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Part 6 B. Blijie (2005) “The Impact of Accessibility on Residential Choice: Empirical Results of a Discrete Choice Model” Presented at the 45 th Congress of the European Regional Science Association, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

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Page 1: Spatial part-6

Part 6 B. Blijie (2005) “The Impact of Accessibility on Residential Choice: Empirical Results of a Discrete Choice Model” Presented at the 45th Congress of the European Regional Science Association, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Page 2: Spatial part-6
Page 3: Spatial part-6

45

TH

Co

ng

ress

of

the

Eu

rop

ean

Reg

ion

al

Sci

ence

Ass

oci

ati

on

2

3-2

7 A

ug

ust

20

05

, V

rije

Un

iver

site

it A

mst

erd

am

TH

E I

MP

AC

T O

F A

CC

ES

SIB

ILIT

Y O

N R

ES

IDE

NT

IAL

CH

OIC

E:

EM

PIR

ICA

L R

ES

UL

TS

OF

A D

ISC

RE

TE

CH

OIC

E M

OD

EL

Ber

ry B

liji

e D

elft

Un

iver

sity

of

Tec

hn

olo

gy

D

epar

tmen

t o

f T

ran

spo

rtat

ion

and

Pla

nn

ing

P

.O. B

ox

50

48

, 2

60

0 G

A D

elft

, T

he

Net

her

lands

Em

ail:

h.p

.bli

jie@

citg

.tu

del

ft.n

l

AB

ST

RA

CT

Tra

nsp

ort

in g

ener

al,

and

acc

essi

bil

ity

of

peo

ple

, jo

bs

and

ser

vic

es i

n p

arti

cula

r, i

s as

sum

ed t

o

hav

e an

im

po

rtan

t im

pac

t o

n t

he

resi

den

tial

ch

oic

e b

ehav

ior

of

ho

use

ho

lds.

Aft

er a

ll,

the

amo

un

t o

f ac

tiv

itie

s th

at c

an b

e d

eplo

yed

by t

he

hou

seho

ld m

emb

ers,

wh

eth

er l

abo

r, l

eisu

re o

r so

cial

ly

asso

ciat

ed, is

det

erm

ined

by

the

acce

ssib

ilit

y o

f a

loca

tion

.

Th

e p

ast

dec

ades

th

e re

sid

enti

al l

oca

tio

n c

ho

ice

of

ho

use

ho

lds

has

bee

n s

ub

ject

of

stu

dy

in

man

y

rese

arch

es.

Nev

erth

eles

s, t

he

rela

tio

n b

etw

een

acc

essi

bil

ity

an

d r

esid

enti

al c

ho

ice

has

sh

ow

n t

o

be

har

d t

o v

erif

y e

mp

iric

ally

. S

uch

(em

pir

ical

) k

no

wle

dg

e, h

ow

ever

, ca

n h

elp

ad

dre

ss m

any

of

the

pro

ble

ms

that

urb

an r

egio

ns

are

faci

ng n

ow

aday

s, l

ike

the

(re-

)lo

cati

on o

f re

siden

tial

are

as

and

jo

bs,

th

e p

lan

nin

g o

f n

ew i

nfr

astr

uct

ure

and

pre

dic

tin

g t

he

amo

un

t o

f tr

affi

c g

ener

ated

by

co

mm

uti

ng

an

d l

eisu

re a

ctiv

itie

s.

Th

e fi

rst

par

t o

f th

is p

aper

giv

es a

n o

ver

vie

w o

f th

e li

tera

ture

on

res

iden

tial

ch

oic

e b

ehav

ior,

wit

h

an

emp

has

is

on

re

sear

ch

that

st

ud

ied

th

e re

lati

on

w

ith

acce

ssib

ilit

y.

In

the

seco

nd

hal

f a

theo

reti

cal

mo

del

fo

r re

sid

enti

al c

ho

ice

wil

l b

e p

rese

nte

d,

foll

ow

ed b

y t

he

esti

mat

ion

res

ult

s. T

he

mo

del

is

esti

mat

ed o

n r

evea

led

dat

a d

eriv

ed f

rom

th

e N

atio

nal

Ho

usi

ng

Su

rvey

, in

wh

ich

ov

er 7

5

tho

usa

nd

D

utc

h

ho

use

ho

lds

wer

e in

qu

ired

o

n

thei

r cu

rren

t an

d

pre

vio

us

ho

usi

ng

si

tuat

ion

. D

iffe

ren

t as

pec

ts o

f th

e re

sid

enti

al

cho

ice

dec

isio

n

are

inco

rpo

rate

d

in

the

mod

el,

lik

e th

e dw

elli

ng t

ype,

the

loca

tion o

f th

e dw

elli

ng

, th

e ch

arac

teri

stic

s of

the

hou

sehold

, an

d t

he

infl

uen

ce

of

acce

ssib

ilit

y.

Th

e re

sult

s sh

ow

th

at

so-c

alle

d

ind

ivid

ual

ac

cess

ibil

ity

m

easu

res,

li

ke

mig

rati

on

d

ista

nce

, co

mm

uti

ng

d

ista

nce

an

d

acce

ss

to

pu

bli

c tr

ansp

ort

fo

r h

ou

seh

old

s w

ith

ou

t a

car,

h

ave

a si

gn

ific

ant

infl

uen

ce o

n th

e re

sid

enti

al ch

oic

e b

ehav

ior

of

mo

st o

f th

e h

ou

seh

old

ty

pes

w

e co

nst

ruct

ed.

Nev

erth

eles

s, d

wel

lin

g c

har

acte

rist

ics

and

so

cial

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

qu

alit

ies

are

ver

y

infl

uen

tial

as

wel

l.

KE

YW

OR

DS

: R

esid

enti

al c

ho

ice,

ho

usi

ng

mar

ket

, ac

cess

ibil

ity

, d

iscr

ete

cho

ice.

2

1.

INT

RO

DU

CT

ION

Th

e p

ast

dec

ade

maj

or

chan

ges

hav

e o

ccu

rred

in

th

e D

utc

h h

ou

sin

g m

ark

et,

bo

th i

n t

erm

s o

f th

e

dem

and

, q

uan

tita

tiv

e as

wel

l as

qu

alit

ativ

e, a

nd

th

e su

pp

ly s

ide

of

the

mar

ket

. T

he

new

dem

and

is m

ain

ly a

res

ult

of

dem

og

rap

hic

pro

cess

es:

ph

eno

men

a li

ke

agei

ng

of

the

popu

lati

on a

nd t

he

ind

ivid

ual

izat

ion

of

peo

ple

in

crea

sed

th

e d

eman

d f

or

mo

re (

smal

ler)

dw

elli

ng

s. F

urt

her

mo

re,

alte

red

co

mp

osi

tio

ns

of

ho

use

ho

lds

and

w

elfa

re

situ

atio

ns

lead

to

d

iffe

ren

t p

refe

ren

ces

for

ho

usi

ng

ty

pe

and

att

rib

ute

s. T

he

ho

usi

ng

su

pp

ly f

aces

dif

ficu

ltie

s to

mat

ch t

his

(n

ew)

dem

and

.

This

is

mai

nly

cau

sed b

y t

he

lack

of

avai

lable

lan

d i

n u

rban

ized

are

as a

nd

the

smal

l pro

fits

th

at

can

be

ach

iev

ed b

y b

uil

din

g f

irm

s. T

his

sit

uat

ion

is

also

ack

now

ledged

by t

he

Dutc

h g

ov

ern

men

t

(Min

iste

rie

van

Vo

lksh

uis

ves

tin

g, R

uim

teli

jke

Ord

enin

g e

n M

ilie

ub

ehee

r, 2

00

4).

Th

e ch

ang

ing

ho

usi

ng

mar

ket

in

crea

ses

the

nee

d f

or

a h

ou

seh

old

to

be

flex

ible

wh

en s

earc

hin

g

for

a d

wel

lin

g i

n t

erm

s o

f th

e lo

cati

on

and

th

e d

wel

lin

g t

yp

e. T

he

rela

tiv

ely

wel

l-d

evel

op

ed

tran

spo

rt s

yst

em i

n t

he

Net

her

lan

ds

is p

artl

y a

ble

to

fac

ilit

ate

this

fle

xib

ilit

y.

On

th

e o

ther

han

d,

incr

easi

ng c

onges

tion p

rob

lem

s or

the

abse

nce

of

good p

ubli

c tr

ansp

ort

may

mak

e a

loca

tion l

ess

attr

acti

ve

to s

ettl

e. T

he

cho

ice

to w

hic

h d

wel

ling

a h

ou

seh

old

fin

ally

rel

oca

tes

is d

eter

min

ed b

y

the

resi

den

tial

cho

ice

beh

avio

r.

Th

e re

sid

enti

al c

ho

ice

beh

avio

r is

an

im

po

rt i

ssu

e in

th

e h

ou

sin

g m

ark

et.

We

def

ine

this

beh

avio

r

as t

he

cho

ice

for

a d

wel

lin

g o

n a

lo

cati

on

by

a h

ou

seh

old

. W

e as

sum

e th

at t

his

beh

avio

r is

det

erm

ined

by

th

ree

typ

es o

f ch

arac

teri

stic

s, n

amel

y a

spec

ts o

f th

e d

wel

ling

, th

e lo

cati

on

of

the

dw

elli

ng

an

d t

he

ho

use

ho

ld t

hat

is

relo

cati

ng

. T

o u

nd

erst

and

th

e co

nse

qu

ence

s o

f ch

ang

es a

nd

(po

licy

) in

terf

eren

ce i

n t

he

hou

sing

mar

ket

, w

e n

eed

to

kno

w m

ore

of

this

beh

avio

r.

Th

is p

aper

des

crib

es t

he

resu

lts

of

an e

mp

iric

al m

od

el t

hat

ex

pla

ins

resi

den

tial

beh

avio

r. T

he

cen

tral

go

al o

f th

is p

aper

is

to r

evea

l th

e in

flu

ence

of

acce

ssib

ilit

y o

n r

esid

enti

al c

ho

ice

beh

avio

r,

wh

ile

con

tro

llin

g f

or

oth

er r

elo

cati

on

iss

ues

. In

this

stu

dy

we

def

ine

acce

ssib

ilit

y a

s th

e re

lati

ve

ease

th

at i

s ta

kes

to

rea

ch c

erta

in f

un

ctio

ns,

in

ter

ms

of

tim

e an

d/o

r m

on

ey (

Geu

rs &

Rit

sem

a v

an

Eck

, 2

00

1).

In

ord

er t

o d

o t

his

, w

e es

tim

ated

a d

iscr

ete

cho

ice

mo

del

on

rev

eale

d p

refe

ren

ce d

ata

(i.e

. a

larg

e su

rvey

on

ho

usi

ng

dem

and

in

th

e N

eth

erla

nd

s).

Page 4: Spatial part-6

3

Th

e n

oti

on

of

a ce

ntr

al r

ole

of

acce

ssib

ilit

y i

n r

esid

enti

al b

ehav

ior

is m

oti

vat

ed i

n t

he

seco

nd

par

agra

ph o

f th

is s

ecti

on.

Nev

erth

eles

s, a

s w

e w

ill

see

from

in t

he

lite

ratu

re r

evie

w,

acce

ssib

ilit

y

is n

ot

oft

en a

ver

y s

tron

g e

xp

lan

ato

ry v

aria

ble

in r

esid

enti

al c

ho

ice

mo

del

s, a

t le

ast

no

t in

ter

ms

of

clas

sica

l, m

ore

gen

eric

acc

essi

bil

ity

mea

sure

s, l

ike

the

nu

mb

er o

f in

hab

itan

ts o

r jo

bs

wit

hin

a

par

ticu

lar

amo

un

t o

f tr

avel

ti

me.

T

his

is

w

hy

w

e w

ant

to

focu

s o

n

so-c

alle

d

ind

ivid

ual

acce

ssib

ilit

y m

atte

rs,

wh

ich

co

mes

clo

ser

to t

he

actu

al h

ou

seh

old

’s p

erce

pti

on

of

acce

ssib

ilit

y,

nam

ely

th

e ea

se t

hat

(fr

equ

entl

y c

on

du

cted

) ac

tiv

itie

s ca

n b

e d

eplo

yed

.

2.

BA

CK

GR

OU

ND

Nu

mer

ou

s m

eth

od

s h

ave

bee

n d

evel

op

ed a

nd

ap

pli

ed t

o d

eriv

e th

e d

eter

min

ing

fac

tors

of

the

resi

den

tial

ch

oic

e b

ehav

ior

of

ho

use

ho

lds.

Ev

en t

he

trad

itio

nal

mo

del

s, l

ike

Alo

nso

’s r

esid

enti

al

loca

tio

n m

od

el (

Alo

nso

, 1

96

4),

res

erv

e a

do

min

ant

pla

ce f

or

acce

ssib

ilit

y.

Th

at i

s, t

he

cho

ice

wh

ere

to s

ettl

e in

an

urb

an a

rea

was

det

erm

ined

by

th

e co

mb

inat

ion

of

inco

me,

the

cost

s fo

r

ho

usi

ng

an

d t

he

dis

tan

ce t

o e

mp

loy

men

t (l

oca

ted

in

th

e ce

ntr

al b

usi

nes

s d

istr

ict)

. S

ince

then

man

y v

arie

ties

hav

e b

een

mad

e o

n t

he

Alo

nso

’s w

ork

an

d i

t to

ok

un

til

the

mid

-sev

enti

es t

hat

rese

arch

ers

emp

loy

ed n

ew t

ech

niq

ues

fo

r th

is t

op

ic.

Th

e o

ver

vie

w t

hat

Cla

rk a

nd

van

Lie

rop

mad

e in

1986 g

ives

a g

ood

insi

ght

into

th

e b

est

pra

ctic

e

of

resi

den

tial

ch

oic

e m

od

elin

g a

t th

at t

ime.

Fro

m t

his

res

earc

h a

nd

sev

eral

oth

er p

ub

lica

tio

ns,

it

sho

ws

that

th

e m

ost

ap

pli

ed t

ech

niq

ues

are

th

e h

edo

nic

pri

ce m

eth

od

, w

hic

h c

alcu

late

s th

e ef

fect

of

ho

usi

ng

att

rib

ute

s o

n t

he

pri

ce p

aid

fo

r a

dw

elli

ng

, an

d t

he

ran

do

m u

tili

ty t

heo

ry.

Th

e la

tter

theo

ry i

s b

ased

on

th

e n

oti

on

th

at a

hu

man

is

try

ing

to

max

imiz

e it

s u

tili

ty w

hen

ch

oo

sin

g a

dw

elli

ng

. N

ext

the

chan

ce t

hat

an

alt

ern

ativ

e is

ch

ose

n f

rom

a s

et o

f al

tern

ativ

es c

an b

e d

eriv

ed

fro

m t

hes

e u

tili

ties

. C

lass

ical

ex

amp

les

of

the

appli

cati

on

of

the

hed

on

ic p

rice

met

hod

and

dis

cret

e ch

oic

e m

odel

ing i

n t

he

resi

den

tial

choic

e co

nte

xt

can

be

fou

nd

in

, re

spec

tiv

ely

, R

ose

n

(19

74

) an

d M

cFad

den

(1

97

8).

Mo

re r

ecen

t ex

amp

les

of

tech

niq

ues

fo

r re

sid

enti

al c

ho

ice

mo

del

ing

are

dis

cuss

ed i

n D

iele

man

(20

01

). I

n t

his

art

icle

he

des

crib

es t

he

new

ch

alle

ng

es i

n r

esid

enti

al c

ho

ice

mo

del

ing

an

d h

ow

they

ca

n

be

face

d.

He

exp

ects

a

lot

of

new

re

sear

ch

top

ics

lik

e jo

int

dec

isio

n

mak

ing

4

(Mo

lin

,19

99

) an

d d

ecis

ion

s w

hen

th

e p

refe

rred

dw

elli

ng i

s not

read

ily a

vai

lable

(G

ärli

ng

and

Fri

man

, 2

00

1).

Ho

wev

er,

Die

lem

an s

tres

ses

that

th

e fr

on

tier

in

th

e re

sear

ch f

ield

of

resi

den

tial

relo

cati

on

see

ms

to l

ie i

n h

ow

cir

cum

stan

ces

in l

oca

l an

d n

atio

nal

ho

usi

ng

mar

ket

s af

fect

th

e

dec

isio

n m

akin

g a

nd

wh

eth

er c

han

ges

over

spac

e an

d t

ime

infl

uen

ce t

he

cho

ice

beh

avio

r. F

or

this

la

st

sub

ject

, lo

ng

itu

din

al

stu

die

s in

to

the

housi

ng

care

ers

of

peo

ple

co

uld

giv

e new

,

inte

rest

ing

in

sig

hts

, li

ke

Fei

jten

has

sh

ow

n i

n h

er d

isse

rtat

ion

(F

eijt

en, 2

00

5)

.

Fo

r th

is r

esea

rch

we

hav

e ch

ose

n t

o u

se t

he

dis

cret

e ch

oic

e m

eth

od

, si

nce

it

has

pro

ven

to

be

a

sou

nd

app

roac

h t

o i

nv

esti

gat

e w

hic

h a

ttri

bu

tes

hav

e a

sig

nif

ican

t in

flu

ence

on

th

e re

sid

enti

al

cho

ice

beh

avio

r, e

ven

co

mp

ared

wit

h o

ther

met

ho

ds

(Cla

rk e

n v

an L

iero

p (

19

86

); F

oll

ain

and

Jim

enez

(1

98

4))

. H

ow

ever

, th

e fi

nal

dec

isio

n t

o c

arry

ou

t th

is r

esea

rch

wit

h d

iscr

ete

cho

ice

mo

del

ing

is

bas

ed o

n t

wo

iss

ues

: d

ata

avai

lab

ilit

y a

nd

th

e p

refe

rred

dis

agg

reg

ated

lev

el o

f d

etai

l.

The

firs

t is

sue

wil

l b

e cl

arif

ied i

n c

hap

ter

4:

“Dat

a u

sed”.

Th

e se

cond i

ssu

e is

suppo

rt b

y M

ille

r

et a

l. (

20

04

), w

her

e th

e au

tho

rs s

tres

s o

ut

that

dis

cret

e ch

oic

e m

od

elin

g c

an b

e ap

pli

ed t

o s

tudy

the

effe

ct o

f th

e ch

oic

e m

aker

’s c

har

acte

rist

ics

on

a m

icro

lev

el.

Th

is g

ives

us

the

po

ssib

ilit

y t

o

stu

dy

th

e ro

le o

f in

div

idu

al a

cces

sib

ilit

y m

easu

res

in t

he

ho

use

ho

ld’s

rel

oca

tio

n d

ecis

ion

. T

he

nex

t p

arag

rap

hs

dis

cuss

th

e re

sult

s o

f p

rev

iou

s re

sear

ch o

n d

iscr

ete

cho

ice

mo

del

s fo

r re

sid

enti

al

choic

e lo

cati

on

.

2.1

.R

esid

enti

al

cho

ice

mo

del

ing

wit

h d

iscr

ete

cho

ice

Th

is s

ecti

on

dis

cuss

es s

om

e o

f th

e o

utc

om

es o

f re

sid

enti

al c

ho

ice

mo

del

s, c

arri

ed o

ut

wit

h

dis

cret

e ch

oic

e m

od

els.

Sin

ce t

hes

e m

od

els

all

hav

e th

e sa

me

theo

reti

cal

bac

kg

roun

d,

we

do n

ot

mak

e a

dis

tin

ctio

n

bet

wee

n

the

dif

fere

nt

mo

del

ing

te

chn

iqu

es

that

w

ere

app

lied

, li

ke

Mu

ltin

om

ial

Lo

git

, N

este

d l

og

it o

r P

rob

it.

Fo

r a

met

ho

do

log

ical

des

crip

tio

n o

f th

ese

met

ho

ds

we

refe

r to

Tra

in (

2003).

Ho

usi

ng

typ

e a

ttri

bu

tes

Man

y

rese

arch

es

stud

ied

th

e ch

oic

e o

f m

erel

y

the

typ

e o

f dw

elli

ng

, dis

reg

ard

ing

it

s

nei

ghbo

rhood

an

d

loca

tion

(Bö

rsch

-Sup

an

(1987

),

Rouw

endal

(1

989)

and

Tiw

ari,

P

.an

d

Has

egaw

a, H

. (2

00

4))

. T

he

ou

tco

mes

of

thes

e re

sear

ches

are

rea

son

able

an

d q

uit

e si

mil

ar:

larg

er

fam

ilie

s pre

fer

mo

re b

edro

om

s, w

hil

e th

e in

com

e of

the

house

hold

det

erm

ines

the

type

of

tenure

and

(m

on

thly

) h

ou

sin

g c

ost

s.

Page 5: Spatial part-6

5

Nei

gh

bo

rho

od

att

rib

ute

s

In o

ther

stu

die

s th

e ch

arac

teri

stic

s o

f th

e n

eig

hb

orh

oo

d a

re i

nco

rpo

rate

d.

This

can

be

do

ne

as a

du

mm

y-v

aria

ble

fo

r a

cert

ain

ar

ea

(Dökm

eci,

V

. an

d

L.

Ber

köz

(1999))

, but

also

w

ith

char

acte

rist

ics

of

the

nei

ghborh

ood.

So

cial

-eco

no

mic

asp

ects

of

the

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

lik

e av

erag

e

inco

me,

lo

cal

exp

end

itu

res

for

edu

cati

on

, ra

cial

ly e

qu

ival

ence

wit

h i

nh

abit

ants

and

cri

me

rate

seem

to

be

a good e

xpla

nat

ory

var

iab

le (

Bo

ehm

, 1982;

Quig

ley

, 1985;

Co

lum

bin

o, 2

00

1).

Acc

essi

bil

ity

att

rib

ute

s

Th

e ro

le o

f “g

ener

al”

acce

ssib

ilit

y,

lik

e th

e m

ass

of

labo

ur,

peo

ple

or

serv

ices

wit

hin

30

min

ute

s,

seem

s d

iffi

cult

to

q

uan

tify

in

re

siden

tial

ch

oic

e m

od

els.

(M

oli

n

and

T

imm

erm

ans,

2003

).

Wad

del

l (1

99

6)

even

fin

ds

a n

egat

ive,

or

in o

ther

cas

es i

nsi

gn

ific

ant

rela

tio

n b

etw

een

res

iden

tial

loca

tion

cho

ice

and

acc

essi

bil

ity

of

job

s an

d i

nhab

itan

ts.

Th

is i

s pro

bab

ly d

ue

to t

he

fact

th

at i

n

this

cas

e th

ese

mea

sure

s in

dic

ate

mo

re o

r le

ss t

o t

he

pre

fere

nce

fo

r th

e am

oun

t o

f u

rban

ism

or

urb

an d

ensi

ty.

Sro

ur

et a

l. (

20

02

) o

bse

rve

a p

osi

tiv

e in

flu

ence

of

a (l

og

sum

) ac

cess

ibil

ity

of

job

s

on

res

iden

tial

lo

cati

on

ch

oic

e, a

lth

ou

gh

th

ey h

ave

on

ly i

nco

rpo

rate

d a

cces

sib

ilit

y m

easu

res,

so

no

thin

g c

an b

e sa

id a

bout

sub

stit

uti

on

eff

ects

wit

h o

ther

res

iden

tial

cho

ice

fact

ors

.

On

th

e o

ther

h

and

, co

mm

uti

ng

d

ista

nce

is

o

bse

rved

se

ver

al

tim

es

as

an

infl

uen

tial

fa

cto

r

(Wei

sbro

d e

.a.,

19

80

; Q

uig

ley

, 1985;

Ever

s, 1990

; M

oli

n an

d T

imm

erm

ans,

2003),

al

so in

com

bin

atio

n w

ith

th

e av

aila

bil

ity

of

pu

bli

c tr

ansp

ort

(O

rtu

zar,

20

00

). R

ecen

tly

, n

ew i

nsi

gh

ts l

ook

mo

re a

t a

house

hold

’s i

ndiv

idu

al s

ituat

ion,

by

tak

ing a

long p

erso

nal

, sp

atia

l re

lati

ons

(e.g

. w

ork

loca

tio

n,

po

siti

on

of

the

kid

s’ s

chool)

an

d h

ow

thes

e re

late

to d

aily

act

ivit

y p

atte

rns

and

lo

ng

-

term

lo

cati

on

ch

oic

es (

Ax

hau

sen

e.a

., 2

00

1).

2.2

.C

on

clu

sio

ns

Th

e li

tera

ture

ex

amin

ed s

ho

ws

that

th

e in

flu

ence

of

acce

ssib

ilit

y o

n r

esid

enti

al c

ho

ice

beh

avio

r is

no

t ea

sy

to

gra

sp.

Mo

reo

ver

, it

se

ems

that

d

wel

lin

g

attr

ibu

tes

and

th

e so

cial

st

atu

s o

f a

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

hav

e (f

ar)

mo

re i

nfl

uen

ce o

n t

he

relo

cati

on

dec

isio

n.

Nev

erth

eles

s, t

he

pro

spec

t o

f

(new

) d

irec

tio

ns

into

a m

ore

in

div

idu

al a

pp

roac

h o

f ac

cess

ibil

ity

, li

ke

com

mu

tin

g d

ista

nce

or

dis

tan

ce t

o f

req

uen

tly

vis

ited

lo

cati

on

s, s

eem

to

ad

d n

ew p

ersp

ecti

ves

to t

he

rese

arch

fie

ld.

We

wil

l u

se

this

kno

wle

dge

in

the

nex

t ch

apte

r, w

hen

w

e fo

rmu

late

th

e th

eore

tica

l m

od

el

for

resi

den

tial

ch

oic

e.

6

3.

TH

EO

RE

TIC

AL

MO

DE

L F

OR

RE

SID

EN

TIA

L C

HO

ICE

We

hav

e d

esig

ned

a t

heo

reti

cal

mod

el t

o e

stim

ate

the

effe

ct o

f ac

cess

ibil

ity

on

res

iden

tial

ch

oic

e

beh

avio

r b

y h

ou

seh

old

s. T

he

mo

del

is

rou

gh

ly b

ased

on

th

e o

ne

pre

sen

ted

by

Bro

wn

an

d M

oo

re

in 1

97

0.

Th

is c

ho

ice

beh

avio

r is

par

t o

f a

big

ger

mig

rati

on

pro

cess

, w

hic

h c

on

sist

s o

f th

ree

step

s:

resi

den

tial

mo

bil

ity

, re

sid

enti

al s

earc

h a

nd

res

iden

tial

ch

oic

e. O

ur

focu

s, h

ow

ever

, is

on

th

e la

st

two

ste

ps.

Th

e th

eore

tica

l m

od

el w

e u

sed

fo

r th

is r

esea

rch

is

dep

icte

d i

n f

igu

re 1

and

des

crib

ed i

n

this

ch

apte

r. F

irst

we

wil

l cl

arif

y t

he

tota

l m

igra

tio

n p

roce

ss.

Res

iden

tial

mo

bil

ity

is

def

ined

as

the

dec

isio

n w

hen

an

d o

n w

hic

h g

rou

nd

s to

mo

ve.

Th

e ch

oic

e

wh

eth

er t

o m

igra

te i

s m

ost

ly c

ause

d b

y d

emog

rap

hic

rea

son

s o

r h

ou

seh

old

in

tern

al p

roce

sses

th

at

occ

ur

in t

he

life

-cy

cle

of

a h

ou

sehold

(C

lark

and

Die

lem

an,

1996

). S

ince

this

ty

pe

of

relo

cati

on

mo

stly

cau

sed

by

dis

sati

sfac

tio

n w

ith

th

e cu

rren

t d

wel

lin

g o

r th

e (l

oca

l) l

ivin

g e

nv

iro

nm

ent,

th

e

mig

rati

on

dis

tan

ce i

s o

ften

ver

y s

mal

l: a

ccord

ing

to

ou

r su

rvey

, 80

% o

f th

ese

relo

cati

on

s ar

e

mad

e w

ithin

10

km

.

Th

ere

is a

lso

a s

tro

ng

rel

atio

n b

etw

een

the

ho

usi

ng

car

eer

and

oth

er t

yp

es o

f ev

ents

in

th

e li

fe o

f

a h

ou

seh

old

or

per

son

. T

hes

e ar

e as

soci

ated

wit

h h

ou

seh

old

fo

rmat

ion

an

d d

isso

luti

on

an

d t

he

edu

cati

on

al a

nd j

ob

car

eer.

Th

ese

relo

cati

on

s o

ften

yie

ld a

lo

ng

er m

igra

tion

dis

tan

ce,

sin

ce t

he

ho

use

ho

ld w

ants

to

dec

reas

e it

s (n

ew)

com

mu

tin

g d

ista

nce

or

mo

ve

tow

ard

s o

r fr

om

a c

erta

in

ho

use

ho

ld s

itu

atio

n (

Mu

lder

an

d H

oo

imei

jer,

19

99

).

Wh

en

the

hou

sehold

h

as

a p

rop

ensi

ty

to

mo

ve,

it

st

arts

se

arch

ing

fo

r su

itab

le,

alte

rnat

ive

loca

tion

s to

fo

rm a

ch

oic

e se

t. T

he

form

atio

n o

f th

e ch

oic

e se

t is

bas

ed o

n t

he

awar

enes

s o

f

spac

e, w

hic

h i

s a

resu

lt o

f th

e h

ou

seh

old

’s i

nfo

rmat

ion

on

th

e cu

rren

t h

ou

sin

g s

up

ply

by

dif

fere

nt

med

ia,

a re

al-e

stat

e ag

enci

es o

r o

wn

sou

rces

(B

row

n a

nd

Mo

ore

, 1

97

0).

Oth

er a

spec

ts o

f th

e

resi

den

tial

cho

ice,

lik

e dw

elli

ng

pri

ce a

nd

siz

e, c

an r

estr

ict

the

cho

ice

set

as w

ell.

Lat

er o

n i

n t

his

pap

er w

e w

ill

sho

w h

ow

we

gen

erat

ed t

he

cho

ice

set

for

this

res

earc

h.

Fin

ally

, w

hen

th

e ch

oic

e

set

has

bee

n c

om

po

sed

, th

e h

ou

seh

old

mak

es a

sel

ecti

on

bas

ed o

n u

tili

ty m

axim

izat

ion

. T

he

theo

reti

c b

ack

gro

un

d b

ehin

d t

his

is

dis

cuss

ed i

n t

he

nex

t se

ctio

n.

Page 6: Spatial part-6

7

Ho

useh

old

Dw

elli

ng

House

hold

chara

cters

tics

- educa

tion le

vel h

ead

- si

ze (

# m

em

bers

)-

soci

al-eco

nom

ic s

tate

- lo

catio

ns

of act

iviti

es

mem

bers

(work

, sc

hool,

leis

ure

)

Ava

ilable

alte

rnativ

es:

Phys

ical:

- s

ize (

# r

oom

s) -

housi

ng c

ost

s -

dw

elli

ng typ

e -

tenure

Loca

tion:

- s

oci

al-eco

nom

ic s

tate

- a

ccess

ibili

ty -

build

ing s

tyle

Searc

h p

roce

ss:

Choic

e s

et C

j

Util

ity funct

ion U

:util

ity for

all

alte

rnativ

es

inch

oic

e s

et C

j

Res

iden

tial

choi

ce: P

Cj(i

)

additi

on

house

hold

typolo

gy

Incl

ined

to m

ove

Fig

ure

1:

Sch

eme

of

theo

reti

cal

model

3.1

.R

esid

enti

al

cho

ice

Th

e ch

oic

e fo

r a

dw

elli

ng

fro

m a

set

of

alte

rnat

ives

is

a co

nd

itio

nal

dec

isio

n w

hic

h w

ill

be

mo

del

ed i

n t

he

form

of

an m

ult

ino

mia

l lo

git

(M

NL

) m

od

el,

bas

ed o

n r

and

om

uti

lity

th

eory

(McF

add

en,

19

74

). A

cco

rdin

g t

o t

his

th

eory

we

assu

me

that

a h

ou

seh

old

att

ach

es a

uti

lity

to

each

al

tern

ativ

e in

a

sub

set

of

alte

rnat

ive

loca

tion

s th

at

are

consi

der

ed.

Sub

sequ

entl

y,

the

dw

elli

ng

wit

h t

he

larg

est

uti

lity

als

o r

ecei

ves

the

larg

est

chan

ce t

o b

e ch

ose

n.

Th

e u

tili

ty o

f

dw

elli

ng

i i

s co

mpose

d o

f an

ob

serv

ed a

nd a

ran

dom

, u

nobse

rved

par

t:

8

ii

iV

U

Eq

uat

ion

1

wit

h:

Ui

: th

e u

tili

ty o

f lo

cati

on

i

Vi

:

the

ob

serv

ed u

tili

ty o

f lo

cati

on

i

i :

th

e ra

nd

om

, u

no

bse

rved

uti

lity

of

loca

tio

n i

µ

:

mo

del

sp

ecif

ic s

cale

fac

tor

If w

e as

sum

e th

at t

he

ran

do

m c

om

po

nen

t o

f u

tili

ty i

s G

um

bel

dis

trib

ute

d,

it c

an b

e d

isca

rded

fro

m

the

pro

bab

ilit

y

fun

ctio

n

(McF

add

en,

19

74

).

Th

e re

mai

nin

g

mu

ltin

om

ial

log

it

mo

del

des

crib

es t

he

pro

bab

ilit

y t

hat

ho

use

ho

ld j

cho

ose

s d

wel

lin

g i

fro

m a

su

bse

t C

i wit

h K

alt

ern

ativ

e

dw

elli

ng

s:

j

k

i

j

ck

V

V

Ce

ei

P)

(

E

qu

atio

n 2

The

obse

rved

uti

lity

funct

ion i

n t

he

pre

sente

d m

od

el h

as t

he

form

of

a li

nea

r ad

dit

ive

uti

lity

funct

ion

(eq

uat

ion

3).

For

each

house

hold

ty

pe

a se

par

ate

cho

ice

mo

del

has

bee

n e

stim

ated

.

N nn

in

ix

V1

E

qu

atio

n 3

Wit

h:

n

: u

tili

ty c

oef

fici

ent

of

attr

ibu

te n

xn

i :

gen

eric

att

rib

ute

m f

or

loca

tio

n j

Th

e at

trib

ute

s in

th

e u

tili

ty f

un

ctio

n r

efle

ct v

ario

us

asp

ects

th

at c

on

trib

ute

to

th

e u

tili

ty o

f a

dw

elli

ng

fo

r hou

seho

ld.

Th

ese

con

sist

o

f,

abo

ve

all,

ac

cess

ibil

ity

m

easu

res,

bu

t al

so

of

Page 7: Spatial part-6

9

char

acte

rist

ics

of

the

dw

elli

ng

an

d i

ts n

eig

hb

orh

oo

d. A

mo

re d

etai

led

des

crip

tio

n o

f th

e at

trib

ute

s

use

d i

n t

his

mo

del

wil

l b

e g

iven

lat

er o

n.

3.2

.H

ou

seh

old

ty

polo

gy

In o

ur

sear

ch f

or

adeq

uat

e h

ou

seh

old

ty

pes

, w

e p

erfo

rmed

a s

ensi

tiv

ity

an

aly

sis

on

th

e m

igra

ted

ho

use

ho

lds’

ch

arac

teri

stic

s an

d t

he

attr

ibu

tes

of

the

cho

sen

dw

elli

ng

. It

app

eare

d t

hat

th

e n

um

ber

of

per

son

s, t

he

edu

cati

on

lev

el o

f th

e h

ead

1 o

f th

e h

ou

seh

old

, th

e ag

e o

f th

e h

ead

an

d t

he

mig

rati

on

rea

son

wer

e th

e m

ost

dis

tin

ctiv

e d

imen

sio

ns.

Th

e m

ost

im

po

rtan

t ar

e su

mm

ed u

p a

nd

mo

tiv

ated

bel

ow

:

-H

ou

seh

old

siz

e: I

t tu

rned

ou

t th

at t

he

nu

mb

er o

f h

ou

seh

old

mem

ber

s n

ot

on

ly d

eter

min

es

the

choic

e fo

r d

wel

ling

ty

pe

and s

ize,

bu

t al

so t

he

cho

ice

of

nei

ghb

orh

ood

. In

co

mp

aris

on

wit

h s

ingle

s, f

amil

ies

(esp

ecia

lly

wit

h c

hil

dre

n)

mo

ve

mo

re f

requ

entl

y t

o q

uie

ter

and

mo

re s

pac

iou

s n

eig

hb

orh

oo

ds

(Fae

ssen

, 2

00

2).

-E

du

cati

on o

f th

e hea

d:

Alt

hough t

his

hou

seho

ld c

har

acte

rist

ic i

s ver

y c

lose

ly c

orr

elat

ed

wit

h t

he

inco

me

of

the

ho

use

ho

ld,

edu

cati

on

see

ms

mo

re d

iscr

imin

atin

g t

han

in

com

e in

term

s o

f th

e d

ista

nce

s to

mig

rati

on

, w

ork

pla

ce,

and

urb

an c

ente

rs.

Th

e la

tter

can

be

expla

ined

by

the

inte

rest

fo

r ar

eas

wit

h

cult

ura

l,

recr

eati

onal

an

d

reta

il

serv

ices

.

Ano

ther

re

ason to

pre

fer

educa

tion

to

in

com

e is

th

at due

to p

rivac

y m

atte

rs su

rvey

qu

esti

on

s re

gar

din

g

inco

me

are

oft

en

no

t or

inco

rrec

tly

an

swer

ed.

Of

cou

rse,

in

com

e is

sti

ll a

gu

idin

g m

atte

r fo

r th

e ch

oic

e o

f te

nu

re a

nd

ho

usi

ng

co

sts.

We

pla

n t

o e

nte

r th

is i

n t

he

mo

del

wit

h i

nte

ract

ion

var

iab

les.

-A

ge

of

hea

d:

Esp

ecia

lly

eld

erly

(~

peo

ple

ag

ed o

ver

60

yea

rs)

sho

w a

dif

fere

nt

cho

ice

beh

avio

r in

ter

ms

of

dw

elli

ng

ty

pe

and

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

. M

ore

ov

er,

they

hav

e sp

ecia

l n

eed

s

for

serv

ices

(hea

lthca

re)

and p

ubli

c tr

ansp

ort

.

-W

ork

in

stig

ated

mig

rati

on

s: M

igra

tio

ns

mad

e d

ue

to w

ork

rea

son

s ar

e a

sub

ject

of

thei

r

ow

n.

Res

earc

h s

ho

wed

th

at a

ho

use

ho

ld t

hat

mig

rate

s fo

r w

ork

rea

son

s u

nd

erta

ke

a la

rge

mig

rati

on

dis

tan

ce t

o d

ecre

ase

its

com

mu

tin

g d

ista

nce

(M

uld

er &

Ho

oim

eije

r, 1

99

9).

Fu

rth

erm

ore

, th

e fi

rst

mo

ve

is

mad

e p

rim

ary

to

li

ve

clo

ser

to

the

wo

rkp

lace

: o

ther

attr

ibute

s se

em o

f le

sser

im

po

rtan

ce.

In a

fo

llo

w-u

p r

elo

cati

on

, w

hic

h i

s o

ften

mad

e

1 T

he

hea

d o

f a

house

ho

ld i

s def

ined

as

the

per

son w

ith t

he

hig

hes

t m

onth

ly n

et i

nco

me,

reg

ardle

ss o

f gen

der

and

age.

10

rela

tivel

y s

ho

rtly

aft

er t

he

firs

t one,

the

house

hold

has

mo

re i

nfo

rmat

ion

on

its

new

liv

ing

env

iro

nm

ent

and

is

able

to

sea

rch

bet

ter

for

a d

wel

lin

g a

nd

a n

eig

hb

orh

oo

d w

ith

mo

re

uti

lity

.

Th

ese

dis

tin

ctiv

e h

ou

seh

old

ch

arac

teri

stic

s le

ad t

o t

he

foll

ow

ing

ho

use

ho

ld t

yp

olo

gy

:

Hou

seho

ld t

ype

Des

crip

tio

n

1L

S

ing

le h

ou

seh

old

, lo

w e

du

cate

d (

low

er t

han

co

lleg

e d

egre

e)

1H

S

ing

le h

ou

seh

old

, h

igh

ly e

du

cate

d (

coll

ege

deg

ree

or

hig

her

) 2

+L

H

ou

seh

old

wit

h t

wo

or

mo

re p

erso

ns,

wit

h a

lo

w e

du

cate

d h

ead

.

2+

H

Hou

seh

old

wit

h t

wo

or

mo

re p

erso

ns,

wit

h a

hig

h e

du

cate

d h

ead

.

60

+

Hou

seh

old

wit

h a

hea

d w

ith

ag

e 6

0 y

ears

or

old

er

WO

RK

H

ou

seh

old

s w

ho

se m

igra

tio

n i

s w

ork

-rel

ated

3.3

.C

hoic

e se

t g

ener

ati

on

Idea

lly

, w

e w

ant

to e

stim

ate

the

cho

ice

beh

avio

r o

n t

he

actu

al,

reg

ard

ed c

ho

ice

set

of

alte

rnat

ive

dw

elli

ng

s. H

ow

ever

, th

is i

nfo

rmat

ion

is

alm

ost

nev

er a

vai

lab

le i

n r

evea

led

dat

a se

ts.

Th

is i

s w

hy

we

hav

e ch

ose

n t

o g

ener

ate

a sy

stem

atic

ch

oic

e se

t. T

his

ch

oic

e se

t is

a r

and

om

sam

ple

tak

en

form

th

e fu

ll s

et o

f av

aila

ble

alt

ern

ativ

es i

n t

he

per

iod

of

mig

rati

on

. W

e u

se a

sam

ple

bec

ause

th

e

full

set

wou

ld b

e to

o l

arg

e to

est

imat

e th

e m

od

el o

n,

sin

ce w

e w

ork

on

th

e lo

wes

t le

vel

of

det

ail,

nam

ely

(physi

cal)

dw

elli

ngs

on

a l

oca

tion

. A

fu

ll s

et i

n t

his

cas

e w

ould

mea

n t

hou

sands

of

alte

rnat

ives

, w

hic

h m

akes

it

imp

ract

ical

(an

d i

llo

gic

al)

to a

pp

ly.

Ho

wev

er,

McF

add

en (

19

78

) h

as

pro

ven

in

his

est

imat

ion

of

a d

iscr

ete

mo

del

fo

r re

sid

enti

al c

ho

ice

that

a r

and

om

sam

ple

dra

wn

fro

m t

he

full

set

of

avai

lab

le a

lter

nat

ives

yie

lds

con

sist

ent

esti

mat

es.

Th

e ch

oic

e se

ts f

or

each

ho

use

ho

ld i

s g

ener

ated

acc

ord

ing

to

th

e ap

pro

ach

wh

ich

is

oft

en u

sed

in

rou

te c

ho

ice

mo

del

ing

an

d d

escr

ibed

by

Bo

vy a

nd

Ste

rn (

1990).

T

hey

des

crib

e a

step

wis

e

form

ula

tio

n o

f su

bse

ts:

-S

et o

f ex

isti

ng

alt

ern

ativ

es:

all

exis

tin

g d

wel

lin

gs

in t

he

Net

her

lan

ds.

-S

et o

f av

aila

ble

alt

ern

ativ

es:

alte

rnat

ives

th

at w

ere

avai

lab

le i

n t

he

per

iod o

f m

igra

tion.

-S

et o

f fe

asib

le a

lter

nat

ives

: al

l av

aila

ble

dw

elli

ng

s in

a c

on

stru

cted

sea

rch

are

a. S

ince

mig

rati

on an

d co

mm

uti

ng

dis

tan

ce ar

e do

min

ant

aspec

ts in

th

e se

arch

b

ehav

ior,

w

e

con

stru

cted

a s

earc

h a

rea

for

each

ho

use

ho

ld t

yp

e ar

ound

thes

e lo

cati

ons.

Fro

m t

his

are

a

Page 8: Spatial part-6

11

a ra

nd

om

set

of

alte

rnat

ives

can

be

dra

wn

to

form

a c

ho

ice

set.

Th

e se

arch

are

a is

dep

icte

d

in

fig

ure

2

, th

e m

easu

res

of

the

area

fo

r ea

ch

ho

use

ho

ld

typ

e in

ta

ble

6

.

Ex

plo

rati

on

of

the

mig

rati

on

dat

a sh

ow

ed t

hat

all

ho

use

ho

ld t

yp

es o

ccu

r in

all

dw

elli

ng

typ

es s

o w

e d

id n

ot

hav

e to

mak

e a

dis

tin

ctio

n i

n d

wel

lin

g c

har

acte

rist

ics,

lik

e co

sts

or

size

, in

gen

erat

ing

th

e ch

oic

e se

t.

-C

ho

ice

set:

th

e ch

ose

n a

lter

nat

ive

and

59

oth

er a

lter

nat

ive

dw

elli

ng

s, w

hic

h a

re d

raw

n

ran

do

mly

fro

m t

he

sear

ch a

rea.

The

(rel

ativ

ely

) la

rge

nu

mb

er o

f al

tern

ativ

es i

s ch

ose

n

bec

ause

it

imp

rov

es t

he

per

form

ance

of

the

mo

del

, in

ter

ms

of

signif

ican

ce l

evel

s of

the

par

amet

ers,

wit

hout

over

load

ing t

he

esti

mat

ion s

oft

war

e.

Wo

rkp

lace

he

ad

Old

dw

elli

ng

dm

ax

dm

ax

95

%

Fig

ure

2:

Con

stru

ctio

n o

f se

arch

are

a

Sin

gle

, lo

w

edu

cate

dS

ingle

, h

igh

ed

uca

ted

Tw

o +

, lo

w

edu

cate

dT

wo

+,

hig

h

edu

cate

d6

0+

yrs

W

ork

in

stig

.d

max

95%

40

km

4

0 k

m30

km

40

km

70

km

7

0 k

m

4.

DA

TA

US

ED

Th

e re

sid

enti

al c

ho

ice

mo

del

is

esti

mat

ed o

n r

evea

led

dat

a fr

om

th

e H

ou

sin

g D

eman

d S

urv

ey (

in

Du

tch

: H

et

Wo

nin

gb

eho

efte

O

nd

erzo

ek

(WB

O);

M

inis

teri

e v

an

Ru

imte

lijk

e O

rden

ing

an

d

Min

iste

rie

van

Vo

lksh

uis

ves

tin

g,

Ruim

teli

jke

Ord

enin

g e

n M

ilie

ub

ehee

r (2

00

3))

. T

his

is

a la

rge

surv

ey h

eld

un

der

ap

pro

xim

atel

y 7

5,0

00

ho

use

ho

lds.

Ab

ou

t 1

1,0

00

mig

rate

d h

ou

seh

old

s w

ere

der

ived

fro

m t

his

su

rvey

, p

rov

idin

g i

nfo

rmat

ion

on

the

new

and

pre

vio

us

dw

elli

ng

type

and

resi

den

tial

lo

cati

on

. W

e h

ave

on

ly i

nfo

rmat

ion

on

th

e m

igra

tio

n b

etw

een

20

00

an

d 2

00

2.

Th

e

12

lev

el o

f d

etai

l o

f re

sid

enti

al l

oca

tio

n a

re 4

-dig

it p

ost

al z

on

es,

wh

ich

hav

e an

av

erag

e si

ze o

f n

ine

squ

are

kil

om

eter

s, v

ary

ing

fro

m a

few

sq

uar

e k

ilo

met

ers

in u

rban

ized

are

as t

o 1

00

km

2 i

n r

ura

l

env

iro

nm

ents

. T

his

rel

ativ

ely

lo

w l

evel

of

spat

ial

det

ail

giv

es t

he

po

ssib

ilit

y t

o a

dd

det

aile

d d

ata

to t

he

mig

rati

on

, li

ke

acce

ssib

ilit

y m

easu

res,

so

cial

-eco

no

mic

sta

tus

and

gen

eral

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

char

acte

rist

ics.

Th

e ac

cess

ibil

ity

mea

sure

s u

sed

in

th

e m

od

el c

an b

e d

ivid

ed i

nto

tw

o g

rou

ps:

tra

vel

tim

es a

nd

the

acce

ssib

ilit

y o

f lo

cati

ons.

Th

e tr

avel

tim

es a

re d

eriv

ed f

rom

th

e N

atio

nal

Model

Sy

stem

(in

Du

tch

: L

and

elij

k M

od

el S

yst

em,

LM

S)

and

are

use

d t

o a

dd

mig

rati

on

an

d c

om

mu

tin

g d

ista

nce

to

the

relo

cati

ons.

Th

e se

cond

gro

up

of

mea

sure

s pro

vid

es i

nfo

rmat

ion

on

th

e lo

cal

acce

ssib

ilit

y

situ

atio

n,

lik

e th

e d

ista

nce

to

rai

lway

sta

tio

ns,

hig

hw

ay o

n-r

amp

s an

d t

he

qu

alit

y o

f p

ub

lic

tran

spo

rt.

Th

e la

tter

is

a sc

ore

bet

wee

n m

inu

s an

d p

lus

on

e, r

epre

sen

tin

g t

he

avai

lab

ilit

y o

f p

ub

lic

tran

spo

rt.

As

we

cou

ld s

ee i

n t

he

lite

ratu

re r

evie

w,

the

soci

al-e

con

om

ical

sta

te o

f a

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

is

also

an

imp

ort

ant

exp

lan

ato

ry f

acto

r in

res

iden

tial

ch

oic

e.

We

hav

e g

ath

ered

dat

a o

n s

oci

al e

con

om

ic

issu

es

fro

m

sev

eral

so

urc

es.

The

So

cial

an

d

Cu

ltura

l P

lan

nin

g

Off

ice

of

the

Net

her

land

s

calc

ula

ted

a s

oci

al s

tatu

s sc

ore

. T

his

fac

tor

sco

re v

arie

s b

etw

een

min

us

3 a

nd

plu

s 6

an

d i

s a

com

bin

atio

n o

f ed

uca

tio

n l

evel

, em

plo

ym

ent,

in

com

e si

tuat

ion

and

cri

me

rate

of

a n

eig

hb

orh

oo

d

(fo

r a

des

crip

tion, se

e: (

SC

P,

1998))

.

Co

nce

rnin

g t

he

per

cen

tag

e o

f n

on

-wes

tern

fo

reig

ner

s in

a n

eig

hb

orh

oo

d,

we

had

to

co

nst

ruct

a

mea

sure

du

e to

th

e h

igh

co

rrel

atio

n b

etw

een

th

e “p

lain

“ p

erce

nta

ge

and

th

e h

ou

sin

g d

ensi

ty.

Th

is

is t

he

dif

fere

nce

bet

wee

n t

he

actu

al p

erce

nta

ge

and

the

“ex

pec

ted

” p

erce

nta

ge

of

no

n-w

este

rn

fore

ign

ers

per

den

sity

cla

ss (

i.e.

th

e m

edia

n o

f th

e p

erce

nta

ges

). I

n p

ract

ice

this

mea

ns

that

sco

res

aro

un

d z

ero

(i.

e. n

o d

iffe

ren

ce)

ind

icat

e a

per

cen

tag

e o

f fo

reig

ner

s, w

hic

h i

s cl

ose

to

th

e ex

pec

ted

val

ue

for

a nei

ghbo

rhood

wit

h t

hat

den

sity

.

Fin

ally

, th

e L

ivin

g E

nv

iro

nm

ent

Dat

abas

e p

rovid

es u

s gen

eral

nei

ghborh

ood

ch

arac

teri

stic

s li

ke

the

do

min

atin

g b

uil

din

g a

rea,

th

e p

erce

nta

ge

of

sin

gle

-fam

ily

ho

use

s, a

nd

a c

lass

ific

atio

n o

f fi

ve

liv

ing

en

vir

on

men

ts,

var

yin

g f

rom

cen

tral

urb

an t

o h

igh

ly r

ura

l an

d i

s an

in

dic

ato

r fo

r th

e d

egre

e

of

urb

aniz

atio

n a

nd

nea

rnes

s o

f u

rban

ser

vic

es.

Page 9: Spatial part-6

13

Th

e ch

oic

e se

t o

f av

aila

ble

dw

elli

ng

s is

dra

wn

fro

m t

he

SY

SW

OV

dat

abas

e (H

ou

sin

g S

up

ply

Sy

stem

, in

Du

tch

: S

yst

eem

Wo

nin

gv

oo

rraa

dg

egev

ens)

. T

his

dat

abas

e h

old

s th

e am

ou

nt

of

vac

ant

dw

elli

ngs

on f

our-

dig

it p

ost

al z

on

es a

nd

is

a si

mu

late

d s

up

ply

, b

ased

on

tw

o-a

nn

ual

(m

easu

red

)

fig

ure

s. T

her

e is

on

ly l

imit

ed i

nfo

rmat

ion

av

aila

ble

ab

ou

t th

e v

acan

t d

wel

lin

gs.

Th

is r

elat

es t

o

clas

sifi

cati

on

s o

f si

ze,

dw

elli

ng

ty

pe,

te

nu

re an

d p

rice

(s

ee

tab

le

1).

A

co

mb

inat

ion

o

f al

l

clas

sifi

cati

on

s le

ads

to 2

4 d

wel

lin

g t

yp

es.

Th

e ab

bre

via

tio

ns

are

use

d t

o r

efer

to

a s

pec

ific

ty

pe

of

dw

elli

ng

. F

or

exam

ple

: B

UM

ISF

SM

sta

nd

s fo

r a

smal

l, s

ing

le-f

amil

y m

idd

le-p

rice

d o

wn

er-

occ

upie

d h

ou

se.

Tab

le 1

: D

wel

ling c

har

acte

rist

ic c

lass

es

Att

ribu

te

Cla

ssif

icat

ion (

abbre

via

tions

in b

rack

ets)

Ten

ure

B

uy (

BU

) R

ent

(RE

; net

ren

t per

mo

nth

)

Cost

s (!

) L

ow

(L

O)

<=

13613

4

Mid

dle

(M

I)

136134 -

1701

67

Hig

h (

HI)

> 1

70167

Low

(L

O)

<=

340

Mid

dle

(M

I)

340 -

430

Hig

h (

HI)

> 4

30

Ty

pe

Mult

ifam

ily

(M

F)

Sin

gle

-fam

ily

(S

F)

Mult

ifam

ily

(M

F)

Sin

gle

-fam

ily (

SF

)

Sm

all

(SM

)

Lar

ge

(LA

)

Sm

all

(SM

)

Lar

ge

(LA

)

Sm

all

(SM

)

Lar

ge

(LA

)

Sm

all

(SM

)

Lar

ge

(LA

)

Siz

e

(nu

mber

of

roo

ms)

<

= 3

>

3

<=

4

> 4

<

= 3

>

3

<=

4

> 4

5.

RE

SU

LT

S

We

hav

e u

sed

th

e N

log

it s

oft

war

e p

ack

age

to e

stim

ate

the

par

amet

ers

of

the

log

it m

od

el (

Gre

ene,

20

02

). T

he

resu

lts

of

the

esti

mat

ed r

esid

enti

al c

ho

ice

mo

del

s ar

e d

isp

lay

ed i

n t

able

s 2

th

rou

gh

6,

in t

he

bac

k o

f th

is p

aper

beh

ind

th

e re

fere

nce

s. T

he

tab

les

sho

w t

he

esti

mat

ed c

oef

fici

ents

,

ind

ices

fo

r si

gn

ific

ance

lev

els

and

th

e st

and

ard

err

ors

. W

e h

ave

no

rmal

ized

th

e co

effi

cien

ts a

nd

stan

dar

d e

rro

rs t

o t

he

par

amet

er c

oef

fici

ent

of

the

mig

rati

on

dis

tance

(p

rese

nte

d i

n t

able

2a)

. In

this

way

the

esti

mat

ion

s fo

r th

e d

iffe

ren

t h

ouse

ho

ld t

yp

es c

an b

e co

mp

ared

eas

ier.

Bef

ore

we

dis

cuss

th

e m

ost

im

po

rtan

t o

utc

om

es,

we

wil

l fi

rst

loo

k a

t th

e in

tera

ctio

n v

aria

ble

s w

e cr

eate

d

and

th

e re

fere

nce

val

ues

of

attr

ibu

tes

we

hav

e u

sed

.

14

In o

rder

to

ad

d m

ore

in

form

atio

n a

bou

t th

e hou

seho

ld t

o t

he

mo

del

, w

e cr

eate

d s

ever

al v

aria

ble

s

that

are

in

tera

ctio

ns

of

ho

use

ho

ld c

har

acte

rist

ics

wit

h a

ttri

bu

tes

of

the

dw

elli

ng

or

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

.

Sim

ilar

to

Tiw

ari

& H

aseg

awa

(20

04

), w

e in

tera

ct t

he

ho

use

ho

ld i

nco

me

wit

h a

co

mb

inat

ion

of

dw

elli

ng

pri

ce a

nd

ten

ure

, an

d h

ou

seh

old

siz

e (n

um

ber

of

mem

ber

s) w

ith

dw

elli

ng

siz

e an

d t

yp

e.

Fu

rth

erm

ore

, to

ac

cou

nt

for

inte

ract

ion

w

ith

n

eig

hb

orh

oo

d

attr

ibu

tes,

w

e co

mb

ined

ca

r

ow

ner

ship

wit

h t

he

pro

xim

ity

of

on

-ram

ps

hig

hw

ay a

nd

rai

lway

sta

tio

ns,

and

th

e re

lati

ve

qu

alit

y

of

publi

c tr

ansp

ort

. A

nal

ogou

s, w

e lo

oked

at

the

dis

tan

ce t

o p

rim

ary

sch

oo

ls f

or

ho

use

ho

lds

wit

h

and

wit

ho

ut

a ch

ild

under

13

yea

rs.

Fin

ally

, w

e al

so i

ncl

uded

tw

o v

aria

ble

s th

at r

epre

sen

t th

e

sim

ilar

ity

of

the

ethnic

ity

of

the

hea

d w

ith

th

e nei

gh

bo

rhood c

on

cern

ed.

Th

e h

ou

seh

old

in

com

e is

mea

sure

d i

n u

nit

s o

f 1

.00

0 e

uro

s p

er m

on

th (

Keu

ro).

To

mak

e th

e

coef

fici

ents

fo

r d

wel

ling t

yp

es (

du

mm

ies)

eas

ier

to i

nte

rpre

t an

d c

om

par

e, w

e u

sed

an

ad

just

ed

ho

use

ho

ld i

nco

me.

Th

is i

s th

e d

iffe

ren

ce b

etw

een

th

e m

od

al i

nco

me

of

all

ho

use

ho

lds

in d

e

surv

ey a

nd

the

inco

me

of

the

ho

use

hold

(1

.7 K

euro

). T

he

du

mm

y c

oef

fici

ents

now

show

th

e

uti

lity

fo

r a

dw

elli

ng

ty

pe

in c

om

par

iso

n w

ith

a h

ou

seh

old

wit

h a

mod

al i

nco

me.

Th

e co

effi

cien

ts

for

the

inte

ract

ion

v

aria

ble

s re

pre

sen

t th

e ch

ang

e in

u

tili

ty d

eriv

ed fr

om

th

e d

wel

lin

g ty

pe

acco

rdin

g

to

the

dif

fere

nce

b

etw

een

th

e h

ou

seh

old

in

com

e an

d

the

mod

al

inco

me.

T

he

par

amet

ers

also

in

dic

ate

ho

w m

uch

ex

tra

uti

lity

a h

ou

seh

old

rec

eiv

es f

rom

in

ves

tmen

ts i

n t

he

dw

elli

ng,

i.e.

: h

ow

mu

ch i

t ap

pre

ciat

es a

mo

re e

xp

ensi

ve

(and p

robab

ly m

ore

luxuri

ous)

dw

elli

ng

in c

om

par

ison

wit

h o

ther

con

sum

er g

ood

s.

In a

mu

ltin

om

ial

reg

ress

ion

mo

del

lik

e th

e o

ne

we

app

lied

in

th

is s

tud

y,

per

fect

ly c

orr

elat

ed

(gro

up

s) o

f al

tern

ativ

es n

eed

to

be

avo

ided

. T

his

is

wh

y w

e in

tro

du

ced

ref

eren

ce p

oin

ts f

or

som

e

of

the

var

iab

les.

Th

e es

tim

ated

co

effi

cien

ts g

ive

the

dif

fere

nce

of

uti

lity

wit

h r

esp

ect

to t

he

refe

ren

ce v

alu

e. F

or

exam

ple

: th

e re

fere

nce

dw

elli

ng

ty

pe

is a

ch

eap

, m

ult

i-fa

mil

y s

mal

l re

nte

d

ho

use

. T

he

esti

mat

ed c

oef

fici

ents

fo

r th

e d

wel

lin

g t

yp

e d

um

mie

s an

d t

he

inte

ract

ion

var

iab

les

no

w i

nd

icat

e th

e ex

tra

uti

lity

th

at a

ho

use

ho

ld d

eriv

es f

rom

ch

oo

sin

g t

his

dw

elli

ng

ty

pe.

In

gen

eral

, w

e h

ave

cho

sen

th

e m

ost

co

mm

on

(i

.e.

mo

st

cho

sen

or

mo

st

avai

lab

le)

val

ue

as

refe

ren

ce p

oin

t. R

efer

ence

po

ints

of

oth

er v

aria

ble

s ar

e th

e ru

ral

livin

g e

nvir

onm

ent

and

the

bu

ild

ing

are

a 196

0-1

99

5.

Page 10: Spatial part-6

15

Res

ult

s: A

cces

sib

ilit

y

The

coef

fici

ents

for

mig

rati

on

and c

om

muti

ng

dis

tance

s o

f th

e h

ead

an

d p

artn

er (

if p

rese

nt)

hav

e

the

corr

ect

sig

n a

nd

are

(v

ery

) si

gn

ific

ant

for

all

ho

use

ho

ld t

yp

es.

Nota

bly

th

e m

igra

tio

n d

ista

nce

has

a

ver

y l

arg

e im

pac

t o

n t

he

resi

den

tial

beh

avio

r. T

his

in

dic

ates

a

stro

ng

bo

nd

w

ith

th

e

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

, ca

use

d b

y r

elat

ion

s w

ith

fam

ily

, fr

ien

ds

and

oth

er s

oci

al a

ctiv

itie

s. F

urt

her

mo

re,

ho

use

ho

lds

are

also

bet

ter

info

rmed

abo

ut

the

loca

l h

ou

sing

mar

ket

th

en o

ther

mar

ket

s. T

his

rela

tio

nsh

ip i

s o

ften

rec

og

niz

ed i

n o

ther

stu

die

s (C

lark

& D

iele

man

, 1996).

Th

e pre

sence

of

one

or

mo

re c

hil

dre

n o

ften

lea

ds

to a

n e

ven

lar

ger

sen

siti

vit

y t

ow

ard

s m

igra

tio

n d

ista

nce

, w

hic

h i

s

pro

bab

ly c

ause

d b

y t

he

acti

vit

y n

etw

ork

of

the

chil

dre

n,

i.e.

sch

oo

l, s

po

rts

and

lei

sure

.

Ho

wev

er,

ther

e ar

e d

iffe

ren

ces

in s

ensi

tiv

ity

tow

ard

s m

igra

tio

n d

ista

nce

bet

wee

n h

ou

seh

old

typ

es:

hig

her

edu

cate

d h

ou

seh

old

s ar

e w

illi

ng

to

co

mm

ute

fu

rth

er a

nd

mig

rate

fu

rth

er.

Th

e la

rger

com

mu

tin

g d

ista

nce

is

a w

ell-

kn

ow

n p

hen

om

eno

n w

ith

hig

her

edu

cate

d p

eop

le (

Sch

utj

ens

e.a.

,

1998).

T

he

reas

on

for

the

dif

fere

nce

in

m

igra

tio

n

dis

tan

ce

pro

bab

ly

lies

in

th

e sm

alle

r

imp

ort

ance

th

ey a

ttac

h t

o s

oci

al a

nd

fam

ily

co

nta

cts

and

th

e fa

ct t

hat

mo

st h

ou

seh

old

s w

ith

a

hig

h e

du

cate

d h

ead

als

o h

ave

a h

igh

ed

uca

ted

par

tner

wit

h a

jo

b.

Th

is m

ean

s th

at t

hey

hav

e to

com

pro

mis

e b

etw

een

bo

th w

ork

lo

cati

on

s, o

ften

res

ult

ing

in

lar

ger

mig

rati

on

dis

tan

ces

(van

Om

mer

en, 1

99

6).

Th

e re

sult

s fo

r th

e p

refe

ren

ce o

f tr

ansp

ort

fac

ilit

ies

are

var

ied

. T

he

nea

rnes

s o

f an

on

-ram

p t

o

ho

use

ho

lds

wit

h a

car

is

a p

osi

tiv

e at

trib

ute

for

ho

use

ho

lds

that

are

co

nsi

der

ed m

ore

mo

bil

e,

nam

ely

th

e h

igh

ly e

du

cate

d s

ing

les

and

th

e h

ou

seh

old

s th

at m

igra

ted

fo

r w

ork

rel

ated

rea

son

s.

On

th

e o

ther

h

and

, h

igh

er

edu

cate

d

peo

ple

w

ithout

a ca

r ch

oose

si

gnif

ican

tly

m

ore

a

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

wit

h g

oo

d p

ubli

c tr

ansp

ort

fac

ilit

ies.

The

dis

tance

to t

he

nea

rest

rai

lway

sta

tion i

s

on

ly i

mp

ort

ant

for

ho

use

hold

s w

ith

a c

ar w

ho

mov

ed b

ecau

se o

f w

ork

rea

sons.

Fin

ally

, th

ere

is

no

sig

nif

ican

t pro

ve

that

hou

seho

lds

wit

h a

ch

ild

ag

ed s

ix t

o 1

2 a

re r

elo

cati

ng

clo

ser

to p

rim

ary

sch

oo

ls

than

h

ou

seh

old

s w

ith

ou

t ch

ild

ren

. A

p

lau

sib

le

reas

on

fo

r th

is

is

the

Du

tch

p

oli

cy

reg

ard

ing

pri

mar

y s

erv

ices

. T

his

pre

scri

bes

th

at e

ver

y r

esid

enti

al a

re w

ith

en

ou

gh

inh

abit

ants

sho

uld

hav

e a

pri

mar

y s

cho

ol.

16

Ho

use

ho

lds

that

h

ave

ind

icat

ed

they

m

ov

e w

as

wo

rk

rela

ted

sh

ow

a

sig

nif

ican

t d

iffe

ren

t

sen

siti

vit

y t

ow

ard

s m

igra

tio

n a

nd

co

mm

uti

ng

dis

tan

ce.

As

cou

ld b

e ex

pec

ted

, th

e d

ista

nce

to

th

e

wo

rkp

lace

is

far

mo

re i

mp

ort

ant

than

it

is f

or

oth

er h

ou

seh

old

ty

pes

(w

ith

oth

er m

igra

tio

n

reas

on

s).

Nev

erth

eles

s, a

cco

rdin

g t

o o

ur

esti

mat

ion

res

ult

s, i

t se

ems

that

th

is i

nfl

uen

ce i

s n

ot

larg

er t

han

th

at o

f th

e m

igra

tion

s d

ista

nce

. T

his

is

pro

bab

ly c

ause

d b

y t

he

rela

tiv

e su

bje

ctiv

e w

ay

the

qu

esti

on

is

inte

rpre

ted

by

th

e h

ou

seh

old

s: s

om

e m

igra

tio

ns

can

be

wo

rk i

nst

igat

ed b

ut

stil

l

are

mad

e ov

er r

elat

ivel

y s

ho

rt d

ista

nce

s, f

or

exam

ple

wh

en a

hou

sehold

has

its

wo

rkp

lace

at

ho

me

(e.g

. a

do

cto

r o

r ar

tist

) an

d n

eed

s m

ore

spac

e. T

his

ph

eno

men

on

als

o o

ccu

rs i

n o

ur

surv

ey.

Res

ult

s: S

oci

al-

eco

no

mic

att

rib

ute

s

Hou

seh

old

s w

ith

tw

o o

r m

ore

per

son

s te

nd

to

rel

oca

te t

o a

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

wit

h i

nh

abit

ants

of

a

sim

ilar

et

hnic

al

bac

kgro

und

. T

his

ca

use

s (a

nd

h

as

cau

sed

) et

hn

ical

se

gre

gat

ion

in

th

e

Net

her

land

s, p

rim

ary

in

urb

aniz

ed a

reas

. N

ext

to t

his

pre

fere

nce

, th

ese

house

ho

ld t

ypes

(2+

)

hav

e a

sig

nif

ican

t p

refe

ren

ce f

or

area

s w

ith

a h

igh

er s

oci

al s

tatu

s sc

ore

, p

rob

ably

in

flic

ted

by

th

e

sear

ch f

or

a q

uie

ter

and

bet

ter

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

to

rai

se c

hil

dre

n i

n.

Res

ult

s: G

ener

al

att

rib

ute

s

Alm

ost

al

h

ou

seh

old

ty

pes

, ex

cep

t si

ng

le

hig

hly

ed

uca

ted

, p

refe

r a

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

w

ith

a

rela

tiv

ely

hig

h a

moun

t o

f si

ngle

-fam

ily

ho

mes

. T

hes

e ar

eas

are

assu

med

to

be

mo

re q

uie

t an

d

spac

iou

s. N

ext

to t

hat

th

ese

ho

use

ho

ld t

yp

es a

lso

choo

se t

o r

elo

cate

to

are

as w

ith n

ew h

ou

sing

dev

elo

pm

ent,

wh

ich

wer

e v

ery

po

pu

lar

in t

he

20

00

-20

02

per

iod

, w

hen

mig

rati

ons

wer

e m

ade.

Th

e d

um

mie

s fo

r re

sid

enti

al e

nv

iro

nm

ent

alm

ost

nev

er h

ave

a si

gn

ific

ant

infl

uen

ce.

Th

is c

ou

ld

mea

n t

hat

eit

her

ho

use

ho

ld t

yp

es d

o n

ot

shar

e a

com

mo

n p

refe

ren

ce i

n c

om

par

iso

n w

ith

ru

ral

area

s (t

he

refe

ren

ce e

nv

iro

nm

ent)

, o

r th

at t

he

oth

er v

aria

ble

s in

th

e m

od

el l

ike

dw

elli

ng

ty

pe,

ethn

ical

and s

oci

al s

tatu

s, a

mount

of

single

-fam

ily

hom

es a

nd b

uil

din

g p

erio

d a

lrea

dy c

over

man

y o

f th

e en

vir

on

men

tal

pre

fere

nce

s.

Res

ult

s: D

wel

lin

g a

ttri

bu

tes

Th

e co

effi

cien

ts t

hat

co

nce

rn d

wel

lin

g c

har

acte

rist

ics,

the

du

mm

ies

as w

ell

as t

he

inte

ract

ion

var

iab

les,

all

hav

e th

e ex

pec

ted

sig

n a

nd

are

alm

ost

alw

ays

signif

ican

t. T

hat

is

to s

ay:

the

chan

ce

that

a h

ou

seh

old

rel

oca

tes

to a

mo

re e

xp

ensi

ve,

ow

ner

occ

up

ied

ho

use

is

det

erm

ined

by

its

inco

me.

A s

imil

ar l

ogic

al r

elat

ionsh

ip i

s fo

und f

or

the

nu

mb

er o

f h

ou

seh

old

mem

ber

s an

d t

he

Page 11: Spatial part-6

17

size

an

d t

ype

of

the

dw

elli

ng

. T

his

is

in l

ine

wit

h o

ther

res

earc

h i

nto

th

e re

sid

enti

al p

refe

ren

ces

of

ho

use

ho

lds.

6.

CO

NC

LU

SIO

NS

Reg

ard

ing

th

e in

flu

ence

o

f ac

cess

ibil

ity

, th

e m

ost

im

po

rtan

t re

sult

s ar

e th

e se

nsi

tiv

ity

of

ho

use

ho

lds

for

the

mig

rati

on

an

d c

om

mu

tin

g d

ista

nce

s fo

r h

ead

an

d i

ts p

artn

er.

In a

dd

itio

n,

the

com

bin

atio

n

of

car

ow

ner

ship

an

d

the

pro

xim

ity

o

f on-r

amps,

ra

ilw

ay

stat

ion

and

publi

c

tran

spo

rt q

ual

ity

is

sig

nif

ican

t w

ith

th

e ex

pec

ted

sig

n f

or

som

e o

f th

e h

ou

seh

old

s. A

lth

ou

gh

car

ow

ner

ship

is

rela

ted

wit

h w

ealt

h,

we

bel

iev

e th

at i

n t

his

mo

del

it

also

sta

nd

s fo

r a

life

sty

le t

hat

is

env

iro

nm

enta

lly

aw

are,

bec

ause

we

also

ad

ded

oth

er,

soci

al-e

con

om

ic v

aria

ble

s in

th

e m

od

el.

Th

e re

sult

s sh

ow

th

at p

eople

wh

o d

o n

ot

ow

n a

car

sig

nif

ican

tly

rel

oca

te t

o n

eighb

orh

oods

wit

h

bet

ter

pu

bli

c tr

ansp

ort

fac

ilit

ies.

Th

e ov

eral

l in

fluen

ce o

f ac

cess

ibil

ity m

easu

res,

ap

art

fro

m m

igra

tion

and

co

mm

uti

ng

dis

tance

, is

ver

y s

mal

l, w

het

her

or

no

t in

tera

cted

for

ho

use

ho

ld s

pec

ific

ch

arac

teri

stic

s. T

his

is

pro

bab

ly

cau

sed

by

th

e re

lati

ve

hig

h q

ual

ity

of

the

Du

tch

tra

nsp

ort

sy

stem

an

d t

he

spat

ial

dis

trib

uti

on

of

serv

ices

, w

hic

h h

as r

esult

ed o

ver

yea

rs i

n a

ho

mo

gen

ou

s (h

igh

) le

vel

of

acce

ssib

ilit

y.

Th

is i

s

pro

bab

ly t

he

reas

on

why

em

pir

ical

res

earc

h o

n r

evea

led

res

iden

tial

beh

avio

r in

th

e N

eth

erla

nd

s

(as

des

crib

ed i

n t

his

pap

er)

is n

ot

able

to

fin

d a

sig

nif

ican

t an

d/o

r la

rge

infl

uen

ce o

f ac

cess

ibil

ity

.

More

ov

er,

we

did

not

find

a s

trong p

refe

rence

fo

r th

e re

siden

tial

liv

ing e

nvir

on

men

t; i

t se

ems

that

th

e d

wel

lin

g t

yp

e is

of

mo

re i

mp

ort

ance

. O

f co

urs

e, t

he

rela

tio

n b

etw

een

dw

elli

ng

ty

pe

and

nei

gh

bo

rho

od

is

stro

ng

: so

me

typ

es o

nly

occ

ur

in s

om

e n

eig

hb

orh

oo

ds,

bu

t w

hen

a d

wel

lin

g t

yp

e

is c

ho

sen

, th

e en

vir

on

men

t o

f th

e dw

elli

ng

see

ms

not

ver

y i

mpo

rtan

t. O

nly

so

cial

nei

ghbo

rhood

asp

ects

lik

e st

atu

s an

d e

thn

icit

y i

ssu

es h

ave

imp

act.

Th

e p

refe

ren

ce f

or

dw

elli

ng

ty

pe

is v

ery

str

on

g,

also

in

ter

ms

of

the

max

imu

m p

erce

ived

uti

lity

.

In p

ract

ice

this

im

pli

es t

hat

peo

ple

are

wil

ling

mig

rate

or

com

mu

te o

ver

lo

ng

er d

ista

nce

s, w

hen

they

can

hav

e th

e d

wel

lin

g t

yp

e th

ey l

on

g f

or.

Th

is h

as i

mp

lica

tio

ns

for

the

(Du

tch

) h

ou

sin

g a

nd

tran

sport

p

oli

cy.

Aft

er

all,

un

less

tr

avel

ing

h

as

bec

om

e su

ch

a b

urd

en

in

term

s o

f ti

me

(co

ng

esti

on

) an

d c

ost

s (e

xtr

a ta

xes

an

d p

eak

-ho

ur

char

ges

), h

ou

seh

old

s w

ill

ten

d t

o r

elo

cate

18

furt

her

aw

ay f

rom

th

eir

pre

vio

us

resi

den

tial

lo

cati

on

an

d w

ork

pla

ce w

hen

th

e p

refe

rred

dw

elli

ng

is n

ot

avai

lable

in t

he

dir

ect

vic

init

y.

Th

is c

ou

ld r

esult

in

mo

re c

ar t

raff

ic.

This

pro

cess

is

enh

ance

d b

y t

he

tig

htn

ess

on

th

e h

ou

sin

g m

ark

et i

n D

utc

h u

rban

ized

are

as l

ike

the

Ran

dst

ad,

the

wes

tern

par

t o

f th

e N

eth

erla

nd

s.

Fu

ture

pla

nn

ers

and

/or

po

licy

mak

ers

wil

l h

ave

to k

eep

th

e st

ron

g i

nfl

uen

ce o

f h

ou

sin

g t

yp

e in

min

d,

bec

ause

it

co

uld

o

bst

ruct

p

lan

s th

at

wan

t to

st

imu

late

sm

art

gro

wth

an

d

red

uce

ca

r

mil

eag

e.

Fu

ture

res

earc

h p

lan

s to

fo

llo

w u

p t

his

stu

dy

incl

ud

e th

eref

ore

th

e co

nst

ruct

ion

of

a

sim

ula

tio

n m

od

el to

ex

amin

e th

e o

utc

om

es o

f v

ario

us

(po

licy

) sc

enar

ios,

lik

e th

e ef

fect

of

allo

win

g r

ura

l li

vin

g, d

isco

ura

gin

g c

ar-u

sag

e an

d r

evit

aliz

ing

th

e ci

ty c

ente

rs.

7.

AC

KN

OW

LE

DG

EM

EN

TS

Th

e p

rese

nte

d r

esea

rch

is

mad

e p

oss

ible

by

th

e su

pp

ort

of

oth

er p

arti

es.

We

wou

ld l

ike

to t

han

k

the

foll

ow

ing

in

stit

ute

s fo

r th

eir

con

trib

uti

on

in

mea

ns

of

kn

ow

ledg

e, d

ata

and

so

ftw

are:

-T

he

Net

her

land

s In

stit

ute

fo

r S

pat

ial

rese

arch

(R

uim

teli

jk

Pla

nb

ure

au),

D

en

Haa

g,

Net

her

lan

ds.

-A

BF

Res

earc

h, D

elft

, T

he

Net

her

lands

-G

eo-D

atab

ase

Man

agem

ent

Cen

tre

fro

m

the

dep

artm

ent

Geo

det

ic

En

gin

eeri

ng

o

f D

elft

Un

iver

sity

of

Tec

hn

olo

gy

, D

elft

, T

he

Net

her

lan

ds.

Page 12: Spatial part-6

19

8.

RE

FE

RE

NC

ES

Alo

nso

, W

. (1

964)

Loca

tio

n a

nd l

and u

se:

tow

ard

a g

ener

al

theo

ry o

f la

nd r

ent,

Har

var

d U

niv

ersi

ty P

ress

, C

ambri

dge,

Mas

sach

use

tts.

Axhau

sen,

D.M

., S

cott

, A

. K

önig

& J

ürg

ens

(2001)

Loca

tions,

co

mm

itm

ents

and a

ctiv

ity s

pac

es,

Pre

sente

d

at t

he

Surv

ive

Work

sho

p,

Bon

n,

Dec

emb

er 2

00

1,

Arb

eitb

eric

ht

Ver

kehrs

- und R

aum

pla

nnin

g96,

IVT

, E

TH

Züri

ch.

Boeh

m,

T. P

. (1

982)

A h

iera

rchic

al m

odel

of

housi

ng c

ho

ice.

Urb

an s

tud

ies

19 (

1)

pp

. 17-3

1.

Börs

ch-S

upan

, A

. (1

98

7)

Eco

nom

etri

c A

naly

sis

of

Dis

cret

e ch

oic

e –

wit

h a

ppli

cati

ons

on t

he

dem

and

for

housi

ng i

n t

he

U.S

. and W

est-

Ger

many.

Hei

del

ber

g:

Spri

ng

er,

Ber

lin

.

Bro

wm

, L

. A

. &

E

.G.

Moo

re

(1970).

T

he

intr

a-urb

an

mig

rati

on

pro

cess

: a

per

spec

tive.

G

eogra

fisk

a

Annale

r se

ries

B52, p

p.

1-1

3.

Cla

rk,

W.A

.V.

& F

.M.

Die

lem

an (

19

96

) H

ouse

hold

s and

Housi

ng:

Cho

ice

and O

utc

om

es i

n t

he

Ho

usi

ng

M

ark

ets,

CU

PR

Pre

ss,

Rutg

ers

Univ

ersi

ty, N

ew J

erse

y.

Cla

rk,

W.A

.V.

&

.F.J

. V

an

Lie

rop

(1986),

R

esid

enti

al

mob

ilit

y

and

house

hold

lo

cati

on

mo

del

ing,

Hand

book

of

regio

nal

an

d u

rban e

con

om

ics:

Volu

me

I (e

d.

P.

Nij

kam

p),

Els

evie

r S

cien

ce P

ubli

sher

s.

Colo

mbin

o,

U.

& M

.L.

Bie

y (

2001)

Model

ling

ho

use

hold

choic

es o

f dw

elli

ng a

nd l

oca

l p

ubli

c se

rvic

es.

Cen

tre

for

house

hold

, in

com

e, l

abour

and d

emo

gra

ph

ics,

Ita

ly.

Die

lem

an,

F.M

. (2

001)

Model

ling r

esid

enti

al m

ob

ilit

y;

a re

vie

w o

f re

cent

tren

ds

in r

esea

rch,

Journ

al

of

housi

ng a

nd t

he

buil

t en

viro

nm

ent

16,

pp.

249-2

65.

Dök

mec

i, V

. &

. B

erköz

(1999)

Res

iden

tial

-loca

tion p

refe

rence

s ac

cord

ing t

o d

emog

raphic

char

acte

rist

ics

in I

stan

bul.

Landsc

ape

an

d u

rban p

lannin

g 4

8 (

1-2

), p

p.

45-5

6.

Ever

s, G

.H.M

. (1

990)

The

resi

den

tial

loca

tion a

nd

work

pla

ce c

ho

ice:

a n

este

d m

ult

ino

mia

l lo

git

mo

del

. Spati

al

Ch

oic

es a

nd P

roce

sses

(ed

. M

.M.

Fis

cher

, P

. N

ijkam

p a

nd Y

.Y.

Pap

ageo

rgio

u)

Els

evie

r S

cien

ce

Publi

sher

s, B

.V.

(Nort

h-H

oll

and),

pp.

313-3

29.

Fae

ssen

, W

.B.M

. (2

002)

Pre

sent

and p

refe

rred

housi

ng o

f one-

per

son h

ouse

hold

s in

the

Net

her

lands,

1998

Jo

urn

al

of

hou

sing a

nd t

he

Buil

t E

nvi

ronm

ent

17(3

) pp.

33

7-3

50.

Fei

jten

, P

. (2

00

5)

Lif

e ev

ents

and

the

hou

sing c

are

er:

A r

etro

spec

tive

analy

sis

of

tim

ed e

ffec

ts.

Eburo

n,

Del

ft.

Foll

ain,

J.R

. &

E.

Jim

enez

(1

984)

Est

imat

ing t

he

dem

and f

or

housi

ng c

har

acte

rist

ics:

Surv

ey a

nd C

riti

que,

R

egio

na

l Sci

ence

and U

rban E

conom

ics

15 p

p.

77-1

07.

Gär

ling,

T.

and F

rim

an,

M.

(2002)

A P

sych

olo

gic

al C

once

ptu

aliz

atio

n o

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esid

enti

al C

hoic

e. R

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enti

al

Envi

ronm

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hoic

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J.

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ran

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Gre

enw

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Geu

rs,

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d R

itse

ma

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001)

Acc

essi

bil

ity

mea

sure

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evie

w a

nd

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cati

ons,

RIV

M

Rep

ort

408

505

006,

Nat

ional

Inst

itu

te o

f P

ubli

c H

ealt

h a

nd E

nvir

on

men

t, B

ilth

oven

.

Gre

ene,

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H.

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Nlo

git

ver

sion 3

.0 R

efer

ence

guid

e. E

con

om

etri

c S

oft

war

e In

c, P

lain

vie

w,

New

Y

ork

.

McF

adden

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. (1

978)

Model

lin

g t

he

choic

e o

f re

siden

tial

loca

tio

n,

in A

. K

arlq

uis

t et

al.

(ed

.),

Spat

ial

inte

ract

ion t

heo

ry a

nd r

esid

enti

al l

oca

tio

n, N

ort

h-H

oll

and,

Am

ster

dam

, p

p.

75-9

6.

Mil

ler,

E

. J.

, J.

D

ou

gla

s H

unt,

J.

E.

Abra

ham

, P

.A.

Sal

vin

i (2

00

4)

Mic

rosi

mula

ting

urb

an

syst

em.

Com

pute

rs,

envi

ronm

ent

and u

rban s

yste

ms

28 (

1-2

), p

p.

9-4

4.

Min

iste

rie

van

Volk

shu

isves

ting,

Ruim

teli

jke

Ord

enin

g e

n M

ilie

ubeh

eer

(2004)

Nota

Ru

imte

: ru

imte

voor

ontw

ikke

lin

g. S

du

Uit

gev

ers,

Th

e H

agu

e.

20

Min

iste

rie

van

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shu

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ting,

Ruim

teli

jke

Ord

enin

g e

n M

ilie

ubeh

eer

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Bet

er T

huis

in W

onen

Ker

npub

lica

tie

Wonin

gB

ehoef

te O

nder

zoek

2002

. T

he

Hag

ue.

Moli

n,

E.

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99)

Con

join

t M

odel

ling A

ppro

ach

es f

or

Res

iden

tial

Gro

up P

refe

rence

s. P

hD

dis

sert

atio

n,

Tec

hnis

che

Univ

ersi

teit

Ein

dhoven

, F

acult

eit

Bouw

kunde,

Ein

dhoven

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Moli

n,

E.J

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nd H

.J.P

Tim

mer

man

s (2

003),

Tra

nsp

ort

consi

der

atio

ns

in r

esid

enti

al c

hoic

e dec

isio

ns:

ac

cum

ula

ted e

vid

ence

fro

m t

he

Ben

elux,

in:

Pro

ceed

ings

of

the

82-t

h A

nnua

l M

eeti

ng

of

the

Tra

nsp

ort

R

esea

rch B

oard

, W

ash

ing

ton

, D

.C..

Muld

er,

C.H

. &

P.

Hooim

eije

r (1

999)

Res

iden

tial

Rel

oca

tions

in t

he

Lif

e C

ours

e. P

opula

tion i

ssues

, an

In

terd

isci

pli

na

ry F

ocu

s (e

ds.

L.J

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Van

Wis

sen a

nd P

.A.

Dy

kst

ra),

Klu

wer

aca

dem

ic/P

lenu

m

Publi

sher

s,

New

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, N

Y.

Van

Om

mer

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J.N

. (2

00

0)

Com

muti

ng a

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eloca

tion o

f Jo

bs

and R

esid

ence

s, A

lder

shot:

Ash

gat

e.

Ort

uza

r J.

D

e D

., F

.J.

Mar

tinez

&

F

.J.

Var

ela

(2000)

Sta

ted P

refe

rence

s in

M

odel

lin

g A

cces

sib

ilit

y.

Inte

rnati

ona

l pla

nnin

g s

tudie

s5 (

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pp

. 6

5-8

6.

Pie

t H

. L

. B

ovy

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liah

u S

tern

(1990)

Route

Choic

e: W

ayf

indin

g i

n T

ransp

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Net

work

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tudie

s in

In

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Org

aniz

atio

n,

Klu

wer

Aca

dem

ic P

ubli

sher

s.

Quig

ley,

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985)

Consu

mer

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e of

dw

elli

ng,

nei

ghborh

oo

d a

nd p

ubli

c se

rvic

es.

Reg

iona

l Sci

ence

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rban E

conom

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15,

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41-6

3.

Rouw

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, J.

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Choic

e and a

lloca

tion m

odel

s fo

r th

e housi

ng m

ark

et,

seri

es:

Stu

die

s in

oper

atio

nal

re

gio

n s

cien

ces,

Klu

wer

Aca

dem

ic P

ub

lish

ers,

Dord

rech

t.

Sch

utj

ens,

V

.A.J

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. van

K

emp

en &

B

. W

iendel

s (1

998)

Wer

k-geï

nduce

erde

mig

rati

e ove

r la

ng

e afs

tan

d:

een v

ooro

nder

zoek

. F

acu

ltei

t R

uim

teli

jke

Wet

ensc

hap

pen

, U

rban

Res

earc

h c

entr

e, U

trec

ht.

Soci

aal

en C

ult

ure

el P

lanbure

au (

1998)

Van h

oog n

aar

laag;

van l

aa

g n

aar

hoo

g,

Cah

ier

Soci

aal

en

Cu

ltu

reel

Pla

nbure

au 1

52,

Els

evie

r bed

rijf

sin

form

atie

, D

en H

aag

.

Sro

ur,

I.A

., K

.M.

Kock

elm

an a

nd T

.P.

Dun

n (

2002)

Acc

essi

bil

ity

Indic

es:

A C

onnec

tion t

o R

esid

enti

al

Land P

rice

s and L

oca

tion C

hoic

es,

Pre

sente

d a

t th

e 81st

Annual

Mee

tin

g o

f th

e T

ransp

ort

atio

n R

esea

rch

B

oar

d,

Was

hin

gto

n.

Tiw

ari,

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aseg

awa,

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A d

iscr

ete

choic

e m

odel

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housi

ng d

eman

d i

n T

oky

o,

Reg

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Stu

die

s38 (

1)

pp.2

7-4

2.

Wad

del

, P

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996),

A

cces

sib

ilit

y an

d R

esid

enti

al

Loca

tion:

The

Inte

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ion o

f W

ork

pla

ce,

Res

iden

tial

Mobil

ity,

Ten

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, and L

oca

tion C

hoic

es,

pre

sente

d a

t th

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inco

ln L

and I

nst

itute

TR

ED

Con

fere

nce

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ambri

dge,

Mas

sach

use

tts.

Wei

sbro

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G.E

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resi

den

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ansp

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atio

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s oth

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aki

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pp.

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6.

Page 13: Spatial part-6

21

Tab

le 2

: M

od

el c

har

acte

rist

ics

Sin

gle

, lo

w e

d.

Sin

gle

, hig

h e

d.

Work

inst

ig.

Tw

o +

, lo

w e

d.

Tw

o +

, hig

h e

d.

60+

yrs

N

848

475

807

357

3201

5

104

5In

itial l

og-

like

liho

od

: -3

47

2.0

04

-1

94

4.8

14

-330

4.1

36

-14

62

9.0

93

-825

0.1

04

-4

27

8.5

90

Fin

al lo

g-

like

liho

od

: -1

60

0.9

53

-9

75.9

56

-14

84

.49

4-7

11

1.0

73

-375

5.8

01

-1

44

0.5

75

Rho-s

quare

: 0.5

38

0.4

97

0.5

50

0.5

14

0.5

45

0.6

63

Tab

le 3

a: C

oef

fici

ents

fo

r m

igra

tion

dis

tance

S

ingle

, lo

w e

d.

Sin

gle

, hig

h e

d.

Work

inst

ig.

Tw

o +

, lo

w e

d.

Tw

o +

, hig

h e

d.

60+

yrs

Mig

ratio

n

dis

tance

-2

.83

5

-2.6

73

-1.7

50

-2.5

95

-2.4

09

-2

.86

7

22

Table 3: Estimated coefficients for accessibility and social neighborhood attributes

NB: All coefficients and standard errors are normalized to the coefficient for migration distance ln

: Natural logarithm of the Euclidean distance **: significant at 5% level *: significant at 10% level

Variable Single, low ed.Single, high ed.Work instig.Two +, low ed.Two +, high ed.60+ yrs

coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e. coeff.st.e.

Accessibility attributes Migration distance (natural logarithm off-peak travel time (minutes) by car) -1.000**0.026-1.000**0.035-1.000**-0.042 -1.000**-0.018-1.000**-0.023-1.000**-0.023 - additional value for hh. with one or more children under 17 years

--0.082-0.073 -0.041-0.026-0.106**-0.0400.175-0.172

Commuting distance head of hh. (natural logarithm peak-hour travel time (minutes) by car) -0.286**0.041-0.220**0.054-1.000**-0.044 -0.227**-0.022-0.123**-0.030-0.330**-0.148Commuting distance partner (natural logarithm peak-hour travel time (minutes) by car)

--1.027**-0.060 -0.397**-0.024-0.466**-0.030-0.664**-0.169

Quality of public transport:

- for hh. without a car 0.1850.117-0.0990.2200.016-0.328 0.061-0.0930.448**-0.193-0.103-0.116

- for hh. with a car -0.1930.151-0.0470.249-0.019-0.345 -0.078-0.099-0.480**-0.1980.049-0.140

Distanceln to on-ramp highway:

- for hh. without a car 0.073*0.0380.213**0.069-0.035-0.100 0.049-0.0340.056-0.0550.081**-0.041

- for hh. with a car 0.132**0.054-0.194**0.0800.182*-0.107 0.056-0.0370.049-0.0580.033-0.051

Distanceln to railway station:

- for hh. without a car -0.0330.041-0.0930.070-0.261**-0.117 -0.010-0.038-0.077-0.059-0.045-0.050

- for hh. with a car 0.0350.0620.0280.0840.272**-0.129 0.047-0.0420.075-0.0620.024-0.063

Distanceln to primary school

- for hh. without a child under < 13 years -0.039-0.078 0.000-0.027-0.031-0.0340.062-0.048

- for hh. with a child under < 13 years -0.461**-0.168 -0.087-0.063-0.037-0.094-1.032-0.830

Social neighborhood attributes

Index for percentage of non-western

- for hh. with a head with western ethnicity -0.2990.214-0.444*0.2650.147-0.363 -0.404**-0.130-0.350**-0.175-0.200-0.237

- for hh. with a head with non-western ethnicity 1.165**0.3570.5570.6711.397-0.905 1.670**-0.1971.141**-0.3891.170-0.867

Score for social status of the neighborhood 0.0140.0230.0420.0290.029-0.038 0.085**-0.0140.030*-0.0180.052**-0.026

Page 14: Spatial part-6

23

Table 4: Estimated coefficients general neighborhood attributes

Variable Single, low ed.Single, high ed.Work instig.Two +, low ed.Two +, high ed.60+ yrs

coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e. coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e.

General neighborhood attributes

Residential environments

Rural <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference>

Rural village 0.0320.0810.1580.1240.148-0.105-0.072**-0.033-0.098**-0.0490.077-0.068

Green urbanized 0.0240.0880.1920.1300.106-0.123-0.088**-0.0390.007-0.0540.107-0.079

Urbanized0.0050.0830.1450.1240.141-0.117-0.092**-0.037-0.100*-0.051-0.022-0.076

Central urbanized -0.0490.0940.244*0.1330.301**-0.142-0.186**-0.049-0.152**-0.0650.045-0.092

Percentage of total number of houses per postal zone

built between 1995 and 2003 0.1970.1370.462**0.1740.567**-0.1730.544**-0.0550.642**-0.0750.406**-0.114

built between 1960 and 1995 <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference>

built between 1945 and 1960 -0.2460.170-0.0820.2460.137-0.3110.008-0.095-0.008-0.144-0.219-0.185

built before 1945 -0.1460.0950.1350.118-0.244-0.155-0.488**-0.058-0.085-0.073-0.545**-0.108

single-family 0.314**0.1050.2250.1380.590**-0.1830.471**-0.0630.180**-0.0840.668**-0.112

NB: All coefficients and standard errors are normalized to the coefficient for migration distance **: significant at 5% level *: significant at 10% level

24

Table 5: Estimated coefficients for dwelling attributes, interacted with household characteristics.

Variable Single, low ed.Single, high ed.Work instig.Two +, low ed.Two +, high ed.60+ yrs

coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e. coeff.st.e. coeff.st.e. coeff.st.e.

Dwelling attributes

Interaction variables with household attribute Interaction hh. income (Keuro, difference with modal income) with …

- cheap rented house <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference>

- medium-expensive rented house 0.571**0.1010.513**0.1320.553**-0.125 0.280**-0.0340.277**-0.0610.321**-0.080

- expensive rented house 0.616**0.1090.973**0.1230.884**-0.111 0.477**-0.0350.550**-0.0550.597**-0.073

- cheap owner-occupied house 0.839**0.0960.891**0.1120.903**-0.107 0.631**-0.0300.636**-0.0490.608**-0.075

- medium expensive owner-occupied house 1.120**0.1350.902**0.1611.075**-0.112 0.717**-0.0340.723**-0.0520.633**-0.080

- expensive owner-occupied house 0.984**0.1461.055**0.1271.139**-0.109 0.739**-0.0330.818**-0.0510.710**-0.076

Interaction household size (number of members) with …

- a small multi-family house --<reference> <reference> <reference> <reference>

- a large multi-family house --0.380**-0.095 0.267**-0.0310.331**-0.0720.266**-0.083

- a small single-family house --0.430**-0.081 0.201**-0.0290.365**-0.0650.119*-0.067

- a large single-family house --0.711**-0.084 0.377**-0.0290.604**-0.0640.300**-0.089

NB: All coefficients and standard errors are normalized to the coefficient for migration distance **: significant at 5% level *: significant at 10% level

Page 15: Spatial part-6

25

Table 6: Estimated coefficients for dwelling type attributes.

Variable Single, low ed.Single, high ed.Work instig.Two +, low ed.Two +, high ed.60+ yrs

coeff. st.e.coeff. st.e. coeff. st.e. coeff.st.e.coeff.st.e. coeff. st.e.

Dwelling types

REMFSMLO <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference> <reference>

REMFSMMI 0.391 ** 0.084 0.553** 0.0930.705** -0.1640.426** -0.0560.424** -0.0990.522** -0.074

REMFSMHI 0.576 ** 0.093 0.836** 0.1021.327** -0.1590.677** -0.0620.642** -0.0991.044** -0.074

REMFLALO-0.210 ** 0.068 -0.1800.124-0.525** -0.258-0.395** -0.101-0.324*-0.193-0.606** -0.160

REMFLAMI 0.249 ** 0.118 -0.0110.186-0.069-0.289-0.077-0.104-0.269-0.203-0.318*-0.185

REMFLAHI 0.443 ** 0.116 0.488** 0.1700.498*-0.2720.190*-0.1050.127-0.1940.170-0.175

RESFSMLO -0.281 ** 0.058 -0.215** 0.103-0.860** -0.230-0.181** -0.088-0.590** -0.173-0.341** -0.118

RESFSMMI 0.060 0.103 0.366** 0.133-0.314-0.2530.216** -0.091-0.246-0.179-0.079-0.142

RESFSMHI 0.125 0.149 0.498** 0.1600.359-0.2310.247** -0.097-0.027-0.1790.110-0.159

RESFLALO -0.426 ** 0.107 -0.2750.212-1.243** -0.293-0.658** -0.098-1.271** -0.200-1.256** -0.232

RESFLAMI -0.275 *0.158 -0.0200.213-1.485** -0.372-0.463** -0.099-1.140** -0.200-0.996** -0.277

RESFLAHI -0.001 0.182 0.2810.200-0.478*-0.248-0.248** -0.100-0.921** -0.184-0.649** -0.239

BUMFSMLO 0.379 ** 0.083 0.701** 0.0820.495** -0.1560.262** -0.0560.288** -0.0820.364** -0.083

BUMFSMMI -0.423 0.369 0.319*0.192-0.029-0.341-0.008-0.1340.060-0.1500.617** -0.120

BUMFSMHI -0.047 0.215 0.513** 0.1520.240-0.2730.127-0.1170.004-0.1330.351** -0.135

BUMFLALO0.338 ** 0.123 0.582** 0.1220.149-0.2700.004-0.104-0.252-0.191-0.219-0.206

BUMFLAMI -0.284 0.366 0.2730.2960.218-0.344-0.554** -0.162-0.505** -0.2240.172-0.208

BUMFLAHI -1.392 33.904 0.0940.278-0.235-0.333-0.585** -0.148-0.697** -0.215-0.246-0.216

BUSFSMLO 0.096 0.082 0.351** 0.0950.016-0.2000.091-0.086-0.211-0.165-0.331** -0.142

BUSFSMMI -0.137 0.133 0.0610.163-0.364-0.225-0.152-0.093-0.433** -0.172-0.269*-0.148

BUSFSMHI -0.379 ** 0.160 -0.1460.172-0.604** -0.232-0.185** -0.094-0.612** -0.171-0.296** -0.151

BUSFLALO -0.259 ** 0.125 0.235** 0.118-0.681** -0.226-0.237** -0.090-0.681** -0.167-0.868** -0.195

BUSFLAMI -0.462 ** 0.170 -0.3190.250-0.863** -0.238-0.531** -0.095-0.845** -0.171-0.747** -0.208

BUSFLAHI -0.568 ** 0.163 -0.2500.159-0.911** -0.230-0.611** -0.093-0.947** -0.168-0.635** -0.191

NB: All coefficients and standard errors are normalized to the coefficient for migration distance **: significant at 5% level *: significant at 10% level