space/gmes and climate change
DESCRIPTION
Space/GMES and Climate Change. Mikko Strahlendorff, GMES Bureau. GMES Overall View. USERS. Policy Makers. Private, Commercial. &. &. What is their need?. Public. Examples of Services Provided. Farming. Arctic change. Oil Spill Tracking. Air Quality. Flood. Surveillance. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Space/GMES and Climate Change
Mikko Strahlendorff, GMES Bureau
GMES Overall View
What is their need?
Oil Spill TrackingFarming Flood
Land Marine Atmosphere Emergency
Policy Makers Public&
USERS
OBSERVATION
Space Infrastructure
In Situ Infrastructure&
Air Quality
Private, Commercial&
Sustainable observation
Surveillance
Security
Arctic change
Examples ofServices Provided
InformationServices
Climate
GMES Components
GMES is an EU led initiative
In-situ component – coordinated by EEA
• Observations mostly within national responsibility• with coordination at European level • air, sea- and ground-based systems and instruments
Space Component – coordinated by ESA
• Sentinels - EO missions developed specifically for GMES:• Contributing Missions - EO missions built for purposes other than • GMES but offering part of their capacity to GMES
(EU/ESA MSs, EUMETSAT, commercial, international) Service Component – coordinated by EC
• Earth System services - Land, Atmosphere, Marine• Crosscutting services - Emergency response, Security, Climate
Change
Sea Level Change 1970-2010
GMES soon EU programme
Commission Proposal for a RegulationEuropean earth observation Programme GMES
and its initial operations (2011-2013) adopted on 20 May 2009 - codecision in high gear
• Main objectives European earth observation programme
scope, organisational arrangements, data policy, infrastructure
6 thematic areas: land, ocean, atmosphere, emergency, security & climate change
Rules for initial operationspropose supplementary funding
Council requests on CC
• Space Council September 2008 Recognised space & CC as key priority Asked for study on needs for full access to
standardised data/for increased computing power
Called on EC to define how GMES services and European space observation archives can contribute most effectively to the provision of data
• Competitiveness Council December 2008 invited EC to foster the implementation of the
GMES climate change monitoring to support the EU policies
EC response
• JRC hosted a workshop incl. EC, space agencies, meteorological and research org.
• As a result a study report has been drafted summarising the workshop findings Need for standardised data confirmed Need for more distributed computing and
networking confirmed Absolute need for operational funding for global re-
analysis No need for central CC research Institute.
• Outcome justifies moving forward on the political front, especially with announced EC priorities for the years to come: ”need to provide necessary data basis for our policies, especially adaptation”
• GCOS has made global plan for UNFCCC and GEO • EUMETSAT operational activities with own satellites;
climate requirements in future programmes & produce climate data records from archives (SAFs)
• ESA building Sentinels for GMES as operational fleet from 2012 onwards and has many research missions 6-year Climate Change Initiative
• ECMWF has global atmospheric reanalysis modelling
• GMES reanalysis of ECVs in service precursors (MyOcean,MACC) & 3 climate projects in call 2009
• FP7 Environment: research projects on Climate scenarios, Adaptation costs, Regional CC impacts etc.
Situation today
Way forward: Space obs
• Europe needs a long-term collection from space to assess climate variables
• Continue with ESA and EUMETSAT actions• Add GMES Sentinels as new continuous
component• Archive all to enable reprocessing & finding
new information in old records • Complement Space with globally distributed in-
situ to maximise information quality and coverage
Way forward: Exploit space-derived climate data
• Europe needs operational assimilation, processing and reanalysis of satellite-derived data for long-term, continuous and consistent climate information
• ECMWF has capacity for global reanalysis• Until now only time-limited research funding• Need to establish sustained operational
services• All ECVs need to be assessed under resource
constrains
RTDENV/CC
Service process scheme
ESA CCI or EUM SAFs
GMES
LandMCS
MarineCS
GAtmosCST
CD
R=
NR
T E
CV
products
GCC service
Coupled (L,M,A)
Global / EUReAnalysis
+Impact models
Delayed consistent E
CV
tim
e series and impact stats
Users: Socio
economic Models;
Environm. Assessment; Downstream
services; Policy
Makers; Scientists
ES
A / E
UM
ET
SA
Tsatellite data processing
Fundam
ental Clim
ate DR
CC models• initialisation• prediction
Conclusions
• use current GMES resources to start for sustaining the most crucial climate services
• coordinate with all relevant European actors the information processing activities: from “observations” up to “inputs to decision-makers” with coherence between actors including organising reanalysis and climate scenario production
• prioritise observation requirements for climate monitoring in designing future observation systems;
• develop with European actors a proactive strategy with international partners to jointly meet the challenge of providing the best global knowledge base on climate using existing frameworks