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Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

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Page 1: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Social capital and Human Development:

Measure and Policy

Yann Algan (Sciences Po)

Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Page 2: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Introduction

• Should we care about social capital ? Strong evidence of a relationship between trust / social capital and favorable outcomes: income, happiness, health, social cohesion….

• Do we have adequate measures ? • Subjective surveys are crude and imperfect measures of

cooperative behavior and social capital. • What are the important component: Trust in others or

institutions ? Social interactions? Weak or Strong social ties ?

• Public policy: If social capital is key, how could public policy build it ?Focus here on public institutions and education

Page 3: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Role of Trust / Social capital• Foundations: Banfield (1958), Coleman (1990), Putnam (1993, 2000)

Measures in terms of norms, networks, ties, group membership

• More restrictive (operational?) approach in economics: • Guiso et al. (2010): “Set of shared beliefs and values that help a group to overcome the

free rider problem in the pursuit of socially valuable activities”

• Measures with subjective surveys questions (GSS, WVS…)• Ex. Trust question: “Generally speaking, would you say that most people can be

trusted, or you can’t be too careful in dealing with others”• Advantage: available for large samples

I – Should we care ?

Page 4: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Role of Trust / Social capital

• Early results on Growth: La Porta et al. (1997), Knack and Keefer (1997)• Economic outcomes:

• Finance and Trade: Guiso et al (2004, 2009), • Economic Development: Algan-Cahuc (2010)• Firms organization and Innovation: Bloom et al (QJE, 2012)

• Institutional outcomes: Tabellini (2008), Aghion et al (2010)• Happiness: Zak et al.(2004), Helliwell (2009) • Inter-generational Mobility and Inequalities

- Equality of opportunity: Chetty et al. (2014), Putnam et al. (2012)Social capital index: voter tun-out and participation in community organization

- Early childhood intervention on social skills training: Algan et al. (2014)

Page 5: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

• Strong evidence of a relationship between trust and growth« Arrow (1972): ”Virtually every commercial transaction has within itself an element of trust. It 

can be plausibly argued that much of the economic backwardness in the world can be explained by the lack of mutual confidence." 

Page 6: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

The pitfalls of traditional measures

Declarative surveys with questions like “Trust” raise many concerns- Polysemy and very vague questions: who are the others ?

- What do we measure: Beliefs? Preferences? Risk aversion?

- Impossible to distinguish various social attitudes: altruism, reciprocity, social image..

- Subjective declaration – No Real Behavior of Cooperation!

II – Do we have good measures?

Page 7: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Lessons from Experimental economics

• Experimental games in the lab (Fehr, 2009) - Behavioral measure: “An individual trusts if he or she voluntary places resources at the

disposal of another party without any legal commitment from the latter, but with the expectation that the act of trust will pay off”. Coleman (1990) and Fehr (2009)

- Experimental tasks (ex. trust games) to elicit Behaviors

- Various protocols to measure the variety of social preferences: reciprocity, fairness, altruism, beliefs versus preferences, risk aversion

• Main conclusions:• Trust question is weakly correlated with true cooperative behavior

Glaeser et al. (2000), Gambetta (2010)• Pledge for looking at behaviors not just opinions !

• But one main limit: in the lab without representative samples

Page 8: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Experimental game in the Lab : example Trust Game- 2 individuals: trustor and trustee- Investor/Trustor get endowment 10 $- Investor can send any amount of the endowment to the trustee:

(measure of trust)- Amount sent multiplied by scalar (ex 3)- Trustee can send back any amount: (measure of trustworthiness)

Page 9: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Program for International Assessment of Social Attitudes • SociaLab in the field: observe the level of trust and cooperation among

citizens

• Example: Analysis of cooperation within Wikipedia or OSS: Algan et al. (2014)

• Different scenario of interactions to elicit trust towards specific groups and trust in government in the population

• Comparison of cooperative behaviors at the very local level or across countries with representative internet panels

+ Survey questions

Proposition

Page 10: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Figure: The instruction screen of the Public Goods game

Page 11: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Figure: Earnings calculator for the Public Goods and Trust games

(i) Public Goods game (ii) Trust game

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III – CAN PUBLIC POLICY BOOST SOCIAL CAPITAL ?

• But if trust / social capital is key: which policy could boost them?

• Two main messages:

- Public policy should care about social capital

- How can we improve current policy evaluation ?

Page 14: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Why public policy should care about social capital ?

• Growing evidence of a relationship between institutions and social capital: ex. transparency …

• Efficiency/Fairness of institutions depend on social capital• Ex.: negative impact of deregulation on social

capital in transition economies : Aghion et al (2010)• Propositions:• Measure social capital prior to policy decision• Measure the impact of policy reforms on social

capital with focus groups

• Specific care in the fairness of the policy design: Ex. taxes (Minnesotta experiment)

Page 15: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014
Page 16: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

The Side effects of Deregulation in Low Social capital environment: ex of Transition Economies

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Which policy could boost social capital ?

• Here: Role of Education

- Strong relationship between teaching practices and social capital across countries, schools, students: Algan al. (2014)

- Opposition between horizontal and vertical practices

- Proposition: include teaching practices and social skills questions and experiments in PISA

Page 21: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

Teaching practices and trust

Page 22: Social capital and Human Development: Measure and Policy Yann Algan (Sciences Po) Strategic Forum Rome, 22-23 September, 2014

APPENDIX Developing Mental Models in Early ChildhoodEx.: Montreal Longitudinal Study

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Channel of Impact during Adolescence : Switch in mental model: Trust and Perspective taking