solar in minnesota: great potential
TRANSCRIPT
Solar in Minnesota:Great Promise
John FarrellInstitute for Local Self-Reliance
Presentation to Solar MinnesotaMinneapolis| April 25, 2011
@ the Institute for Local Self-Reliance
Who We Are
Energy Self-Reliant States
Community Banking Initiative
Overview
• State of Solar in Minnesota• Opportunities for Cost Reductions• The Value of Solar• Policy Matters
A Small but Growing Market
• Installed Capacity: 4 MW• Installed in 2010: 1.8 MW – 45%
Photo credit: CERTs
Minnesota Solar = Expensive?
From page 19 of the brilliant report, Tracking the Sun III: The Installed Cost of Photovoltaics in the U.S. from 1998-2009 (large pdf).
Cost of Solar != Market Size
Solar PV Costs - Does State Market Size Matter? | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/4ypjblp
Opportunities for Cost Reductions
4 years
40% PRICE D
ROP!
German solar market 2006 -> 2010 grew from 2.7 GW -> 16 GW
Opportunities for Cost Reductions
German solar market 2006 -> 2010 grew from 2.7 GW -> 16 GW
$4.11 per Watt!
Opportunities for Cost Reductions
$5.65
$4.80
$5.70
$5.09$5.50
$4.78
$4.67$5.20$5.39 $5.50
Installed Cost for Residential Solar PV Group Purchase
$ per Watt
Opportunities for Cost Reductions
Solar PV Balance of System | Rocky Mountain Institute - http://tinyurl.com/3dazuo8
60% drop in PV cost
5 years
The Value of Distributed Solar
Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
The Value of Distributed Solar
Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
The Value of Solar
Distributed Solar Power Worth Far More Than Electrons | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3tqmerh
The Value of Solar
Solving Solar's Variability with More Solar | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/65b5nyh
RPS Policies with Solar/DG Provisions
Renewable portfolio standard with solar / distributed generation (DG) provision
Renewable portfolio goal with solar / distributed generation provision
www.dsireusa.org / April 2011
Solar water heating counts toward solar provision
WA: double credit for DG
NV: 1.5% solar x 2025;
2.4 - 2.45 multiplier for PV UT: 2.4
multiplierfor solar-electric
AZ: 4.5% DG x 2025
NM: 4% solar-electric x 2020 0.6% DG x 2020
TX: double credit for non-wind
(non-wind goal: 500 MW)
CO: 3.0% DG x 20201.5% customer-sited x
2020
MO: 0.3% solar-electric x 2021
MI: triple credit for solar- electric
OH: 0.5% solar-electric x 2025
NC: 0.2% solar
x 2018
MD: 2% PV x 2022 DC: 0.4% solar x 2020
NY: 0.4788% customer- sited x 2015
DE: 3.5% PV x 2026; triple credit for PV
NH: 0.3% solar- electric x 2014
NJ: 5,316 GWh solar- electric x 2026PA: 0.5% PV x 2021
MA: 400 MW PV x 2020
OR: 20 MW solar PV x 2020; double credit for PV
IL: 1.5% PV
x 2025WV:
various multipliers
16 states + DC have an RPS with solar/DG provisions
DC
Policy Matters: State Laws
Policy Matters: State Laws
Policy Matters: Local Rules
Poor Solar Permitting Rules Increase Residential Solar Prices by Up To 20 Percent | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5ts5b2k
Policy Matters: Local Rules
Poor Solar Permitting Rules Increase Residential Solar Prices by Up To 20 Percent | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5ts5b2k
Policy Matters: Local Rules
• Assessment of Mpls-St. Paul permitting:• Permit pricing is about 2x higher than ideal…
~$500 in Minneapolis and ~$800 in St Paul…Minneapolis has a terrific submittal guidelines …St. Paul does not.
• [Minneapolis] clearly states their expectations: I.E what you need to submit to succeed and obtain a permit.
Policy Matters
Ontario's Buy Local Renewable Energy Policy: An Update | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/3o4th8d
Policy Matters
Solar Could Save Minnesota Schools Millions | Energy Self-Reliant States - http://tinyurl.com/5sv8ond
Summary
• Minnesota’s small market has high costs• Promising cost reduction potential• Policy needed– State standard– CLEAN Contract (feed-in tariff)– Local permitting
Solar is Contagious | Energy Self-Reliant States- http://tinyurl.com/444c2og
Solar is Contagious
Solar is Contagious | Energy Self-Reliant States- http://tinyurl.com/444c2og
1%
Thank you!
John Farrell• energyselfreliantstates.org• [email protected]• http
://twitter.com/johnffarrell