sparks – financial, legal and social implications€¦ · © the sparks consortium eu fp7...
TRANSCRIPT
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Sparks – Financial, Legal and Social Implications
SPARKS Stakeholder Workshop Cork, Ireland March 25th 2015 Michael Schmidthaler, Johannes Reichl Energieinstitut at the Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Agenda
Assessment of power outage costs – Connect test beds with Blackout-simulator.com – Evaluation of various power outage scenarios
Economic test beds (SWW and 2 additional DSO)
Public acceptance of SG infrastructure (Smart Meters in particular) – Do security measures improve public acceptance? – Economic experiment: Value of data security/privacy
Block 1 Block 2
2
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Block 1: Outage Cost assessment
The costs for security measures range from 0 to ∞ we apply an opportunity cost approach!
“What is the value of uninterrupted power supply?” Aim: assess the societal benefits of different
security levels e.g. as developed in SPARKS – First economic test bed has been started!
3
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Assess the opportunity costs of not improving security
SWW – Wundsiedel first economic test bed
Joint evaluation by top-down and bottom-up approach blackout-simulator.com + DSO-specific elicitation
4
blackout-simulator.com
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Assessment of power outage costs in economic test beds
1. Energy - Analysis of DSO-specific load profiles – Sectoral differences in terms of power dependency – Yearly, weekly, daily load profiles at sector level
2. Economic
– Analysis of value-added processes – Number of inhabitants, socio-demographics, …
3. Operational capabilities
– Restoration time,…
5
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Analysis at DSO level – briefly!
SWW – first economic test bed: – Methodology has been developed – Easy-to-implement for DSO (research is cost neutral)
Daily load: 1 Shift profile Annual load: highly seasonal profile 6
Examples of the assessment done at
DSO level
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Benefits to DSO/Community
Knowledge of sector-specific damages & households – Identify vulnerable customer segments – Energy not supplied (kWh), Value of Lost Load (€/kWh),…
Economic test Beds: Joint consideration with security costs and reduced probability of major interruptions – Important for: regulatory negotiations, investments, etc...
Methodology developed in Sparks Research is cost neutral to you!: win-win situation!
7
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Next steps
1. Define security layers; transfer technical details to economic costs & risk reduction
2. Conduct 2 additional economic test beds – methodologyHigh synergies DSO welcome
3. Macroeconomic evaluation of improved security
4. Provide policy recommendations on
security/privacy policies 8
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Block 2: Socio-Economic Research on Infrastructure Acceptance
What drives acceptance of customer-side SG appliances “How are Smart Meters accepted?” – What is the monetary valuation of security/privacy in $? – Should data e.g. be transmitted to central aggregator? – What are the driving factors: income, education, gender
Or put differently: How do we get a better understanding of “the value of privacy/security”?
We have an idea: Empiric experiment! How is it done?
9
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Acceptance/Preference evaluation
One example for this: Assessment of traditional power infrastructure - FP7 (EU 27, N=8,300) – „How would you react to a suggested infrastructure
project (e.g. power pylon) within 250 m of your home?“
10
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Probability of non-acceptance varies substantially in Europe
11
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
What changes that preference structure? Effects of different benefits
12
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Preference assessment in SPARKS
We aim at doing the same (analysis of customer acceptance) for Smart Meter data! – „Which value would you put onto the security of your
personal power consumption data?“ This is feasible by means of an discrete choice econometric setup – We have one idea!
13
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
An Experiment – Research Idea
Data can be accessed (i.e. for research) upon approval by customer transmission via DSO
This is current situation: Data access is possible, though tedious
14
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
An Experiment – Future Scenario
The premium for security of data is what we are
interested in
Customers are given a real offer to buy SM data for scientific
purposes (€ for data)
15
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Real purchase/sale decision
Only 2! different purchase scenarios (simplicity) – Purchse of SM data for research directly from customer
(DSO) using a „secure“ transmission method – Acquisition by – fictional – aggregator and subsequent
transmission to researchers Changes in monetary pay-off
– Data security compromised? – Real pay-off – Target N ≈ 500
16
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Summary: Economics in SPARKS
1. Assess the costs of NOT providing security/power supply to customers! Three economic test beds
2. Find out which security/privacy settings influence peoples‘ acceptance of SG/Smart Meters – I.e. How secure must data be stored/transmitted? – What is the monetary value of security/privacy
17
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Thank you!
Dr. Michael Schmidthaler Dr. Johannes Reichl [email protected] Energieinstitut at the Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria Further Information on economic experiments and assessment tools: [email protected], www.blackout-simulator.com & www.energieinstitut-linz.at
© The SPARKS Consortium EU FP7 Programme Contract No. 608224
Breakout session
Definition of Security/privacy standards – Do frameworks exist which are associated with different levels (e.g. for privacy/security).
Our approach to monetarise opportunity costs of "not-installing" rely on these very
standards...
3 economic test beds (Gerhard): IDEAS who might be interested.
We deem it absolutely important to present the benefits of this (cost quantification) Goal: acquiring the remaining 2 partners for such test beds... NIST triple AAA to maybe B2 or something similar? Or, more colloquially: M490 sub prime to M490 deluxe safe! This would help significantly and was raised also during the last WP5 internal meeting in
Linz (together with Manfred and Gerhard).
19