spe brisbane march 2012 · pdf filestage span = +400 ft stage size 15 500 bbl/stage gal ppg...
TRANSCRIPT
Shale
Jason PitcherDirector
Global Technical Solutions
Shale Field Development Path (Front End Loaded)
Full Field Integration, Visualization and OptimizationVisualization and Optimization
Variables used for basin comparison Vitrinite reflectance (%Ro) - maturity
Total organic carbon (TOC)richness•Gas in place (scf/ton)
Areasq km
Net Thick. m.
This information is AvThe figure is comprised of six axes.generally available in the published literature
Av. Depth. m
g pEach is defined by 0 and the maximum value for the variable Modified by JLGevirtz to accommodate more axes /parameters
“Magnificent Five” Shale Plays ‐ Variables used for basin comparison
Core
*This information is generally available in the published literature
Core
Magnificent Five Shale Plays ‐ Variables used for basin comparison
Core
*This information is generally available in the published literature
Core
Shale gas risk plot derived from known US shale plays(as template for accelerated evaluation)
Area of minimum requirementfor successful shale play based
Ro
(as template for accelerated evaluation)
for successful shale play based on descriptive parameters for productive US shale plays.TOCGIP
scf/t
The approximate probability of success is lower as the number of points fall inside the gray area increases.
Areak
Net hi k
MarcellusBarnett
sq km Thick. m. HaynesvilleWoodfordFayetteville
Area of minimum requirementAv. Depth. m
…and Made ~60 Global Basin Comparisons
Appraisal of Shale Potential
Petrophysics Multiple Well Scenario Analysis Productivity Modeling (Becoming Absolute)
Pil t P Pilot Programs Micro-seismic
‘Sweet Spot’ Initial Identification
Basin Modeling
Tier definition-Maturity-TOC-SW-PorosityPorosity,Etc. etc.
Regional Geology, Geophysics and
Detailed Geocellular Modeling, p y
petrophysics Pilot Program
Shale Petrophysics
Lithology Unconfined C
ReservoirProperties
Brittleor
D til ?
Compressive Strength
Mineralology
NaturalDuctile? Natural Fractures?
ShaleType Hydrocarbon
C t typ
Frac“Ease”
Kerogen ContentTOC
Content
SPE 115258
Core Analytical Program
Porosity and permeability (tight gas sandstones)
Gas desorption and content
Organic richness
Mineralogy (calibrate GEMTM for vertical wells and LaserStrat® for horizontal wells))
Elemental composition and chemostratigraphic correlation
Fracture characterization
Mechanical propertiesTM
11
Fluid sensitivity – ShaleEvalTM
TOC Facies
Brittleness Conditioned to Facies
Porosity Conditioned to Brittleness and Facies
Porosity Conditioned to Brittleness and Facies
Frac Design Modeling
MShale
16
What Do We Really Know?
© 2011 HALLIBURTON. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 17
Current Barnett Frac Stage Averages
4000 ft laterals Stage Span = +400 ft
Stage size 15 500 BBL/stagegal ppg prop lbs rate time
pad 100000 80 29.76 Stage size = 15,500 BBL/stage Prop Volume = 430,000 lbs/stage Number of stages 6--8 Prop type: 60% 100 mesh
pad 100000 80 29.76slurry 40000 0.3 100 mesh 12000 80 12.07slurry 40000 0.5 100 mesh 20000 80 12.18slurry 100000 0.6 100 mesh 60000 80 30.58slurry 100000 0.7 100 mesh 70000 80 30.71p yp
40% 40/70 Rate = 70 BPM End Conc = 2 ppg Treating Pressure = 4000 psi
slurry 100000 0.8 100 mesh 80000 80 30.85slurry 100000 1 40/70 100000 80 31.12slurry 70000 1.25 40/70 87500 80 22.02flush 12000 80 3.57
Treating Pressure = 4000 psi SRV (ft3)= 4/3*π*ABC
A=network widthB=Frac length
% 100 mesh 56.34% total lbs 429500 lbs% 40/70 43.66% total time hr 3.38 hr% pad 15.38%
C=Height/2 avg ppg 0.66 ppg
lbs 100 mesh 242000 lbslbs 40/70 187500 lbstotal volume 650000 gal 15,476 BBL
EAGLE FORD Fracture Stimulation Trends
WaterFracs Hybrid/Conv 12-15 Stages
8-10 Stages 80-100 BPM
1 5 MM lb
40-60 BPM 3-4 MMlbs prop
(total) 30/60 20/40 1.5 MM lbs prop
100 Mesh, 40/70 1 ppg Max
30/60, 20/40 3-4 ppg 4 MM Gal 25,000 HHP1 ppg Max
7 MM Gal 40,000 HHP
250-300’/Stage
2008 2009 2010
, 350-450’/Stage
2008 2009 2010
Major Shale Plays in North America
Ref: EIA
Comparison of Selected USA shale playsBarnett
(oil & gas)Haynesville
(gas)Marcellus(oil & gas)
Eagle Ford(oil & gas)
Bakken(oil - 40º+ API)
Estimated basin area (sq. 5 000 9 000 95 000 Potentially very 2000+Estimated basin area (sq. mi.)
5,000 9,000 95,000 Potentially very large
2000+
Total vertical depth (ft) 5,400 – 9,500 10,500 – 13,500 4,500 - 8,000 5,000 - 12,000 3,000 - 11,000
Thickness (ft) 100 - 500 60 - 350 50 - 300 100-250 6-15ft & 80-145 ft
Bottom hole temperature (BHT)
150° F 280-380º F 100º F-140º F 150° - 350º F 190° - 240º F
TOC (%) 4-8% 2-5% 3-10% 2-9% Upper-11%-40%Lower=8%-21%
Ro 0 08 2 0 1 7 2 5 0 8 3 0 1 0 1 45 < 1Ro 0.08 – 2.0 1.7 - 2.5 0.8 - 3.0 1.0 - 1.45 < 1
Pressure Gradient (psi/ft) 0.52 0.85 - 0.93 0.4 - 0.6 0.4 - 0.65 0.5 - 0.8
Porosity 4.0 - 9.6% 8 - 15% 4 - 6% 3.4 - 14.6% 2 - 12 %
OGIP/ ti (b f ) 100 300 150 250 70 150 40 223 5 9 MM bblOGIP/section (bcfe) 100 - 300 150 - 250 70 - 150 40 - 223 5-9 MM bbls
Horizontal well cost ($ M) 2.5 - 4.5 6-10 3 - 4 5 - 10 -
EUR (Bcfe/Well) 2.0 – 3.5 4.0 - 7.5 3 - 6 3 - 6 500,000+ bbl
Sources: D.O.E, Halliburton, Raymond James, and publicly available
BARNETT SHALE OVERVIEW
Top 10 richest Hydrocarbon Plays 4th Largest Gas play in World 9.0 Tcf produced
5 7 B f/D d ti 5.7 Bcf/D production EUR is ~55+ Tcf potentially
Barnett Well Completions
15,300+ well completions in 25 counties (as of 09/2011)
+11000 Horizontals
+4000 Verticals
23 counties
+11000 Horizontals
+4000 Verticals
25 counties
Oil wells - greenGas Wells - red
Drilling Permits blue 23 counties 25 counties Drilling Permits - blue
EAGLE FORD
Outcrop near DallasOutcrop near Dallas
Source: Texas RRC
© 2011 HALLIBURTON. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 28
Shale Investment Framework
I t t• Strategy• Growth• Maintenance• Monetize
• Economic HurdlesTime Horizon
• Low Geologic • High Mechanical• High CommercialTi i & C t C t l
Risk • Risk Tolerance• Strategic Importance• Liquidity• Political Stability• Resource Availability
Capital Equipment
Investment Decision
• Time Horizon• Liquidity and Capital Capacity
Return Objectives
• Timing & Cost Control• Commodity Price
• Capital Equipment• Skilled Labor
Constraints
30
Unique Lifecycle Risks - Unconventional
Pilot Program High Grading Determine homogeneity
– Goals:– Test geologic hypothesis
T t h i l h th i
Determine homogeneity of source rock through land position
– Test mechanical hypothesis– Test stimulation technique– Determine commercial potential
– Sweet Spots (Bakken)– Hydrocarbon Windows
(Eagle Ford)Determine commercial potential
Lower “conventional” geologic risk, but high
(Eagle Ford)– Commerciality Tiers
(Barnett Shale)g g , gcommerciality risk– High producability uncertainty
Cost to understand producability
Post Pilot (Additional– High development cost uncertainty Pilot program can involve many more wells than typical
conventional exploration program31
– Post Pilot (Additional Seismic)
– During Drilling (Frac &
Unique Lifecycle Risks - Unconventional
Development Secondary Stimulation Long life asset lends itself
Limited reservoir drive mechanism results in need for artificial lift and higher drilling density
Large development capital requirements
Long life asset lends itself to high option value from future technology inno ation in reco er Large development capital requirements
Constant drilling operations to maintain field production level
innovation in recovery techniques
Low primary recovery Drilling PUDs and refining decline parameters to move
Probable to Proved reservesF i f l
p y yfactor and nature of hydrocarbon flow provides potential high Focus on economies of scale
– Infrastructure costs reasonably known– Learning curve achievement
provides potential high marginal economic value creation from secondary
f– Learning curve achievement– Focus on costs control and capital efficiencies
• Drive financial and operational KPIs32
hydraulic fracture stimulation treatments “refracs”
Type Curves
33
Investment Timeline
34
Multi-well P50 Development Plan
35
Multi-well P50 Development Plan
36
International Shale Investment Issues
Infrastructure– Product Pipelines
• “Marketability of Product”Oilfi ld S i E i t A il bilit– Oilfield Services Equipment Availability
• Appropriate Land Rigs• Fracture Stimulation EquipmentFracture Stimulation Equipment• Capacity Utilization of Equipment Drives Market
Prices Production Tests
– Ability to Flare Gas Right to Land Usage
– Surface rights are negotiated in USImminent Domain
37
Summary
Unconventional Gas requires a comprehensive approach d ti l ti d l tiaround stimulation and completion
Wells must be drilled and constructed to– Wells must be drilled and constructed to accommodate the most rigorous anticipated treating conditions.
– Completions must be designed to maximize reservoir contactcontact.
– A keen understanding of the reservoir, geology,A keen understanding of the reservoir, geology, petrophysics, geomechanics, geochemistry, tectonics, etc. is required.
© 2012 HALLIBURTON. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Thank YouС б
GrazieT kkСпасибо
GraciasMerciJason Pitcher
Takkشكراً جزيالً
SağolMerci谢谢你
Jason PitcherHalliburton
SağolありがとうObrigadog