standing committee on finance...
TRANSCRIPT
Standing Committee on Finance Presentation
16 November 2016
STRENGTHS CHALLENGES
Group output contributes R9bn to the countries GDP (supply chain & employees) 0.3% of the fiscus.
Weak Capital base
The airline supports 84 000 jobs in South Africa (direct and indirectly)
60% R/$ costs that are Dollar denominated creating significant pressure
Award winning and customer focussed airline Oversupply of capacity in domestic market
Strong safety record Growth of competition in the international market
World class on-time departure stats Regional markets compressed due to a decline in commodity prices
Supportive Shareholder Highly vertical integrated corporate structure
Cost Compression Program Leadership instability
Voyager program
Assessment
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THE INDUSTRY State of the airline industry
Oversupply in the domestic market
Major shifts in global air traffic
Airline market consolidation
Commoditisation of short-haul travel
African carriers face stiff competition on intercontinental routes
Global market shows improvement but Africa is lagging
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SAA power economic growth, employment, trade links, tourism.
SAA invests in skills development by
training flight deck crew, cabin crew and technicians, and procures
from local suppliers.
SAA launched the first flight on biofuels in Africa in July 2016,
thereby contributing to protecting the environment.
The airline is continuously
increasing regional frequencies and thus boosting intra-Africa
connectivity.
Overview
Cost Compression: Total of R3.3b sustainable savings (2012 - 2016) with the unit cost reduced from USD7.0 cents for 2011/12 to USD5.74 cents
New routes implemented between Accra, Ghana and Washington DC, as well as Johannesburg and
Abuja, Nigeria
The finalisation of the Airbus swap deal
Increase in Ancillary Revenue through targeted initiatives
Positive operating profit before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation
Year Under Review Year under review
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SAA achieved a 88.63% on-time performance average
World Travel Awards™ 2015 Africa’s Leading Airline (21 consecutive years) – SAA
Africa’s leading in-flight magazine – Sawubona, SAA’s inflight magazine
Africa’s Leading Low-Cost Airline – Mango
Skytrax 4-Star rating (14 consecutive years) – SAA
Best Airline in Africa – SAA Best Airline Staff in Africa (4 consecutive years) – SAA
Best Low-Cost Airline in Africa – Mango
Aircraft Technology Engineering & Maintenance Awards
: Best Line Maintenance Provider world wide for 2015 – SAA Technical
Business Traveller Africa Awards Best African Airline’ Award – SAA (9th consecutive year)
Best African Regional Short-Haul Airline – SAA Best African Long-Haul Airline – SAA
Performance
BIGGEST HIGHLIGHT FOR 2016
Finalization of legacy aircraft transactions 7
Annual Financial Statements
Interim CFO Phumeza Nhantsi
Q2 FEATURES
9
Financial Results – Income Statement
Page 10
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Total Income 30,385 30,105 1%
Total Operating Costs (30,034) (32,546) 8% Operating profit/(loss) before interest, tax depreciation and amortisation 351 (2,441) >100%
Depreciation and amortisation (725) (819) 11%
Impairments (158) (1,894) >100%
Net loss on disposal of PPE (6) (9) 33%
Operating loss (538) (5,163) 90%
Finance Costs and Investment Income (835) (464) -80%
Loss Before Taxation (1,373) (5,627) 76%
Taxation (100) (12) >100%
Loss for the year (1,473) (5,639) 74%
Financial Results - Revenue
Page 11
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Airline Revenue 28,827 28,513 1%
Other Income 1,558 1,592 -2%
Total Income 30,385 30,105 1%
Contributing factors to 1% increase in total income:
• revenue passenger
numbers flat
• 3% increase in load factors
• 6% decrease in ASK’s
• air fares up by 2%
Pleasing improvement in
ancillary revenue
Lower fuel price reduced fuel
levy component
22.6
25.6
28.7 28.5 28.8
1.3
1.5
1.6 1.6 1.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
R' b
illi
on
Airline revenue Other income
23.9 27.1
30.3 30.1 30.4
Financial Results – Operating Cost
Page 12
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Total Operating Costs 30,034 32,546 8%
• Approximately 60% of all operating expenses are foreign currency denominated – mainly USD
• Operating costs impacted by weakening of the ZAR against the USD - ZAR 23% weaker y-o-y
• Prior year includes R950m litigation provision • Operating costs positively impacted by :
• the results of the Cost Compression Programme (R1,1bn)
• the drop in the price of Brent crude oil – 45% decrease compared to the prior year
• positive fx translation movements
• If the effect of foreign currency is ignored, Operating costs actually decreased by 12% compared to the prior year (2% if fuel is excluded)
Financial Results – Cost Analysis
Page 13
High level analysis of operating costs: 2015/16 2014/15 Variance • Fuel cost 7,344 10,217 -28%
• Employee expense 5,822 5,687 2%
• Aircraft maintenance 4,283 3,412 26%
• Aircraft lease cost 3,149 2,840 11%
• Navigation, Landing and Parking 2,384 2,207 8%
Financial Results – Fuel Cost
Page 14
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Fuel 7,344 10,217 28%
Decrease R2873 million (+28% )
• Average Brent crude price decreased by 45% - $90 to $49 per barrel • Average ZAR/USD exchange rate weakened by 23% - R10.96 to R13.48 • Fuel comprised 24% of total operating expenditure (2015: 32%)
Financial Results – Employee Cost
Page 15
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Employee expenses 5,822 5,687 2%
Increase R135 million (+2% )
• Headcount reduced by 770 (7%) • No bonuses paid to SAA • ZAR /USD impact on staff abroad salaries and allowances
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Headcount 10,706 11,476 -7%
• Results of VSPs, natural attrition and structures being reviewed
Financial Results – Maintenance Cost
Page 16
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Aircraft Maintenance 4,283 3,412 26%
Increase R871 million (+26% )
• Maintenance cost largely contractually driven – maintenance reserves and return
conditions
• Devaluation of rand has massive impact on this line item, excluding the impact of the
weakening exchange rate, this cost only increased by 2%
Financial Results – Aircraft Lease Cost
Page 17
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Aircraft Lease Costs 3,149 2,840 11%
Increase R309 million (+11% )
Increase attributable to the following:
• The 6 new A320’s in the fleet for the full year (entered at staggered intervals
during the prior year)
• The impact of the weakening ZAR
• Wide-body leases extended at favourable rates, full benefit to be felt in
2016/17
Financial Results – Navigation, Landing & Parking Cost
Page 18
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Navigation, Landing & Parking 2,384 2,207 8%
Increase R177 million (+8% )
• Navigation costs contributes to the bulk of the increase in this expense line
• The weaker ZAR/USD exchange rate has had a significant impact on this expense line
Financial Results – Other Cost
Page 19
2015-16 2014-15 Variance Other Operating Costs (excluding fx movements) 7,927 8,158 3%
Decrease R231 million (3% )
3 242 4 010
1 629 1 461
435 479 1 279
1 040 657
543 685 625
0
800
1 600
2 400
3 200
4 000
4 800
5 600
6 400
7 200
8 000
8 800
2016 2015
Int Pax, freighthandling up by 10%
IT up by 21%
Acc and Refreshmentsup by 23%
Purchase of capacitydown by 9%
Distribution costs upby 11%
Sundry down by 19%
(R m
illi
on
)
• Includes legal settlements of R477m prior year included a legal provision of R950 million and there was a
R350m reduction in the legal provision in the current year, the decrease would be 8% if the effect of the legal provision is excluded
Financial Results – Hedging / Translations
Page 20
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Translation gain: foreign assets and liabilities 818 342 >100%
Fair value gain/(loss): hedging instruments 57 (367) >100%
- Realised losses/(gains) (40) 205 >100%
- Fair value gains/(losses) 97 (572) >100%
Total fair value & translation movements 875 (25) >100%
Financial Results – Impairments
Page 21
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
(Impairment)/reversal of impairment of accounts receivable (14) 12 >100%
Impairment of PDPs 0 (121) >100%
Impairment of aircraft 0 (1,508) >100%
Write down of Inventory to NRV (144) (277) -48%
Total impairments (158) (1,894) -92%
Financial Results - Statement of Financial
Page 22
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Capital and Reserves (12,264) (10,543) 22%
Subordinated Loan 1,300 1,300 0%
Total Capital and Reserves (10,964) (9,243) 25%
1,3 1,3 1,3 1,3 1,3 (0,9)
(2,1)
(4,8)
(10,5) (12,3)
-14-13-12-11-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-101234
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Capital and Reserves
Subordinated loans Capital and reserves (excluding subordinated loans)
(R b
illi
on
)
(3,5) (0,8) (9,2) (11,0) 0,4
Financial Results - Statement of Financial Position
Page 23
2015-16 2014-15 Variance
Total Non-current assets 7,017 7,311 -4%
Total Current Assets 9,650 5,693 70%
Cash and Cash Equivalents 2,315 (126) >100%
Other Current Assets 7,335 5,819 26%
Total Non-current Liabilities 9,665 6,692 44%
Long-Term Loans 6,510 3,684 77%
Other Non-current liabilities 3,155 3,008 5%
Total Current Liabilities 17,966 15,555 15%
Net Assets (10,964) (9,243) 19%
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Despite the highly challenging 2015/16 we are looking forward to working with the shareholder and the new Board in stabilizing and putting the airline on the right
trajectory.
Way forward
Questions and Answers
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