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TRANSCRIPT
Social Capital, Civic Engagement and Institutional Performance in
Sweden: An Analysis of the Swedish Regions
by Henry Milner and Svante Ersson
Visiting Professor, Department of Political Science, Umeå University, Sweden
Department of Political Science, Umeå University, SE-901 87 Umeå, Sweden
Paper prepared for the ECPR Joint Sessions of Workshops, University of
Copenhagen, 14-19 April 2000.
Workshop 13: Voluntary Associations, Social Capital and Interest Mediation: Forging
the Link
Directors: Marc Hooghe and Dietlind Stolle
Abstract:
In this analysis of social capital in Swedish regions (counties), we begin by replicating Putnam's 1993
study of Italian regions using Swedish data aggregated by the level of county. The primary purpose of
the study is to see whether and in what form the kind of relationships between civic engagement/social
capital and institutional performance identified in relatively low social-capital Italy by Putnam and his
associates can be found in a high social-capital society like Sweden. What can we learn both about
Swedish society and about the usefulness of social capital as an explanatory variable? Our main finding
is that social capital tends to be found in the less developed regions. In the concluding section we
speculate on what these changes imply about the effects of social capital in "post-modernizing"
societies like Sweden and the United States.
The dependent variable of our model is institutional performance at the regional/county level for the
1990s. The crucial independent variable is civic engagement or social capital, measured at three
different periods of time, i.e. the 1970s, the 1980s and the 1990s. In order to control for the impact of
other factors the model also includes a number of contextual variables such as regional product per
capita, tax capacity, and socialist voting strength. We make use of data collected at the municipal level
by government agencies (e.g., election data, library lending, tax capacity) and local organisations
(participation in study circles, church attendance, etc), as well as survey data collected by Statistics
Sweden for individuals and reported as aggregates for the regional level (e.g. labour force and living
conditions surveys).
2
1. Introduction
Though James Coleman brought the concept of social capital into the mainstream of
contemporary social science, it was its application by Robert Putnam that gained
social capital both wide public attention and a central place in political science. It
began with his pathbreaking study of Italian regions in Making Democracy Work in
1993,1 followed up two years later by an investigation focusing on the effect of social
capital on economic growth in the Italian regions (Putnam and Helliwell, 1995).
Around this time, he began to publish a series of articles enquiring into the
"disappearence" of social capital in the United States (Putnam, 1995, 1995a, 1996).
In his study of the 20 Italian regions, Putnam's approach was cross-sectional, using
primarily aggregate data to arrive at the connection between institutional performance
and differences in levels of civic engagement. (From these empirical findings, he drew
the link between civic engagement and the concept of social capital as it had been
suggested by Coleman.) In contrast, when he applied the concept of social capital to a
longitudinal analysis of the United States, he based his findings primarily on
individual-level survey-based indicators of a decline in trust, organizational
participation and interest in politics.
While both series of studies understand social capital as civic engagement and
interpersonal trust, there is a significant differrence in their approach: the cross-
sectional study relying on aggregate data focuses on the positive impact of social
capital on the performance of societal institutions, while the longitudinal one based
upon individual-level data is concerned with factors contributing to a decline in the
stock of social capital over time. These approaches are interrelated in that declining
social capital will, over time, have an impact on society; yet, given the methodological
differences, from an analytical point of view, it is useful to keep the distinction
between the two approaches in mind when analysing social capital.
We shall attempt to do so in this analysis of social capital in Swedish regions
(counties), part of which replicates Putnam's 1993 study of Italian regions. The
primary purpose of the study is to see whether and in what form the kind of
relationships between civic engagement/social capital and institutional performance
identified in relatively low social-capital Italy by Putnam and his associates can be
found in a high social-capital society like Sweden. We also identify changes in the
interrelationship among the specific indicators of social capital over the last three
decades of the 20th
century in Swedish regions. In the concluding section we speculate
on what these changes imply about the effects of social capital in "post-modernizing"
societies like Sweden and the United States.
2. The Literature on Social Capital since Putnam
We can characterize the data used in studies that have followed upon Putnam's work
as falling into 4 categories: aggregate regional-level data; aggregate national-level
data; individual longitudinal level, as well as a miscellaneous category. Below we
identify some of the main studies in each category.
1 In fact, many of his ideas were presented earlier, in a little-known article (Putnam, 1983).
3
1) We are aware of several studies following Putnam (1993) using aggregate regional-
level data aiming at testing the relationship between civic engagement/social capital
and some kind of institutional performance: US states (Rice and Sumberg 1997;
Kawachi et al. 1997), Indian states (Serra 1998), German local governments (Cussack
1999), Swiss cantons (Freitag 1999). In general they tend to find support for the
positive impact of social capital.
2) The relationship between various forms of capital and economic growth has been
studied by economists over a long time. By introducing average levels of interpersonal
trust as an indicator of social capital, Putnam opened up the way to an analysis of the
impact of social capital on economic growth taken up by Knack and Keefer (1997),
Granato et al (1996), Jackman and Miller (1996), Inglehart (1997), Helliwell (1996),
and Whiteley (1999). While there has not quite been a consensus on the positive
impact of social capital, it remains a focus of interest (Knack 1999).
3) Putnam's use of individual level longitudinal data has given rise to a debate about
the decline of social capital in the United States and reasons for that. Putnam's thesis
has been tested and sometimes contested both with respect to his diagnosis as well as
his explanations for that decline by Norris (1996), Fukuyama (1999), Paxton (1999),
Greeley (1997), Uslaner (1998) and Ladd (1996).
4) A number of studies has been undertaken using various kinds of data - mostly
survey data - and applying various proxy indicators of social capital in different
settings. Examples include studies of social capital in Central America (Seeligson
1999), in Sweden (Stolle 1999), in the USA (Uslaner 1998) as well as in Canada
(Johnston and Soroka 1999).
3. Studies of Social Capital in Sweden
Before Making Democracy Work, there were no published studies of social capital in
the Swedish context that we are aware of. But when it comes to the substance behind
the concept of social capital - civic engagement and its relationship to democratic
politics - there is indeed a tradition of research going back at least to the 1950s, a
tradition built upon in recent work, such as Rothstein (1998). Rothstein sets out what
social capital represents in the Swedish context, discussing declining confidence in
political institutions, the demise of popular movements in contemporary society and
the increasing importance of social networks accompanied by an increase in
interpersonal trust. Studies looking at political implications of developments linked to
social capital include Bennich-Björkman (1999), Aspers (1999) and Wijkström
(1999).
The Democracy Audits, conducted yearly since 1995, have in certain respects also
been inspired by Putnam's analysis of social capital (Rothstein et al. 1995, Petersson et
al. 1998); likewise many of the studies published under the auspices of the
Commission of Inquiry for the Study of Democracy set up in 1997 and chaired by
former education minister Bengt Göransson (e.g., Stubbegard 1999, Lindgren 1999,
Larsson 1999). In addition, Swedish researchers in disciplines like regional science,
human geography and economics have been focusing on the potential positive
implications of social capital on economic and social development especially in
peripheral areas of society. Social capital has been associated with entrepreneurial
spirit, specifically, Gnosjöandan, the spirit of the region of Gnosjö (Berggren et al.
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1998). Social capital has also been associated with a social economy relying on the
non-profit or co-operative sector of the economy (Olsson et al. 1998). Researchers
associated with the Swedish Institute for Regional Research (SIR) have identified the
new wave of rural community organizing (Bygderörelsen) with social capital in the
sparsely populated areas of Sweden (Herlitz 1998, 1999; Forsberg and Westlund
1999).
If civic engagement through participation in voluntary organizations is understood as
one major component of social capital, then social capital has undeniably played an
important role in the development of democracy in Sweden. In fact, it has entered
official rhetoric with the terms 'popular movement democracy' (folkrörelsedemokrati)
and 'study circle democracy' (studiecirkelsdemokrati) that have been used to depict
democracy in Sweden (Johansson, I 1987, Johansson, H. 1993). And, indeed, popular
movements or voluntary organizations were crucial during the process of formation
and consolidation of democracy in Sweden (Heckscher 1949, Johansson, H. 1952,
Lundkvist 1977), and in the development and definition of the "Swedish model"
(Elvander 1969, 1988, Pestoff 1977, Milner 1989). Hence the problems faced by the
popular movements in the welfare society (Engberg 1986) are seen as reflecting a
challenge to the Swedish model (Petersson 1991, Micheletti 1995). Clearly, studying
trends relating to social capital - whether or not one accepts Putnam's
conceptualization - is part of understanding the relationship between civic engagement
and socio-economic development fundamental to explanations of Swedish society
yesterday, today and tomorrow.
4. The Research Question, Data and Model
In attempting to replicate the Putnam's 1993 study of Italian regions using Swedish
data aggregated by the level of county, our primary objective is to enquire into the
relationship between civic engagement/social capital and institutional performance.
What can we learn both about Swedish society and about the usefulness of social
capital as an explanatory variable? We begin with an overview of the data to be
employed for these purposes.
a) The Data
The regional unit for data analysis that we employ is the county/län (N=24). In the last
few years there have been reorganizations at the regional level with the result that as
of 1998 there were only 21 counties. We thus limit ourselves to data no more recent
than 1995 or 1996, except in cases where post-1998 data could be recalculated for the
24.
Basing our analysis on regional level data means that we rely essentially on two kinds
of sources. On the one hand we have data collected at the municipal level by
government agencies (e.g., election data, library lending, tax capacity) or local
organisations (participation in study circles, church attendance, etc); on the other hand
we use survey data collected by SCB (Statistics Sweden) for individuals and reported
as aggregates for the regional level (e.g. Labour Force Surveys data from AKU
[Arbetskraftsundersökningarna;], Living Condition Surveys data from ULF
[Undersökningarna av levnadsförhållanden]).
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b) The Basic Model
The dependent variable of this model is institutional performance at the
regional/county level for the 1990s. The crucial independent variable is civic
engagement or social capital, measured at three different periods of time, i.e. the
1970s, the 1980s and the 1990s. In order to control for the impact of other factors the
model also includes a number of contextual variables such as regional product per
capita, tax capacity, and socialist voting strength.
c) Operationalization of the Core Variables
We begin with an overview from the literature of how these variables have been
operationalized. Social capital is understood as composed of a number of core
characteristics: civic engagement, political equality, solidarity, trust and tolerance, as
well as social structures of cooperation. It is operationalized by Putnam as an index
combining four variables as aggregate indicators for the Italian regions: preference
voting 1953-79, referendum turnout 1974-87, newspaper readership 1975, and scarcity
of sports and cultural associations 1981 (Putnam 1993: 96). His dependent variable is
an institutional performance index combining twelve sperate indicators (Putnam 1993:
75).
Most studies using aggregate regional level data have followed Putnam fairly closely
when operationalizing social capital and institutional performance. Social capital is
represented by measures of newspaper reading and organizational density, as well as
the percentage of people displaying interpersonal trust or having contacts with
neighbours (Rice and Sumberg 1997: 105, Serra 1998: 27, Freitag 1999: 7, Cussack
1999: 17). Institutional performance has been oprationalized as reflecting policy
liberalism, policy innovation and adminstrative effectiveness (Rice and Sumberg
1997: 109) as well as citizen satisfaction, health expenditure and human development
or unemployment levels (Cussack 1999: 15, Serra 1998: 33, Freitag 1999: 3-4).
Turning to our own operationalization of social capital, we have assembled available
data from various sources for indicators capturing civic engagement (political activity,
study circle participation, newspaper reading, library lending) trust (contacts with
neighbours) and structures of cooperation (sports organizations per capita). In doing
so, we use both aggregate-level data and self-reported individual-level data aggregated
to the regional level. Among the former are library lending per capita (LIB), number
of sport organisations per 1000 population (SPORT), number of participants in study
circles per 1000 population (STUDYC), and newspaper reading per 100 households
(NEWSP). Among the latter are percentage reading a daily newspaper (DAILY),
percentage having contacts with their neighbours (NEIG) and percentage active in
party politics (POLACT).
What we term institutional performance captures both performance and outcomes,
with variables measuring economic dynamism, state outputs and citizen
dissatisfaction. Among these are indicators of citizen dissatisfaction with public
services (AGGIND), output of local government services (TOT95), population change
1990-98 (POPCH), proportion of newly established businesses (NEWBU) and change
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in total salaries paid from 1990 to 1998 (SAL9098). We also have indicators of the
overall regional level of health as reported to the National Insurance Board (UNHEA).
Finally, we introduce the following variables capturing various social and political
contextual factors which the literature suggests may impact on the relationship
between social capital and institutional performance:
a) wealth (gross regional product per capita [BRP], tax capacity per capita [TAXP] salary
level per capita [SAL]);
b) religion (church attendance [CHATT], membership in free churches [FREE]);
c) political cleavage (social democratic vote and left (communist) party vote [SVOTE,
VVOTE]);
d) political issue orientation in relation to referendums: (support line 3, early end to nuclear
power [LINE3] 1980; and no vote to entry into the EU [EUNO], 1994);
e) labour market situation (percentage of the labour force employed [EMP], as well as
unemployed [UNEM]);
f) demographic factor: population distribution (proportion living in sparsely populated
areas [SPARSE], population density [DENS], population size - natural logarithm
[LNPOP]), pluralism (proportion of foreign citizens [FORCIT]), and life expectancy for
men and women [LIFEM, LIFEW]);
g) a dummy variable capturing the north-south dimension (the five northern counties X, Y,
Z, AC , BD is valued at 1 and all others at 0 [NORTH]).
5. Mapping Institutional Performance and Social Capital over time in Sweden
Before breaking the data down by regions, we provide an overview of social capital
and institutional performance for Sweden as a whole over the last three decades, using
data from a few selected indicators to identify longitudinal trends.
a) Social Capital Indicators:
Given that civic engagement through voluntary organizations has long been seen as a
major component of social capital in Sweden, we begin by tracing membership in
these organizations. In Table 1 estimated membership data for several of the major
organizations is aggregated according to the typology suggested by Engberg (1986:
389): economic, ideological, identity and interaction. Economic associations
(ECONORG) include find trade unions and farmer's associations; the main ideological
associations (INTEORG) are the temperance and free churches movements; the most
common interaction associations (IDEAORG) are those involved with sports; while
identity type associations (IDENTORG) are linked to human characteristics like
gender or ethnicity.
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Table 1. Popular movement membership 1900-1997 (per 1000 population)
YEAR ECONORG INTEORG IDEAORG IDENTORG
1900 8,4 , 86,4 ,4
1910 15,4 10,0 108,3 ,5
1920 38,6 18,5 94,7 ,8
1930 119,2 30,1 88,7 1,0
1940 296,7 63,6 89,6 6,1
1950 415,3 111,9 76,4 17,8
1960 433,5 169,9 80,2 25,2
1970 410,8 259,7 66,3 124,4
1980 510,2 270,5 61,1 158,1
1990 461,7 291,0 54,4 125,6
1997 442,3 282,6 46,1 170,1
Yearly
change: 5.6 3.8 -.5 1.9
Sources: Based upon data reported in Johansson, H. (1954, 1970, 1980), Civildepartementet
(1993), Kulturdepartementet (1999) as well as various issues of Statistisk Årsbok
(=Statistical yearbook)
The first important organizations formed were the ideological ones, but, as we see in
Table 1, they peaked very early and then declined steadily. The major type of
organisation - despite some slippage in the last two decades - remains the economic
one, its decline only partially compensated by a rise in identity-type associations. If -
as in Table 2 - we look in greater detail at membership development for the major
popular movements (based on estimates from survey data) we find less in the way of
any general trends, since the figures tend to oscillate over time. (Note the change in
the largest category, the trade unions, between 1996 and 1997.) There is only one
category for which there is a definitive rise in membership, that of pensioners'
organizations, while a clear decline in membership is evident for the political parties
and the temperance movement.
Table 2. Popular movements: membership 1976-1997 (per 100 population) 1976 1978 1984 1987 1992 1996 1997
Trade unions 52 49 - 60 62 62 55
Sports organiz 26 26 35 36 33 32 32
Consumers org 30 28 35 36 32 31 42
Housing organ 23 21 31 28 27 25 33
Political parties 14 13 16 15 11 11 8
Environmental 8 4 6 8 9 8 7
Pensioners 5 4 5 7 9 9 9
Parents org 13 11 9 10 8 8 10
Temperance movem 3 - - 3 2 2 2
Immigrants org 1 1 2 2 1 1 1
Sources: 1976: SCB (1980a); 1978: SCB (1984); 1984: (SCB 1986a); 1987: (Blomberg et al
1989); 1992 (SCB 1994a); 1996: (Eurenius 1996); 1997: (Petersson et al. 1998)
Table 3 displays another series of social capital indicators associated with civic
engagement. When measured by hours spent, the trend is toward increased activity in
study circles and trade union membership - as well as TV-viewing, though, as Putnam
(1995a) would insist, this is hardly an expression of increasing civic engagement.
8
Party membership has been going down and this is also true for the reading of daily
newspapers and newspaper copies distributed per household.
Table 3. Civic engagement indicators over time: 1970-1998
YEAR PARTY- TU LIB STUDYC- DAILY DAILY TV
MEMB MEMB HOURS NEWSP NEWS
READ CIRC
1970 , , , 667,12 , 165,1 ,
1971 , , , 741,96 , 165,5 ,
1972 , , , 817,69 , 155,1 ,
1973 , , , 861,62 , 156,4 ,
1974 , , , 994,74 , 157,1 ,
1975 , , , 1102,58 , 158,1 ,
1976 13,6 79,0 9,1 1198,52 , 159,4 ,
1977 , 81,0 9,4 1317,29 , 147,0 ,
1978 13,2 80,5 9,5 1338,97 , 114,7 ,
1979 14,2 83,0 9,4 1312,90 74 146,0 76
1980 14,5 82,0 9,4 1242,76 74 146,2 79
1981 13,3 84,0 9,4 1040,49 74 145,3 74
1982 14,1 84,0 9,5 987,39 74 137,6 78
1983 15,0 84,5 9,6 1049,10 75 137,5 76
1984 15,7 84,5 9,3 1071,09 74 136,9 75
1985 14,5 84,5 9,1 1103,97 75 137,5 76
1986 13,4 84,5 8,8 1173,73 75 139,0 75
1987 13,1 84,0 8,8 1193,25 76 132,9 80
1988 13,0 84,5 8,6 1180,30 76 130,3 76
1989 12,3 83,5 8,5 1197,39 72 134,2 76
1990 11,4 82,5 8,2 1326,89 74 133,6 79
1991 10,3 82,0 8,1 1249,65 73 125,6 79
1992 11,1 83,5 8,2 1251,38 71 124,5 80
1993 9,8 85,0 8,3 1336,42 73 119,3 84
1994 8,9 84,5 8,4 1384,41 73 116,5 85
1995 , , 8,7 , 71 114,6 84
1996 , , 9,2 1353,01 71 108,2 84
1997 , , 9,1 1393,35 72 106,7 84
1998 , , 9,1 1407,05 75 105,2 86
Yearly
change:-.3 .2 -.0 18.1 -.1 -1.9 .5
Notes and sources: PARTYMEMB = Party membership as % of electorate, (Widfeldt 1997:
123); TUMEMB = Trade union membership as % of employed (SCB 1996: 86); LIB =
library lending per inhabitant, (SCB Statistiska meddelanden various issues series U and Ku,
Bakgrundsmaterial om kultur); STUDYCHOURS = study circle participation in hours per
1000 population, (Statens kulturråd 1981, and various issues of SCB Statistiska meddelanden
series U and Ku); DAILY NEWSP READ = % of population daily reading a morning
newspaper, Nordicom (1999); DAILY NEWS CIRC = circulation of daily newpspapers per
100 population, (Tidningsstatistik 1999); TV = % of population daily viewing TV,
(Nordicom 1999).
To sum up the three tables: there as been a substantial long-term increase in civic
engagement in Sweden, but the trend has become more mixed in recent decades with,
apparently, more indicators displaying a decline than a rise. We now turn to indicators
of institutional performance and outcomes.
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b) Institutional Performance
The selection of performance and outcome indicators over time must of course be
somewhat arbitrary. We have chosen to include in Table 4:
Economic indicators: GDP per capita compared to the OECD average [PPP],
unemployment [UNEM], income distribution [GINI], general government current
revenues per GDP [CURRE],
Non-economic indicators: rates of life satisfaction (proportion agreeing that Sweden is a
very good country to live in [LIFES]), infant mortality [INFMO], suicide rates for men
[SUICI], life expectancy for women [LIFE]) and gender equality (female salaries as a per
cent of male salaries in the state sector [FEMSAL]).
Table 4. Performance/outcome indicators over time: 1970-98
YEAR PPP UNEM GINI CURRE LIFES INFMO SUICI LIFE FEMSAL
1970 113 1,5 , 46,6 , 11,00 31,3 80,45 ,
1971 111 2,5 , 49,4 , 11,09 28,5 80,59 ,
1972 109 2,7 , 49,5 , 10,82 29,4 80,60 ,
1973 108 2,5 , 47,7 , 9,87 29,5 80,88 81
1974 111 2,0 , 48,8 60 9,56 28,7 80,98 82
1975 114 1,6 ,233 50,5 68 8,63 27,7 80,99 83
1976 111 1,6 ,241 55,1 67 8,32 26,6 81,10 84
1977 106 1,8 ,231 58,0 57 8,05 28,3 91,60 86
1978 104 2,2 ,214 57,5 60 7,80 26,3 81,61 87
1979 105 2,1 ,211 56,4 56 7,49 28,3 81,76 87
1980 107 2,0 ,206 56,3 50 6,91 27,6 81,86 88
1981 106 2,5 ,203 57,6 55 6,94 24,6 82,10 89
1982 108 3,2 ,209 57,8 52 6,85 27,8 82,38 90
1983 108 3,5 ,210 59,5 62 7,04 27,3 82,68 90
1984 109 3,1 ,220 59,0 54 6,40 27,4 82,82 92
1985 108 2,9 ,221 59,5 58 6,76 25,0 82,71 91
1986 108 2,7 ,230 60,4 68 5,93 27,1 82,98 91
1987 108 2,1 ,221 62,1 , 6,12 26,0 83,12 90
1988 107 1,8 ,221 61,6 , 5,82 26,4 82,99 90
1989 106 1,5 ,244 63,7 , 5,77 26,8 83,64 89
1990 105 1,7 ,246 63,3 , 5,96 24,1 83,35 88
1991 101 2,9 ,261 60,3 , 6,15 24,3 83,56 85
1992 96 5,3 ,252 59,5 55 5,35 21,9 83,72 84
1993 93 8,2 ,257 58,8 44 4,84 22,2 83,59 83
1994 93 8,0 ,288 57,9 46 4,45 21,4 84,29 83
1995 97 , ,256 57,8 41 4,15 21,5 84,23 83
1996 96 , ,267 62,1 42 3,96 20,0 84,38 83
1997 95 , ,290 61,2 52 3,62 , 84,57 83
1998 , , , 63,0 53 , , , 84
Yearly
change:-.6 .1 .003 .5 -.7 -.2 -.3 .12 -.0
Notes and sources: PPP = Swedish ppp per/capita as % of OECD average, (OECD 1999a);
UNEM = unemploymen rate commonly defined, (OECD 1986, 1999b); GINI = income
distribution, (SCB 1999a; Björklund 1992: 45); CURRE = current receipt of general
government as % of GDP, (OECD 1986, 1999b); LIFES =% of sample agreeing that it is
very good to live in Sweden, (Stütz 1987, 1999); INFMO = infant mortality rate, (SCB
1998a); SUICI = sucide rate for men per 1000 population, (SCB 1999b); LIFE = life
expectancy for women, (SCB 1998a); FEMSAL = female salaries as a per cent of male
salaries in the state sector, (SCB 1997b, Arbetslivsinstitutet 1999).
10
As we can see, there has been a certain deterioration in economic performance since
the 1970s. Not surprisingly hence, and despite improvements in life expentancy,
infant mortality, and suicide rates, the proportion of people agreeing that Sweden is a
very good country to live in has decreased significantly over time.
To sum up, this brief overview suggests that there are no distinctive longitudinal
trends linking social capital, institututional performance or institutional outcomes.
What about the spatial pattern at the regional level in Sweden? Can we detect any
such trends? We turn to this issue in the next section.
6. Social Capital and Institutional Performance at the Regional Level
In this section we investigate the relationship between social capital and institutional
performance in the 24 Swedish regions. (A map of the regions is provided in
Appendix 1.)
a) Social Capital in the Swedish Regions
The first task is to identify regional variation in social capital. As we have noted, the
mainstream conceptualization of social capital combines civic engagement and
interpersonal trust. Our indicators of civic engagement include participation in
political parties (POLACT), number of sport organisations per 1000 population
(SPORT) and newspaper reading/circulation (DAILY/NEWSP). The best indicator of
interpersonal trust avaiable by region is frequency of contacts with neighbours
(NEIG). These four indicators are combined to create a Social Capital Index (SOCAP)
for each period. As we can see in Table 5, for the three periods of time - mid-1970s,
mid-1980s, mid-1990s - the four indicators fit into factor analyses arriving at a one-
factor solution, meaning that only one factor has an eigenvalue > 1 and the other
factors eigenvalues < 1.
Table 5: Factor-analyses of social capital indicators: 1970s to the 1990s: factor
loadings and eigenvalues (N=24)
Variables Socap 1975 Socap 1985 Socap 1995
Daily .698 .738 -
Newsp - - .825
Polact .882 .814 .750
Sport .802 .683 .898
Neig .774 .807 .760
Eigenvalue
1st factor 2.51 2.32 2.63
2nd factor .71 .79 .74
Note: For explanations and notes, see the variable list.
These indices are quite highly intercorrelated: the 1995 index correlates with the 1985
and the 1975 indices for SOCAP respectively at r=.81 and .76; while between the
1985 and 1975 indices the correlation is r=.91. Thus we can reasonably state that
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social capital in Sweden - when interpreted as consisting of the indicators displayed in
Table 5 - has a stable spatial pattern over time.
The spatial variation in the development of social capital in Sweden from the mid-
1970s to the mid-1990s is displayed in Table 6. We can readily identify counties with
consistently high values on these indices - Gotland (I), Jämtland (Z), Västerbotten
(AC), Västernorrland (Y), as well as two in Småland: Kalmar (H) and Kronoberg (G)
- as well as those with consistently low values - Stockholm (AB), Malmöhus (M)
Göteborg (O) and Östergötland (E). Note that AB, M and O are the three most
urbanized regions. Social capital also seems to be rising in Norrbotten (BD) and in
Dalarna (W), but declining in Jönköping (F), Skaraborg (R) and Örebro (T).
Table 6: Social capital indicators
County SOCAP SOCAP SOCAP
75 85 95
AB -2,60 -2,71 -2,02
C -,04 -,51 -,06
D -,76 -,56 ,37
E -,66 -,47 -,82
F ,81 ,20 -,70
G ,48 ,68 ,26
H ,55 ,58 ,57
I 2,55 1,80 1,88
K -,78 ,22 -,48
L ,04 -,48 -,45
M -1,41 -1,64 -1,39
N ,46 ,16 ,43
O -1,15 -1,27 -1,30
P -,39 ,32 -,32
R ,50 ,71 -,69
S ,48 ,55 ,41
T -,02 -,38 -1,09
U -,62 -,85 ,20
W -,03 -,27 ,46
X ,21 ,16 ,06
Y ,56 ,72 ,97
Z 1,07 1,60 2,29
AC ,90 1,01 ,55
BD -,12 ,43 ,88
Note: For explanation and sources see the variable list and the map in Appendix 1
The primary, metropolitan-hinterland, distinction revealed in these figures is
supported by recent and complementary data: for example, the percentage of people
active in sport (SPORT99) as well as the presence of rural local community
organizations (RURAL95) correlates quite highly with the SOCAP (r=.67 and r=.58
respectively) confirming the validity of the social capital indicator. While newspaper
reading is included in conformity with prevailing usage, it gets at an important
dimension of social capital distinct from civic engagement we term civic literacy.
Below we shall focus on this dimension by separately examining two indicators of
civic literacy for which we have data: study circle participation (STUDYC), and
library lending (LIB).
12
b) Institutional Performance
The dependent variable of this enquiry is institutional performance or institutional
outcomes. After considering various potential indicators, we have chosen three as,
together, most representative: one measuring the dynamism of the regional economy
(SAL9098), another capturing the presence of local government services (TOT95),
and, finally, one reflecting the degree of reported ill-health in a region (UNHEA). We
find, further, that these three indicators are interrelated (UNHEA correlates positively
with TOT95 but negatively with SAL9098). Therefore we decided to test for the
possibility of combining them into one institutional performance index: INSTP. The
factor analysis conducted suggests that this one-factor solution is feasible since the
Eigenvalue of the first factor was 2.06 and for the second factor only .56. The factor
loadings for the three variables were reasonably high: .868 (UNHEA), .810 (TOT95)
and -.803 (SAL9098). The final step is thus to multiply this index by -1 to arrive at
INSTP, which covaries positively with regional economic dynamism.
The spatial distribution over the Swedish regions for the institutional performance
index (INSTP) and its components (SAL9098, TOT95, UNHEA) are presented in
Table 7 below.
Table 7: Institutional performance indicators for the 1990s
COUNTY INSTP SAL9098 TOT95 UNHEA
AB 1,48 15,0 99,4 -1,20
C 1,27 10,7 95,8 -,74
D ,29 10,9 99,3 ,85
E ,16 4,1 98,1 ,07
F ,87 7,2 98,7 -1,15
G ,81 7,6 101,3 -1,51
H ,21 3,1 99,1 -,49
I ,23 4,3 101,7 -,87
K -,07 6,6 101,3 ,39
L ,54 4,2 94,8 -,07
M 1,04 6,7 93,9 -,56
N 1,18 10,8 98,5 -1,12
O ,11 8,3 99,2 ,76
P ,71 8,8 99,2 -,54
R ,89 3,6 96,9 -1,50
S -,57 ,6 102,1 ,21
T -,01 5,8 103,8 -,46
U -1,03 1,4 105,0 ,78
W -1,09 ,0 103,4 1,01
X -,81 1,0 101,0 1,09
Y -1,53 -3,1 107,5 ,50
Z -,94 -2,9 99,8 ,90
AC -1,82 4,3 112,2 1,62
BD -1,92 -2,1 105,9 2,02
Note: For explanations and sources see the variable list and the map in Appendix 1
The general pattern discernible in Table 7 suggests that institutional performance is
highest in the Capital area, i.e. Stockholm (AB) and nearby Uppsala (C) and in the
13
southwest, Halland (N) and Malmohus (M). In contrast, Northern regions, Norbotten
(BD), Västerbotten (AC), Västernorrland (Y) but also Dalarna (W) and Västmanland
(U) display the lowest values. Disaggregating the institutional performance index we
note that high values are associated with economic dynamism and lower levels of
public service coverage and health problems. The opposite is true of those counties
with low scores on the institutional performance index.
c) Social Capital and Institutional Performance
From the above mapping, we begin to perceive a relationship: higher social capital
regions are those that tend to score lower in institutional performance and vice-versa.
It is time to investigate this relationship more deeply. How are institutional
performance and social capital interrelated, and is there a time dimension to the
development of this relationship over 30 years? In an effort to do so, in addition to the
social capital indices, we also look at the effect of two specific indicators associated
with civic literacy noted above, namely library lending (LIB) and study circle
participation rate (STUDYC). The bivariate correlations between these various social
capital indices and the institutional performance indices are displayed in Table 8
below:
Table 8: Social capital and institutional performance: correlations (N=24)
INSTP SAL9098TOT95UNHEA
SOCAP752Pearson Correlation -,273 -,467 ,269 -,036
Sig. (1-tailed) ,098 ,011 ,102 ,434
SOCAP852Pearson Correlation -,403 -,550 ,359 ,110
Sig. (1-tailed) ,026 ,003 ,043 ,305
SOCAP95Pearson Correlation -,538 -,595 ,398 ,350
Sig. (1-tailed) ,003 ,001 ,027 ,047
LIB76 Pearson Correlation ,229 ,339 -,202 -,039
Sig. (1-tailed) ,141 ,052 ,171 ,428
LIB86 Pearson Correlation ,179 ,155 -,065 -,219
Sig. (1-tailed) ,202 ,235 ,382 ,152
LIB96 Pearson Correlation -,020 -,013 ,128 -,084
Sig. (1-tailed) ,463 ,475 ,275 ,348
STUDYC75Pearson Correlation ,013 ,351 ,199 ,108
Sig. (1-tailed) ,476 ,046 ,175 ,307
STUDYC86Pearson Correlation -,200 ,160 ,376 ,270
Sig. (1-tailed) ,175 ,227 ,035 ,101
STUDYC96Pearson Correlation -,447 -,229 ,595 ,293
Sig. (1-tailed) ,014 ,141 ,001 ,083
Note: For explanations and sources see the variable list
In general, higher levels of social capital do not appear to be associated with high
levels of institutional performance as operationalised here. Social capital is only
weakly positively associated with public service coverage and unhealthiness, an
association that tends to become even weaker as the distance in time between the
indices increases. And social capital correlates negatively with the institutional
performance index and, in particular, with the component capturing economic
dynamism (SAL9098).
14
Let us briefly consider what we learn from our two additional social capital indicators
in Table 8. Library lending is not connected with institutional performance; while, for
the mid-1990s, there is a positive correlation between study circle participation rates
and public service presence (r=.60). A closer look at these statistically significant
correlations is presented in the charts below; Figure 1 on social capital and
institutional performance, and Figure 2 on study circle participation and public service
presence.
FIGURE 1-2: about here
Figure 1 illustrates the interesting fact that social capital, at least as here
operationalized, does not correspond with institutional performance understood as
economic dynamism of the Swedish regions. Quite the contrary: the dynamic regions
are to be found among those where social capital is low, while higher social capital is
associated with relative stagnation. Why is this so? Relevant to answering this is the
fact that another aspect of institutional performance, public service presence, is, in
contrast, associated with higher social capital. Further, there is a statistically
significant positive relationship, as illustrated in Figure 2, between level of public
service presence and one aspect of social capital, study circle participation. (Good
examples are Vasterbotten (AC) which ranks high on both variables, and Stockholm
(AB) and Malmohus (M) which rank low on both variables.)
This relationship may be interpreted in two different ways: one, social capital in the
form of study circle participation tends to foster political orientations conducive to
increased public spending and thus a greater presence of public services; two, study
circle participation is publicly subsidised and hence there are more study circles in
regions where public spending is higher. Whatever the particular explanations, social
capital has an unexpected relationship to different aspects of institutional performance
- especially high in less economically dynamic regions with a greater presence of
public services. In an effort to better understand these relationships, in the next section
we bring other potentially relevant contextual factors into the analysis.
d) Possible Contextual Factors
In which contexts and for which decades is social capital strong and in which is it
weak? In section 4c we identified seven different contexts ranging from wealth to
geography which may impact upon social capital. We begin with the most recent
period, the 1990s by, first, in Table 9, displaying relevant bivariate correlations; social
capital is here captured by the social capital index (SOCAP95), as well as by library
lending (LIB96) and study circle participation (STUDYC96). We then take a closer
look at significant correlations revealed in Table 9 in Figures 3 to 6.
15
Table 9: Social capital and contextual variables in the 1990s (N=24)
SOCAP95 LIB96 STUDYC96
BRP95 Pearson Correlation -,344 -,326 -,102
Sig. (1-tailed) ,050 ,060 ,317
TAXP95Pearson Correlation -,538 -,526 -,356
Sig. (1-tailed) ,003 ,004 ,044
SAL98 Pearson Correlation -,669 -,406 -,394
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,024 ,028
CHATT92Pearson Correlation ,305 ,604 ,324
Sig. (1-tailed) ,073 ,001 ,061
FREE95Pearson Correlation -,133 -,122 ,292
Sig. (1-tailed) ,268 ,284 ,083
SVOTE94Pearson Correlation ,465 ,024 ,373
Sig. (1-tailed) ,011 ,456 ,036
VVOTE94Pearson Correlation ,206 -,271 ,357
Sig. (1-tailed) ,168 ,100 ,043
LINE3 Pearson Correlation ,479 ,059 ,499
Sig. (1-tailed) ,009 ,392 ,006
EUNO94Pearson Correlation ,648 ,052 ,458
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,405 ,012
EMP96 Pearson Correlation -,296 ,101 -,204
Sig. (1-tailed) ,080 ,320 ,170
UNEM96Pearson Correlation ,180 -,125 ,168
Sig. (1-tailed) ,200 ,281 ,217
SPARSE95Pearson Correlation ,803 ,315 ,437
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,067 ,016
DENS95Pearson Correlation -,716 -,379 -,456
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,034 ,013
LNPOP Pearson Correlation -,799 -,380 -,436
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,034 ,017
FORCIT95Pearson Correlation -,764 -,362 -,512
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,041 ,005
LIFEM91Pearson Correlation -,191 ,552 -,120
Sig. (1-tailed) ,186 ,003 ,288
LIFEW91Pearson Correlation -,313 ,358 -,325
Sig. (1-tailed) ,068 ,043 ,061
NORTH Pearson Correlation ,497 -,047 ,474
Sig. (1-tailed) ,007 ,414 ,010
Note: For explanations and sources see the variable list
Table 9 confirms that the expected relationship between social capital and economic
or political development is absent in Sweden; with social capital actually greater in the
less developed regions. The social capital index correlates significantly with
sparseness of population, voting NO in the 1994 EU referendum and support for the
end of the use of nuclear energy in the 1980 referendum, and (negatively) with
indicators of wealth (tax capacity) and pluralism or postmodernity (proportion of
foreign citizens). This is not quite the case for library lending and study circle
participation, but both do significantly correlate with church attendance, an interesting
connection to which we shall return.
From Figure 3 it is evident that social capital is strongest in more sparsely populated
areas like in Gotland (I) and Jämtland (Z). This relationship holds true even if more
extreme cases like Stockholm, Jämtland and Gotland are disregarded. (This
16
phenomenon may also be linked to the above noted new wave of rural community
organizing (Bygderörelsen) as an expression of social capital in the sparsely populated
areas of Sweden.) Related to population density is "post-modernization”, for which a
large presence of foreign citizens serves as our key indicator.
FIGURE 3: about here
In Figure 4, we see that the spacial pattern for library lending in the 1990s is
somewhat similar. Book lending is lowest in Stockholm (AB) but tends to be high in
some of the southern counties like Halland (N), Kalmar (H) and Kronoberg (G), as
well as Västerbotten (AC) in the north. Variation in library lending matches most
closely the variation in church attendance. Church attendance also covaries somewhat
with study circle participation in the 1990s (Figure 5). (Church attendance, as we shall
see, tends to be quite stable over time in terms of its spatial variation.) It is highest in
regions in Småland (Kalmar, Kronoberg and Jönköping) but also in parts of Norrland
(Västerbotten), and distinctively lower in Stockholm (AB) and Södermanland (D).
Covariation is not quite as strong as with library lending, since we have cases with
high study circle participation and low church attendance – Gävleborg (X) - as well as
low study circle participation and relatively high church attendance – Kristianstad (L).
FIGURES 4-5: about here
We find a better match between study circle participation and the no-vote on EU
(Figure 6). The match is, however, not perfect since the leading no-vote region
Jämtland (Z) has quite a low level of study circle participation; again we note that the
two distinctively contrasting cases are the regions of Västerbotten (AC) and
Stockholm (AB).
FIGURE 6: about here
To summarize the findings from the 1990s, we may say that social capital as measured
by our social capital index has some distinctive contexts; social capital is strong in the
more traditional modern regions of Sweden and weak in the more wealthy
postmodernized regions. We can now explore what happens to this pattern when the
time dimension is brought into consideration.
Table 10 below presents the bivariate correlations for social capital and different
contexts in the 1980s. In general, the pattern displayed for the 1990s reappears in the
1980s This is particularly true for the social capital index (SOCAP85) but less so for
library lending and study circle participation rates. However, church attendance
remains significantly related to these two indicators.
17
Table 10 : Social capital and contextual variables: 1980s (N=24)
SOCAP85 LIB86 STUDYC86
BRP185Pearson Correlation -,701 -,427 -,099
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,019 ,323
TAXP85Pearson Correlation -,821 -,422 -,076
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,020 ,363
SAL90 Pearson Correlation -,750 -,331 -,163
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,057 ,224
CHATT85Pearson Correlation ,676 ,409 ,338
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,024 ,053
FREE85Pearson Correlation ,252 -,250 ,172
Sig. (1-tailed) ,117 ,120 ,211
SVOTE85Pearson Correlation ,241 -,127 ,126
Sig. (1-tailed) ,128 ,277 ,278
VVOTE85Pearson Correlation -,223 -,420 ,178
Sig. (1-tailed) ,148 ,020 ,203
LINE3 Pearson Correlation ,583 -,257 ,245
Sig. (1-tailed) ,001 ,112 ,124
EUNO94Pearson Correlation ,667 -,266 ,146
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,105 ,248
EMP87 Pearson Correlation -,402 -,122 -,089
Sig. (1-tailed) ,026 ,286 ,339
UNEM87Pearson Correlation ,066 -,039 -,074
Sig. (1-tailed) ,380 ,428 ,365
SPARSE85Pearson Correlation ,896 ,281 ,157
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,092 ,233
DENS85Pearson Correlation -,833 ,185 -,205
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,194 ,168
LNPOP Pearson Correlation -,854 -,415 -,181
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,022 ,199
FORCIT85Pearson Correlation -,879 -,127 -,099
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,276 ,323
LIFEM81Pearson Correlation ,210 ,463 -,041
Sig. (1-tailed) ,162 ,011 ,425
LIFEW81Pearson Correlation -,127 ,471 -,199
Sig. (1-tailed) ,277 ,010 ,176
NORTH Pearson Correlation ,411 -,321 ,246
Sig. (1-tailed) ,023 ,063 ,124
Note: For explanations and sources see the variable list
Hence, there is a clear continuity when we produce charts for the 1980s similar to
those for the 1990s, i.e. social capital and sparsely populated regions (Figure 7), and
church attendance and library lending and study circle participation (Figures 8 and 9).
FIGURES 7-9: about here
This is not quite the case when we go back to the 1970s. In Table 11 we report the
corresponding bivariate correlations for the 1970s to those in Tables 9 and 10. While
there is in general a similar pattern for the social capital index - one even stronger for
church attendance, there are differences, especially in the variables capturing the
social democratic vote. Most interesting is the difference in relative rates of library
lending and study circle participation, and, in particular, the fact that while church
18
attendance was positively correlated with library lending in the 1980s and the 1990s
the correlation is negative in the 1970s.
Table 11: Social capital and contextual variables: the 1970s (N=24)
SOCAP75 LIB76 STUDYC75
BRP185Pearson Correlation -,707 ,109 ,116
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,305 ,294
TAXP75Pearson Correlation -,865 ,223 ,146
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,148 ,248
SAL90 Pearson Correlation -,720 ,236 ,214
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,133 ,157
CHATT80Pearson Correlation ,648 -,420 ,183
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,020 ,196
FREE74Pearson Correlation ,359 -,326 ,168
Sig. (1-tailed) ,043 ,060 ,216
SVOTE76Pearson Correlation -,108 ,164 -,067
Sig. (1-tailed) ,307 ,221 ,378
VVOTE76Pearson Correlation -,331 -,034 ,272
Sig. (1-tailed) ,057 ,438 ,100
LINE3 Pearson Correlation ,625 -,444 ,067
Sig. (1-tailed) ,001 ,015 ,378
EUNO94Pearson Correlation ,488 -,489 -,148
Sig. (1-tailed) ,008 ,008 ,244
EMP76 Pearson Correlation -,345 ,208 ,312
Sig. (1-tailed) ,050 ,164 ,069
UNEM76Pearson Correlation -,020 -,040 -,168
Sig. (1-tailed) ,464 ,427 ,216
SPARSE75Pearson Correlation ,895 -,333 -,133
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,056 ,267
DENS75Pearson Correlation -,778 ,250 ,030
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,119 ,444
LNPOP Pearson Correlation -,841 ,133 ,019
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,268 ,465
FORCIT75Pearson Correlation -,825 ,463 ,207
Sig. (1-tailed) ,000 ,011 ,166
LIFEM71Pearson Correlation ,112 ,019 -,080
Sig. (1-tailed) ,301 ,465 ,356
LIFEW71Pearson Correlation -,135 ,128 ,115
Sig. (1-tailed) ,265 ,275 ,296
NORTH Pearson Correlation ,274 -,317 -,080
Sig. (1-tailed) ,097 ,065 ,355
Note: For explanation and sources: see the variable list
Below we reproduce charts for the 1970s similar to those for the other decades. The
social capital index covaries with sparsely populated areas to a large extent in the
same way as in the 1990s and the 1980s: the contrasting regions are Gotland (I),
Jämtland (Z) and Västerbotten (AC) on the one hand and Stockholm (AB) on the
other hand (Figure 10), and roughly the same regions represent the contrasting cases
with respect to foreign citizen presence. (Note that foreign presence was still strong in
industrial areas like Västmanland (U) and Södermanland (D) in the 1970s.)
FIGURE 10: in about here
19
Figure 11 displays the changes that have occurred with respect to library lending
practices. Regions like Halland, Kronoberg, Västerbotten and Kalmar singificantly
improved their ranking after the 1970s; while the opposite was the case for regions
such as Uppsala (C), Västmanland (U), and Södermanland (D). Indeed, Stockholm
(AB) ranked higher than Västerbotten (AC) in 1970. Hence the negative relationship
between library lending and church attendance in the 1970s.
A less dramatic shift in the same direction can be seen in Figure 12 which displays the
relationship between church attendance and study circle participation. The relative
position of regions has remained steady in church attendance but not study circle
participation. In the 1970s, study circle participation was already highest in
Västerbotten (AC), but Gävleborg (X) still ranked low and Stockholm (AC) was still
in solid position in the middle of the field.
FIGURES 11-12: about here
7. Discussion of the findings
Our most important general finding is that in Sweden social capital tends to be found
in the less developed regions - in contrast, it would appear, to other countries studied.
Since institutional performance is understood to reflect economic and political
development, we are confronted with findings quite different from those usually
drawn from the literature. While it would be far-fetched to suggest that social capital
impedes economic and political development, we can reasonably advance the
agrument that at the current stage of economic and political development, the
transition from modern to post-modern society, further development reduces social
capital.
Such a conclusion poses a number of questions. The first type of questions are
methodological. Can it be said that the findings are in fact an artifact of the variables
chosen and indices created? When arriving at the indeces for social capital and
institutional performance we have at least avoided the mistake of not selecting factors
meeting the Kaiser criterion (cf Jackman and Miller 1996, 638-40). One possibility in
this regard is, however, that the population based development indicators used here
are especially sensitive to indicators of social capital based on individual/per capita
measures. Yet, while it is true that newspaper reading and density of sports
organizations strongly correlates with population size, this is not the case for some
other population based indicators such as library lending, study circle participation,
and church attendance. Thus, we can be confident that social capital and institutional
performance captures something other than population size or distribution.
Substantive questions that must be posed revolve around the uniqueness of Swedish
patterns of development. We know, from the World Values Survey and elsewhere,
that Sweden has for many years had among the very highest levels of organizational
participation and lowest levels of religious involvement. Could it not therefore be that
similar data in other countries would reveal quite different spacial patterns? While we
are in no position to rule out this possibility, we suggest, rather, that it is more likely
that Sweden in fact reflects an emerging trend: a country moving from a modern
20
society into a post-modern society, with values, attitudes and behaviour associated
with social capital strongest in regions that have been slowest to move in this
direction. While testing such a hypothesis is well beyond the scope of a paper such as
this, what we can do is see how it might fit into the wider discussion of social capital
set out at the beginning of this paper.
Returning to our data, we note that while library lending and study circle participation
show a negative relationship with institutional peformance and development, the
relationship is not statistically significant over the entire three decades, as it is for our
social-capital index (combining sport organisations, newspaper reading, contacts with
neighbours and political involvement). More to the point, institutional performance is
positively related to library lending and study circle participation, in the 1970s. How
are we to explain this? A clue lies in the relationship between these indicators and
church attendance. While in the 1980s and 1990s, church attendance had become
quite strongly correlated with all the factors related to social capital; in the 1970s it
was only very weakly linked to study circle participation and quite strongly negatively
associated with library lending. (We place less weight on the former, since it is
possible that the relationship between study circle participation and church attendance
is affected by a larger number of church-linked study circles in regions of high church
attendance – Västerbotten in particular.)
Borrowing books and participating in study circles are expressions of a particular
dimension of social capital that we have termed civic literacy, one that we can
associate with modern society and threatened by the arrival of post-modern society.
We know that the modernization process, in Sweden as elsewhere, is one in which
civic literacy forms of social capital gain importance gradually replacing the pre-
modern forms of social capital linked to church attendance. Can it be that, ironically,
once the modern, civic literacy forms of social capital begin to weaken under post-
modern influences, social capital again becomes more dependent upon traditional
forms of participation in the Church and associated institutions?
This discussion is less esoteric than it may appear since an important aspect of the
critical debate around Putnam's contention of declining social capital in America in
fact concerns participation in religion-based activities and orgnanizations. Putnam
(1993: 107) states that organized religion, at least in Catholic Italy, is "an alternative
to civic community, not part of it.” Uslaner (1998) contends that this is not the case in
the United States where, on balance, religion has the opposite effect. Greeley directly
attacks Putnam, citing the results of the World Values Survey to contend that religious
organization membership and church attendance are strong predictors of volunteer
service (Greeley 1997, see also Ladd 1996). Gabriel (1995), using other data,
concludes that the impact of religion on social capital in Europe is mixed, a
combination of what we might term the American and Italian effects: religious
organizations can and do isolate members from the wider community, as well as foster
civic engagement.
How do our findings fit into this discussion? Our suggestion that in post-modern
regions of Sweden, social capital may be more closely tied to Church attendance than
in those still in the modern period, should not be taken to mean that Stockholmers are
likely to rediscover religious practices abandoned decades ago. The point is rather a
21
wider one: While Sweden and the United States are among the leaders in the process
of post-modernization, they are polar opposites among OECD countries in the overall
importance of religion. Moreover, we have tended to see the US as the outlier, defying
the universal trend toward secularisation. Could it be that our views reflect a
modernization process that is now giving way to another process, that of post-
modernization? Could it be that, rather than a throwback to an earlier period, the
reliance upon Church based activities to keep up the declining stock of social capital
in the United States may be a harbinger of things yet to come in other post-
modernizing societies?
Appendix 1: Map and names of the counties/regions
22
Appendix 2: Variable list
BRP185 gross regional product 1985: salary: current prices (Sundgren 1998: Table 3)
BRP191 gross regional product 1991: salary: current prices (Sundgren 1998: Table 3)
BRP95 gross regional product 1995: Sweden = 100 (SCB 1998, Norrbottenskansliet: p.6)
CHATT80 church attendance 1980 (Religionssociologiska institutet 1981)
CHATT85 church attendance 1985 (Gustafsson 1986)
CHATT92 church attendance 1992 (Alwall 1993)
DAILY75 % (no) daily newspaper reading 1975 (SCB 1987a: ULF Rapport 51: Table 8.6)
DAILY85 % (no) daily newspaper reading 1985 (SCB 1987a: ULF Rapport 51: Table 8.6)
DAILY95 % daily newspaper reading 1995 (SCB 1997a: ULF Rapport 91: Table 23.2)
DENS75 population per sq km 1975 (SCB 1975: Årsbok)
DENS85 population per sq km 1985 (SCB 1985a: Årsbok)
DENS95 population per sq km 1995 (SCB 1995a: Årsbok)
EMP76 employed in % of lab force 1976 (SCB 1977a: AKU)
EMP87 employed in % of lab force 1987 (SCB 1988a: AKU)
EMP96 employed in % of lab force 1996 (SCB 1997c: AKU)
EUNO94 % voting no in eu referendum 1994 (SCB 1995b)
FORCIT75 foreign citizens in % of population 1975 (SCB 1978)
FORCIT85 foreign citizens in % of population 1985 (SCB 1988b)
FORCIT95 foreign citizens in % of population 1995 (SCB 1996c)
FREE74 membership in free churches in % of population 1974 (Religionssociologiska
institutet 1978)
FREE85 membership in free churches in % of population 1985 (Skog 1986)
FREE95 membership in free churches in % of population 1995 (Skog 1997)
LIB76 library lending per capita 1976 (SCB 1994b)
LIB86 library lending per capita 1986 (SCB 1987b)
LIB96 library lending per capita 1996 (SCB 1997d)
LIFEEM71 life expectancy at birth for men 1971 (SCB 1998a)
LIFEEM81 life expectancy at birth for men 1981 (SCB 1998a)
LIFEEM91 life expectancy at birth for men 1991 (SCB 1998a)
LIFEEW71 life expectancy at birth for women 1971 (SCB 1998a)
LIFEEW81 life expectancy at birth for women 1981 (SCB 1998a)
LIFEEW91 life expectancy at birth for women 1991 (SCB 1998a)
LINE3 % voting for an early end of the use of nuclear energy in the 1980 referendum (SCB
1980c)
LNPOP natural logarithm of population in 1995 (SCB 1996c)
NEIG75 % (no) contacts with neighbours 1975 (SCB 1987a, ULF Rapport 51: Table 9.6)
NEIG85 % (no) contacts with neighbours 1985 (SCB 1987a, ULF Rapport 51: Table 9.6)
NEIG95 % contacts with neighbours 1995 (SCB 1997a, ULF Rapport 91: Table 23.2)
NEWSP97 newspaper/household (Tidningsstatistik 1997)
NORTH dummy (1=X,Y,Z,AC,BD; 0=else)
POLACT75 % politically active 1975 (SCB 1979, ULF Rapport 19:1: Table 9)
POLACT85 % politically active 1985 (SCB 1987a, ULF Rapport 51: Table 10.7)
POLACT95 % politically active 1995 (SCB 1997a, ULF Rapport 91: Table 23.2)
RURAL95 number of local deevlopment groups in relation to number of communities with 50-
2000 inhabitants (Herlitz 1998: 20)
SAL9098 %-change in salary sum from 1990 to 1998 (Affärsvärlden 2000)
SAL90 salary sum per capita 1990 (Affärsvärlden 2000)
SAL98 salary sum per capita 1998 (Affärsvärlden 2000)
SPARSE75 % of population living in sparsely populated areas1975 (SCB 1980d, Årsbok)
SPARSE85 % of population living in sparsely populated areas1985 (SCB 1986b, Årsbok)
SPARSE95 % of population living in sparsely populated areas1995 (SCB 1999b, Statistisk
årsbok)
SPORT75 sport associations per capita 1975 (SCB 1978, Statistisk årsbok)
SPORT85 sport associations per capita 1985 (SCB 1988b, Statistisk årsbok)
SPORT96 sport associations per capita 1996 (SCB 1996c, Statistsk årsbok)
SPORT99 % of population regularly sporting in 1999 (Västerbottens-Kuriren 2000)
23
STUDYC75 study circle participation per capita 1975 (SCB 1977c)
STUDYC86 study circle participation per capita 1986 (SCB 1987d)
STUDYC96 study circle participation per capita 1996 (SCB 1997e)
SVOTE76 sap vote in % in parliamentary election 1976 (SCB 1977d, Allmänna valen: del 1)
SVOTE85 sap vote in % in parliamentary election 1985 (SCB 1986c, Allmänna valen: del 1)
SVOTE94 sap vote in % in parliamentary election 1994 (SCB 1995c, Allmänna valen: del 1)
TAXP75 tax capacity per capita 1975: indexed prices (SCB 1996b, Årsbok)
TAXP85 tax capacity per capita 1985: indexed prices (SCB 1996b, Årsbok)
TAXP95 tax capacity per capita 1995: indexed prices (SCB 1996b, Årsbok)
TOT95 service index : total index (Svenska kommunförbundet 1997: Table 8)
UNEM76 % unemployed (SCB 1977a: AKU)
UNEM87 % unemployed (SCB 1988a: AKU)
UNEM96 % unemployed (SCB 1997c: AKU)
UNHEA index of % incapacitated 1993-1998 (Riksförsäkringsverket 1995, 1997, 1999))
VVOTE76 vpk vote in % in parliamentary election 1976 (SCB 1977d, Allmänna valen: del 1)
VVOTE85 vpk vote in % in parliamentary election 1985 (SCB 1986c, Allmänna valen: del 1)
VVOTE94 v vote in % in parliamentary election 1994 (SCB 1995c, Allmänna valen: del 1)
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Figure 1: Social capital and institutional performance in the 1990s
SOCAP95
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Figure 2: Study circle participation and public service presence in the 1990s
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Figure 3: Sparsely populated areas and social capital in the 1990s
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Figure 4: Church attendance and library lending in the 1990s
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Figure 5: Church attendance and study circle participation in the 1990s
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Figure 6: EU-critical vote and study circle participation
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Figure 7: Sparsely populated areas and social capital in the 1980s
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Figure 8: Church attendance and library lending in the 1980s
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Figure 9: Church attendance and study circle participation in the 1980s
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Figure 10: Sparsely populated areas and social capital in the 1970s
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Figure 11: Church attendance and library lending in the 1970s
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Figure 12: Church attendance and study circle participation in the 1970s
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