spar nord roadshow q2 2011 nord bank jyske bank sydbank side 10 divestment of leasing activities to...
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UNLEASHING THE POTENTIALSpar Nord Roadshow Q2 2011
Lasse Nyby, CEO, [email protected] Madsen, SVP, [email protected]
side 2side 2
KEY MESSAGES • In spite of continued turmoil in Danish banking
sector, our performance is steadily returning to normal levels
• Our asset quality remains among the best in class –and costs are under firm control
• Future funding challenge solved completely through divestment of leasing operation
• In a market with relatively low demand, business growth is to come from increased market share
• Our investment in geographic expansion is beginning to pay off
• Amendments to Danish Bank Package 3 reduces uncertainty around Danish banking sector
• At a P/NAV of 0.5 and a 2012 P/E of 5.0, pricing looks attractive
side 3
SPAR NORD AT A GLANCE
5th largest retail bank in Denmark
285,000 customers – steadily growing– 253,000 household– 32,000 corporate
69 branches– 42 in North Jutland – 27 outside North Jutland– Since 2002, 25 new branches outside North Jutland opened or
acquired, 22 branches in North Jutland closed
Business volume: DKK 81.2 billion– Lending: DKK 41.0 billion– Deposits: DKK 36.3 billion– Guarantees: DKK: DKK 3.9 billion
Three business units– Retail banking– Trading and Markets– [Leasing]
1,475 employees
110,000 shareholders– Spar Nord Foundation: 29 per cent– Institutional & professional: 21 per cent– Private & employees: 50 per cent
Market leader in North Jutland30 percent market-share on personal customers25 percent market-share on corporate customers
spar nord
Herningspar nord
Århus
spar nord
Horsensspar nord
Vejlespar nord
Fredericiaspar nord
Kolding spar nord
Odense spar nord
Næstved
spar nord
Silkeborg
spar nord
København
spar nord
Skive
spar nord
Middelfart
spar nord
Slagelsespar nord
Køge
spar nord
Ikast
spar nord
Jebjergspar nord
Randers
spar nord
Esbjerg
spar nord
Århusspar nord
Helsingør
spar nord
Roskilde
spar nord
Holbæk
spar nord
Nyborgspar nord
Svendborg
Challenger outside North Jutland3 percent nationwide market-shareon personal customers4 percent nationwide market-share on corporate customers
spar nord
Hillerød
side 4
2008-10: THREE YEARS OF TURMOIL AND MODEST ROE- AND BLACK NUMBERS ON THE BOTTOM LINE
Growth in core earnings driven by higher lending margins
Hard times for agriculture and SME visible in impairment charges
DKK700 million contribution to sector bail-outs
But all in all, we have made it through the rough times in good shape
577
1.003 933
236
584454
291 324811331451240
250
500
750
1.000
1.250
2008 2009 2010
Core earnings before impairment ImpairmentsSector Fund Profit before tax
DKKmPeriod of Bank package I - results
3,6 3,23,1
0
5
2008 2009 2010
Pct.
Return on equity
side 6
HOW CREDIT QUALITY BECAME ONE OF OUR STRENGTHS
Firm focus on household customers and local SMEs
Cautious approach to commercial real-estate– Especially in the Copenhagen market
No customer commitments exceeding 10 per cent of equity (limit set at DKK 400 million)
– Unsecured portion never exceeding DKK 150 million
Centralized monitoring of all new commitments exceeding– DKK 300,000 (corporate)– DKK 100,000 (household)
LOAN BOOK – DIVERSIFIED EXPOSURE
Strong diversification in terms of lines of business and size of commitment
Household customers account for 30 per cent of loan book
Comfortably modest exposure to commercial real-estate
– Low exposure in Copenhagen market
• Bank exposure to agriculture above sector average
Specification of agricultural exposure– Cattle: DKK 1.2 bn. (2.6 per cent.)– Pigs: DKK 1.1 bn. (2.4 per cent.)– Plants: DKK 0.4 bn. (0.9 per cent.)– Others: 0.9 bn. (1.9 per cent.)
side 7
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GREAT FOCUS ON STRATEGIC LIQUIDITY
Excess coverage relative to strategic target of DKK 3.3bn.
State-guaranteed bonds issues totaling DKK 7.2 billion
– Maturing gradually in 2011-13
Actions taken in Q2– 2 non-guaranteed bonds issues totaling
DKK 1.7 billion– Process towards divestment of leasing
activities
0
2
4
6
8
10
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2009 2010 2011
Strategic targetDKKb
1.491
992
3.727
2.519
831.000
20220
2.000
4.000
6.000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Senior loans Step-up notes Issued bonds
DKKm Senior loans maturity
DKKbQ4
2010Q1
2011Q2
2011Bank deposits 30,4 30,6 30,1Seniorfunding 9,4 9,3 10,9Core capital and sub. capital 6,9 6,9 7,0Stable long term funding 46,6 46,8 48,0Bank loans 38,4 38,5 40,4
Maturity < 1 year -2,3 -4,2 -4,2
Strategic target (>0) 5,9 4,1 3,3
0
5
10
15
2007 2008 2009 2010 YTD2011
Core capital ratio Hybrid capital
Tier 1 ratioPct.
side 9
CAPITAL ADEQUACY – CURRENT STATE-OF-AFFAIRS AND FUTURE CONSIDERATIONS
Pct. 2009 2010Q1
2011Q2
2011Core capital ratio 9,3 9,3 9,8 9,7Hybrid capital 3,9 3,8 3,8 3,8Tier 1 ratio 13,2 13,2 13,6 13,6Subordinated debt 2,6 2,0 2,0 2,0Deductions -1,7 -1,8 -1,8 -1,7Solvency ratio 14,2 13,4 13,9 13,8
Solvency ratio at 13.8 – up from 13.4 at year-end
– Growth in core capital– Small reduction in RWA
Individual solvency requirement of 8.5 per cent
Excess coverage of DKK 2.3bn– Capital requirement DKK 3,7bn– Core capital after deductions DKK
6.0bn
Core Tier 1 below peers– Calculated using Basel II standard
method– Hybrid core capital vs. core capital
Capital ratioscompared to peers
9,7
13,6 13,8
12,8
14,5
16,0
12,5
14,1
15,1
0
5
10
15
20
Corecapitalratio
Tier 1ratio
Solvencyratio
Pct.
Spar Nord Bank Jyske Bank Sydbank
side 10
DIVESTMENT OF LEASING ACTIVITIES TO SOLVE FUTURE FUNDING CHALLANGE AND STRENGTHEN CORE CAPITAL
Finans Nord has been a success story– Dominant position in several areas of Danish leasing market– Market-leader in operational car leasing (Easyfleet)– Growth in Sweden (Finans Nord AB)– Robust earnings for 20 years
Depressed funding market is threatening Spar Nord’s business case– Leasing is marginal funding – and funding has become scarce and expensive– Spar Nord is no longer the right owner for a leasing company with further growth potential
Expected effects of divestment– Improvement of strategic liquidity by approx DKK 7 billion – corresponding to the size of Spar
Nord’s state-guaranteed funding– Markedly reduced need for senior funding– Improvement of core tier 1 by approx 1.8 pp
2011: MOVING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION ON MAJOR KPIs
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
YTD 07 YTD 08 YTD 09 YTD 10 YTD 11
DKKm Profit before tax
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
YTD 07 YTD 08 YTD 09 YTD 10 YTD 11
DKKm Costs ex. Depriciations from operational leasing
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
YTD 07 YTD 08 YTD 09 YTD 10 YTD 11
Pct. ROE before tax
-1,0
-0,5
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
YTD 07 YTD 08 YTD 09 YTD 10 YTD 11
Pct. Impairment in pct.
side 11
…IN A CHALLENGING ENVIRONMENT
side 12
Bankruptcies
UnemploymentBNP growth
Foreclosures
Sources: Spar Nord
-8,0
-6,0
-4,0
-2,0
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
BNP, pct. y-y
Growth
2010: 1,7%2011: 1,2%2012: 1,4%
Spar Nord estimate
Trendgrowth: 1,0%!
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11
Bankrupcies
Bankrupcies
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
93 96 99 02 05 08 11
Foreclosures
Foreclosures
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Net unemployed Gross unemployed
PercentJobtraining!
INVESTMENT IN NATIONWIDE PRESENCE IS BEGINNING TO PAY OFF
Branches Volume PPP
2000
2006
2011
North Jutland Outside North Jutland
side 13
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THE LOCAL STRATEGY – OUR APPROACH TO RETAIL BANKING
We focus on core business
– Household customers and local SMEs– No large single exposures
We aim to combine the qualities of a local bank with the strengths of a nationwide chain
– Franchise philosophy – local decision making and “ownership”– Centralized credit granting and monitoring– Strong central support organisation– A nationwide local bank
We are genuinely involved in our customers’ lives and the life of the local area
– We let our local people front the bank in the local area (PR, marketing, networking etc.)– All local managers and key staff live in the local area (a strong local network is a key parameter
in our recruiting)– Strong support from the Spar Nord Foundation – money is put to work locally
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WE GROW IN NEW AREAS BECAUSE CUSTOMERS LIKE OUR DIFFERENT APROACH TO RETAIL BANKING
Among large banks, our customer satisfaction and loyalty among household customers is best-in-class
– Many Danes tend to prefer small and local enterprises – and retail banking is all about personal relations
– We have had very little bad publicity – and as a result our image has been relatively strengthened during the rough years
Corporate customers (SME segment) rate Spar Nord top – overall and in several specific categories
– Level of professional competence– Quality of personal relation– Decision speed
Great potential for growing – if we make more potential customers aware of our existence and qualities
Sources: Ritzau Economy, CEM institute - Aalund Research
CUSTOMER INFLUX GAINING MOMENTUM THANKS TO EXPANSION AND INCREASED VISIBILITY IN THE MARKET
Net customer intake
49475 -25
1225
3209
4409
5583
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
2011
Net customer intake (Private)
Net customer intake (Corporate)
Net customer intake (Accumulated)
150
200
250
300
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 YTD 11
Thousands Number of customers
side 16
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TIME FOR CUSTOMERS – OUR STRATEGY PLAN FOR 2011-13
More customers – more business
– Capitalizing on our investment in geographical expansion– 10,000 new household customers and 1,000 new corporate customers net per year– 5 per cent annual growth in average business volume per customer
Sharper focus – stronger chain
– Increasing advisors’ customer time to 55 per cent– Investment in IT systems facilitating customer service– Increasing attention to economics of scale in branch networks
Better bank – better bottom line
– Cost/Income Ratio of 0.55– Impairment percentage in top third of peer group– Basis for repaying State funded hybrid core capital
side 18side 18
H1 2011: PTP OF DKK191 MILLIONS AND ROE OF 8.7 PER CENT
SPAR NORD BANK Realized Realized
DKKm YTD 2010 YTD 2011
Net interest income 804 796 -1Netfees, charges and commissions 250 252 1Market-value adjustments 160 98 -39Other income 59 62 5Core income Ex. operational leasing 1.272 1.208 -5Earnings from operational leasing 33 69 108Core income 1.305 1.277 -2Staff costs 505 494 -2Costs ex. depriciations from operational leasing 826 806 -3Depriciations from operational leasing 26 55 110Total costs 853 861 1Core earnings before impairment 452 416 -8Impairments of loans and advances, etc. 230 191 -17Core earnings 223 225 1Investment income -9 3 127Profit/loss on ordinary activities 213 227 7Sector Fund -163 -36 78Profit before tax 50 191 282
Changein pct.
side 19
NET INTEREST INCOME SUSTAINED IN SPITE OF EXTERNAL CHALLENGES
Net interest income of DKK 796 million in H1(H1 2010: DKK 803 million)
Positive impact from– Net customer intake– Margin increases
Negative impact from– Increase in funding costs– Lower interest income from financial
instruments
Two interest hikes in July– Expected effect: DKK 8 million per month
38,8 39,0 38,4 38,5 40,4
0
200
400
600
800
Q22010
Q32010
Q42010
Q12011
Q22011
0
10
20
30
40
50
Net interest income Bank loans
Net interest income and loans volumeDKKm DKKb
Q308 Q 08 Q 09 Q 09 Q309 Q 09 Q 0 Q 0 Q3 0 Q 0 Q Q
Interest margin Interest margin (loans)
Rentemarginal
3,83 3,87 3,803,95 4,04
4,28 4,18 4,09
3,61 3,78 3,78 3,94 3,94 3,95 3,82 3,60
Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111 Q211
å
2
1
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
Q
pct. Interest margin
side 20side 20
NET FEE INCOME KEPT UP BY ASSET MANAGEMENT AND MORTGAGE LENDING
• Net fee income of DKK 252 m (H110: DKK 249 m)
• Growth in asset management and mortgage-credit fees
• Lower guarantee commissions due to fewer land registration applications
• Decrease from Q1 to Q2 attributable to insurance sales commission being booked in Q1
0
50
100
150
200
Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11
Netfees, charges and commissionsDKKmQ1/Q2: -11 pct.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q210
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
YTD10
YTD11
Assets managementQ1/Q2: -6 pct.
0
20
40
60
80
100
Q210
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
YTD10
YTD11
Other feesQ1/Q2: -38
0
20
40
60
80
100
Q210
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
YTD10
YTD11
Loan transaction feesQ1/Q2: 7 pct.
DKKm
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q210
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
YTD10
YTD11
DKKm
Securities trading and custody accounts
Q1/Q2: 16 pct.
LOWER MARKET-VALUE ADJUSTMENTS IN A CHALLENGING MARKET
0
25
50
75
100
Q22010
Q32010
Q42010
Q12011
Q22011
Market-value adjustmentsDKKm
DKKmYTD
2010YTD
2011 Change
Market-valued adjustments in Trading, Financial Markets & The International Division 65 38 -27Tangible assets 40 18 -22Currency trade and -agio 43 32 -11Total 147 88 -60
Market-value adjustments of DKK 98 million (H110: DKK 160 million)
Lower Market-value adjustments in Trading/Markets Division
– Unfavorable development in spreads– Exposure to higher interest rates
Lower market-value adjustments on sector holdings
– 2010 was unusually high
Slightly lower earnings on customers’ hedging of interest risk and FX risk
side 21
Bonds shown by rating (DKKm) *Q1
2011Q2
2011AAA 7.055 6.174AA 3.864 4.694A 1.045 1.379BBB 2 4B 130 129CC 6 5Not rated 11 1Bonds 12.113 12.386* Incl. spots and forwards
Receivables from credit institutions shown by rating (DKKm)
Q12011
Q22011
AAA 1.013 2.365AA 583 1.144A 957 674BBB 1 4BBNot rated 365 467Not allocated 29 14Receivables from credit institutions 2.948 4.668
AAA50%
AA38%
A11%
B1%
Q22011
AAA51%
A14%
AA25%
Not rated10%
Not allocated0%
Q22011
99 percent of bonds portfolio is attributable to issuers rated A or higher No bonds exposure to Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece or Spain
FINANCIAL CREDIT RISK MAINTAINED AT LOW LEVEL
side 22
COST REDUCTION PROCEEDS AS PLANNED
* Costs ex. operational leasing
0,630,55
0,700,65
0,70
0
200
400
600
Q22010
Q32010
Q42010
Q12011
Q22011
0,0
0,9Costs* and Cost/Income ratioDKKm
Operating expenses(DKKm)
YTD2010
YTD2011 Change
Staff-related expenses 18 18 0Travel expenses 8 8 0Marketing costs 40 49 10IT expenses 124 120 -4Cost of premises 41 39 -2Other administrative expenses 61 42 -19Operating expenses 292 277 -15
Costs(DKKm) YTD 10 YTD 11
Change in pct.
Staff costs 505 494 -2Operating expenses 292 277 -5Depriciations from other assets 30 35 18
Costs ex. depriciations from operational leasing 826 806 -3
Depriciations from operational leasing 26 55 110
Total costs 853 861 1
Total costs reduced by 3 percent (q/q)
Staff costs down 2 percent– Payroll in local banks and support units
reduced by 40 FTE (YoY)
Operating expenses down 5 percent– Reductions on most cost items– Increased marketing spending
Goals– Zero cost growth in 2011– Cost/Income Ratio of 0.55 (long-term)
side 23
IMPAIRMENT PERCENTAGE DOWN TO 0.83 – GUIDANCE LOWERED
0,91 0,85 1,04 0,83 0,85
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q22010
Q32010
Q42010
Q12011
Q22011
-8,00
-1,40
5,20
Impairment and impairment in pct.DKKm
Impairment charges of DKK 191 million YTD – DKK 39 million (17 per cent.) lower than H1 10
Impairment percentage on customer segments– Household: 0.3 p.a.– Corporate incl. agriculture: 1.1 p.a.– Agriculture stand alone: 2.7 p.a.
Improved market conditions for milk producers and plant producers – challenges continue for pig producers
No new areas of credit quality concern
Full-year impairment percentage now expected in the range 0.75-1.0
side 24
side 25
AMENDMENTS TO BANK PACKAGE 3 EXPECTED TO REDUCE UNCERTAINTY AROUND DANISH BANKING SECTOR
• Aim to facilitate sector consolidation– Minimizes risk of defaults and senior debt haircuts
• Cap on sector contribution to depositor guarantee fund– Reduces uncertainty around the financial costs of future collapses
• Official list of systemically important banks– Hopefully, Spar Nord is on the list due to market-share and importance as wholesale provider to
smaller savings banks
Danish National Bank has expanded the collateral basis for banks with sound asset quality
– Not a viable long-term option, but useful if divestment of Finans Nord wears out– Implemented per 1 October 2011
side 26side 26
KEY MESSAGES • In spite of continued turmoil in Danish banking
sector, our performance is steadily returning to normal levels
• Our asset quality remains among the best in class –and costs are under firm control
• Future funding challenge solved completely through divestment of leasing operation
• In a market with relatively low demand, business growth is to come from increased market share
• Our investment in geographic expansion is beginning to pay off
• Amendments to Danish Bank Package 3 reduces uncertainty around Danish banking sector