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Socio-Psycho Analyses The Use of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) In Key Opinion Leader Identification

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Page 1: Social-Psycho Analyses

Socio-Psycho Analyses

The Use of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) In Key Opinion Leader Identification

Page 2: Social-Psycho Analyses

Open-source intelligence (OSINT) is intelligence collected from publicly available sources. In the intelligence community (IC), the term "open" refers to overt, publicly available sources (as opposed to covert or clandestine sources); it is not related to open-source software or public intelligence.

OSINT

Page 3: Social-Psycho Analyses

As Bright As The White House Is, It Is Still The Most Opaque Place On Earth

Page 4: Social-Psycho Analyses

This Iconic Building is a Symbolic Representation of Many Governmental Voices

But Who's Voice Is It?

Page 5: Social-Psycho Analyses

There are Many Social Channels Through which Voices Speak

FaceBook

Twitter

Instagram

FOLLOWERS

89 M

Page 6: Social-Psycho Analyses

While All Channels Represent The White House, Which One(s) Truly Reflect The

Man… Donald J. Trump

Page 7: Social-Psycho Analyses

While All Channels Represent The White House, Which One(s) Truly Reflect The

Man… Donald J. Trump

Page 8: Social-Psycho Analyses

One Such Channel Is Twitter’s @RealDonaldTrump

Page 9: Social-Psycho Analyses

One Such Channel Is Twitter’s @RealDonaldTrump

FOLLOWERS

23.9M

Page 10: Social-Psycho Analyses

But Does This Channel Represent The Real Voice of Donal Trump?

Donald J. Trump (actual)

Somebody Else (cutout)

Page 11: Social-Psycho Analyses

But Does This Channel Represent The Real Voice of Donal Trump?

Donald J. Trump (actual)

Somebody Else (cutout)

Page 12: Social-Psycho Analyses

No Two Tweets Are Identical, But They Are Built The SameSI

DEB

AR

Page 13: Social-Psycho Analyses

A Simplified Approach To SolveSI

DEB

AR

R ECOSYSTEMINTERNET

TWIT

TER

AC

CO

UN

TLA

NG

UA

GE

EMO

TIO

N

AN

D S

ENTI

MEN

TIM

AG

ES

DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSES

EMOTIONAL ANALYSES

SENTIMENT ANALYSES

SEMANTIC SEARCH

VISU

ALIZ

ATIO

N

Page 14: Social-Psycho Analyses

Some Results

Page 15: Social-Psycho Analyses

There is substantial photographic evidence that Donald J. Trump uses an Android-based phone.

Page 16: Social-Psycho Analyses

There is substantial photographic evidence that Donald J. Trump uses an Android-based phone.

Page 17: Social-Psycho Analyses

There are two different platforms tweeting, Android and IOS (iPhone, iPad). The Android tweets early in the morning, the IOS tweets later. The Android does not include links and pictures, but IOS does.

Android PeakTweet Period

IOS PeakTweet Period

Page 18: Social-Psycho Analyses

Each platform uses different kinds of words. Android does not significantly use hashtags (#) and times (3pm, 7 pm, etc.), while IOS does.

Page 19: Social-Psycho Analyses

Words Express Fundamental Emotions

NRC Word-Emotion Association Lexicon useful for language sentiment analysis. The NRC Emotion Lexicon is a list of English words and their associations with eight basic emotions (anger, fear, anticipation, trust, surprise, sadness, joy, and disgust) and two sentiments (negative and positive).

SID

EBA

R

Page 20: Social-Psycho Analyses

The Android platform expresses more negative words that are emotionally distressed. While the IOS platform projects significantly more positive words that are centered in happiness.

more in ios more in android

emot

iona

lly n

egat

ive

emot

iona

lly p

ositi

ve

Page 21: Social-Psycho Analyses

Using Three Socio-Psycho Categories (sentiment, emotion, structure), there is significant indication that Android and IOS tweets are from Two Different Personas (persons). But Who?

Profile A

Profile B

Page 22: Social-Psycho Analyses

Tweets are progressively getting more negative over time. Trump tweets appear contribute the most to this trend.

Page 23: Social-Psycho Analyses

People naturally retweet and like the more negative tweets from Trump.

Page 24: Social-Psycho Analyses

Some words (driving emotions) are used only in specific phase of the presidential process.

Page 25: Social-Psycho Analyses

Summary

Page 26: Social-Psycho Analyses

Some Insights• Donald J. Trump uses an Android-

based phone to conduct his tweeting

• There are two distinct tweeter personas present in the @realdonaldtrump twitter account, one Android-based (Trump Actual) and the other IOS-based (A Cutout)

• Trump Actual tweets are between 4:30 AM and 10:30 AM

• Trump Actual tweets are more negative in nature, reflecting emotionally distressed words

Page 27: Social-Psycho Analyses

Future OSINT Research: Who is the Cutout?

Donald J. Trump (actual)

Somebody Else (cutout)

@DanScavino