spreadsheet modelling assignment 3
DESCRIPTION
Restructuring of prices at Student's Cafe, Billekhali, BangaloreTRANSCRIPT
-
Spreadsheet Models for Business Decision
Problems
Restructuring of product pricing at
Manjunaths Students Cafe
Submitted to
Prof. Ishwar Murthy
Indian Institute of Management, Bangalore
On 18th February, 2015
Group 2 Section 1
Ankit Prakash Gupta 1411077 Meenakshi Singh 1411303 Mudita Bahl Periyasamy S.
1411030 1411116
-
Executive Summary Mr. Manjunath Hegde, the proprietor of the eating joint Students Caf, wants to explore the possibility of
increasing his profit by re-pricing the menu. We evaluate the possible options for Mr. Manjunath to come up
with the most profitable alternative for him, considering that his customers belong to only three segments:
Senior Citizens, Working Professionals and College Students.
The method of analysis include the investigation of different pricing strategies using the Monte-Carlo
simulation models. All the calculations can be found in the appendix. An underlying assumption is that the
buying habits continue and do not change with price changes.
The analysis is done in two parts. First we look at the profits generated per customer in the different
categories at the current prices. Then we investigate the prices combinations of Benne Dosa and Khara Bath
which will help maximize the profits from this venture.
The results indicate that the senior citizens buy only the Idli - Coffee combo. The students mostly buy the
Dosa - Coffee combo which is our most profitable product however they also end up buying nothing 50% of
the times and this hits our revenues. Similarly the working professionals who have the highest willingness to
spend, buy the Khara Bhath - Coffee combo. This presents us room to adjust the prices of Khara Bhath and
Benne Dosa to maximize our profits.
We therefore recommend the following pricing strategy to maximize the profits as shown in Table 1.
Maximize expected profits (Strategy 1) Benne Dosa - Rs. 21, Khara Bhath - Rs. 27
Maximize the 5th percentile for profits (Strategy 2) Benne Dosa - Rs. 19, Khara Bhath - Rs. 19
Table 1: Strategy to maximize profits of the Student Cafe
In order to meet the demands created by above pricing schemes, Manjunath should plan for the following
orders daily as shown in Table 2 below.
ITEM Demand Under Current Prices
Demand under Strategy 1
Demand under Strategy 2
Benne Dosa 276 503 543
Khara Bhath 274 195 275
Idli - Vada 569 638 564
Coffee 1119 1336 1383
Table 2: Demands of various offering under different pricing schemes
Detailed Analysis
Profit Per Customer at current prices
The profits generated per customer at the current price levels are shown in table 3:
Category Daily Profit (in Rs) Weekly Profit (in Rs.)
Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev.
Senior Citizens 10.00 0.00 5600.00 0.00
Working Professional 14.86 0.83 4160.80 231.82
College Students 9.91 9.97 5551.56 5585.70
Total 15312.36 5589.47
Table 3: Profits under current prices
-
It is seen that the
1. Working professionals generate the highest profits daily however they mostly order Khara Bhath -
Coffee combo which is not our most profitable offering.
2. The college students only buy the Dosa - Coffee combo as it is the only offering that holds a positive
consumer surplus for them. Also since their mean surplus and the price of the combo are same they
end up not purchasing anything almost 50% of the times.
3. The senior citizens always prefer the Idli - Coffee combo as it present a positive surplus all the time.
Also as seen in Table 8 the customers are enjoying a large surplus which can tapped into and converted to
profits with effective pricing.
Pricing to maximize expected weekly profits (Strategy 1)
The working professionals consume mainly Khara Bhath - Coffee combo and enjoy an average surplus of Rs.
15. This presents us room to increase the price of Khara Bhath. Similarly the college students end up not
buying anything 50% of the times. Benne Dosa is the only product that offers them a positive surplus.
Therefore if we can reduce the price of Dosa so as to incentivize more students to buy it, we can increase our
revenues and the profit despite the price reduction. The senior citizens also enjoy a pretty high surplus on
Idli - Coffee combo but we have not considered it in the current analysis.
The optimal price for maximizing the weekly expected profits are : Dosa - Rs. 21, Bhath - Rs. 27 (Trial # 359 ,
Table 12). With these prices the daily profit from working professionals and college students rises
significantly. Also as seen in Table 10 the number of students now purchasing Dosa - Coffee combo rises to
88.70% an increase of almost 39%.
Category Daily Profit (in Rs) Weekly Profit (in Rs.)
Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev.
Senior Citizens 10 0 5600 0
Working Professional 18.565 5.37189 5198.312 1504.13
College Students 14.314 4.91334 8015.616 2751.47
Total 18813.93 3149.49
Table 4 : Daily and Weekly expected profits under Strategy 1
Pricing to maximize 5th percentile of weekly profits
To be a little more conservative, the prices of the items can be adjusted to maximize the 5th percentile of the
profits. Such a pricing scheme will help increase the profits from current level as well as the certainty of a
minimum level of the profits.
The optimal prices for maximizing the 5th percentile of the weekly profits are: Dosa - Rs. 19, Bhath - Rs. 19
(Trial # 289 , Table 12 ). These prices ensure that all of the senior citizens and working professional will
definitely purchase something to eat. At the same time the percentage of students purchasing a food item
also rises to 96.88%. Due the decrease in the prices of Bhath the mean profit from working professionals has
reduced compared to current prices, but the increase in volume of student orders helps counter it and results
in an increased level of overall profits. Manjunath hence will receive a profit of Rs. 17360 in 95% of the cases.
Category Daily Profit (in Rs) Weekly Profit (in Rs.)
Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev.
Senior Citizens 10.00 0.09 5601.12 50.08
Working Professional 13.93 0.51 3901.52 142.68
College Students 13.59 2.37 7608.72 1326.62
Total 17111.36 1336.82
Table 5 : Daily and Weekly expected profits under Strategy 2
-
Appendix
The simulation was run using @Risk on excel.
Customer Type Relative
Size
Dosa + Coffee Khara Bhath + Coffee Idli-Vada + Coffee
Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev.
Senior Citizens 40% 30 2.23607 35 3.16228 45 2.23607
Working Professionals 20% 35 3.60555 50 4.47214 35 2.82843
College Students 40% 40 3.16228 30 2.23607 20 2.69258
Table 6: Reservation Prices for different combos across different customer categories
Current Prices
Benne Dosa Khara Bhath Idli-Vada Coffee Dosa + Coffee Bhath + Coffee Idli + Coffee
Price 25 20 15 15 25 20 15
Variable Cost 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Profit 15 10 5 5 15 10 5
Table 7: Current Prices and Profits of the products offered
Category Surplus
Mean Std. Dev.
Senior Citizens 14.99 2.23
Working Professionals 15.02 4.44
College Students 1.23 1.80
Table 8: Consumer Surplus under current prices
Category Dosa + Coffee Khara Bhath + Coffee Idli-Vada + Coffee None
Senior Citizens 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Working Professionals 0.02% 96.84% 3.14% 0.00%
College Students 49.28% 0.56% 0.00% 50.16%
Table 9: Demand among each category under current prices
Image 1: Distribution of Weekly Profits under current prices
-
Profit Maximization
Risk Optimizer feature of @Risk was used to analyze the profits earned under different price combinations
of Benne Dosa and Khara Bhath.
Since the mean reservation prices for Benne Dosa varied from Rs. 15 to Rs. 30 we simulated its prices from
Rs. 10 to Rs. 40.
Similarly the mean reservation price of Khara Bhath ranged from Rs. 20 to Rs. 30 we again simulated its
price from Rs. 10 to Rs. 40.
Risk Optimizer was run for the resulting 961 combination of different prices of the two items to find the
optimal pricing scheme. The log of different trials can be found in Table 12 below.
Strategy 1 : Maximize weekly expected profits
Category Dosa + Coffee Khara Bhath + Coffee Idli-Vada + Coffee None
Senior Citizens 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00%
Working Professionals 2.30% 69.66% 27.92% 0.12%
College Students 88.70% 0.00% 0.00% 11.30%
Table 10: Demand among each category on maximizing mean weekly profit
Image 2: Distribution of Weekly Profits on maximizing weekly expected profits
Strategy 2: Maximize 5th percentile of weekly profits
Category Dosa + Coffee Khara Bhath + Coffee Idli-Vada + Coffee None
Senior Citizens 0.00% 0.04% 99.96% 0.00%
Working Professionals 0.60% 97.68% 1.72% 0.00%
College Students 96.66% 0.22% 0.00% 3.12%
Table 11: Demand among each category on maximizing 5% percentile of weekly profit
-
Image 3: Distribution of Weekly Profits on maximizing 5th percentile of weekly profits
Log of trials using Risk Optimizer
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
1 10 10 9536.52 817.55 7000.00 7000 9800
2 10 11 9948.54 527.35 7840.00 7000 10640
3 10 12 10297.87 318.19 10360.00 7000 11480
4 10 13 10600.07 221.59 10640.00 7000 12320
5 10 14 10878.67 232.13 10920.00 7000 13160
6 10 15 11135.32 311.39 11200.00 7000 14000
7 10 16 11373.71 421.06 9800.00 7000 14840
8 10 17 11586.51 563.65 9800.00 7000 12880
9 10 18 11775.54 726.66 9800.00 7000 13720
10 10 19 11931.11 908.38 9800.00 7000 14560
11 10 20 12050.50 1105.47 9800.00 7000 12600
12 10 21 12122.24 1316.97 9800.00 7000 12880
13 10 22 12137.80 1531.69 9800.00 7000 13160
14 10 23 12105.66 1735.04 9800.00 7000 13440
15 10 24 12025.64 1914.64 9800.00 7000 13720
16 10 25 11900.98 2062.72 9800.00 7000 14000
17 10 26 11743.68 2170.11 9800.00 7000 14280
18 10 27 11534.82 2223.58 9800.00 7000 14560
19 10 28 11328.63 2231.96 9800.00 7000 14840
20 10 29 11130.95 2201.45 9800.00 7000 15120
21 10 30 10920.70 2112.62 9800.00 7000 15400
22 10 31 10736.24 1995.53 9800.00 7000 15680
23 10 32 10566.33 1841.90 9800.00 7000 15960
24 10 33 10426.75 1676.79 9800.00 7000 16240
25 10 34 10301.59 1483.45 9800.00 7000 16520
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
26 10 35 10198.02 1273.74 9800.00 7000 16800
27 10 36 10129.70 1097.18 9800.00 7000 17080
28 10 37 10085.85 962.33 9800.00 7000 17360
29 10 38 10053.93 837.25 9800.00 7000 17640
30 10 39 10035.31 754.24 9800.00 7000 17920
31 10 40 10019.10 667.66 9800.00 7000 18200
32 11 10 10092.32 818.42 7560.00 7000 10640
33 11 11 10510.53 522.76 8400.00 8400 10640
34 11 12 10864.95 300.43 10920.00 8400 11760
35 11 13 11172.56 175.49 11200.00 8400 12320
36 11 14 11458.61 147.26 11480.00 8400 13160
37 11 15 11725.73 207.93 11760.00 8400 14000
38 11 16 11979.07 298.59 12040.00 8400 14840
39 11 17 12215.73 412.35 10640.00 8400 15680
40 11 18 12427.88 557.08 10640.00 8400 14280
41 11 19 12615.01 721.04 10640.00 8400 15120
42 11 20 12767.64 904.88 10640.00 8400 13160
43 11 21 12885.04 1102.60 10640.00 8400 13440
44 11 22 12952.52 1312.89 10640.00 8400 13720
45 11 23 12964.00 1526.15 10640.00 8400 14000
46 11 24 12925.98 1725.31 10640.00 8400 14280
47 11 25 12842.31 1901.31 10640.00 8400 14560
48 11 26 12703.60 2042.36 10640.00 8400 14840
49 11 27 12539.63 2140.08 10640.00 8400 15120
50 11 28 12332.60 2186.74 10640.00 8400 15400
51 11 29 12138.17 2193.46 10640.00 8400 15680
52 11 30 11922.04 2137.53 10640.00 8400 15960
53 11 31 11727.18 2048.03 10640.00 8400 16240
54 11 32 11547.56 1922.54 10640.00 8400 16520
55 11 33 11384.46 1765.19 10640.00 8400 16800
56 11 34 11249.39 1593.65 10640.00 8400 17080
57 11 35 11123.22 1377.38 10640.00 8400 17360
58 11 36 11030.74 1174.76 10640.00 8400 17640
59 11 37 10975.44 1025.81 10640.00 8400 17920
60 11 38 10925.74 845.54 10640.00 8400 18200
61 11 39 10905.33 761.08 10640.00 8400 18480
62 11 40 10889.40 682.85 10640.00 8400 18760
63 12 10 10637.84 830.86 8120.00 7000 12320
64 12 11 11065.91 525.53 8960.00 8400 12320
65 12 12 11426.41 295.96 11480.00 9800 12320
66 12 13 11737.99 158.55 11760.00 10360 12320
67 12 14 12029.33 94.06 12040.00 10920 13160
68 12 15 12303.17 138.68 12320.00 8400 14000
69 12 16 12567.35 208.12 12600.00 8680 14840
70 12 17 12818.99 298.66 12880.00 8960 15680
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
71 12 18 13054.47 413.14 11480.00 9240 16520
72 12 19 13264.24 557.83 11480.00 9520 15680
73 12 20 13447.39 722.62 11480.00 9800 13720
74 12 21 13597.70 908.25 11480.00 10080 14000
75 12 22 13709.16 1107.36 11480.00 10360 14280
76 12 23 13770.15 1318.44 11480.00 8400 14560
77 12 24 13770.15 1529.69 11480.00 8400 14840
78 12 25 13727.78 1722.98 11480.00 8400 15120
79 12 26 13628.16 1892.29 11480.00 8400 15400
80 12 27 13478.08 2023.49 11480.00 8400 15680
81 12 28 13311.34 2110.99 11480.00 8400 15960
82 12 29 13113.41 2150.01 11480.00 8400 16240
83 12 30 12899.15 2132.11 11480.00 8400 16520
84 12 31 12693.97 2070.80 11480.00 8400 16800
85 12 32 12502.22 1971.83 11480.00 7560 17080
86 12 33 12326.92 1835.11 11480.00 7560 17360
87 12 34 12173.45 1673.12 11480.00 7560 17640
88 12 35 12037.42 1479.24 11480.00 7560 17920
89 12 36 11924.22 1267.30 11480.00 7560 18200
90 12 37 11849.46 1089.31 11480.00 7560 18480
91 12 38 11786.52 889.25 11480.00 7560 18760
92 12 39 11753.08 758.70 11480.00 7560 19040
93 12 40 11735.30 674.78 11480.00 7560 19320
94 13 10 11156.49 879.91 8680.00 7000 12880
95 13 11 11610.87 544.58 9520.00 8400 12880
96 13 12 11981.23 302.03 12040.00 9800 12880
97 13 13 12298.89 153.25 12320.00 11200 12880
98 13 14 12594.20 67.13 12600.00 11760 13160
99 13 15 12873.22 97.57 12880.00 8400 14000
100 13 16 13144.18 144.34 13160.00 8680 14840
101 13 17 13405.90 215.44 13440.00 8960 15680
102 13 18 13655.40 308.74 12880.00 9240 16520
103 13 19 13888.78 422.65 12320.00 9520 17360
104 13 20 14092.82 570.13 12320.00 9800 14280
105 13 21 14271.60 738.59 12320.00 10080 14560
106 13 22 14414.06 926.58 12320.00 10360 14840
107 13 23 14518.90 1125.76 12320.00 8400 15120
108 13 24 14564.93 1338.44 12320.00 7840 15400
109 13 25 14549.92 1547.06 12320.00 7840 15680
110 13 26 14489.80 1735.79 12320.00 7840 15960
111 13 27 14376.26 1894.57 12320.00 7840 16240
112 13 28 14215.32 2012.39 12320.00 7840 16520
113 13 29 14048.78 2087.88 12320.00 7840 16800
114 13 30 13834.10 2103.75 12320.00 7840 17080
115 13 31 13629.67 2076.64 12320.00 7840 17360
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
116 13 32 13425.92 2000.81 12320.00 7840 17640
117 13 33 13235.49 1881.68 12320.00 7840 17920
118 13 34 13072.98 1739.21 12320.00 7840 18200
119 13 35 12920.04 1554.28 12320.00 7840 18480
120 13 36 12797.18 1358.55 12320.00 7840 18760
121 13 37 12700.30 1158.75 12320.00 7840 19040
122 13 38 12625.40 951.56 12320.00 7840 19320
123 13 39 12580.79 795.88 12320.00 7840 19600
124 13 40 12553.04 673.56 12320.00 7840 19880
125 14 10 11629.10 988.36 9240.00 7000 13440
126 14 11 12129.52 613.40 10080.00 8400 13440
127 14 12 12526.19 333.48 11480.00 9800 13440
128 14 13 12853.71 164.44 12880.00 11200 13440
129 14 14 13155.10 53.71 13160.00 12600 13440
130 14 15 13437.98 81.13 13440.00 8400 14000
131 14 16 13713.31 118.91 13720.00 8680 14840
132 14 17 13981.44 168.17 14000.00 8960 15680
133 14 18 14240.97 237.59 14280.00 9240 16520
134 14 19 14488.60 325.95 13440.00 9520 17360
135 14 20 14715.23 444.21 13160.00 9800 14840
136 14 21 14914.37 597.91 13160.00 10080 15120
137 14 22 15082.56 773.03 13160.00 10360 15400
138 14 23 15210.38 968.60 13160.00 8400 15680
139 14 24 15300.35 1169.82 13160.00 8400 15960
140 14 25 15324.93 1383.76 13160.00 8120 16240
141 14 26 15292.26 1587.45 13160.00 8120 16520
142 14 27 15209.35 1768.22 13160.00 8120 16800
143 14 28 15079.29 1915.00 13160.00 8120 17080
144 14 29 14909.86 2016.48 13160.00 8120 17360
145 14 30 14720.02 2068.42 13160.00 8120 17640
146 14 31 14516.88 2071.48 13160.00 8120 17920
147 14 32 14306.18 2022.14 13160.00 8120 18200
148 14 33 14100.86 1921.40 13160.00 8120 18480
149 14 34 13919.70 1786.89 13160.00 8120 18760
150 14 35 13760.26 1623.57 13160.00 8120 19040
151 14 36 13631.49 1449.95 13160.00 8120 19320
152 14 37 13514.28 1238.12 13160.00 8120 19600
153 14 38 13424.91 1022.76 13160.00 8120 19880
154 14 39 13369.36 850.27 13160.00 8120 20160
155 14 40 13332.70 702.45 13160.00 8120 20440
156 15 10 12044.06 1185.20 9800.00 7000 14000
157 15 11 12602.13 762.91 10640.00 8400 14000
158 15 12 13044.84 435.61 11480.00 9800 14000
159 15 13 13398.67 217.30 13440.00 11200 14000
160 15 14 13709.92 81.11 13720.00 12600 14000
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
161 15 15 13998.88 79.19 14000.00 8400 14000
162 15 16 14277.96 109.19 14280.00 8680 14840
163 15 17 14550.31 154.39 14560.00 8960 15680
164 15 18 14814.94 219.86 14840.00 8400 16520
165 15 19 15070.83 285.06 15120.00 8400 17360
166 15 20 15310.82 379.94 14000.00 8400 15400
167 15 21 15529.86 505.71 14000.00 8400 15680
168 15 22 15717.86 663.80 14000.00 8400 15960
169 15 23 15869.62 847.50 14000.00 8400 16240
170 15 24 15979.10 1046.53 14000.00 8400 16520
171 15 25 16041.20 1254.01 14000.00 8400 16800
172 15 26 16040.81 1466.40 14000.00 8400 17080
173 15 27 15980.27 1664.00 14000.00 8400 17360
174 15 28 15874.71 1832.00 14000.00 8400 17640
175 15 29 15729.34 1958.60 14000.00 8400 17920
176 15 30 15533.28 2034.07 14000.00 8400 18200
177 15 31 15346.97 2068.73 14000.00 8400 18480
178 15 32 15131.23 2044.97 14000.00 8400 18760
179 15 33 14917.17 1966.47 14000.00 8400 19040
180 15 34 14720.66 1845.86 14000.00 8400 19320
181 15 35 14547.40 1692.82 14000.00 8400 19600
182 15 36 14406.81 1526.94 14000.00 8400 19880
183 15 37 14285.94 1337.86 14000.00 8400 20160
184 15 38 14184.21 1127.24 14000.00 8400 20440
185 15 39 14115.92 945.96 14000.00 8400 20720
186 15 40 14065.94 767.98 14000.00 8400 21000
187 16 10 12365.98 1474.55 9800.00 7000 14840
188 16 11 13016.72 1006.46 10640.00 7280 14840
189 16 12 13515.80 639.81 11480.00 7560 14840
190 16 13 13915.50 370.71 12880.00 7840 14840
191 16 14 14252.39 205.48 14280.00 8120 14840
192 16 15 14548.13 212.66 14560.00 8400 14840
193 16 16 14832.55 224.48 14840.00 8680 15400
194 16 17 15104.66 289.59 15120.00 8960 16240
195 16 18 15373.46 322.08 15400.00 9240 17080
196 16 19 15634.11 367.03 15680.00 8680 17920
197 16 20 15881.82 426.12 14840.00 8680 15960
198 16 21 16112.49 517.10 14840.00 8400 16240
199 16 22 16319.69 640.86 14560.00 8400 16520
200 16 23 16487.66 804.80 14560.00 8400 16800
201 16 24 16619.15 989.14 14560.00 8400 17080
202 16 25 16693.57 1194.84 14560.00 8400 17360
203 16 26 16726.67 1398.18 14560.00 8400 17640
204 16 27 16687.92 1605.60 14560.00 8400 17920
205 16 28 16602.77 1788.20 14560.00 8400 18200
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
206 16 29 16468.03 1930.83 14560.00 8400 18480
207 16 30 16285.47 2029.02 14560.00 8400 18760
208 16 31 16103.25 2085.11 14560.00 8400 19040
209 16 32 15892.88 2087.72 14560.00 8400 19320
210 16 33 15665.30 2024.86 14560.00 8400 19600
211 16 34 15460.09 1921.69 14560.00 8400 19880
212 16 35 15273.44 1781.41 14560.00 8400 20160
213 16 36 15119.13 1621.80 14560.00 8400 20440
214 16 37 14989.30 1444.15 14560.00 8400 20720
215 16 38 14883.04 1257.38 14560.00 8400 21000
216 16 39 14804.52 1082.80 14560.00 8400 21280
217 16 40 14742.81 906.06 14560.00 8400 21560
218 17 10 12564.83 1846.44 9800.00 7000 15680
219 17 11 13337.41 1339.56 10640.00 7280 15680
220 17 12 13929.10 919.82 11480.00 7560 15680
221 17 13 14385.62 604.53 12320.00 7840 15680
222 17 14 14766.86 387.21 14840.00 8120 15680
223 17 15 15082.54 379.51 15120.00 8400 15680
224 17 16 15370.77 413.31 15400.00 8680 16240
225 17 17 15646.34 467.85 15680.00 8960 16800
226 17 18 15915.45 507.61 15960.00 8400 17640
227 17 19 16178.01 543.44 16240.00 8400 18480
228 17 20 16429.62 588.24 15680.00 8400 16520
229 17 21 16668.18 646.24 15680.00 8400 16800
230 17 22 16884.87 734.51 15120.00 8400 17080
231 17 23 17069.14 864.99 15120.00 8400 17360
232 17 24 17215.27 1023.02 15120.00 8400 17640
233 17 25 17306.86 1209.72 15120.00 8400 17920
234 17 26 17345.86 1407.39 15120.00 8400 18200
235 17 27 17334.07 1609.35 15120.00 8400 18480
236 17 28 17258.75 1798.52 15120.00 8400 18760
237 17 29 17141.49 1953.17 15120.00 8400 19040
238 17 30 16963.13 2063.42 15120.00 8400 19320
239 17 31 16794.74 2137.72 15120.00 8400 19600
240 17 32 16581.26 2158.93 15120.00 8400 19880
241 17 33 16347.80 2115.46 15120.00 8400 20160
242 17 34 16125.87 2019.02 15120.00 8400 20440
243 17 35 15934.58 1899.75 15120.00 8400 20720
244 17 36 15767.70 1747.83 15120.00 8400 21000
245 17 37 15621.76 1577.05 15120.00 8400 21280
246 17 38 15511.27 1409.74 15120.00 8400 21560
247 17 39 15430.07 1257.25 15120.00 8400 21840
248 17 40 15360.07 1100.93 15120.00 8400 22120
249 18 10 12608.85 2240.01 9800.00 7000 16520
250 18 11 13534.02 1744.29 10640.00 7280 16520
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
251 18 12 14247.38 1282.85 11480.00 7560 16520
252 18 13 14792.09 923.23 12320.00 7840 16520
253 18 14 15224.24 689.84 13160.00 8120 16520
254 18 15 15576.20 654.02 15680.00 8400 16520
255 18 16 15883.11 671.78 15960.00 8680 17080
256 18 17 16156.56 752.68 16240.00 8960 17640
257 18 18 16425.36 802.59 16520.00 8400 18200
258 18 19 16687.16 840.73 16800.00 8400 19040
259 18 20 16941.04 871.86 16520.00 8400 17080
260 18 21 17184.19 906.81 15680.00 8400 17360
261 18 22 17406.31 965.39 15680.00 8400 17640
262 18 23 17597.94 1062.04 15680.00 8400 17920
263 18 24 17759.84 1181.29 15680.00 8400 18200
264 18 25 17860.72 1344.39 15680.00 8400 18480
265 18 26 17910.98 1523.73 15680.00 8400 18760
266 18 27 17903.37 1717.39 15680.00 8400 19040
267 18 28 17846.70 1898.11 15680.00 8400 19320
268 18 29 17736.18 2052.75 15680.00 8400 19600
269 18 30 17569.30 2178.25 15680.00 8400 19880
270 18 31 17403.90 2258.12 15680.00 8400 20160
271 18 32 17193.85 2291.85 15680.00 8400 20440
272 18 33 16955.68 2271.70 15680.00 8400 20720
273 18 34 16723.73 2188.21 15680.00 8400 21000
274 18 35 16519.55 2074.06 15680.00 8400 21280
275 18 36 16347.16 1943.84 15680.00 8400 21560
276 18 37 16185.34 1780.15 15680.00 5600 21840
277 18 38 16069.06 1630.81 15680.00 5600 22120
278 18 39 15978.14 1483.64 15680.00 5600 22400
279 18 40 15905.18 1353.39 15680.00 5600 22680
280 19 10 12489.71 2615.10 9800.00 7000 17360
281 19 11 13574.06 2166.69 10640.00 5040 17360
282 19 12 14432.52 1717.14 11480.00 7560 17360
283 19 13 15091.94 1339.65 12320.00 7840 17360
284 19 14 15596.90 1115.80 13160.00 8120 17360
285 19 15 15982.85 1088.29 14000.00 8400 17360
286 19 16 16310.08 1135.60 14840.00 8400 17920
287 19 17 16589.66 1225.75 16800.00 8400 18480
288 19 18 16854.35 1287.29 17080.00 8400 19040
289 19 19 17111.36 1336.82 17360.00 8400 19600
290 19 20 17365.77 1362.43 16240.00 8400 18200
291 19 21 17610.66 1383.06 16240.00 8400 17920
292 19 22 17836.81 1424.34 16240.00 8400 18200
293 19 23 18032.28 1488.76 16240.00 8400 18480
294 19 24 18198.57 1574.13 16240.00 8400 18760
295 19 25 18312.22 1692.25 16240.00 8400 19040
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
296 19 26 18367.05 1848.33 16240.00 8400 19320
297 19 27 18366.88 2018.59 16240.00 8400 19600
298 19 28 18311.64 2168.65 16240.00 8400 19880
299 19 29 18214.67 2309.25 16240.00 8400 20160
300 19 30 18047.68 2436.41 16240.00 8400 20440
301 19 31 17884.50 2519.79 16240.00 8400 20720
302 19 32 17676.34 2564.78 16240.00 5600 21000
303 19 33 17433.70 2551.24 16240.00 5600 21280
304 19 34 17196.37 2484.34 16240.00 5600 21560
305 19 35 16979.54 2381.79 16240.00 5600 21840
306 19 36 16798.91 2266.79 16240.00 5600 22120
307 19 37 16632.67 2141.02 16240.00 5600 22400
308 19 38 16502.75 1999.97 16240.00 5600 22680
309 19 39 16406.82 1879.02 16240.00 5600 22960
310 19 40 16323.55 1755.95 16240.00 5600 23240
311 20 10 12265.82 2915.95 9800.00 7000 16800
312 20 11 13452.77 2560.14 10640.00 5040 16800
313 20 12 14463.29 2162.45 11480.00 5880 18200
314 20 13 15264.96 1785.38 12320.00 7840 18200
315 20 14 15865.64 1575.68 13160.00 7560 18200
316 20 15 16301.04 1573.56 14000.00 8400 18200
317 20 16 16636.70 1671.03 14840.00 8400 18200
318 20 17 16915.56 1803.05 8960.00 8400 19320
319 20 18 17179.46 1880.84 9240.00 8400 19880
320 20 19 17425.77 1945.38 9520.00 8400 20440
321 20 20 17671.50 1983.95 9800.00 8400 18200
322 20 21 17912.64 2007.71 10080.00 8400 19040
323 20 22 18139.88 2037.07 10360.00 8400 18760
324 20 23 18338.10 2080.36 10640.00 8400 19040
325 20 24 18507.02 2148.31 10920.00 8400 19320
326 20 25 18623.22 2245.06 11200.00 8400 19600
327 20 26 18686.02 2361.61 11480.00 8400 19880
328 20 27 18689.30 2499.68 11760.00 8400 20160
329 20 28 18636.32 2623.98 12040.00 8400 20440
330 20 29 18539.86 2736.11 12320.00 8400 20720
331 20 30 18379.48 2852.63 12600.00 5600 21000
332 20 31 18216.18 2929.61 12880.00 5600 21280
333 20 32 18007.78 2975.02 13160.00 5600 21560
334 20 33 17761.38 2978.06 13440.00 5600 21840
335 20 34 17516.44 2925.84 9800.00 5600 22120
336 20 35 17295.18 2841.69 9800.00 5600 22400
337 20 36 17104.81 2742.56 9800.00 5600 22680
338 20 37 16934.65 2636.52 9800.00 5600 22960
339 20 38 16796.00 2512.33 8400.00 5600 23240
340 20 39 16691.61 2410.01 8400.00 5600 23520
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
341 20 40 16605.82 2314.42 8400.00 5600 23800
342 21 10 11929.65 3113.18 7000.00 4200 17360
343 21 11 13225.63 2874.46 10640.00 5040 17360
344 21 12 14333.12 2575.56 11480.00 5880 17360
345 21 13 15258.71 2282.01 12320.00 6720 17360
346 21 14 15956.72 2137.67 13160.00 7560 17360
347 21 15 16449.33 2184.01 8400.00 8400 17360
348 21 16 16794.62 2342.37 8680.00 8400 19040
349 21 17 17064.49 2507.90 8960.00 8400 19040
350 21 18 17313.60 2625.04 9240.00 8400 20720
351 21 19 17548.27 2706.82 9520.00 8400 21280
352 21 20 17788.71 2744.01 9800.00 8400 19040
353 21 21 18026.01 2769.05 10080.00 8400 19040
354 21 22 18252.98 2789.84 10360.00 8400 19880
355 21 23 18452.73 2824.56 10640.00 8400 19600
356 21 24 18623.84 2870.29 10920.00 8400 19880
357 21 25 18742.58 2943.33 11200.00 8400 20160
358 21 26 18806.93 3037.08 11480.00 8400 20440
359 21 27 18813.93 3149.49 11760.00 8400 20720
360 21 28 18763.14 3258.28 12040.00 8400 21000
361 21 29 18668.05 3356.41 10080.00 5600 21280
362 21 30 18503.24 3458.95 8400.00 5600 21560
363 21 31 18342.69 3530.41 8400.00 5600 21840
364 21 32 18126.05 3568.95 8400.00 5600 22120
365 21 33 17882.37 3577.80 8400.00 5600 22400
366 21 34 17632.10 3537.01 8400.00 5600 22680
367 21 35 17403.57 3469.00 8400.00 5600 22960
368 21 36 17211.77 3383.82 8400.00 5600 23240
369 21 37 17030.05 3285.55 8400.00 5600 23520
370 21 38 16884.48 3179.86 8400.00 5600 23800
371 21 39 16770.77 3085.03 8400.00 5600 24080
372 21 40 16679.94 3003.15 8400.00 5600 24360
373 22 10 11514.92 3172.06 7000.00 4200 17920
374 22 11 12882.13 3076.98 10640.00 5040 17920
375 22 12 14076.47 2910.78 11480.00 5880 17920
376 22 13 15065.34 2748.39 12320.00 6720 17920
377 22 14 15828.32 2738.81 8120.00 7560 17920
378 22 15 16350.60 2889.52 8400.00 8400 17920
379 22 16 16692.17 3125.59 8680.00 8400 18760
380 22 17 16941.93 3336.71 8960.00 8400 19880
381 22 18 17149.78 3499.00 9240.00 8400 20440
382 22 19 17356.56 3602.58 9520.00 8400 22120
383 22 20 17585.09 3646.66 9800.00 8400 19880
384 22 21 17819.14 3667.98 10080.00 8400 19880
385 22 22 18045.78 3685.55 10360.00 8400 19880
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
386 22 23 18243.85 3720.73 10640.00 8400 20160
387 22 24 18416.22 3761.14 10920.00 8400 20440
388 22 25 18536.76 3818.70 11200.00 8400 20720
389 22 26 18601.07 3892.93 11480.00 5600 21000
390 22 27 18610.34 3980.09 8400.00 5600 21280
391 22 28 18562.24 4061.94 8400.00 5600 21560
392 22 29 18465.78 4152.77 8400.00 5600 21840
393 22 30 18300.46 4247.11 8400.00 5600 22120
394 22 31 18135.52 4317.05 8400.00 5600 22400
395 22 32 17922.41 4344.48 8400.00 5600 22680
396 22 33 17671.56 4345.29 8400.00 5600 22960
397 22 34 17417.71 4310.66 8400.00 5600 23240
398 22 35 17177.61 4257.75 8400.00 5600 23520
399 22 36 16982.67 4191.80 8400.00 5600 23800
400 22 37 16796.05 4104.94 8400.00 5600 24080
401 22 38 16643.56 4006.33 8400.00 5600 24360
402 22 39 16525.46 3932.63 8400.00 5600 24640
403 22 40 16432.19 3868.60 8400.00 5600 24920
404 23 10 11120.62 3124.41 7000.00 4200 18480
405 23 11 12443.76 3140.07 8400.00 5040 18480
406 23 12 13692.98 3134.56 11480.00 5880 18480
407 23 13 14724.70 3138.48 7840.00 6720 18480
408 23 14 15507.49 3263.02 8120.00 7560 18480
409 23 15 16044.11 3533.05 8400.00 8400 18480
410 23 16 16358.13 3850.33 8680.00 8400 19320
411 23 17 16583.28 4108.58 8960.00 8400 20160
412 23 18 16740.39 4306.83 9240.00 8400 21000
413 23 19 16912.45 4421.78 9520.00 8400 21840
414 23 20 17126.23 4471.20 9800.00 8400 20720
415 23 21 17352.38 4494.60 10080.00 8400 20720
416 23 22 17577.62 4509.12 10360.00 8400 20720
417 23 23 17775.97 4535.55 10640.00 8400 20720
418 23 24 17947.72 4569.62 10920.00 8400 21000
419 23 25 18069.52 4613.37 10640.00 8400 21280
420 23 26 18134.51 4668.88 8400.00 5600 21560
421 23 27 18140.81 4746.17 8400.00 5600 21840
422 23 28 18092.48 4830.82 8400.00 5600 22120
423 23 29 17996.61 4918.61 8400.00 5600 22400
424 23 30 17826.98 4999.71 8400.00 5600 22680
425 23 31 17659.71 5066.09 8400.00 5600 22960
426 23 32 17447.70 5089.92 8400.00 5600 23240
427 23 33 17194.35 5095.89 8400.00 5600 23520
428 23 34 16931.26 5059.21 8400.00 5600 23800
429 23 35 16691.58 5010.46 8400.00 5600 24080
430 23 36 16492.95 4944.46 8400.00 5600 24360
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
431 23 37 16302.72 4864.71 8400.00 5600 24640
432 23 38 16146.40 4777.71 8400.00 5600 24920
433 23 39 16022.38 4704.53 8400.00 5600 25200
434 23 40 15930.85 4656.11 8400.00 5600 25480
435 24 10 10707.73 2924.30 7000.00 4200 19040
436 24 11 12036.98 3092.93 8400.00 5040 19040
437 24 12 13215.69 3208.41 9800.00 5880 19040
438 24 13 14259.11 3388.00 7840.00 6720 19040
439 24 14 15022.64 3672.33 8120.00 7560 19040
440 24 15 15467.59 4083.22 8400.00 8400 19040
441 24 16 15721.08 4489.50 8680.00 8400 19880
442 24 17 15877.29 4794.91 8960.00 8400 20720
443 24 18 15977.53 5009.80 9240.00 8400 21560
444 24 19 16106.47 5125.75 9520.00 8400 22400
445 24 20 16300.17 5171.77 9800.00 8400 21560
446 24 21 16517.31 5193.41 10080.00 8400 21560
447 24 22 16740.58 5202.81 10360.00 8400 21560
448 24 23 16938.99 5221.47 10640.00 8400 21560
449 24 24 17111.14 5251.68 10920.00 8400 21560
450 24 25 17232.99 5294.34 8400.00 8400 21840
451 24 26 17297.48 5345.84 8400.00 5600 22120
452 24 27 17302.60 5406.14 8400.00 5600 22400
453 24 28 17253.52 5472.16 8400.00 5600 22680
454 24 29 17157.98 5551.18 8400.00 5600 22960
455 24 30 16986.06 5625.22 8400.00 5600 23240
456 24 31 16815.60 5687.44 8400.00 5600 23520
457 24 32 16601.62 5725.54 8400.00 5600 23800
458 24 33 16346.37 5723.97 8400.00 5600 24080
459 24 34 16081.32 5704.06 8400.00 5600 24360
460 24 35 15837.16 5651.18 8400.00 5600 24640
461 24 36 15635.96 5596.75 8400.00 5600 24920
462 24 37 15445.14 5527.18 8400.00 5600 25200
463 24 38 15285.79 5446.17 8400.00 5600 25480
464 24 39 15158.98 5373.33 8400.00 5600 25760
465 24 40 15064.95 5328.44 8400.00 5600 26040
466 25 10 10349.78 2646.72 7000.00 4200 19600
467 25 11 11614.51 2890.92 8400.00 5040 19600
468 25 12 12779.56 3162.80 9800.00 5880 19600
469 25 13 13715.35 3466.04 7840.00 6720 19600
470 25 14 14423.84 3905.54 8120.00 7560 19600
471 25 15 14805.84 4421.71 8400.00 8400 19600
472 25 16 14958.24 4884.67 8680.00 8400 20440
473 25 17 15012.70 5227.88 8960.00 8400 21280
474 25 18 15035.78 5442.95 9240.00 8400 22120
475 25 19 15133.10 5550.03 9520.00 8400 22960
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
476 25 20 15312.36 5589.47 9800.00 8400 22400
477 25 21 15522.36 5606.93 10080.00 8400 22400
478 25 22 15744.46 5616.31 10360.00 8400 22400
479 25 23 15942.81 5634.80 10640.00 8400 22400
480 25 24 16114.70 5661.50 8400.00 8400 22400
481 25 25 16236.08 5703.25 8400.00 8400 22400
482 25 26 16300.84 5750.24 8400.00 5600 22680
483 25 27 16306.30 5801.99 8400.00 5600 22960
484 25 28 16257.53 5867.34 8400.00 5600 23240
485 25 29 16160.03 5950.37 8400.00 5600 23520
486 25 30 15988.56 6019.86 8400.00 5600 23800
487 25 31 15814.74 6076.43 8400.00 5600 24080
488 25 32 15600.06 6109.01 8400.00 5600 24360
489 25 33 15344.06 6108.96 8400.00 5600 24640
490 25 34 15078.56 6090.98 8400.00 5600 24920
491 25 35 14829.92 6041.00 8400.00 5600 25200
492 25 36 14626.84 5982.55 8400.00 5600 25480
493 25 37 14434.67 5914.43 8400.00 5600 25760
494 25 38 14273.31 5842.81 8400.00 5600 26040
495 25 39 14143.19 5775.80 8400.00 5600 26320
496 25 40 14047.88 5734.83 8400.00 5600 26600
497 26 10 10064.18 2300.78 7000.00 4200 18760
498 26 11 11250.79 2606.12 8400.00 5040 20160
499 26 12 12338.62 2966.03 7560.00 5880 20160
500 26 13 13215.94 3413.51 7840.00 6720 20160
501 26 14 13770.09 3941.42 8120.00 7560 20160
502 26 15 14053.20 4542.79 8400.00 8400 20160
503 26 16 14098.20 5036.04 8680.00 8400 21000
504 26 17 14037.52 5378.12 8960.00 8400 21840
505 26 18 13983.54 5575.64 9240.00 8400 22680
506 26 19 14025.87 5653.76 9520.00 8400 23520
507 26 20 14185.39 5678.90 9800.00 8400 21560
508 26 21 14386.04 5688.12 10080.00 8400 23240
509 26 22 14602.70 5697.58 10360.00 8400 23240
510 26 23 14800.16 5715.63 8400.00 8400 23240
511 26 24 14971.24 5741.01 8400.00 5600 23240
512 26 25 15092.42 5776.11 8400.00 5600 23240
513 26 26 15156.23 5823.04 8400.00 5600 23240
514 26 27 15160.35 5871.04 8400.00 5600 23520
515 26 28 15110.31 5931.82 8400.00 5600 23800
516 26 29 15012.84 6005.18 8400.00 5600 24080
517 26 30 14840.42 6068.30 8400.00 5600 24360
518 26 31 14665.90 6131.16 8400.00 5600 24640
519 26 32 14447.83 6157.74 8400.00 5600 24920
520 26 33 14191.46 6153.58 8400.00 5600 25200
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
521 26 34 13923.73 6136.81 8400.00 5600 25480
522 26 35 13674.44 6093.13 8400.00 5600 25760
523 26 36 13469.12 6042.62 8400.00 5600 26040
524 26 37 13276.56 5968.48 8400.00 5600 26320
525 26 38 13113.32 5906.03 8400.00 5600 26600
526 26 39 12981.44 5852.81 8400.00 5600 26880
527 26 40 12885.32 5811.16 8400.00 5600 27160
528 27 10 9843.09 1940.43 7000.00 4200 19320
529 27 11 10947.44 2247.37 8400.00 5040 19600
530 27 12 11928.25 2662.92 7560.00 5880 20720
531 27 13 12694.58 3202.06 7840.00 6720 20720
532 27 14 13166.69 3838.09 8120.00 7560 20720
533 27 15 13283.31 4437.97 8400.00 8400 20720
534 27 16 13206.00 4938.76 8680.00 8400 21560
535 27 17 13032.43 5237.96 8960.00 8400 21280
536 27 18 12891.54 5374.14 9240.00 8400 21560
537 27 19 12893.78 5409.90 9520.00 8400 21840
538 27 20 13030.78 5414.99 9800.00 8400 22120
539 27 21 13224.68 5415.06 10080.00 8400 22400
540 27 22 13438.35 5422.91 8400.00 8400 22680
541 27 23 13634.77 5439.27 8400.00 8400 22960
542 27 24 13805.90 5465.77 8400.00 5600 23240
543 27 25 13927.14 5500.10 8400.00 5600 23520
544 27 26 13991.01 5540.96 8400.00 5600 23800
545 27 27 13994.90 5585.98 8400.00 5600 24080
546 27 28 13944.56 5655.41 8400.00 5600 24360
547 27 29 13847.12 5726.08 8400.00 5600 24640
548 27 30 13675.17 5788.16 8400.00 5600 24920
549 27 31 13498.86 5850.16 8400.00 5600 25200
550 27 32 13281.58 5869.88 8400.00 5600 25480
551 27 33 13025.15 5868.04 8400.00 5600 25760
552 27 34 12755.99 5851.89 8400.00 5600 26040
553 27 35 12506.70 5826.52 8400.00 5600 26320
554 27 36 12301.16 5787.23 8400.00 5600 26600
555 27 37 12105.46 5707.26 8400.00 5600 26880
556 27 38 11941.69 5649.20 8400.00 5600 27160
557 27 39 11809.56 5586.69 8400.00 5600 27440
558 27 40 11712.76 5531.75 8400.00 5600 27720
559 28 10 9698.72 1614.82 7000.00 4200 19880
560 28 11 10717.56 1867.25 8400.00 5040 20160
561 28 12 11619.64 2319.23 7560.00 5880 20440
562 28 13 12277.89 2900.62 7840.00 6720 20720
563 28 14 12623.77 3578.68 8120.00 7560 21280
564 28 15 12660.87 4207.18 8400.00 8400 21280
565 28 16 12427.04 4642.59 8680.00 8400 22120
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
566 28 17 12161.24 4871.96 8960.00 8400 21840
567 28 18 11943.79 4921.67 9240.00 8400 22120
568 28 19 11900.67 4887.08 9520.00 8400 22400
569 28 20 12016.90 4859.93 9800.00 8400 22680
570 28 21 12206.49 4848.95 10080.00 8400 22960
571 28 22 12419.04 4853.27 8400.00 8400 23240
572 28 23 12615.79 4873.85 8400.00 5600 23520
573 28 24 12786.84 4901.76 8400.00 5600 23800
574 28 25 12908.14 4941.26 8400.00 5600 24080
575 28 26 12972.06 5001.62 8400.00 5600 24360
576 28 27 12976.01 5059.88 8400.00 5600 24640
577 28 28 12925.02 5148.77 8400.00 5600 24920
578 28 29 12827.22 5214.46 8400.00 5600 25200
579 28 30 12655.61 5268.37 8400.00 5600 25480
580 28 31 12478.56 5326.94 8400.00 5600 25760
581 28 32 12260.86 5341.93 8400.00 5600 26040
582 28 33 12004.86 5349.06 8400.00 5600 26320
583 28 34 11732.70 5333.03 8400.00 5600 26600
584 28 35 11483.47 5302.19 8400.00 5600 26880
585 28 36 11277.36 5252.33 8400.00 5600 27160
586 28 37 11081.73 5177.14 8400.00 5600 27440
587 28 38 10917.00 5108.06 8400.00 5600 27720
588 28 39 10785.21 5039.61 8400.00 5600 28000
589 28 40 10687.74 4986.43 8400.00 5600 28280
590 29 10 9611.20 1353.15 7000.00 4200 20440
591 29 11 10572.58 1527.46 8400.00 5040 20720
592 29 12 11389.31 1962.13 7560.00 5880 21000
593 29 13 11965.13 2569.72 7840.00 6720 21280
594 29 14 12219.45 3269.49 8120.00 7560 21560
595 29 15 12149.09 3875.90 8400.00 8400 21840
596 29 16 11815.30 4255.71 8680.00 8400 22680
597 29 17 11465.10 4371.57 8960.00 8400 22400
598 29 18 11199.33 4325.40 9240.00 8400 22680
599 29 19 11126.98 4215.04 9520.00 8400 22960
600 29 20 11224.22 4135.19 9800.00 8400 23240
601 29 21 11405.13 4103.57 10080.00 8400 23520
602 29 22 11615.94 4106.10 8400.00 8400 23800
603 29 23 11812.42 4128.40 8400.00 5600 24080
604 29 24 11983.80 4167.13 8400.00 5600 24360
605 29 25 12105.02 4214.53 8400.00 5600 24640
606 29 26 12169.00 4283.56 8400.00 5600 24920
607 29 27 12173.00 4358.98 8400.00 5600 25200
608 29 28 12122.07 4470.51 8400.00 5600 25480
609 29 29 12024.26 4545.35 8400.00 5600 25760
610 29 30 11852.65 4609.16 8400.00 5600 26040
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
611 29 31 11673.87 4662.90 8400.00 5600 26320
612 29 32 11456.03 4686.36 8400.00 5600 26600
613 29 33 11200.00 4698.81 8400.00 5600 26880
614 29 34 10927.67 4676.85 8400.00 5600 27160
615 29 35 10677.52 4636.01 8400.00 5600 27440
616 29 36 10471.64 4581.63 8400.00 5600 27720
617 29 37 10274.77 4491.40 8400.00 5600 28000
618 29 38 10110.04 4411.15 8400.00 5600 28280
619 29 39 9978.25 4336.36 8400.00 5600 28560
620 29 40 9880.78 4264.16 8400.00 5600 28840
621 30 10 9549.26 1128.27 7000.00 4200 21000
622 30 11 10489.75 1279.41 8400.00 5040 21280
623 30 12 11249.14 1664.03 7560.00 5880 21560
624 30 13 11758.88 2280.72 7840.00 6720 21840
625 30 14 11911.73 2941.82 8120.00 7560 22120
626 30 15 11757.20 3514.59 8400.00 8400 22400
627 30 16 11352.12 3822.05 8680.00 8400 23240
628 30 17 10957.07 3848.96 8960.00 8400 22960
629 30 18 10656.91 3681.00 9240.00 8400 23240
630 30 19 10566.42 3487.04 9520.00 8400 23520
631 30 20 10660.02 3360.03 9800.00 8400 23800
632 30 21 10837.96 3308.12 10080.00 8400 24080
633 30 22 11047.43 3303.74 8400.00 8400 24360
634 30 23 11243.90 3326.73 8400.00 5600 24640
635 30 24 11413.95 3371.09 8400.00 5600 24920
636 30 25 11535.16 3427.82 8400.00 5600 25200
637 30 26 11599.06 3506.11 8400.00 5600 25480
638 30 27 11602.78 3597.25 8400.00 5600 25760
639 30 28 11551.46 3712.59 8400.00 5600 26040
640 30 29 11453.65 3796.24 8400.00 5600 26320
641 30 30 11282.04 3871.33 8400.00 5600 26600
642 30 31 11103.26 3947.93 8400.00 5600 26880
643 30 32 10885.42 3991.47 8400.00 5600 27160
644 30 33 10629.11 4009.31 8400.00 5600 27440
645 30 34 10356.00 3970.12 8400.00 5600 27720
646 30 35 10105.62 3915.95 8400.00 5600 28000
647 30 36 9899.60 3853.60 8400.00 5600 28280
648 30 37 9702.73 3755.09 8400.00 5600 28560
649 30 38 9538.00 3649.61 8400.00 5600 28840
650 30 39 9406.21 3562.41 8400.00 5600 29120
651 30 40 9308.74 3492.26 8400.00 5600 29400
652 31 10 9528.09 1037.46 7000.00 4200 21560
653 31 11 10431.90 1051.23 8400.00 5040 21840
654 31 12 11165.98 1447.80 7560.00 5880 22120
655 31 13 11624.54 2039.62 7840.00 6720 22400
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
656 31 14 11718.87 2684.76 8120.00 7560 22680
657 31 15 11499.60 3198.43 8400.00 8400 22960
658 31 16 11047.60 3440.84 8680.00 8400 23800
659 31 17 10618.27 3376.56 8960.00 8400 23520
660 31 18 10294.82 3091.00 9240.00 8400 23800
661 31 19 10184.50 2774.24 9520.00 8400 24080
662 31 20 10276.64 2587.52 9800.00 8400 24360
663 31 21 10453.80 2507.05 10080.00 8400 24640
664 31 22 10663.27 2495.00 8400.00 8400 24920
665 31 23 10859.74 2526.75 8400.00 5600 25200
666 31 24 11029.79 2583.97 8400.00 5600 25480
667 31 25 11151.00 2662.10 8400.00 5600 25760
668 31 26 11214.90 2764.34 8400.00 5600 26040
669 31 27 11218.54 2890.39 8400.00 5600 26320
670 31 28 11167.32 3029.72 8400.00 5600 26600
671 31 29 11069.52 3141.99 8400.00 5600 26880
672 31 30 10897.91 3242.62 8400.00 5600 27160
673 31 31 10719.13 3335.94 8400.00 5600 27440
674 31 32 10501.29 3387.04 8400.00 5600 27720
675 31 33 10244.98 3396.82 8400.00 5600 28000
676 31 34 9971.86 3343.06 8400.00 5600 28280
677 31 35 9721.49 3261.98 8400.00 5600 28560
678 31 36 9515.04 3183.19 8400.00 5600 28840
679 31 37 9318.18 3062.66 8400.00 5600 29120
680 31 38 9153.45 2942.51 8400.00 5600 29400
681 31 39 9021.66 2825.49 8400.00 5600 29680
682 31 40 8924.19 2734.77 8400.00 5600 29960
683 32 10 9511.80 944.97 7000.00 4200 22120
684 32 11 10414.82 968.61 8400.00 5040 22400
685 32 12 11120.28 1293.18 7560.00 5880 22680
686 32 13 11557.62 1893.59 7840.00 6720 22960
687 32 14 11631.28 2551.82 8120.00 7560 23240
688 32 15 11379.26 3024.47 8400.00 8400 23520
689 32 16 10889.51 3194.02 8680.00 8400 23800
690 32 17 10429.78 3045.01 8960.00 8400 24080
691 32 18 10088.51 2649.84 9240.00 8400 24360
692 32 19 9971.30 2219.80 9520.00 8400 24640
693 32 20 10057.68 1946.26 9800.00 8400 24920
694 32 21 10232.60 1820.83 10080.00 8400 25200
695 32 22 10441.17 1800.97 8400.00 8400 25480
696 32 23 10637.65 1842.47 8400.00 5600 25760
697 32 24 10807.69 1915.61 8400.00 5600 26040
698 32 25 10928.90 2019.05 8400.00 5600 26320
699 32 26 10992.80 2149.97 8400.00 5600 26600
700 32 27 10996.44 2307.04 8400.00 5600 26880
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
701 32 28 10945.14 2477.12 8400.00 5600 27160
702 32 29 10846.98 2622.86 8400.00 5600 27440
703 32 30 10675.36 2747.16 8400.00 5600 27720
704 32 31 10496.58 2847.45 8400.00 5600 28000
705 32 32 10278.74 2906.39 8400.00 5600 28280
706 32 33 10022.43 2906.69 8400.00 5600 28560
707 32 34 9749.32 2850.65 8400.00 5600 28840
708 32 35 9498.94 2757.81 8400.00 5600 29120
709 32 36 9292.50 2666.10 8400.00 5600 29400
710 32 37 9095.63 2536.57 8400.00 5600 29680
711 32 38 8930.91 2391.45 8400.00 5600 29960
712 32 39 8799.11 2248.15 8400.00 5600 30240
713 32 40 8701.64 2126.51 8400.00 5600 30520
714 33 10 9508.38 927.04 7000.00 4200 22680
715 33 11 10400.77 884.90 8400.00 5040 22960
716 33 12 11105.39 1241.21 7560.00 5880 23240
717 33 13 11522.06 1803.44 7840.00 6720 23520
718 33 14 11580.27 2456.51 8120.00 7560 23800
719 33 15 11315.47 2919.41 8400.00 8400 24080
720 33 16 10810.83 3056.65 8680.00 8400 24360
721 33 17 10338.50 2856.13 8960.00 8400 24640
722 33 18 9989.67 2392.10 9240.00 8400 24920
723 33 19 9868.88 1872.23 9520.00 8400 25200
724 33 20 9956.16 1533.51 9800.00 8400 25480
725 33 21 10130.23 1362.77 10080.00 8400 25760
726 33 22 10338.80 1333.52 8400.00 8400 26040
727 33 23 10535.28 1391.26 8400.00 5600 26320
728 33 24 10705.32 1486.14 8400.00 5600 26600
729 33 25 10826.54 1619.78 8400.00 5600 26880
730 33 26 10890.43 1778.24 8400.00 5600 27160
731 33 27 10894.07 1958.95 8400.00 5600 27440
732 33 28 10842.78 2146.66 8400.00 5600 27720
733 33 29 10744.61 2320.20 8400.00 5600 28000
734 33 30 10573.00 2460.56 8400.00 5600 28280
735 33 31 10394.22 2563.71 8400.00 5600 28560
736 33 32 10176.38 2619.80 8400.00 5600 28840
737 33 33 9920.06 2633.75 8400.00 5600 29120
738 33 34 9646.95 2573.75 8400.00 5600 29400
739 33 35 9396.58 2473.70 8400.00 5600 29680
740 33 36 9190.13 2371.10 8400.00 5600 29960
741 33 37 8993.26 2221.62 8400.00 5600 30240
742 33 38 8828.54 2053.43 8400.00 5600 30520
743 33 39 8696.74 1894.31 8400.00 5600 30800
744 33 40 8599.28 1747.64 8400.00 5600 31080
745 34 10 9504.35 900.56 7000.00 4200 23240
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
746 34 11 10396.96 861.65 8400.00 5040 23520
747 34 12 11091.56 1178.67 7560.00 5880 23800
748 34 13 11510.35 1773.38 7840.00 6720 24080
749 34 14 11553.22 2402.49 8120.00 7560 24360
750 34 15 11280.14 2857.04 8400.00 8400 24640
751 34 16 10768.04 2973.77 8680.00 8400 24920
752 34 17 10293.30 2752.78 8960.00 8400 25200
753 34 18 9940.84 2245.28 9240.00 8400 25480
754 34 19 9817.02 1659.13 9520.00 8400 25760
755 34 20 9902.84 1243.02 9800.00 8400 26040
756 34 21 10075.24 1015.43 10080.00 8400 26320
757 34 22 10283.81 975.59 8400.00 8400 26600
758 34 23 10480.29 1053.31 8400.00 5600 26880
759 34 24 10650.33 1175.44 8400.00 5600 27160
760 34 25 10771.54 1338.66 8400.00 5600 27440
761 34 26 10835.44 1523.17 8400.00 5600 27720
762 34 27 10839.08 1729.51 8400.00 5600 28000
763 34 28 10787.78 1937.99 8400.00 5600 28280
764 34 29 10689.62 2126.81 8400.00 5600 28560
765 34 30 10518.00 2279.10 8400.00 5600 28840
766 34 31 10339.22 2396.97 8400.00 5600 29120
767 34 32 10121.38 2461.22 8400.00 5600 29400
768 34 33 9865.07 2471.55 8400.00 5600 29680
769 34 34 9591.96 2414.92 8400.00 5600 29960
770 34 35 9341.58 2312.14 8400.00 5600 30240
771 34 36 9135.14 2196.30 8400.00 5600 30520
772 34 37 8938.27 2032.65 8400.00 5600 30800
773 34 38 8773.55 1849.45 8400.00 5600 31080
774 34 39 8641.75 1666.21 8400.00 5600 31360
775 34 40 8544.28 1493.22 8400.00 5600 24640
776 35 10 9501.66 879.36 7000.00 4200 11200
777 35 11 10394.50 843.21 8400.00 5040 24080
778 35 12 11088.87 1167.30 7560.00 5880 24360
779 35 13 11501.45 1744.41 7840.00 6720 24640
780 35 14 11544.43 2385.66 8120.00 7560 24920
781 35 15 11265.52 2829.46 8400.00 8400 25200
782 35 16 10751.97 2940.43 8680.00 8400 25480
783 35 17 10271.86 2700.02 8960.00 8400 25760
784 35 18 9919.50 2174.62 9240.00 8400 26040
785 35 19 9794.96 1555.08 9520.00 8400 26320
786 35 20 9880.78 1098.47 9800.00 8400 26600
787 35 21 10053.18 829.83 10080.00 8400 26880
788 35 22 10261.75 787.24 8400.00 8400 27160
789 35 23 10458.22 881.16 8400.00 5600 27440
790 35 24 10628.27 1022.97 8400.00 5600 27720
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
791 35 25 10749.48 1205.07 8400.00 5600 28000
792 35 26 10813.38 1404.28 8400.00 5600 28280
793 35 27 10817.02 1626.05 8400.00 5600 28560
794 35 28 10765.72 1843.22 8400.00 5600 28840
795 35 29 10667.55 2037.56 8400.00 5600 29120
796 35 30 10495.94 2198.51 8400.00 5600 29400
797 35 31 10317.16 2320.38 8400.00 5600 29680
798 35 32 10099.32 2389.74 8400.00 5600 29960
799 35 33 9843.01 2400.51 8400.00 5600 30240
800 35 34 9569.90 2342.40 8400.00 5600 30520
801 35 35 9319.52 2239.33 8400.00 5600 30800
802 35 36 9113.08 2116.95 8400.00 5600 31080
803 35 37 8916.21 1943.80 8400.00 5600 31360
804 35 38 8751.48 1754.51 8400.00 5600 31640
805 35 39 8619.69 1565.00 8400.00 5600 31920
806 35 40 8522.22 1377.54 8400.00 5600 25200
807 36 10 9501.66 879.36 7000.00 4200 11200
808 36 11 10391.81 820.70 8400.00 5040 11760
809 36 12 11087.69 1161.04 7560.00 5880 24920
810 36 13 11500.38 1740.77 7840.00 6720 25200
811 36 14 11539.44 2372.31 8120.00 7560 25480
812 36 15 11261.38 2821.26 8400.00 8400 25760
813 36 16 10746.20 2927.87 8680.00 8400 26040
814 36 17 10263.79 2679.84 8960.00 8400 26320
815 36 18 9909.76 2141.08 9240.00 8400 26600
816 36 19 9785.22 1505.21 9520.00 8400 26880
817 36 20 9871.04 1024.81 9800.00 8400 27160
818 36 21 10043.43 727.96 10080.00 8400 27440
819 36 22 10252.00 677.97 8400.00 8400 27720
820 36 23 10448.48 784.01 8400.00 5600 28000
821 36 24 10618.52 939.43 8400.00 5600 28280
822 36 25 10739.74 1137.78 8400.00 5600 28560
823 36 26 10803.63 1349.20 8400.00 5600 28840
824 36 27 10807.27 1581.15 8400.00 5600 29120
825 36 28 10755.98 1802.69 8400.00 5600 29400
826 36 29 10657.81 1999.81 8400.00 5600 29680
827 36 30 10486.20 2162.15 8400.00 5600 29960
828 36 31 10307.42 2284.60 8400.00 5600 30240
829 36 32 10089.58 2356.92 8400.00 5600 30520
830 36 33 9833.26 2366.40 8400.00 5600 30800
831 36 34 9560.15 2309.76 8400.00 5600 31080
832 36 35 9309.78 2203.86 8400.00 5600 31360
833 36 36 9103.33 2078.21 8400.00 5600 31640
834 36 37 8906.46 1900.11 8400.00 5600 31920
835 36 38 8741.74 1704.56 8400.00 5600 25760
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
836 36 39 8609.94 1507.63 8400.00 5600 25760
837 36 40 8512.48 1319.86 8400.00 5600 25760
838 37 10 9501.66 879.36 7000.00 4200 11200
839 37 11 10391.81 820.70 8400.00 5040 11760
840 37 12 11084.22 1145.52 7560.00 5880 12320
841 37 13 11495.62 1725.31 7840.00 6720 13440
842 37 14 11534.80 2360.87 8120.00 7560 26040
843 37 15 11253.87 2803.56 8400.00 8400 26320
844 37 16 10741.16 2916.97 8680.00 8400 26600
845 37 17 10258.75 2666.49 8960.00 8400 26880
846 37 18 9904.72 2122.84 9240.00 8400 27160
847 37 19 9780.18 1477.77 9520.00 8400 27440
848 37 20 9866.00 983.07 9800.00 8400 27720
849 37 21 10038.39 671.47 10080.00 8400 28000
850 37 22 10246.96 617.12 8400.00 8400 28280
851 37 23 10443.44 732.12 8400.00 5600 28560
852 37 24 10613.48 896.51 8400.00 5600 28840
853 37 25 10734.70 1102.32 8400.00 5600 29120
854 37 26 10798.59 1322.77 8400.00 5600 29400
855 37 27 10802.23 1558.37 8400.00 5600 29680
856 37 28 10750.94 1782.33 8400.00 5600 29960
857 37 29 10652.77 1980.99 8400.00 5600 30240
858 37 30 10481.16 2144.13 8400.00 5600 30520
859 37 31 10302.38 2266.95 8400.00 5600 30800
860 37 32 10084.54 2339.14 8400.00 5600 31080
861 37 33 9828.22 2347.94 8400.00 5600 31360
862 37 34 9555.11 2290.04 8400.00 5600 31640
863 37 35 9304.74 2182.39 8400.00 5600 31920
864 37 36 9098.29 2054.70 8400.00 5600 32200
865 37 37 8901.42 1879.28 8400.00 5600 32480
866 37 38 8736.70 1680.61 8400.00 5600 26320
867 37 39 8604.90 1480.04 8400.00 5600 26320
868 37 40 8507.44 1287.88 8400.00 5600 26320
869 38 10 9501.66 879.36 7000.00 4200 11200
870 38 11 10391.81 820.70 8400.00 5040 11760
871 38 12 11084.22 1145.52 7560.00 5880 12320
872 38 13 11495.62 1725.31 7840.00 6720 13440
873 38 14 11533.51 2356.46 8120.00 7560 13720
874 38 15 11253.93 2803.87 8400.00 8400 26880
875 38 16 10738.25 2909.00 8680.00 8400 27160
876 38 17 10257.07 2662.05 8960.00 8400 27440
877 38 18 9903.04 2116.76 9240.00 8400 27720
878 38 19 9778.50 1468.55 9520.00 8400 28000
879 38 20 9864.32 968.82 9800.00 8400 28280
880 38 21 10036.71 650.15 10080.00 8400 28560
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
881 38 22 10245.28 593.65 8400.00 8400 28840
882 38 23 10441.76 712.25 8400.00 5600 29120
883 38 24 10611.80 880.14 8400.00 5600 29400
884 38 25 10733.02 1088.81 8400.00 5600 29680
885 38 26 10796.91 1315.33 8400.00 5600 29960
886 38 27 10800.55 1552.07 8400.00 5600 30240
887 38 28 10749.26 1776.78 8400.00 5600 30520
888 38 29 10651.09 1975.92 8400.00 5600 30800
889 38 30 10479.48 2139.33 8400.00 5600 31080
890 38 31 10300.70 2262.28 8400.00 5600 31360
891 38 32 10082.86 2334.47 8400.00 5600 31640
892 38 33 9826.54 2343.11 8400.00 5600 31920
893 38 34 9553.43 2284.89 8400.00 5600 32200
894 38 35 9303.06 2176.80 8400.00 5600 32480
895 38 36 9096.61 2048.59 8400.00 5600 32760
896 38 37 8899.74 1872.44 8400.00 5600 33040
897 38 38 8735.02 1672.59 8400.00 5600 26880
898 38 39 8603.22 1470.78 8400.00 5600 26880
899 38 40 8505.76 1277.09 8400.00 5600 26880
900 39 10 9501.66 879.36 7000.00 4200 11200
901 39 11 10391.81 820.70 8400.00 5040 11760
902 39 12 11084.22 1145.52 7560.00 5880 12320
903 39 13 11495.62 1725.31 7840.00 6720 13440
904 39 14 11533.51 2356.46 8120.00 7560 13720
905 39 15 11252.08 2799.66 8400.00 8400 14000
906 39 16 10736.40 2904.44 8680.00 8400 15400
907 39 17 10253.38 2650.99 8960.00 8400 16800
908 39 18 9899.34 2101.72 9240.00 8400 18200
909 39 19 9774.80 1445.76 9520.00 8400 17360
910 39 20 9860.62 933.15 9800.00 8400 18200
911 39 21 10033.02 595.02 10080.00 8400 19040
912 39 22 10241.59 532.21 8400.00 8400 19880
913 39 23 10438.06 661.44 8400.00 5600 20720
914 39 24 10608.11 839.08 8400.00 5600 16520
915 39 25 10729.32 1055.33 8400.00 5600 16800
916 39 26 10793.22 1291.55 8400.00 5600 17080
917 39 27 10796.86 1531.64 8400.00 5600 17360
918 39 28 10745.56 1758.57 8400.00 5600 17640
919 39 29 10647.39 1959.11 8400.00 5600 17920
920 39 30 10475.78 2123.27 8400.00 5600 14000
921 39 31 10297.00 2246.57 8400.00 5600 14000
922 39 32 10079.16 2318.68 8400.00 5600 14000
923 39 33 9822.85 2326.75 8400.00 5600 14000
924 39 34 9549.74 2267.44 8400.00 5600 14000
925 39 35 9299.36 2157.80 8400.00 5600 14000
-
Trial Prices Goal Cell Statistics
Dosa Bhath Mean Std. Dev. 5% Percentile Min. Max.
926 39 36 9092.92 2027.76 8400.00 5600 14280
927 39 37 8896.05 1848.95 8400.00 5600 14560
928 39 38 8731.32 1652.79 8400.00 5600 14840
929 39 39 8599.53 1447.88 8400.00 5600 15120
930 39 40 8502.06 1250.37 8400.00 5600 15400
931 40 10 9501.66 879.36 7000.00 4200 11200
932 40 11 10391.81 820.70 8400.00 5040 11760
933 40 12 11084.22 1145.52 7560.00 5880 12320
934 40 13 11495.62 1725.31 7840.00 6720 13440
935 40 14 11533.51 2356.46 8120.00 7560 13720
936 40 15 11252.08 2799.66 8400.00 8400 14000
937 40 16 10736.40 2904.44 8680.00 8400 15400
938 40 17 10253.38 2650.99 8960.00 8400 16800
939 40 18 9899.34 2101.72 9240.00 8400 18200
940 40 19 9774.80 1445.76 9520.00 8400 17360
941 40 20 9860.62 933.15 9800.00 8400 18200
942 40 21 10033.02 595.02 10080.00 8400 19040
943 40 22 10241.59 532.21 8400.00 8400 19880
944 40 23 10438.06 661.44 8400.00 5600 20720
945 40 24 10608.11 839.08 8400.00 5600 16520
946 40 25 10729.32 1055.33 8400.00 5600 16800
947 40 26 10793.22 1291.55 8400.00 5600 17080
948 40 27 10796.86 1531.64 8400.00 5600 17360
949 40 28 10745.56 1758.57 8400.00 5600 17640
950 40 29 10647.39 1959.11 8400.00 5600 17920
951 40 30 10475.78 2123.27 8400.00 5600 14000
952 40 31 10297.00 2246.57 8400.00 5600 14000
953 40 32 10079.16 2318.68 8400.00 5600 14000
954 40 33 9822.85 2326.75 8400.00 5600 14000
955 40 34 9549.74 2267.44 8400.00 5600 14000
956 40 35 9299.36 2157.80 8400.00 5600 14000
957 40 36 9092.92 2027.76 8400.00 5600 14280
958 40 37 8896.05 1848.95 8400.00 5600 14560
959 40 38 8731.32 1652.79 8400.00 5600 14840
960 40 39 8599.53 1447.88 8400.00 5600 15120
961 40 40 8502.06 1250.37 8400.00 5600 15400
Table 12: Log of trials in Risk Optimizer