southeast michigan council of governments. livingston washtenaw monroe oakland wayne macomb st....
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Southeast Michigan Council of Governments
LivingstonLivingston
WashtenawWashtenaw
MonroeMonroe
OaklandOakland
WayneWayne
MacombMacomb
St. ClairSt. Clair
SEMCOGSEMCOG RegionRegion
Origin and Destination of Commercial Origin and Destination of Commercial Vehicle Traffic Across Ambassador Vehicle Traffic Across Ambassador
BridgeBridge
Source: National Roadside Survey, 1999
Origin and Destination of Commercial Origin and Destination of Commercial Vehicles Across Blue Water BridgeVehicles Across Blue Water Bridge
Source: National Roadside Survey, 1999
Annual Volumes for Road Border Annual Volumes for Road Border Crossings in Southeast Michigan by Crossings in Southeast Michigan by
Mode, 1995 to 2007Mode, 1995 to 2007
Source: Bridge and Tunnel Operators Association
Annual Volumes for Road Border Annual Volumes for Road Border Crossings in Southeast Michigan by Crossings in Southeast Michigan by
Crossing, 1995 to 2007Crossing, 1995 to 2007
Source: Bridge and Tunnel Operators Association
Annual Passenger Car Volumes for Annual Passenger Car Volumes for Road Border Crossings in SE Michigan Road Border Crossings in SE Michigan
by Crossing, 1995 to 2007by Crossing, 1995 to 2007
Source: Bridge and Tunnel Operators Association
Annual Truck Volumes for Road Border Annual Truck Volumes for Road Border Crossings in SE Michigan by Crossing, Crossings in SE Michigan by Crossing,
1995 to 20071995 to 2007
Source: Bridge and Tunnel Operators Association
Long-Term Freight Forecast, Long-Term Freight Forecast, 20352035
Source: FAF2
Border Crossing ProjectionBorder Crossing Projection
Source: DRIC
U.S and Canada Trade U.S and Canada Trade Facts and Figures:Facts and Figures:
• U.S merchandise trade with Canada is over $400 billion.
• Forty three percent of the U.S-Canada trade, totaling over $140 billion annually, crosses at Southeast Michigan/Southwest Ontario border.
• The trade between Michigan and Canada over $70 billion.
• U.S imported $138 billion in goods from Ontario in 2004, and exported $117 billion worth of goods to Ontario.
Southeast Michigan Border Southeast Michigan Border Crossing Traffic Highlights:Crossing Traffic Highlights:
• The Ambassador Bridge is the busiest international commercial crossing in North America with over 3.2 million truck crossings in 2006 with goods values at $100 billion.
• The Blue Water Bridge is second only to the Ambassador Bridge in U.S/Canada truck crossings with 1.5 million in 2006 and a value of $70 billion.
Valuable GatewaysValuable GatewaysTop 5 U.S. Ports by Value for North American Trade in 2007
(Current $, billions)
Rank Port name State Total U.S. Trade
1 Detroit MI 137
2 Laredo TX 110
3 Buffalo-Niagara Falls NY 79
4 Port Huron MI 77
5 El Paso TX 49
Source: USDOT TransBorder
Regional Development Regional Development ForecastForecast
• PopulationPopulation
• Employment Employment
• Labor forceLabor force
Labor ForceLabor Force
• AgingAging
• Physical vs. knowledge-basedPhysical vs. knowledge-based
• Brain drainBrain drain
RDF Summary RDF Summary
• Domestic auto industry sufferingDomestic auto industry suffering• Employment up 7% by 2035Employment up 7% by 2035• Population up 3% by 2035Population up 3% by 2035• Households up 13% by 2035Households up 13% by 2035• An aging population and workforceAn aging population and workforce• Education levels need to improveEducation levels need to improve
Conclusion Conclusion
Border InvestmentsBorder Investments
• Blue Water Bridge U.S. PlazaBlue Water Bridge U.S. Plaza
• Ambassador Bridge Gateway ProjectAmbassador Bridge Gateway Project
• Detroit River International Crossing Detroit River International Crossing ProjectProject
• Operations (e.g., ITS)Operations (e.g., ITS)
• Private investmentPrivate investment
Data GapsData Gaps• Truck RoutingTruck Routing• Tying Freight to EconomyTying Freight to Economy
• Value of Border to Host CommunitiesValue of Border to Host Communities
• Pass-Through Trips (especially passenger)Pass-Through Trips (especially passenger)• Empty Truck TripsEmpty Truck Trips• Improved ComparabilityImproved Comparability• Consistent Data ReleaseConsistent Data Release
Southeast Michigan Council of Governments
Employment Employment
Percent Concentration by Sector Percent Concentration by Sector in Southeast Michigan in Southeast Michigan
vs. United Statesvs. United States20052005
IndustryIndustry
Motor vehicles and parts manufacturingMotor vehicles and parts manufacturing(production plants)(production plants)
PercentagePercentage
+680%+680%
-22%-22%
-1%-1%
Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast
ConcentrationConcentrationRelativeRelative
Manufacturing except motor vehiclesManufacturing except motor vehiclesand partsand parts
Private nonmanufacturingPrivate nonmanufacturing
Manufacturing (Production) Manufacturing (Production) EmploymentEmployment
United States, 2001-2035United States, 2001-2035
Mill
ion
s
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
0
Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast
Manufacturing (Production) Manufacturing (Production) Employment: Total and Employment: Total and Motor Vehicles & Parts Motor Vehicles & Parts
Southeast Michigan, 2001-2035Southeast Michigan, 2001-2035
0
300
400
350
250
Th
ou
san
ds
450
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Total ManufacturingTotal Manufacturing
Motor Vehicles & PartsMotor Vehicles & Parts
50
150
100
200
Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast
Total EmploymentTotal Employment Southeast Michigan, 2001-2035Southeast Michigan, 2001-2035
0
2.7
2.9
2.8
2.6
Mill
ion
s
3.0
2001
Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Population Population
PopulationPopulation Southeast Michigan, 2001-2035Southeast Michigan, 2001-2035
0
4.8
5.0
4.9
4.7
Mill
ion
s
5.1
2001
Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0 to 24 25 to 44 45 to 64 65 plus
2005
Population Age GroupsPopulation Age Groups Southeast Michigan, 2005 and 2035Southeast Michigan, 2005 and 2035
2035Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast
Average Annual Growth Average Annual Growth in the Labor Forcein the Labor Force
U.S. and SEMCOG Region, 1990-2035U.S. and SEMCOG Region, 1990-20352.0%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.0%
-0.5%
-1.0%
Source: SEMCOG 2035 Forecast
1990-1995
1995-2000
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2025-2030
2030-2035
SEMCOG RegionU.S.
Percent College Graduates Percent College Graduates Adults Age 25+Adults Age 25+
1990 and 20051990 and 2005
20 20 1919
27 27 2525
2828
17 17
U.S.U.S. MichiganMichigan Southeast MichiganSoutheast Michigan
Per
cen
t w
ith
a B
ach
elo
r's
Per
cen
t w
ith
a B
ach
elo
r's
Deg
ree
or
Hig
her
Deg
ree
or
Hig
her
19901990 20052005
Source: 1990 Census and 2005 American Community Survey
Migration by Age and EducationMigration by Age and Education1995-20001995-2000
Age in 2000Age in 2000
Without College DegreeWithout College Degree
20 to 2420 to 2425 to 3425 to 3435 to 5435 to 54
54 and over54 and overTotalTotal
With College DegreeWith College Degree20 to 2420 to 2425 to 3425 to 3435 to 5435 to 54
54 and over54 and overTotalTotal
Net DomesticNet DomesticMigrationMigration
-19,070-19,0702,7162,716
-16,985-16,985-32,624-32,624-71,395-71,395
-920-920
-1,881-1,881-4,280-4,280
-10,893-10,893-14,212-14,212
InternationalInternationalIn-MigrationIn-Migration
9, 9079, 90716,23316,23316,08816,088
5,8335,83348,06148,061
2,9032,903
17,43117,43111,81911,819
1,7811,78133,93433,934
Border Crossing TrendsBorder Crossing Trends
Source: BTOA
15,069,601
22,304,179
19,442,0175,262,080
5,128,491
3,664,513
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
An
nu
al
Vo
lum
es
Trucks Passenger Cars
Annual Volumes for Ambassador Annual Volumes for Ambassador Bridge, Blue Water Bridge and Detroit-Bridge, Blue Water Bridge and Detroit-
Windsor Tunnel, 1995-2006Windsor Tunnel, 1995-2006
9,680,232
12,440,026
7,221,749
5,331,751
5,976,831
5,510,120
5,457,1646,982,059
9,608,655
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
1990
19911992
19931994
19951996
19971998
19992000
20012002
20032004
20052006
Detroit Windsor Tunnel
Blue Water Bridge Ambassador Bridge
Annual Traffic Volumes, 1990-Annual Traffic Volumes, 1990-20062006
An
nu
al
Vo
lum
es
6,113,114
8,924,5717,497,940
3,686,528
4,390,302
3,796,572
5,269,959
9,337,106
8,147,505
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Det-Wind-Passenger BlueWater-Passenger Ambassador-Passenger
Annual Passenger Car Volumes for Ambassador Bridge, Annual Passenger Car Volumes for Ambassador Bridge, Blue Water Bridge and Detroit –Windsor Tunnel, 1995-2006Blue Water Bridge and Detroit –Windsor Tunnel, 1995-2006
3,498,127
3,238,474
3,486,110
2,218,596
1,636,5201,799,371
1,178,730
152,963127,433
267,187
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Ambassador-Trucks Blue Water-Truck Detroit-Windsor-Truck
Annual Truck Volumes for Ambassador Annual Truck Volumes for Ambassador Bridge, Blue Water Bridge and Detroit –Bridge, Blue Water Bridge and Detroit –
Windsor Tunnel, 1995-2006Windsor Tunnel, 1995-2006
An
nu
al
Vo
lum
es