solar thermal in spain pascual polo, secretary general asit · solar thermal in spain pascual polo,...
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5th European Solar Thermal Energy Conference 20-21 October 2011, Marseille (France)
SOLAR THERMAL IN SPAIN
Pascual Polo, Secretary General ASIT
Spanish Solar Thermal market is crossing a critical and decisive moment, asector seriously affected by the economic conjuncture but that still hasillusion and the will to be reinvented.
From 2005 to 2008 the Spanish Solar Thermal market has been multipliedby 5, and in three years it is going to be divided by two.
WhyWhy?...ST ?...ST marketmarket focusedfocused in new in new buildingsbuildings
Initiated
finished
Solar thermal energy sector turnover in Spain: 278 Mill. €
New installed: 243,6 MWth (348.000 M2)
Employment:
Direct: 5.000 Persons
Share of Representation in the market ASIT:
ASIT 2010
Share of Representation in the market ASIT:
Supply of collectors : 92 %
Octubre 2011, 82 members
83
15
Technical Building Code 83% 202 MWth (289.000 M2)
Regional Subsidies 15% 37 MWth (53.000 M2)
SpanishSpanish MarketMarket: New : New installedinstalled 2010 2010
243,6 MWth
(348.000 M2)
11 Industrial 1% 2,3 MWth (3.500 M2)
Other 1% 2,3 MWth (3.500 M2)
Source: ASIT Source: ASIT
76 18
Glaced Collectors 76% 178 MWth (254.700 M2)
SDHW 18% 42 MWth (60.600 M2)
243,6 MWth(348.000 M2)
SpanishSpanish marketmarket 2010: % 2010: % KindKind of of collectorcollectorand and systemsystem
76 18
63
42 MWth (60.600 M2)
Vacuum Tubes 6% 15 MWth (21.500 M2)
Plastic Collectors 3% 8 MWth (11.000 M2)
Source: ASIT Source: ASIT
31 16
Spain 35%
Germany 31%
SpanishSpanish MarketMarket 2010: 2010: % % NationalNational vs. vs. ImportationImportation
243,6 MWth
(348.000 M2)
3518 Austria 16%
Other* 18%
Source: ASITSource: ASIT
*Other countries below 10% (IS, GRE, TUR, CHI)*Other countries below 10% (IS, GRE, TUR, CHI)
Development Market Estimation 2005 Development Market Estimation 2005 –– 20102010
And forecast for 2011 according to PER 2011And forecast for 2011 according to PER 2011-- 20202020**
2.500.000
3.000.000
1.710.000
2.112.000
2.460.0002.742.000
M2 instalados / año M2 acumulados
0
500.000
1.000.000
1.500.000
2.000.000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
108.000 175.000 275.000465.000 402.000 348.000 376.000
795.500970.500
1.245.000
1.710.000
-14% -28%annual growth 2005 - 2008, 63%
*
**-14%
Forecast ASIT **
250.000 **
From ASIT we are working to change this trend and to return to thepath towards a sustainable market.
To change this dramatic trend it is necessary:
– To consolidate the TBC, beyond the obligatory nature,opening its application for the heating & cooling and bettingopening its application for the heating & cooling and bettingreally for the old buildings restoration
– It is necessary “effective” subsidies programs
– And about all it is necessary to open new markets where thesolar thermal energy can contribute providing energy,related to the big consumptions of heat
To develop a sustainable sector from subsidies or from obligationsis unviable:
– On the one hand it just helps to the initial investment but theefficiency of the installation is not stimulated
– On the other hand the user can be dammed if the one who isforced to do the installation is not worried about its efficiencyforced to do the installation is not worried about its efficiencyeither.
For this reason, from ASIT we are trying to make real somethingthat we are raising since 2005:
– To change subsidies philosophy: subsidies not to thesquare meter, but to the energetic production in order tostimulate the efficiency of the installation.
It is necessary an Special Framework for ST, a feed intariff as the other renewable that produce electricity, to obtainreasonable profitability up to reaching the competitiveness.
It is why the new PER 2011-2020 will establish the abovementioned juridical frame that promotes the private initiativesince it should be more important than the public subsidies, aregulation that supports a sustainable sector.
� We are a mature tecnology
OUR OWN CHANGE
Improvement of the social image
Strategic lines
Page � 13
� We produce ENERGYCHANGE FAVOURABLE OF MENTALITY
� We Add value and contribute notably to the creation of stable employment and to the overcoming of the energetic challenges of Spain and Europe
Perspectives of development of the Solar Thermal market in theframe of the new Spanish Plan of Renewable Energies,
PER 2011-2020:
1 Technical Building Code’s market
2 Subsidies Programs from autonomous regions' market
3 ICAREN’s market, incentives for large systems, ESCO model
4 Global Market4 Global Market
Perspectives of development of the Solar Thermal market inthe frame of the new PER:
1 Technical Code of the Building’s market
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
Market PER 2011-2020: Technical Building Code
0
50000
100000
150000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Multi-Family Housing: 1,25 M2Individual Housing: 3,78 M2
Regulation in new PER
- Establishment of inspection and control of the fulfillment of the CTE systemsin the different stages of the solar thermal installations.
•Control of the fulfillment of the CTE as for measured (programme of validationrecognized) CHEQ4
•Establishing a system of inspection and control
•Obligation to incorporate tele-control systems of the installations, in visibleplaces for all the users.
Perspectives of development of the Solar Thermal market in the frameof the new PER:
2 Subsidies Programs from autonomous regions'market
350000
400000
450000
500000
Market PER 2011-2020: Subsidies
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Perspectives of development of the Solar Thermal market inthe frame of the new PER:
3 ICAREN’s market, incentives for large systems,ESCO model
Perspectives of development of the Solar Thermal market in the frameof the new PER:
3 ICAREN’s market, ESCO model
•Concept: The ESCO receives a certain fee per kilowatt-hour by theadministration and by the client. The level of the granted fees must be fixed in away, that the ESCOs receive a good return of investment within a minimum of 10years.
•The ESCO earns good money, if the solar thermal system works well. This•The ESCO earns good money, if the solar thermal system works well. Thisguaranties high quality of the installed commercial solar thermal systems
•Typical clients are hospitals, hotels or industrial producers.
•The feed-in tariff is eligible for solar, geothermal and biomass heat
Once the Renewable Energy Plan is approved and, therefore, the framework forthe feed-in tariff is set, the detailed work will start. Then we need a regulation –Royal Decree – that specifies the details about the feed-in tariff.
PROPUESTA DE ASIT
ST SystemInstallation
cost
Installer
ICAREN: ESCO model
ConsumerControl fees ESCO
energy
Price energy
Bank
InterestFinance
fee
300000
350000
400000
450000
500000
Market PER 2011-2020: ICAREN program
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
RESEARCH OF THE EVOLUTION OF THE ESCO SOLAR THERMAL ENERGY*
0
2000
4000
1998 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012M2 AÑO 176 584 835 614 1319 1383 1127 1827 202 3220 900M2 ACUM 176 760 1595 2209 3528 4911 6038 7865 8067 11287 12187
THANKS TO: Companies: 9REN, ASSYCE, SUMERSOL, WAGNER SOLAR Institutions: ARGEM, GOBIERNO CANARIAS, EREN
* Provisional results waiting to receive more information of companies and institutions
4000
5000
6000
7000
4176
6330
RESEARCH OF THE EVOLUTION OF THE ESCO SOLAR THERMAL ENERGY SALE ACCORDING TO THE USE
M2
0
1000
2000
3000
POLIDEPORTIVOS VIVIENDAS HOSPITALES HOTELES
699983
THANKS TO: Companies: 9REN, ASSYCE, SUMERSOL, WAGNER SOLAR Institutions: ARGEM, GOBIERNO CANARIAS, EREN
* Provisional results waiting to receive more information of companies and institutions
RESEARCH OF THE EVOLUTION OF THE ESCO SOLAR THERMAL ENERGY SALE *
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
2679
3426
4852M2
THANKS TO: Companies: 9REN, ASSYCE, SUMERSOL, WAGNER SOLAR Institutions: ARGEM, GOBIERNO CANARIAS, EREN
* Provisional results waiting to receive more information of companies and institutions
0
500
1000
1500
2000
MURCIA MADRID CATALUÑA ANDALUCÍA CASTILLA Y LEÓN
CANARIAS
200 332699
Perspectives of development of the Solar Thermal marketin the frame of the new PER:
4 Global Market
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
376000432000497000
572000658000
756000
870000
1000000
1150000
1323000
ICAREN
SUBSIDIES
Perspectives of development of the Solar Thermal market in the frame of the new PER: new installed per year
M2
ICAREN
SUBSIDIES
CTE
TOTAL0
200000
400000
600000
2011 2012 2013 20142015
20162017
20182019
2020
SUBSIDIES
CTE
TOTAL
Perspectives of development of the Solar Thermal market in the frame of the new PER: new installed per year & accumulated
