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    International Organizations as Policy Actors: An Ideational Approach

    Daniel Bland and Mitchell A. Orenstein

    Keywords

    International organizations; public policy; ideas; pension privatization; think tanks

    Acknowledgements

    A previous version of this paper was presented in August 2009 at the Annual Meeting ofthe Research Committee 19 of the International Sociological Association (Montreal). The

    authors would like to thank Caroline de la Porte, Angela Kempf, Rianne Mahon, StephenMcBride, Sonya Michel, and the Global Social Policy reviewers for their comments.

    Daniel Bland acknowledges support from the Canada Research Chairs Program.

    About the Authors

    Daniel Bland is Canada Research Chair in Public Policy and Professor at the Johnson-Shoyama Graduate School of Public Policy (University of Saskatchewan campus). Apolitical sociologist studying public policy from an historical and comparative

    perspective, he has published eight books and more than 60 peer-reviewed journalarticles. He recently published his volume Ideas and Politics in Social Science Research

    (co-edited with Robert H. Cox). Professor Bland has held visiting fellowships at theUniversity of Chicago, Harvard University, the University of Helsinki, the University of

    Southern Denmark, the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, and theGeorge Washington University.

    Mitchell A. Orensteinis Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science at

    Northeastern University in Boston, MA. Focusing on the politics of economic reform inmiddle-income developing countries, he has published many articles and book chapters.

    He is the author of Out of the Red(University of Michigan Press, 2001), which comparesstrategies for economic transformation in Central and Eastern Europe, and Privatizing

    Pensions (Princeton University Press, 2008), which explores the role of internationalorganizations in the spread of pension privatization worldwide. His new project analyses

    the rise and fall of economic paradigms including communism, Keynesianism, andneoliberalism.

    Contact Information

    Daniel Bland

    Johnson-Shoyama Graduate School of Public Policy101 Diefenbaker Place

    Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, S7N 5B8

    E-mail: [email protected]: 306 966-1272

    Fax: 306 966-1967

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    Introduction

    One of the core beliefs in the global social policy literature is that some international

    organizations and coalitions are more liberalor more socialistthan others, reflecting

    the political biases of leading states. In their 1997 volume, Bob Deacon and his

    colleagues argued that, on social policy, the World Bank and the IMF followed the liberal

    line of the United States while the European Union and the ILO took a more European

    or socialist approach (Deacon et al., 1997). Robert OBrien (2002: 144) similarly

    classifies international organizations into those with little concern for social policy

    versus those that advocate a more vigorous social policy. Robert Wade (1996), in an

    outstanding blow-by-blow account of debates over the landmark World Bank publication,

    The East Asian Miracle, argues that liberal forces within the Bank successfully fought

    off Japanese attempts to raise questions about liberal development strategies and to

    highlight the successes of state directed investment in a clear cases of paradigm

    maintenance. International organizations, in this view, have more or less fixed

    preferences on social policy and other matters that reflect the politics of their masters (see

    also Wade, 2001; Wade, 2002).

    Taking seriously OBriens (2002: 145) notion that international organizations

    are both a tool for implementing policy of powerful actors and an arena for contesting the

    content of that policy, we argue that this characterization of international actors as

    politically aligned along predictable axes is problematic. Ideas matter much more and

    international organizations are far more flexible than most structuralist accounts would

    predict. In fact, the policies of international organizations are highly and continually

    contested (Deacon and Stubbs 2011), to the extent that policy consensus within

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    international organizations may be the exception, not the rule. International

    organizations1 are open systems in the sense defined by Bertalanffy (1968) and other

    system theorists, who argue that a living or open system exchanges matter with its

    environment, presenting import and export, building-up and breaking-down of its

    material components. International organizations frequently have shown themselves to

    be open to new ideas and approaches espoused by well-positioned policy entrepreneurs.

    They commonly reverse course on policy. This makes it difficult to characterize the

    policy approach of international organizations as stable, except during relatively short

    periods of time, where they may exhibit ideological consistency. Intense contestation

    differentiates international organizations from those think tanks (Rich, 2004; Stone and

    Denham, 2004) that are tied to a particular interest group or ideology. International

    organizations tend to navigate a route between complex and shifting ideas and interests,

    rather than adhere to a consistent, single path.

    To illustrate this theoretical claim, the following analysis shows how international

    organizations approached pension privatization from 1994 to 2011, with an emphasis on

    the World Bank and, to a lesser extent, the European Union, to show that international

    organizations changed their positions over time in response to changing circumstances

    and perceptions within transnational pension policy networks. This made them far more

    flexible than many domestic think tanks actively involved in the same policy area.

    Working within international organizations, policy entrepreneurs (Kingdon, 1995;

    Mintrom, 1997) directly impacted transnational pension policy advice, building and

    ultimately rejecting the transnational campaign for pension privatization. Moreover, the

    directions that these policy entrepreneurs took were not entirely predictable from their

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    political background or the governments they served. While it would be foolish to argue

    that structures of political power have no bearing on the actions and advice of

    international organizations, our point is that it is difficult to pin international organization

    behavior too closely to the power of strong states or stable ideologies. International

    organizations as sites of contestation are simply too fluid for this to be true, except over

    relatively short periods of time (see also Kogut and MacPherson 2011). They are open

    systems that create incentives for continuous contestation and are vulnerable to political

    and ideological shifts in the broader ideational arena. To stress this reality, we compare

    these organizations with several ideologically-driven think tanks, which have proven

    much more rigid in their advocacy of pension privatization than the World Bank and

    other international organizations.

    Examining changing ideational and discursive processes within international

    organizations matters because studies have shown that these processes can have a direct

    influence on domestic policy (e.g., Bland and Cox, 2011; Mahon, 2009; Mahon and

    McBride, 2008; Schmidt, 2011; Skogstad, 2011; True and Mintrom, 2001). This makes

    the analysis of how ideas and discourse evolve within international organizations one of

    the most important frontiers of global social policy theory. We contribute to this

    discussion by showing that international organizations are far more open systems than

    many believe and that their constantly evolving internal ideas and discourse can strongly

    impact policy.

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    Ideas and International Organizations

    Since the 1990s, a growing number of scholars, including students of international

    organizations, have paid attention to the direct role of ideational and discursive processes

    in politics and policy.2A number of authors have demonstrated that ideational processes

    help construct the social and economic problems most public policies are designed to

    address (Mehta, 2011; Kingdon, 1995; Stone, 1997). Accordingly, ideas shape the

    understandings that underpin political action and the rationale and purposes of

    organizations and policies. As far as the role of transnational actors is concerned,

    especially crucial are the ideas that can supply country-level policy actors with goals,

    norms, and blueprints grounded in a set of assumptions about how to address the issues of

    the day through the use of specific policy instruments (Blyth, 2002; Hall, 1993; Skogstad

    2011). These ideas provide guidance on institutional creation and reform and generally

    serve to reduce uncertainty in times of perceived crisis (Blyth, 2002). By doing so, ideas

    help actors define their interests, which are shaped not only by material conditions but

    through interpretations of these conditions (e.g., Blyth, 2002; Hay, 2011; Jenson, 1989;

    Steensland, 2006; Schn and Rein, 1994; Stone, 1997; Weir, 1992).

    From the perspective of international organizations, ideas are a crucial vehicle

    through which they can influence domestic policy development. This is true because

    these organizations lack formal veto power over domestic policy. This lack of formal

    veto power forces them to work through persuasion, convincing important domestic veto

    players3 to adopt new policy preferences. Considering this and the limits of financial

    conditionality, ideational processes are the most central means through which they

    attempt to shape domestic policy (Orenstein 2008). Consequently, under most

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    circumstances, international organizations are analogous to domestic think tanks, in the

    sense that ideas and expertise constitute their main source of policy influence. Yet, as our

    analysis of the pension privatization debate suggests, this analogy between international

    organizations and think tanks should not hide one key distinction: that international

    organizations are much more open to ideational change than ideologically-driven think

    tanks. Ideologically-driven think tanks typically promote the same policy paradigm for

    extended periods of time, regardless of changes in expert discourse, new information, or

    perceived successes and failures of the paradigm. International organizations do not,

    since they tend to be riven by disputes between different experts and policy paradigms.

    Policy paradigms often are seen as a major source of policy stability. This is the

    case because policy paradigms are coherent sets of assumptions that help policy actors

    reduce uncertainty and deal with emerging social and economic problems using

    integrated policy solutions (Hall, 1993; for a critique of the concept of policy paradigm

    see Carstensen, 2011)4. In the analysis of international organizations, it is common to use

    the concept of policy paradigm, which offers much analytical leverage to analyze the

    discourse and the domestic policy impact of such organizations (Skogstad, 2011). Yet,

    one contribution of this article is to show that, in the field of social policy reform at least,

    international organizations like the World Bank do not stick to the same policy paradigm

    over long periods of time, as these organizations are open to the influence of diverse

    policy entrepreneurs who mobilize and bring about profound ideational change.

    International organizations are not consistent over time in their policy preferences

    because they are not subservient to a single interest group or state, but rather open

    systems, vulnerable to a wide variety of influences and experts committed to competing

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    social policy ideas and paradigms. This view of international organizations as open

    systems contrasts with the realist one, which looks at international organizations through

    the lens of a principle-agent dilemma. In the realist perspective, international

    organizations are agents of national states. The principle decision-makers are

    powerful states. Rarely do international organizations do anything important that they are

    not delegated to do by their masters (see Hawkins et al. 2006).

    While liberal internationalists contested the realist view by arguing that

    international organizations can act on their own to promote cooperation among states, in

    recent years, constructivist scholars have taken a different tack, focusing on the ideational

    or agenda-setting function of international organizations. For instance, Michael Barnett

    and Martha Finnemore (2004: 25) have argued that international organizations have four

    basic sources of legitimacy: the rational-legal authority that comes from their charters,

    the delegated legitimacy that they derive from states, the moral legitimacy that comes

    from their important missions, and the expert legitimacy based on their widely-accepted

    expertise in core areas. While realists emphasize rational-legal and delegated authority,

    constructivists emphasize moral and expert legitimacy as well, showing that these give

    international organizations a certain autonomy from the agendas of powerful states.

    This article adopts a constructivist approach, according to which international

    organizations are open systems (Bertalanffy 1968) motivated by agendas of a variety of

    powerful states as well as the training, beliefs, and ideas of their staffs (Chwieroth 2010).

    As a result of these competing sources of legitimacy and power, advocates of a wide

    variety of perspectives may have an impact on the construction of the perceived interests

    and the actual policy behavior of international organizations to an extent that may vary

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    over time. Empirical analysis of internal discourse of the World Bank on pension

    privatization shows that IOs are in fact more open to the shifting ideas of expert

    communities than ideologically-driven think tanks.

    The example of pension reform is interesting to analyze because this field is

    typically described as an arena in which the World Bank has developed a coherent and

    stable policy paradigm associated with the idea of privatization (Merrien, 2001).

    Recognizing the importance of the time frame used to study both ideas and policy

    changes (Campbell, 2004), the following analysis shows that, even within the World

    Bank, policy ideas are continuously in flux, an important yet seldom recognized feature

    of the policy life of international organizations.

    Pension Privatization: The World Bank-led Campaign

    Pension privatization began in 1981, when US-trained economists working for the

    government of dictator Augusto Pinochet cancelled the pay-as-you-go (PAYG) pension

    system in Chile and replaced it with one based on individual pension savings accounts

    administered by competing pension fund companies (Brooks, 2005; Madrid, 2003;

    Mller, 1999; Mller, 2003; Valdes, 1995; Weyland, 2005). Pension privatization, as the

    term is used here, refers to the partial or full replacement of state-administered PAYG

    pension systems with ones based on individual pension savings accounts. The Chilean

    experiment garnered interest from the UK government of Margaret Thatcher, which

    initiated a partial replacement of income-related state pensions with voluntary individual

    accounts in 1986 (Pierson, 1994). Other Latin American countries began to show an

    interest in pension privatization in the early 1990s once Chiles economy started to grow

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    rapidly. It was widely believed that pension privatization had created a pool of domestic

    capital that helped to stabilize and grow the Chilean economy (World Bank, 1994).

    At the same time, the World Bank got on board with the pension privatization

    campaign. Chief Economist Lawrence Summers launched an effort to promote pension

    privatization to help countries cope with demographic aging (Orenstein, 2008). Summers

    believed that pension privatization would enable countries to continue to provide old-age

    pensions without bankrupting PAYG pension schemes, which require a rough balance

    between contributions and benefits and could run into problems as the proportion of older

    beneficiaries increases. In 1993, Summers became undersecretary of the US Treasury for

    international affairs under President Bill Clinton. Starting in 1994, with the publication of

    its landmark report, Averting the Old Age Crisis,5 the World Bank led a transnational

    campaign for pension privatization through a core group of pension reform officials from

    its Social Protection division. This campaign was joined by additional international

    organizations and government agencies, including the IMF (International Monetary

    Fund), the OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development), the ADB

    (Asian Development Bank), and USAID (United States Agency for International

    Development). Most of these were Washington-based organizations, with the exception

    of the Paris-based OECD, which played a key role in popularizing pension privatization

    in Europe. The campaign, as a result, had a major impact on policy in Central and Eastern

    Europe, but also succeeded in spreading pension privatization ideas in Asia and Africa6

    (Orenstein, 2005; Orenstein, 2008).

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    very same international organization that had driven pension privatization in prior years.

    This raises some important questions about how the World Bank (and international

    organizations in general) formulates its advice and how discourse within the World Bank

    unfolds.

    We observe this ideational battle in the pension arena, where international

    organizations have regularly become a battleground for experts of diverse perspectives

    who seek to mobilize the resources of these organizations to their own ends. Starting in

    the 1990s, the World Bank was captured by a core group of pension privatization experts,

    some from Chile and Argentina, two of the early adopters in Latin America, and their

    sympathizers from OECD countries, who used the World Bank effectively to pursue their

    own policy agenda. This group clearly enjoyed a period of strong ideational dominance

    within the World Bank and broader global pension policy circles. However, the vigorous

    campaign they launched for pension privatization worldwide drew detractors from within

    the World Bank that ultimately challenged the dominance of the pension privatization

    core group.

    The first major challenge was launched in a 1999 conference organized by then-

    World Bank Chief Economist Joseph Stiglitz, in which he presented a paper with future

    White House budget director Peter Orszag (Orszag and Stiglitz 2001) critiquing the

    World Bank approach to old-age pensions. Their deliberately provocative paper took

    aim at World Bank pension advice over the years since 1994 and questioned the basis

    upon which the World Bank supported privately-managed pension savings accounts.

    Orszag and Stiglitz argued that pension privatization did not increase national savings

    rates as advocates claimed, did not improve labor market incentives, did not increase

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    rates of return, could not control fees through competition, and was based on an

    erroneous critique of PAYG pension systems. In conclusion, as they claimed, most of the

    arguments used to support pension privatization were not substantiated in either theory

    or practice (Orszag and Stiglitz 2001). This helps explain why Lawrence Summers, then

    undersecretary of the US Treasury for international affairs, called for Stiglitz not to be

    renewed when his term expired in 2000 (Wade 2001).

    This critique sparked other, more sustained efforts, culminating in two major

    reports published in 2005 and 2006. Keeping the Promise of Social Security in Latin

    America was a 2005 World Bank report that heavily criticized the impact of pension

    privatization in that region of the world. It argued that mandatory, private pension

    savings accounts had little benefit other than ratcheting down . . . . expectations (Gill et

    al., 2005: 280) of unsustainably high promises made in PAYG pension systems in Latin

    America. However, systems based on private pension savings accounts that replaced

    them did not give appropriate focus to poverty reduction, did not address coverage issues,

    and suffered from high fees. For instance, in Chile, such fees ate up half of all pension

    benefits for workers, who started contributing in the 1980s and retired starting in 2000

    (Gill et al., 2005: 272). The report concluded that there was no basis for individual

    accounts playing such a large role in pension provision in Latin America.

    As this report was being written, Chile, the country that pioneered pension

    privatization, re-reformed its pension system under President Michelle Bachelet to

    improve poverty reduction. Bachelets pension reform commission issued a bold

    condemnation of the privatized system along lines that were similar to those emphasized

    in the 2005 World Bank report: half of contributions were lost to fees, the promise that

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    the system would increase coverage had not materialized, and the system was manifestly

    unfair, harming the poor, women, or those without high salaries or long work histories

    (Matijascic and Kay 2006).

    The 2006 Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) report headed by Emily Andrews

    similarly criticized the World Banks pension work for focusing too much attention on

    switching to individual accounts and ignoring poverty reduction goals (World Bank

    2006). Andrews had worked for the Bank in Kazakhstan and came to the conclusion that

    the Bank had advocated reform in countries that lacked important preconditions for

    successful private pensions, such as inadequate financial markets or regulatory capacity.

    The IEG report recommended rebalancing the World Banks pension work to support

    reform of PAYG pension systems and making sure that it only advocated pension

    privatization in countries that had developed financial systems and institutional capacity.

    The report argued, echoing Orszag and Stiglitz (2001), that there was little evidence that

    pension privatization had increased national savings or aided capital market development.

    The World Bank had been over-enthusiastic in its support for pension privatization and

    needed to refocus on other goals. Interestingly, the World Bank regularly commissions

    independent evaluations of its advisory work. These IEG reports are directed by Bank

    officials nearing mandatory retirement age who do so as their last assignment for the

    Bank, to enable them to provide dispassionate analysis an institutionalized process in

    which the Bank invites critical examination of its own work.

    It is striking, given Wades (1996; 2001; 2002) conclusions about paradigm

    maintenance at the World Bank that these reports were published at all. They appear to

    have been subject to the same process of redaction that Wade reports for the documents

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    he analyzes. Yet, the burning conclusions ultimately came through. And in this instance,

    World Bank ideas and behavior seem to have changed. Pension privatization fell out of

    favor at the World Bank. The Director of Social Protection who helped to organize the

    World Bank campaign for pension privatization retired and was replaced not by a pension

    advocate, but by a labor market expert with limited interest in pension privatization. Core

    pension privatization experts at the World Bank went to work in a variety of other

    departments and their pension work no longer focused so heavily on privatization. At the

    same time, government interest in pension privatization worldwide slowed. Both supply

    and demand dried up as the pension privatization lull of 2005-2010 set in.

    The European Union experienced similar debates on pension privatization and

    similar changes of opinion over time. While starting in 1990s, ECOFIN (European

    Council for Finance) issued statements strongly in favor of pension privatization and

    fiscal sustainability and modernization, social policy ministers came out against

    privatization and in favor of pension adequacy. With the foundation of a joint

    committee to study the pensions issue in 2001 (Council of the European Union 2001),

    such contrasting views began to be reconciled. This process culminated in a 2012 White

    Paper: An Agenda for Adequate, Safe and Sustainable Pensions, in which pension

    privatization was no longer seen as the chief means with which to address Europes

    demographic aging problem (European Commission 2012). Instead, increases in

    retirement age, unification of male and female retirement ages, and restricting access to

    early retirement were stressed. Encouraging greater supplementary pension saving was

    also mentioned as an important target; however, it was portrayed as supplementary to,

    rather than as a replacement of, public PAYG systems. This represented a change in

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    emphasis even over the preceding Green Paper (European Commission 2010), which

    accorded private pensions a more central role in resolving Europes demographic

    challenges.

    It would be wrong, therefore, to view international organizations as single-minded

    and stable on pension policy. The best way to emphasize this reality is to compare these

    organizations with domestic think thanks that exhibit strong ideological and policy

    consistency over time. Although some think thanks like the US Brookings Institution are

    genuine university without students (Weaver, 1989) emphasizing detached, academic

    research over advocacy, other think thanks work more like interest groups and political

    advocates defending the same policy alternatives over long periods of time. In the field of

    pension privatization as elsewhere, the comparison between this type of advocacy tanks

    (Weaver, 1989) as they operate in the United States and international organizations is

    especially telling.

    As background to the discussion about US think tanks, it is important to stress the

    nature of the debate on pension privatization in that country and, especially, the dramatic

    nature of the political rejection of this policy alternative in 2005, when President George

    W. Bush failed to convince Congress and the public to privatize the federal old-age

    insurance scheme, which was created during the New Deal and is known as Social

    Security. Although the push to privatize Social Security began in the 1970s and 1980s, it

    is only during the mid-to late 1990s that the privatization campaign strongly impacted US

    policy debates. In the end, although President Clinton failed to support this policy

    alternative, privatization became for the first time a mainstream legislative option during

    his second term. Once in the White House, George W. Bush put together a commission

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    that supported Social Security privatization but its report came out in the after math of the

    events of September 11, 2001, after which pension reform was not a priority anymore

    (Bland, 2005). It is only after his reelection in November 2004 that George W. Bush

    launched a bold campaign to privatize Social Security. In early 2005, the president toured

    the country to advocate reform but he failed to convince most members of Congress and

    the public to support reform. In the end, his campaign was a genuine and spectacular

    political failure (Altman, 2005; Bland and Waddan, 2012; Ross, 2007; Edwards III,

    2007). This rejection of pension privatization by a country that had long supported this

    type of reform through organizations like USAID did not help promote it around the

    world.

    Interestingly, however, in the United States since 2005, influential ideologically-

    driven conservative think tanks have kept promoting pension privatization, both at home

    and abroad. This is where the comparison between these think tanks and international

    organizations is especially telling, as far as the ideational fluctuations of the latter are

    concerned. Compare, for instance, the World Bank or the EU to the Cato Institute, a

    libertarian US think tank. For decades, this organization has been a strong advocate of

    pension privatization in the United States. In the mid-1980s, the Cato institute even

    developed a long-term, Leninist strategy to weaken support for defined-benefit public

    pensions in the United States (Butler and Germanis, 1983; Teles, 1998). More than a

    decade later, during the final years of the Clinton presidency, the Cato Institute was at the

    forefront of the push for pension privatization in the United States, as it published books

    and papers that backed this policy alternative and articulated a systematic privatization

    paradigm (e.g., Ferrera, 1998; Ferrera and Tanner, 1998). The same remark applies to the

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    George W. Bush years, during which Cato experts continued to support efforts to

    transform Social Security into a system of individual savings accounts explicitly inspired

    by the Chilean model. During the 2005 campaign to privatize Social Security launched by

    President George W. Bush, the Cato Institute provided strong support for the presidents

    initiative (Niskanen, 2005). More interesting for our discussion, however, is the fact that

    the crushing political defeat of this initiative and even the 2008 financial crisis did not

    push Cato to significantly alter its views on pension privatization. As opposed to the

    World Bank, which revised its position over time, the Cato Institute has continued to this

    day to actively promote the pension privatization paradigm, without interruption (Tanner,

    2007; Cato Institute, 2009; Tanner, 2012).

    In the United States, the Cato Institute is not the only ideologically-driven,

    conservative think tank that has maintained its support for Social Security privatization

    after the humiliating defeat of President Bushs 2005 privatization campaign. Take the

    American Enterprise Institute (AEI), for example. Since late 2007, the main Social

    Security expert at the AEI is Andrew G. Biggs, a strong privatization advocate who had

    been appointed by President George W. Bush as Principal Deputy Commissioner and,

    earlier on, Deputy Commissioner for Policy of the Social Security Administration, the

    organization in charge of administrating the federal old-age insurance program. A

    controversial figure, Biggs moved to the AEI as a staunch advocate of Social Security

    privatization, an ideological orientation and a policy paradigm clearly displayed in his

    recent publications (e.g., Biggs, 2011a; Biggs, 2011b). The many publications of this

    LSE-trained economist illustrates the enduring commitment of the AEI to Social Security

    privatization, which began long before the 2005 Bush initiative and was not deeply

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    altered after its clear political defeat.

    As opposed to ideological think thanks like the Cato Institute, which constitute

    policy entrepreneurs devoted to the stable, long-term promotion of a clear policy agenda

    (Rich, 2004; Weaver, 1989), international organizations are sites of contestation because

    they are open systems. Governments of various and changing political stripes may seek

    influence at any point in time, though in the pension reform area, this influence appears

    to have been minimal. The openness of international organizations also derives from their

    expert character and staffing. Experts are free to change their minds with shifting

    perceptions of best practice. They are not trained ideologues, like some think tank

    experts, who are little more than advocates, but shaped more by their professional

    training. This may induce certain biases (Chwieroth 2010), but in the pension area, it

    does not seem to have prevented the existence of sharply contrasting policy views

    concerning pension privatization. Led by policy experts, vulnerable to influence of

    governments, international organizations are radically open to ideas that may arise in any

    number of ways from a variety of sources.

    The Impact of Policy Entrepreneurs

    One of the most important sources of international organization ideas is not governments,

    but individual policy entrepreneurs. In the expert-dominated environment of international

    organizations, policy entrepreneurs have the ability to have a strong impact. Indeed, the

    launching of the pension privatization campaign at the World Bank can be traced to the

    advocacy of one leading policy entrepreneur, Lawrence Summers, together with a policy

    team led by Nancy Birdsall, and a report-writing team led by Estelle James. These

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    entrepreneurial figures established a clear problem definition, a critique of pre-existing

    PAYG pension systems, an analysis that proved the value of pension privatization, and

    formed an advisory group to promote this privatization paradigm around the world.

    Without the efforts of these individuals, pension privatization would never have become

    Bank policy (Orenstein 2008).

    Similarly, the following Chief Economist of the World Bank, Joseph Stiglitz, also

    acted as a policy entrepreneur in this area to sell a very different perspective on policy.

    Rather than supporting pension privatization, he opposed it. While his initial paper, book

    publication, and conference did not put an end to pension privatization, he did encourage

    further dissent within the World Bank that ultimately brought the pension privatization

    campaign to a close. Likewise, the individuals who sought to make their careers within

    the World Bank through a critique of pension privatization certainly had a strong impact,

    as did the outgoing Bank official who led the internal evaluation report that slammed its

    pension work.

    Since the World Banks reputation depends on its expert legitimacy, the

    viewpoints of individual experts can matter a great deal. Like in domestic policymaking

    (Kingdon, 1995), powerful and well-placed policy entrepreneurs can have a substantial

    impact on policy. Often, this impact takes place through careful analysis and scholarly

    proof, not just bureaucratic infighting. Since the currency of the World Banks work is

    largely knowledge, individuals who appear to improve upon that knowledge can gain

    considerable power. Their expert legitimacy may also be closely tied to their training and

    academic track record in the top Western universities.

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    What is also interesting is that it would be difficult to trace the views of these

    policy entrepreneurs to the parties or governments that elected them. Lawrence Summers

    and Joseph Stiglitz, for instance, both served in the Clinton administration in the United

    States, the first just after and the second just before his term as Chief Economist of the

    World Bank. The fact that they took diametrically opposed views on pension

    privatization suggests that the policy ideas of these policy entrepreneurs are not tightly

    connected to those of particular governments, but reflect their own professional opinions,

    at least in some important instances. Experts opinions are not dictated entirely by their

    career profession or academic background either, as both these diametrically opposed

    economists were trained and employed at both Harvard and MIT.

    Adaptability and Impact

    As we argue in this article, the policy prescriptions of international organizations change

    regularly in response to a number of factors, including expert ideas. As evidenced above,

    the position of the World Bank and EU on pension privatization has been anything but

    stable. The World Bank has swung from having no real position on pension privatization,

    to launching a major advocacy campaign, to backing away and endorsing other

    approaches, in more recent years. The EU similarly has been riven by disputes that it has

    sought to resolve in a decade-long process culminating in a recent white paper on pension

    reform across Europe.

    One may wonder: if international organization ideas about policy are so

    contentious and unstable, why would anyone accept their advice? Yet, the idea that

    policy advice should be stable is nave. As the world changes, countries typically demand

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    the most up-to-the-minute policy advice, even if it differs from what was on offer in

    previous years. The expert legitimacy of international organizations demands flexibility

    and adaptability to changing demands and not to be bound primarily by ideology or past

    practice. Indeed, up-to-the-minute, flexible expertise may be part of why demand for

    international organization advice is in such great demand.

    The impact of international organizations depends upon their delegated, expert,

    and other sources of legitimacy. In order to maintain this credibility, they cannot afford to

    be far out of step with dominant expert paradigms or ideas in international politics. They

    must change with the times, in contrast to ideological think tanks, which ideologically-

    driven individuals and political organizations of various stripes rely on to provide

    intellectual support at times when they have access to government. Access to, and control

    of, international organizations is a valuable prize. Policy entrepreneurs and their networks

    compete to define the policy ideas and agendas of international organizations. This

    suggests that the key to influencing international organization ideas and behavior is to

    develop and control policy networks with expertise and credentials relevant to particular

    organizations and situations.

    Conclusion

    Wade (1996), in a brilliant account of paradigm maintenance, argued that the East Asian

    Miracle report of the World Bank showed that the World Bank was in thrall to a liberal

    economic ideology at the service of the United States. Yet there is a different

    interpretation of his story. A truly rigid, ideological organization would never have

    agreed to write the East Asian Miracle report in the first place. That the World Bank was

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    forced by Japan, one of its shareholders, to study the Japanese model of economic

    development at a time when its leaders were committed to a different policy path shows

    openness to new policy ideas as a matter of principle and organization. The East Asian

    Miracle story is one of contestation, not unchallenged hegemony. Different camps and

    policy entrepreneurs within the World Bank debated whether state planning or market

    signals contributed to rapid development in Asia and found some sense in both

    perspectives. It is true that liberal perspectives were inserted and even dominated, for a

    number of years. It is true that the report had no real impact on the World Banks work in

    subsequent years, in which it sought to impose liberal policies on Asia. However, times,

    as well as ideas, change. Today, the Chief Economist of the World Bank is a Chinese

    economist, Justin Yifu Lin, who supports the state side of the East Asian Miracle story.

    At the time, the Japanese were isolated. This is no longer the case.

    International organizations are open systems that may be dominated for relatively

    short periods of time by certain paradigms and other ideational influences that arise from

    powerful governments, professions, or policy communities. However, they also display a

    remarkable fluidity over time, especially when compared to ideologically-driven

    advocacy tanks that operate in countries like the United States. International

    organizations are truly sites of contestation. They may be influenced from a variety of

    different sources, but in the pension area, they appear to be particularly swayed by

    dedicated and well-placed policy entrepreneurs, who help promote ideas they believe best

    address the problems of the day. Thanks to their reliance on expert legitimacy, expert

    discourse and ideas can have a fundamental impact on the behavior of these

    organizations. In contrast to advocacy think tanks, which identify with relatively stable

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    ideological creeds and policy paradigms, international organizations can and do change.

    In this article, we have suggested a comparative context, in which international

    organizations are relatively open compared to ideologically-based think tanks. We have

    developed several propositions about international organization behaviors, such as seeing

    international organizations as open systems (Bertalanffy 1968), sites of contestation

    (OBrien, 2002), and deriving their legitimacy from expert discourse (Barnett and

    Finnemore, 2004). This makes international organizations open to a variety of ideas and

    perspectives on policy, and rarely committed to one perspective forever. We have shown

    that it is dangerous to stereotype international organizations viewpoints on policy, except

    during relatively short periods when key policy entrepreneurs and their network succeed

    in asserting their dominance.

    It should be recognized that this contested and continually changing perspective

    on best practice within international organizations makes them difficult to study. One

    cannot assume much about their intent without doing a detailed analysis of the thinking

    and expert debates taking place within the organization (Kogut and MacPherson 2011).

    Nonetheless, the experience of pension privatization suggests that, despite these inherent

    difficulties, it is vital to policy analysis to improve our understanding of changing ideas

    and discourse within international organizations, as these relatively flexible, expert

    organizations can have such a major impact on policy decisions made by governments

    throughout the world.

    Much more research in global social policy needs to be conducted on the

    determinants of ideational change in international organizations and other transnational

    actors. For instance, in future research, scholars could take a truly systematic look at the

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    mechanisms according to which, at certain points in time, why some ideas, and the

    experts articulating them, become more legitimate or dominant within particular

    international organizations. Another important issue to address in future research is the

    conditions under which international organizations are likely to change their dominant

    policy ideas and paradigms. Future research also may identify the factors that empower

    or reduce the influence of experts and their ideas within particular organizations. This

    type of analysis could test the applicability and identify the potential limitations of our

    ideational model. In short, there is plenty of work ahead for scholars who recognize the

    role of ideas in international organizations and in global social policy and seek to develop

    a systematic understanding of their impact.

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    Figure 1: Pension Privatization by Year

    Endnotes

    1 The literature on international organizations is very extensive. For example: Abdelal

    2007; Bs and McNeil D, 2004; Checkel, 2005; Dion 2008; Epstein, 2008; Keck and

    Sikkink, 1998; Pop-Eleches 2009; Simmons Dobbin and Garrett, 2008; Tarrow, 2005;

    Vachudova, 2005; Woods, 2006; Yates, 2001. This article only engages with the most

    relevant publications dealing with the core theoretical and empirical issues we raise.

    2For example: Bland and Cox, 2011; Campbell 2004; Hall, 1993; Goldstein and

    Keohane, 1993; Hansen and King 2001; Lieberman, 2002; Moreno and Palier, 2005;

    Padamsee, 2009; Parsons, 2007; Skogstad, 2011; Somers and Block, 2005; Stone, 2004;

    Surel, 2000; True and Mintrom 2001; Wendt, 1999; Yee, 1996.

    3The concept of veto players refers to institutional actors whose support is needed for

    the adoption of concrete policy reforms: Tsebelis 2002.

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    4For a critique of the concept of policy paradigm see Carstensen, 2011.

    5On the long-term intellectual roots of the multi-pillar model formulated in that 1994

    report see Leimgruber, forthcoming.6On the debate about pension privatization in Africa see Kpessa and Bland, 2012.

    7 In 2011, two countries privatized their pension systems, Czech Republic and Malawi

    (Orenstein, forthcoming). Actually, Malawis decision to mandate individual pension

    savings accounts above a certain income threshold was not strictly a privatization, since it

    had no prior national pension system. Participation in the Czech Republics system is

    voluntary. It is difficult to know if this signifies the restart of a pension privatization

    trend or two anomalous cases. However, if pension privatization does restart, it will most

    likely take a different form, reflecting the evolution of expert debate since 2005

    (Orenstein 2011).