380 13,162 5.5% Lake Stevens City 28,210 28,510 28,960 29,170 29,900 30,900 2,690 4.8% 39,340 11,130 4.7% Unincorporated 5,008 5,166 5,226 5,307 5,518 5,715 707 1.3% 7,040 2,032 0.9%

Marysville UGA 60,869 61,574 62,314 62,816 64,361 65,164 4,295 7.7% 87,798 26,929 11.3% Marysville City 60,660 61,360 62,100 62,600 64,140 64,940 4,280 7.7% 87,589 26,929 11.3% Unincorporated 209 214 214 216 221 224 15 0.0% 209 - 0.0%

Monroe UGA 18,806 18,846 18,987 19,153 19,139 19,661 855 1.5% 24,754 5,948 2.5% Monroe City 17,351 17,390 17,510 17,660 17,620 18,120 769 1.4% 22,102 4,751 2.0% Unincorporated 1,455 1,456 1,477 1,493 1,519 1,541 86 0.2% 2,652 1,197 0.5%

Snohomish UGA 10,559 10,576 10,579 10,643 10,786 11,049 490 0.9% 14,494 3,935 1.7% Snohomish City 9,200 9,215 9,220 9,270 9,385 9,625 425 0.8% 12,139 2,939 1.2% Unincorporated 1,359 1,361 1,359 1,373 1,401 1,424 65 0.1% 2,354 996 0.4%

Stanwood UGA 6,353 6,433 6,473 6,663 6,720 6,771 418 0.7% 11,085 4,732 2.0% Stanwood City 6,220 6,300 6,340 6,530 6,585 6,635 415 0.7% 10,116 3,896 1.6% Unincorporated 133 133 133 133 135 136 3 0.0% 969 836 0.4%

Sultan UGA 4,969 4,975 4,974 4,986 5,014 5,204 235 0.4% 8,369 3,399 1.4% Sultan City 4,655 4,660 4,660 4,665 4,680 4,860 205 0.4% 7,345 2,690 1.1% Unincorporated 314 315 314 321 334 344 30 0.1% 1,024 709 0.3%

S.W. County UGA 434,425 438,219 443,878 451,926 464,196 474,702 40,277 72.1% 582,035 147,610 62.0%

Incorporated S.W. 261,506 262,186 263,945 265,405 269,519 273,070 11,564 20.7% 363,413 101,907 42.8% Bothell City (part) 16,570 16,720 17,020 17,020 17,230 17,390 820 1.5% 23,510 6,940 2.9% Brier City 6,201 6,256 6,315 6,345 6,500 6,501 300 0.5% 6,972 771 0.3% Edmonds City 39,800 39,800 39,950 39,950 40,490 40,900 1,100 2.0% 45,550 5,750 2.4% Everett City 103,100 103,300 104,200 104,900 105,794 108,294 5,194 9.3% 164,812 61,712 25.9% Lynnwood City 35,860 35,900 35,960 36,030 36,420 36,590 730 1.3% 54,404 18,544 7.8% Mill Creek City 18,370 18,450 18,600 18,780 19,760 19,900 1,530 2.7% 20,196 1,826 0.8% Mtlake Terrace City 19,990 20,090 20,160 20,530 21,090 21,090 1,100 2.0% 24,767 4,777 2.0% Mukilteo City 20,310 20,360 20,440 20,540 20,900 21,070 760 1.4% 21,812 1,502 0.6% Woodway Town 1,305 1,310 1,300 1,310 1,335 1,335 30 0.1% 1,389 84 0.0%

Unincorporated S.W. 172,919 176,033 179,933 186,521 194,677 201,632 28,713 51.4% 218,623 45,704 19.2%

UGA Total 595,713 600,852 608,251 617,641 632,801 646,521 50,808 91.0% 815,132 219,419 92.1% City Total 412,723 414,574 418,000 420,659 427,328 433,799 21,076 37.7% 578,994 166,271 69.8% Unincorporated UGA Total 182,990 186,278 190,251 196,982 205,473 212,722 29,732 53.2% 236,138 53,148 22.3%

Non-UGA Total 121,287 122,047 122,249 123,359 124,798 126,339 5,052 9.0% 140,125 18,838 7.9%(Uninc Rural/Resource Area)

County Total 717,000 722,900 730,500 741,000 757,600 772,860 55,860 100.0% 955,257 238,257 100.0%

(using Dec 13/2012 city boundaries)

Comparison of Annual Population Estimates with 2035 Population Targets for UGAs, Cities and the Rural/Resource Area(all population estimates and targets below are based on December 13, 2012 city boundaries)

2011-2016 Change 2011-2035 ChangePopulation Estimates


CPP 2035Reconciled

Pct of Total Pop Targets Pct of TotalArea 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Amount County Chng (Dec 13/12 bdys) Amount County Chng

SW County UGA Total 434,425 438,219 443,878 451,926 464,196 474,702 40,277 72.1% 582,035 147,610 62.0%

Incorporated SW County UGA Total 261,506 262,186 263,945 265,405 269,519 273,070 11,564 20.7% 363,413 101,907 42.8%

Unincorporated SW County UGA Total 172,919 176,033 179,933 186,521 194,677 201,632 28,713 51.4% 218,623 45,704 19.2%

Bothell Area 39,760 40,993 42,184 43,482 45,451 47,052 7,292 13.1% 53,117 13,357 5.6% Bothell City (part) 16,570 16,720 17,020 17,020 17,230 17,390 820 1.5% 23,510 6,940 2.9% Unincorporated MUGA 23,190 24,273 25,164 26,462 28,221 29,662 6,472 11.6% 29,607 6,418 2.7%

Brier Area 8,199 8,305 8,367 8,421 8,620 8,631 433 0.8% 9,327 1,128 0.5% Brier City 6,201 6,256 6,315 6,345 6,500 6,501 300 0.5% 6,972 771 0.3% Unincorporated MUGA 1,998 2,049 2,052 2,076 2,120 2,130 133 0.2% 2,354 356 0.1%

Edmonds Area 43,420 43,431 43,594 43,605 44,173 44,646 1,226 2.2% 49,574 6,155 2.6% Edmonds City 39,800 39,800 39,950 39,950 40,490 40,900 1,100 2.0% 45,550 5,750 2.4% Unincorporated MUGA 3,620 3,631 3,644 3,655 3,683 3,746 126 0.2% 4,024 405 0.2%

Everett Area 145,184 145,877 147,142 148,303 149,832 152,890 7,706 13.8% 211,968 66,784 28.0% Everett City 103,100 103,300 104,200 104,900 105,794 108,294 5,194 9.3% 164,812 61,712 25.9% Unincorporated MUGA 42,084 42,577 42,942 43,403 44,038 44,596 2,512 4.5% 47,156 5,072 2.1%

Lynnwood Area 63,327 63,599 64,351 66,121 68,335 69,962 6,635 11.9% 92,022 28,695 12.0% Lynnwood City 35,860 35,900 35,960 36,030 36,420 36,590 730 1.3% 54,404 18,544 7.8% Unincorporated MUGA 27,467 27,699 28,391 30,091 31,915 33,372 5,905 10.6% 37,617 10,150 4.3%

Mill Creek Area 54,747 55,635 57,020 59,106 62,404 65,045 10,298 18.4% 67,940 13,193 5.5% Mill Creek City 18,370 18,450 18,600 18,780 19,760 19,900 1,530 2.7% 20,196 1,826 0.8% Unincorporated MUGA 36,377 37,185 38,420 40,326 42,644 45,145 8,768 15.7% 47,744 11,367 4.8%

Mountlake Terrace Area 20,010 20,110 20,180 20,550 21,110 21,110 1,100 2.0% 24,797 4,787 2.0% Mountlake Terrace City 19,990 20,090 20,160 20,530 21,090 21,090 1,100 2.0% 24,767 4,777 2.0% Unincorporated MUGA 20 20 20 20 20 20 - 0.0% 30 10 0.0%

Mukilteo Area 32,545 32,670 32,877 33,468 34,770 35,454 2,910 5.2% 36,453 3,909 1.6% Mukilteo City 20,310 20,360 20,440 20,540 20,900 21,070 760 1.4% 21,812 1,502 0.6% Unincorporated MUGA 12,235 12,310 12,437 12,928 13,870 14,384 2,150 3.8% 14,641 2,407 1.0%

Woodway Area 1,305 1,310 1,300 1,310 1,335 1,335 30 0.1% 4,361 3,056 1.3% Woodway Town 1,305 1,310 1,300 1,310 1,335 1,335 30 0.1% 1,389 84 0.0% Unincorporated MUGA - - - - - - - 0.0% 2,972 2,972 1.2%

Paine Field Area (Unincorporated) - - - - - - - 0.0% - - 0.0%

Larch Way Overlap (Unincorporated) 3,370 3,410 3,716 3,952 4,056 4,256 886 1.6% 5,007 1,637 0.7%

Lake Stickney Gap (Unincorporated) 7,161 7,341 7,595 8,021 8,489 8,687 1,526 2.7% 9,786 2,625 1.1% Silver Firs Gap (Unincorporated) 15,398 15,538 15,551 15,586 15,620 15,634 236 0.4% 17,683 2,285 1.0%

County Total 717,000 722,900 730,500 741,000 757,600 772,860 55,860 100.0% 955,257 238,257 100.0%

Comparison of Annual Population Estimates with 2035 Population Targets for SWUGA Cities and Unincorporated MUGAs(all population estimates and targets below are based on December 13, 2012 city boundaries)

(using Dec 13/2012 city boundaries)

MUGA = Municipal Urban Growth Area.

Population Estimates 2011-2016 Change 2011-2035 Change

Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)

2011-16 2015-16Pop Chng Pop Chng

2011-16 Reconciled 2011-35 as % of 2015-35 as % ofNumeric 2035 Numeric 2011-35 Total Addtnl 2015-35Change CPP Pop Change Pop Chng 2035 Pop Cap Addtnl Pop Cap

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Pop No. Pct. 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 = (C) - (A) Target = (E) - (A) = (D)/(F)*100 Pop Cap = (G) - (B) = (C-B)/(H)*100

12,552 13,347 13,920 15,213 15,783 16,126 16,567 17,226 17,554 17,662 17,686 18,489 803 4.5% 18,489 18,512 18,791 18,881 19,026 19,166 677 26,002 7,512 9.0% 34,514 15,488 0.9%

2010 CensusPre-Census 2010 Population Estimates

Diff. (Census-Est)

Post-Census Pop Estimates

Table Pop-A. Arlington UGA Population Statistics

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-A. Arlington UGA Population

Total 2035 Reconciled Population Capacity Annual Population Estimates (pre-Census 2010) Annual Population Estimates (post-Census 2010)

2011-2035 Population Growth Target Projection 2015 Population Estimate 50% of 2015-2035 Addtnl Pop Capacity

Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




1,315 1,451 1,468 1,516 1,534 1,563 1,593 1,613 1,625 1,631 1,631 1,422 -209 -12.8% 1,420 1,420 1,425 1,426 1,429 1,431 11 2,161 741 1.4% 2,375 947 0.2%

Diff. (Census-Est)

Table Pop-B. Darrington UGA Population Statistics

Pre-Census 2010 Population Estimates 2010 Census Post-Census Pop Estimates

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-B. Darrington UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




2,782 2,792 2,817 2,836 2,828 2,833 2,883 2,961 3,013 2,959 2,990 2,923 -67 -2.3% 2,909 2,915 2,933 2,952 3,013 3,047 138 3,319 411 33.7% 3,333 320 10.7%

Pre-Census 2010 Population Estimates 2010 Census

Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-C. Gold Bar UGA Population Statistics

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-C. Gold Bar UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




2,497 2,688 2,909 3,063 3,158 3,207 3,242 3,348 3,446 3,487 3,489 3,511 22 0.6% 3,517 3,527 3,532 3,538 3,541 3,548 31 8,517 5,000 0.6% 8,695 5,154 0.1%


Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-D. Granite Falls UGA Population Statistics

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-D. Granite Falls UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




157 160 160 160 157 155 155 160 160 155 165 178 13 7.9% 180 180 180 180 160 165 -15 220 40 -37.6% 220 60 8.3%


Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-E. Index UGA Population Statistics

-

50

100

150

200

250

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-E. Index UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




25,096 26,120 26,828 27,672 28,366 28,560 29,174 29,898 30,664 31,359 32,930 32,896 -34 -0.1% 33,218 33,676 34,186 34,477 35,418 36,615 3,397 46,380 13,162 25.8% 48,397 12,979 9.2%


Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-F. Lake Stevens UGA Population Statistics

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-F. Lake Stevens UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




47,424 49,847 50,828 52,089 52,978 53,926 55,034 56,695 57,771 58,539 59,218 60,183 965 1.6% 60,869 61,574 62,314 62,816 64,361 65,164 4,295 87,798 26,929 16.0% 88,628 24,267 3.3%


Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-G. Marysville UGA Population Statistics

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-G. Marysville UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




15,364 15,741 16,240 16,729 17,047 17,499 17,751 17,945 18,217 18,383 18,318 18,781 463 2.5% 18,806 18,846 18,987 19,153 19,139 19,661 855 24,754 5,948 14.4% 25,611 6,472 8.1%


Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-H. Monroe UGA Population Statistics

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-H. Monroe UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




10,118 10,178 10,194 10,165 10,098 10,111 10,193 10,251 10,261 10,389 10,525 10,456 -69 -0.7% 10,559 10,576 10,579 10,643 10,786 11,049 490 14,494 3,935 12.5% 14,907 4,121 6.4%


Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-I. Snohomish UGA Population Statistics

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-I. Snohomish UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




4,318 4,369 4,479 4,582 4,753 5,046 5,483 5,746 5,981 6,121 6,237 6,364 127 2.0% 6,353 6,433 6,473 6,663 6,720 6,771 418 11,085 4,732 8.8% 11,608 4,888 1.0%


Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-J. Stanwood UGA Population Statistics

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-J. Stanwood UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




3,695 4,124 4,258 4,443 4,482 4,571 4,785 4,879 4,899 4,904 4,920 4,966 46 0.9% 4,969 4,975 4,974 4,986 5,014 5,204 235 8,369 3,399 6.9% 8,369 3,355 5.7%


Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-K. Sultan UGA Population Statistics

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-K. Sultan UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




369,869 375,964 380,579 384,715 388,722 396,053 406,285 414,187 419,659 424,050 427,543 432,020 4,477 1.0% 434,425 438,219 443,878 451,926 464,196 474,702 40,277 582,035 147,610 27.3% 642,150 177,954 5.9%


Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-L. Southwest County UGA Population Statistics

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

Popu

latio

n

Southwest County UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H)




495,187 506,783 514,680 523,185 529,906 539,648 553,145 564,909 573,250 579,640 585,653 592,321 6,668 1.1% 595,713 600,852 608,251 617,641 632,801 646,521 50,808 815,132 219,419 23.2% 888,806 256,004 5.4%


Diff. (Census-Est)


Table Pop-M. Total UGA Population Statistics

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-M. Total UGA Population



Population

(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F)

2011-16Pop Chng

2011-16 Reconciled 2011-35 as % ofNumeric 2035 Numeric 2011-35Change CPP Pop Change Pop Chng

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Pop No. Pct. 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 = (C) - (A) Target = (E) - (A) = (D)/(F)*100

110,837 111,817 113,320 114,315 114,893 116,152 118,655 121,391 123,349 124,660 125,390 121,014 -4,376 -3.5% 121,287 122,047 122,249 123,359 124,798 126,339 5,052 140,125 18,838 26.8%


Diff. (Census-Est)

Table Pop-N. Non-UGA Population Statistics


0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

Popu

latio

n

Figure Pop-N. Non-UGA Population

Annual Population Estimates (pre-Census 2010) Annual Population Estimates (post-Census 2010) 2011-2035 Population Growth Target Projection


City of Everett (Metropolitan City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate

2035 Reconciled Pop Target

2035 Reconciled Total Pop Capacity

2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate

2035 Reconciled HU Target

95,666 103,019 103,100 103,300 104,200 104,900 105,794 108,294 164,812 180,150 44,609 44,656 44,873 45,089 45,284 45,394 46,141 70,067

789 0.8% 2,975 2.2%

NOTES:2000-2010 population growth is depicted as a straight line.Estimates include PSRC revisions to year 2000 population estimates (dated May-14-2015).Estimates are based on December 13, 2012 city boundaries.Information on new housing units permitted was obtained from building permits issued by cities, and building permits issued by the county in areas annexed by cities between 2000 and 2012.

2000-2016 Annual Average Change

(#, %)2016-2035 Annual Average

Change (#, %)2016-2035 Annual Average Change (#)

1,259

90,000

100,000

110,000

120,000

130,000

140,000

150,000

160,000

170,000

180,000

190,000Population

Actual Reconciled CPP Target Projection 2035 Total Pop Cap

912

613

291360

516

876

414 387 395

179

58

235

118

492

211

357 401

1,259

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

New Housing Units Permitted


Core Cities (Bothell, Lynnwood)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


47,928 52,251 52,430 52,620 52,980 53,050 53,650 53,980 77,914 80,006 21,641 21,727 21,778 21,868 21,904 21,937 21,985 32,622

378 0.7% 1,260 2.0%


560




40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000

65,000

70,000

75,000

80,000

85,000Population


254

148

382

246 208293 256

181

55115 90 80 54 28 62

1,002

216

560

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200



City of Bothell (Core City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


14,002 16,415 16,570 16,720 17,020 17,020 17,230 17,390 23,510 25,602 6,702 6,780 6,817 6,901 6,907 6,925 6,953 9,782

212 1.4% 322 1.6%





149

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

24,000

26,000Population


204

4557

114

47

150

180

148

42

6680

50 48

1728

19

81

149

0

50

100

150

200

250



City of Lynnwood (Core City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


33,926 35,836 35,860 35,900 35,960 36,030 36,420 36,590 54,404 54,404 14,939 14,947 14,961 14,967 14,997 15,012 15,032 22,840

167 0.5% 938 2.1%





411

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000Population


50103

325

132 161 14376

33 1349

10 30 6 11 34

983

135

411

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200



Larger Cities (Arlington, Edmonds, Lake Stevens, Marysville, Mill Creek, Monroe, MtLk Terrace, Mukilteo)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


187,495 221,435 222,657 223,948 225,990 227,584 232,384 235,534 286,293 296,028 88,462 88,980 89,459 90,049 90,709 91,693 92,428 114,003

3,002 1.4% 2,672 1.0%


1,136




140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

240,000

260,000

280,000

300,000

320,000Population


2,4162,224

2,027 2,035

1,588

1,958

1,484 1,549

1,060885 838

661

944 829

1,156

600

1,391

1,136

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000



City of Arlington (Larger City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


12,307 17,926 17,966 17,988 18,270 18,354 18,484 18,614 24,937 33,089 6,929 6,931 6,956 7,068 7,093 7,093 7,096 9,654

394 2.6% 333 1.6%





135

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000Population


270 278 270

388

192

246 238

89

53 3910

54

98

17 3 4

141 135

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450



City of Edmonds (Larger City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


39,511 39,709 39,800 39,800 39,950 39,950 40,490 40,900 45,550 46,104 18,378 18,396 18,414 18,505 18,520 18,548 18,584 21,168

87 0.2% 245 0.6%





136

38,000

39,000

40,000

41,000

42,000

43,000

44,000

45,000

46,000

47,000Population


168148

184

109

313

156175

150 158

16

44

111

2737

105

58

122136

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350



City of Lake Stevens (Larger City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


21,486 28,069 28,210 28,510 28,960 29,170 29,900 30,900 39,340 39,340 10,414 10,470 10,583 10,712 10,784 10,908 11,205 14,883

588 2.3% 444 1.3%





194

20,000

22,000

24,000

26,000

28,000

30,000

32,000

34,000

36,000

38,000

40,000Population


356

151

232201

118

311283

325

225

457

184

89

233

81

142

192224

194

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500



City of Marysville (Larger City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


47,830 60,020 60,660 61,360 62,100 62,600 64,140 64,940 87,589 88,419 22,363 22,649 22,868 23,064 23,264 23,610 23,829 32,876

1,069 1.9% 1,192 1.6%





476

45,000

50,000

55,000

60,000

65,000

70,000

75,000

80,000

85,000

90,000Population


987

508

654

506 491

629

429

543

303242

414

285 262

532492

164

465 476

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200



City of Mill Creek (Larger City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


13,963 18,244 18,370 18,450 18,600 18,780 19,760 19,900 20,196 20,396 7,923 7,991 8,005 8,051 8,132 8,474 8,554 8,756

371 2.2% 16 0.1%





11

13,000

14,000

15,000

16,000

17,000

18,000

19,000

20,000

21,000Population


54

365

301

425

141

278

54

120 137

34 42 49

101

59

311

27

156

11 0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450



City of Monroe (Larger City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


14,019 17,304 17,351 17,390 17,510 17,660 17,620 18,120 22,102 22,102 5,306 5,326 5,359 5,357 5,392 5,404 5,491 6,526

256 1.6% 210 1.1%





54

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

22,000

24,000Population


146

105

7889

184

118

58

30

7 3

2313 21 23

58

28

6254

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200



City of Mountlake Terrace (Larger City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


20,378 19,909 19,990 20,090 20,160 20,530 21,090 21,090 24,767 24,767 8,602 8,643 8,684 8,689 8,883 8,992 8,990 10,928

45 0.2% 194 0.8%





102

18,000

19,000

20,000

21,000

22,000

23,000

24,000

25,000

26,000Population


33 35

78

3140 39 34 30

6 3

3345

160

41

17

104

46

102

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180



City of Mukilteo (Larger City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


18,001 20,254 20,310 20,360 20,440 20,540 20,900 21,070 21,812 21,812 8,547 8,574 8,590 8,603 8,641 8,664 8,679 9,211

192 1.0% 39 0.2%





28

17,000

17,500

18,000

18,500

19,000

19,500

20,000

20,500

21,000

21,500

22,000Population


204

332

98 88103

171155

98

27 29 22 1542 39 28 23

92

28

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350



Small Cities (Brier, Darrington, Gold Bar, Granite Falls, Index, Snohomish, Stanwood, Sultan, Woodway)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


29,674 34,439 34,536 34,706 34,830 35,125 35,500 35,991 49,975 49,975 13,922 13,983 14,041 14,118 14,234 14,338 14,522 19,878

395 1.2% 736 1.7%


282




20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

55,000Population


417

219 210 222

148

337

292

243

135139

8042

106

141

84

144

185

282

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450



City of Brier (Small City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


6,396 6,188 6,201 6,256 6,315 6,345 6,500 6,501 6,972 6,972 2,220 2,226 2,249 2,306 2,316 2,342 2,361 2,536

7 0.1% 25 0.4%





9

6,000

6,200

6,400

6,600

6,800

7,000

7,200Population


6

9

12

7

20

9

4

13

2

6

25

20

13

33

11 119

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35



Town of Darrington (Small City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


1,216 1,347 1,345 1,345 1,350 1,350 1,350 1,350 1,764 1,764 644 644 644 645 645 645 645 764

8 0.7% 22 1.4%





6

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

1,700

1,800Population


6

11

8

7

10

8

6

3

10

10

10 0

1

4

6

0

2

4

6

8

10

12



City of Gold Bar (Small City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


1,970 2,075 2,060 2,060 2,080 2,085 2,115 2,125 2,406 2,406 837 831 832 839 841 854 856 924

10 0.5% 15 0.7%





4

1,900

2,000

2,100

2,200

2,300

2,400

2,500Population


31

7 7

1

4

9

13

0

7

02

0 02

02

54

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35



City of Granite Falls (Small City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


2,406 3,364 3,370 3,380 3,385 3,390 3,390 3,395 7,624 7,624 1,344 1,348 1,351 1,352 1,356 1,358 1,358 3,090

62 2.2% 223 4.3%





91

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000Population


116

26

63

1923

15

4659

0 2 2 3 28

1 1

24

91

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140



Town of Index (Small City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


155 178 180 180 180 180 160 165 220 220 116 117 117 117 117 117 117 127

1 0.4% 3 1.5%





1

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

230Population


0 0 0 0

1

0

4

1

0 0

2

0 0 0 0 0

1 1

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5



City of Snohomish (Small City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


9,060 9,098 9,200 9,215 9,220 9,270 9,385 9,625 12,139 12,139 3,959 4,013 4,017 4,019 4,040 4,085 4,176 5,204

35 0.4% 132 1.2%





54

8,000

8,500

9,000

9,500

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

12,000

12,500

13,000Population


38 37

6

42

32

63

55

34

8175

29

7

17

55

41

75

43

54

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90



City of Stanwood (Small City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


4,219 6,231 6,220 6,300 6,340 6,530 6,585 6,635 10,116 10,116 2,584 2,586 2,608 2,620 2,695 2,704 2,716 4,179

151 2.9% 183 2.2%





77

3,500

4,500

5,500

6,500

7,500

8,500

9,500

10,500Population


8673

45

130

11198

151

106

4149

33

7

61 59

012

6677

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160



City of Sultan (Small City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


3,312 4,651 4,655 4,660 4,660 4,665 4,680 4,860 7,345 7,345 1,752 1,752 1,756 1,756 1,758 1,764 1,823 2,581

97 2.4% 131 2.2%





40

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500Population


113

4355

1521

157

7

34

010 5 0 0 0

7

4232

40

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180



Town of Woodway (Small City)

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


940 1,307 1,305 1,310 1,300 1,310 1,335 1,335 1,389 1,389 466 466 467 464 466 469 470 472

25 2.2% 3 0.2%





0.1

900

950

1,000

1,050

1,100

1,150

1,200

1,250

1,300

1,350

1,400Population


21

13 14

37

14

2

65

2 1 0 0

5 42

0

8

0.10

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40



Unincorporated UGA

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate



2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


135,760 181,278 182,990 186,278 190,251 196,982 205,473 212,722 236,138 282,646 69,265 70,120 71,406 73,102 75,837 77,428 79,058 93,955

4,810 2.8% 1,232 0.6%

NOTES:2000-2010 population growth is depicted as a straight line.Estimates include PSRC revisions to year 2000 population estimates (dated May-14-2015).Estimates are based on December 13, 2012 city boundaries.Information on new housing units permitted was obtained from building permits issued by the county, excluding building permits issued by the county in areas annexed by cities between 2000 and 2012.




784

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

220,000

240,000

260,000

280,000

300,000Population


2,154

1,863

1,608 1,555

2,033

2,392 2,284

1,838

930 858 1,009

1,406

2,254 2,313

1,648 1,755 1,744

784

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000



Unincorporated Rural/Resource Areas

2000 Pop Census

2010 Pop Census

2011 Pop Estimate

2012 Pop Estimate

2013 Pop Estimate

2014 Pop Estimate

2015 Pop Estimate

2016 Pop Estimate


2010 HU Census

2011 HU Estimate

2012 HU Estimate

2013 HU Estimate

2014 HU Estimate

2015 HU Estimate

2016 HU Estimate


109,500 121,014 121,287 122,047 122,249 123,359 124,798 126,339 140,125 48,760 48,973 49,158 49,375 49,670 49,954 55,816 55,816

1,020 0.9% 766 0.6%

NOTES:2000-2010 population growth is depicted as a straight line.Estimates include PSRC revisions to year 2000 population estimates (dated May-14-2015).Information on new housing units permitted was obtained from building permits issued by the county in areas outside UGA.


(#, %)293

2015-2035 Adopted Annual Average Change (#, %)

2015-2035 Adopted Annual Average

Change (#)

105,000

110,000

115,000

120,000

125,000

130,000

135,000

140,000

145,000Population

Actual Reconciled CPP Target Projection

853 867828

878970

1111

977

829

398

211270

217271

340 333415

611

293

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200


snohomish county gma population growth projection …

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