stanford university global climate & energy...
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Stanford UniversityGlobal Climate & Energy Project
Is CCS (Geological Storage) Ready for Prime Time?
Sally M. BensonEnergy Resources Engineering Dept., Stanford University
Executive Director, Global Climate and Energy Project
MIT Carbon Sequestration Forum VIIIStanford, November 11, 2007
Carbon Dioxide Capture and Geologic Storage
CaptureCapture UndergroundUndergroundInjectionInjection
PipelinePipelineTransportTransportCompressionCompression
Options for Geological Storage
Different types of formations have different states of readiness.
Key Elements of a Geological Storage Safety and Security Strategy
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
“… the fraction retained is likely to exceed 99% over 1,000 years.”
“ With appropriate site selectioninformed by available subsurface information, amonitoring program to detect problems, a regulatory system, and the appropriate use of remediation methods…”
IPCC, 2005IPCC, 2005
“… risks similar to existing activities such as natural gas storage and EOR.”
What Do We Need to Know?
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
Multi-phase flow, trapping mechanisms, geochemical interactions, geomechanics, and basin-scale hydrology
Oversight for site characterization and selection, storage system operation, safety, monitoring and contingency plans
Financial mechanisms and institutional approaches for long term stewardship (e.g. monitoring and remediation if needed)
Active and abandoned well repair, groundwater cleanup, and ecosystem restoration
Monitoring plume migration, pressure monitoring in the storage reservoir and above the seal, and surface releases
Well maintenance, conduct of operations, well-field monitoring and controls
Number and location of injection wells, strategies to maximize capacity and accelerate trapping, and well completion design
Site specific assessment of storage capacity, seal integrity, injectivity and brine migration
Is Geological Storage Ready for Prime Time?
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
Oil and Gas CoalbedsSaline Aquifers
Are We Ready?
State-of-the-art is well developed, scientific understanding is excellent and engineering methods are mature
Sufficient knowledge is available but practical experience is lacking, economics may be sub-optimal, scientific understanding is good
Demonstration projects are needed to advance the state-of-the art for commercial scale projects, scientific understanding is limited
Pilot projects are needed to provide proof-of-concept, scientific understanding is immature
New ideas and approaches are needed
Is Geological Storage Ready for Prime Time?
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
Oil and Gas CoalbedsSaline Aquifers
Multi-phase Flow and Capillary Trapping
High Pressure Pumps
Core Holder In Scanner
CO2 BrineDifferentialPressureTransducer
Pressure Data Acquisition
CO2
Brine
75 mm38 mm
10%CO2
90%CO2
100%CO2
Variable Φ, k Simulations
CO2 Saturation:0% 70%
Lab Data
Simulated CO2 SaturationsVariable Pc Produces Small-scale CO2 Saturation Variations
Variable Pc Simulations
Is Geological Storage Ready for Prime Time?
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
Oil and Gas CoalbedsSaline Aquifers
Site Characterization: Frio I and Frio II Pilot Tests
Injection well
Observation well
30 m
Frio Brine Pilot IFrio Brine Pilot II
From S. Hovorka, UT Austin
Injection Well
00.5
11.5
22.5
3
0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000
Time (s)
Δp
(bar
)
MeasuredCalculated
Is Geological Storage Ready for Prime Time?
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
Oil and Gas CoalbedsSaline Aquifers
0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12
Fractional Equivalent Pore Volume
Upper Quarter
Upper Half
Full
Low er Half
Low er Quarter
Original
Near shale gap
Far from shale gap
Top
Mid-depth
Bottom
srl=0.6
Mobile
Dissolved
Capillary Trapping
Geological Model Computational Grid
Reservoir Simulation
Storage Engineering: Storage Capacity and Trapping Mechanisms
Storage Capacity and Trapping
Is Geological Storage Ready for Prime Time?
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
Oil and Gas CoalbedsSaline Aquifers
Safety: TRC Rate for Oil and Gas Related Activities
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20TR
C/2
00,0
00 h
ours
/yea
r
10,00<employees<=31,600
25%
50%
75%
31,600<employees<=100,000
100,000<employees<=316,200
316,200<employees<=1,000,000
Geophysical Surveying and Mapping Services*
Pipeline transportation of natural gas
Total Recordable Case (TRC) rate box plots for NAICS industry classes within an employment size group. Size groups shown are in thousands of employees. TRC rates for industry classes participating in the oil and gas exploration and production industry are shown.
*denotes industry class for which only 2004 rate available.
Drilling oil and gas wells
Pipeline transportation
Site preparation contractors
Support activities for oil and gas
ti *Oil and gas extraction
Utility system construction
Is Geological Storage Ready for Prime Time?
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
Oil and Gas CoalbedsSaline Aquifers
Monitoring: ZERT Detection Verification Facility
Detection Verification Facility(Montana State University)
80 m
Flow Controllers
Field Site
HorizontalInjection Well
Flux Tower
Soil Gas
HyperspectralImaging ofVegetation
Flux accumulation chamber
Is Geological Storage Ready for Prime Time?
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
Oil and Gas CoalbedsSaline Aquifers
Blowout Frequency and Management in District 4, California
District 4, California• 50,277 active wells• 18,660 shut-in wells• 36,940 abandoned wells Jordan and Benson, 2007, in preparation.
Is Geological Storage Ready for Prime Time?
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
Oil and Gas CoalbedsSaline Aquifers
Regulations: “Cradle to Grave Regulatory Framework”
• Interstate Oil and Gas Regulatory Commission• Seamless• Simple• Flexible and
responsive• Doable
Storage of Carbon Dioxide in Geological Structures: A Legal and Regulatory Guide for States and Provinces. September, 2007.http://www.iogcc.state.ok.us/docs/MeetingDocs/Master-Document-September-252007-FINAL-(2).pdf
Is Geological Storage Ready for Prime Time?
Regulatory Oversight
Remediation
Monitoring
Safe Operations
Storage Engineering
Site Characterization and Selection
Fundamental Storage and Leakage Mechanisms
Financial Responsibility
Oil and Gas CoalbedsSaline Aquifers
Quantitative Assessment of Long Term Liability and Risk Management Strategies
Injectionbegins
Injection stops
2 x injection period
3 x injection period
n x injection period
Monitor
Model
Calibrate&
ValidateModels
Calibrate&
ValidateModels
Pressure recoverySecondary trapping mechanismsConfidence in predictive models
Hea
lth S
afet
y an
d E
nviro
nmen
tal R
isk
Conclusions
• Is CCS Ready for Prime Time?– Oil and gas reservoirs: Yes– Saline aquifers: Ready for commercial scale
demonstration projects– Coalbeds: Ready for pilot scale tests
• Readiness of storage safety and security strategy Operational safety
Monitoring
Fundamental science, remediation, and site selection
Storage engineering, regulatory oversight
Long term financial responsibility
Conclusions
• One persons opinion—mine • Engage scientific, engineering and
regulatory community to assess state-of-the-art
• Support deployment of demonstration projects now
• Identify high impact areas– Fundamental and applied research– Pilot projects