space environment center service start to finish joe hirman sec lab review 11-12 july 2000
TRANSCRIPT
Space Environment Center
Service Start to Finish
Joe HirmanSEC Lab Review11-12 July 2000
Space Environment Center
Service, Start to Finish
Understand space environment and its consequence on users
Translate user needs into space weather products and services
Evaluate and improve customer service
Space Environment Center
Understand space environment and its consequence on users
Understanding Space environment and space weatherImpacts on technology and user applications Cutting edge users
Space Environment Center
The Space Environment
Space Environment Center
Some Effects of Space Weather
Space Environment Center
Cutting Edge Users
Space Environment Center
Understand space environment and its consequence on users
Understanding Space environment and space weatherImpacts on technology and user applications Cutting edge users
EducationSpace Weather WeekIndustry/trade meetingsMedia, general publicPublications, web, telephone, mail
Space Environment Center
Understand space environment effects and user needs
Understanding Space environment and space weatherImpacts on technology and user applications Cutting edge users
EducationSpace Weather WeekIndustry/trade meetingsMedia, general publicPublications, web, telephone, mail
ConsiderationsGeneral vs. specific and Environment vs. effectUser requests and Forecaster needsChanges in scientific understanding,
technology and user application
Space Environment Center
The Solar Year
The solar x-ray images are from the Yohkoh mission of ISAS, Japan. The x-ray telescope was prepared by the Lockheed Palo Alto Research Laboratory, the National Astronomical Observatory of Japan, and the University of Tokyo with the support of NASA and ISAS. G.L. Slater and G.A. Linford
Space Environment Center
Recent major improvements
Scientific UnderstandingCME vs. Flare as a major source of space weatherSolar wind signatures leading to geomagnetic activitySolar features predicting solar eruptions
Research data and modelsSolar wind data from ACESolar images from SOHOPhysics based models (MSM)
TechnologyPC computersInternet - WEB
Space Environment Center
User Applications
Grow over Time
Space Environment Center
Translate user needs into space weather products and services
Identify productsSpecificationWarnings and ForecastsEvent analysis (alerts)Data and models
Space Environment Center
Translate user needs into space weather products and services
Identify productsSpecificationWarnings and ForecastsEvent analysis (alerts)Data and models
Develop serviceAcquire and process dataTranslate data into informationProduce products24/7 Joint operations
Space Environment Center
Limited Observations
Space Environment Center
Data into InformationObservations
Data Compilation
Data transmission
Information Processing
Analysis
Product Generation
Dissemination to Users
Space Environment Center
Space Weather vs. Weather
Space Environment Center
Application
Space Environment Center
The Nation’s Space Weather ServiceSEC Provides Services through…
Space Environment Center
Space Weather Operations
Space Environment Center
Translate user needs into space weather products and services
Identify productsSpecificationWarnings and ForecastsEvent analysis (alerts)Data and models
Develop serviceAcquire and process dataTranslate data into informationProduce products 24/7 Joint operation
Deliver informationDissemination using latest technologyVendors of Space Weather Services
Space Environment Center
Evaluate and Improve Customer Service
Apply service standardsPublished customer service standardsResponsible scientist for major data setsQuality control of products and services
Space Environment Center
Evaluate and Improve Customer Service
Apply service standardsPublished customer service standardsResponsible scientist for major data setsQuality control of products and services
Perform product evaluationForecast verificationSurveys User feedback
Space Environment Center
Evaluate and Improve Customer Service
Apply service standardsPublished customer service standardsResponsible scientist for major data setsQuality control of products and services
Perform product evaluationForecast verificationSurveys User feedback
Facilitate improvementsInteractions with research communityTransition research results into operations (RPC)Feedback to users, vendors, researchers,…
Space Environment Center
NOAA Space Weather Scales
Measures: Kp GOES >10 MeV protons Goes X-Rays
Extreme
Severe
Strong
Moderate
Minor
GeomagneticStorms
Solar RadiationStorms
Radio Blackouts
5 High Radiation
Hazard
4 Power GridInstability
3 HF Blackout
for an Hour
2
Infrequent SEU
1 Minor Impact on Satellites
Space Environment Center
Transition Projects Underway
CTIM — owner Tim Fuller-RowellIDS — owner Tom DeFoorIMAGE — owner Terry OnsagerMagnetopause — owner Tom DetmanRelativistic Electrons — owner Capt Chris Smithtro Solar2000 — owner Rod ViereckStorm — owner Tim Fuller-RowellSXI — owner Steve HillWang Sheeley — owner Vic PizzoSPE – owner Howard GarciaKp – owner Tom Detman
Space Environment Center
Transition Projects Needed
Real-time quality diagnostics of issued forecastsModel Output Statistics-type guidance for all forecastsGeomagnetic storm end-time forecastPrediction of geomagnetic activity from CME observationsEUV indexRadiation belt indexBetter ability to forecast from coronal hole observationsImproved image analysis capabilities
Space Environment Center
Forecaster Needs(NOAA and USAF)
Improve geomagnetic A, K and probability forecasts (hours to days).
Improve Solar Particle Events (SPE) forecasts to include start, max, end times; peak flux, spectra; fluence; and probability of occurrence.
Improve short-term (days) F10.7 forecasts.
Improve short-term (days) x-ray flare predictions.
Space Environment Center
Service, Start to Finish — Summary
UnderstandingSpace environmentEffects Users
DevelopmentProductsServiceDelivery
ImprovementsEvaluationTransitionFeedback
Space Environment Center
Space Weather Operations