solar heating and cooling in the arab region · solar heating and cooling in the arab region eng....
TRANSCRIPT
Solar Heating and Cooling in the Arab region
Eng. Ashraf Kraidy,
Director,
Planning, outreach and Fundraising , RCREEEE
2
Content
1. Arab Region and RE Status
2. Solar Heating Market Analysis
3. Solar Cooling Market Analysis
4. Challenges
5. Future Expectations
3
Share of Building In total Energy Consumption in the Arab Region
4
Share of Building In Electricity Consumption in the Arab Region
5
Trends of different driver for H&C demand in Residential and Commercial Sector in The Arab Region
6
RE Share in Primary Energy Consumption 1- Arab Region and RE Status
7
RE Installed Capacities, 1- Arab Region and RE Status
8
Solar Heating Market Analysis
40
7
18
2
97
67
38
11
9
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
m2 p
er 1
00
0
inh
abit
ants
Source: AFEX 2015, RCREEE
2- Solar Heating Market Analysis
9
RE & SWHs Private Sector Development 7
23
3
1
46
33
12
2 6 10
8
52
4
22
43
3 1
0
1
19
0
53
6
3
49
1
0
40
1 1
0
11
3
13
2
NUMBER OF COMPANIES
Jord
an
Tun
isia
KSA
Sud
an
Syri
a
Iraq
Pal
est
ine
Qat
ar
Leb
ano
n
Egyp
t
Yem
en
UA
E
Alg
eri
a
2009 2013 SWHs 2013
Source: RE&EE Dalil, LAS, 2013
2- Solar Heating Market Analysis
10
SWHs Market Assessment in the Arab region-Techscope Assessment tool
Solar Water Heater
Support Framework
, 29%
National Conditions
, 30%
Financing , 20%
Business Climate ,
21%
Countries
Algeria
Tunisia
Morocco
Jordan
Palestine
Lebanon
Egypt
Sudan
UAE
2- Solar Heating Market Analysis
11
Country Credit rating,
25%
Access to Finance ,
75%
SWHs Target 17% Financia
l Incentiv
es … Loan program
24%
Building Mandat
e 17%
Outreach
campaign …
Insolation , 17%
Market Penetration , 13% Residenti
al Energy Consump
tion Growth …
SWHs Market Growth,
13%
Payback Period ,
23%
Heating Fuel
Subsidy , 17%
Doing Business ,
24%
Manufacturing
Capacity , 14%
Product standards
and Certification , 24%
Installers certification , 19%
Industry Associatio
n , 19%
Business Climate
Financing National Conditions
SWH Support Framework
12
Assessment Final Score
3.6
6
3.4
1
3.1
3.0
6
2.3
9
2.3
8
1.9
6
1.7
4
0.9
1
LEBANON TUNISIA MORROCO PALESTINE UAE JORDAN ALGERIA EGYPT SUDAN
SCORE
2- Solar Heating Market Analysis
13
Assessment on the Commercial Viability of Solar Cooling Technologies and Applications in the Arab Region
Scope: To create a logical pathway to identify the most efficient reliable, and cost competitive solar cooling technology for the Arab region.
3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis
14
Diffusion of solar cooling technologies
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Absorption Adsorption DEC PV
3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis
15
Assumptions
Two different building types in the Arab region have been defined, with a cooling load of 100 kWc and 1 MWc cooling capacity, respectively. Each building type has been investigated using three different cooling technologies:
• Double-effect absorption chiller and concentrating collectors
• Vapour compression scroll chiller and photovoltaic modules
• Vapour compression scroll chiller and grid operation (reference case)
Solar cooling Market Analysis
3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis
16
Levelized Cost of Cooling Energy (LCCE) for different configurations /100 kW system
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
0.09
0.1
0.11
0.12
0.13
0.14
0.15
USD
/kW
h c
oo
ling
Solar thermal & Absorption PV & Compression Reference Compression
3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis
17
Levelized Cost of Cooling Energy (LCCE) for different configurations /1 MW system
3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis
18
Project proposal for Future Follow UP
• Solar cooling roadmap for Arab region
– investment cost reduction,
– overall energy performance increase
– system quality improvement.
• R&D program
– Heat rejection
– Adaption of existing products/kits to Arab region
– Storage
• Demonstration program for PV Cooling and SHC systems
3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis
19
Challenges for Solar Heating and Cooling
• Renewable electricity is a priority
• Lost in the plan
• Lack of qualified service provider
• Weak Markets and market players
• Lack of incentives schemes
• Lack of capitals
4- Challenges
20
Expectations….
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Syria
Mexico
Qatar
India
Greece
France
Jordan
KSA
Tunisia
Lebanon
UAE
Morocco
Italy
Source: Sun and Wind Market Survey 4/2013
Less Europe and More Arab Sales of thermosiphonic systems are flattering in Europe. Attention is therefore increasingly turning to new Markets in the Arab region Jen Peter Meyer- Sun and Wind Magazine 4/2013
Future Most Important Markets for SWHs
5- Future Expectations
21
Thank You….
Ashraf Kraidy Director Planning, Outreach and Fundraising Regional Center for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency (RCREEE) Hydro Power Building (7th Floor) Block 11 - Piece 15, Melsa District Ard El Golf, Nasr City, Cairo, Egypt T. +20 2 2415 4755 (Ext. 124) M. +20 111 066 8503 F. +20 2 241 54661 E. [email protected] W. www.rcreee.org Skype: ashrafkraidy