stanford university - stacksrw649ww0886/rw649...computer assisted instruction and learning...
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STANFORD UNIVERSITY
COMPUTER TASK FORCE
A PRESENTATION ON
TELECOMMUNICATIONS STUDY PHASE I RESULTS
AND POTENTIAL CAMPUS NETWORK ISSUES
January 29, 1979
1
AGENDA
TELECOMMUNICATIONS STUDY
NON-VOICE CAMPUS COMMUNICATIONS ISSUES
TECHNOLOGICAL TRENDS
IMPACT ON INFORMATION RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
FUTURE NETWORK CONCEPTS
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TELECOMMUNICATIONS STUDY
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TELECOMMUNICATIONS (T-C) STUDY
Five Phases:
Phase I — Improvements in tne current telephonesystem and feasibility of a change
Preliminary analysis of communications requirements
Recommendation of near-term cost-reduction steps
Objective assessment of the feasibility of analternative system
>I
Phase 1 1 — Functional design of a new systemt
Comprehensive determination of Stanford'scommunications needs
Realistic assessment of "wired/campus"feasibility andtiming
Detailed specifications for what the system should do
Identification and evaluation of risks under alternativeapproaches
Evaluation of on -premises cabling (bus) requirements
Refined assessment of alternative system feasibility
Phase 111 — Technical Specifications for a new systemt
Detailed specifications of how the new system shouldperform its function
Recommended telecommunications management structure
Formal request for proposal for new system
»
0 Phase IV- Invitation to Bid, System Evaluation, Selection AndImplementation
Comprehensive analysis of life-cycle costs for eachalternative
Objective ranking of alternatives (technical, functional,financial, overall)
Professional management of the implementation effort
t Phase V— On -going technical counsel
Smooth transition from project to operational modeTimely resolution of post-implementation problems
»
T-C STUDY
Calendar Year
>
T-C STUDY PHASE I RESULTS
The 701 Centrex is obsolete and should be replaced
Service rudimentary
Will cost $33mm to $39mm over next 10 years
Few management/user features
New PT&T or interconnect systems both better
But Centrex-like service tariffs slated to riseadding $7 mm over next 10 years
potentially
Whereas an interconnect system might achieve major cost savingsand a 14% - 15% ROI
CentrexESSX
$19.3 mm- $22.1 mm23.0 mm- 26.1mm16.6 mm- 19.2mmInterconnect
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T-C STUDY PHASE I RESULTS
Non-voice communications need to be studied:
Stanford spends an estimated $30mm+ per year on information resources
$13. Omm3.7mm
Formal EDPTelecommunicationsSecretarial 3.6mm
2.lmmo.9mmo.6mm6.lmm
W-P/Reprographics/D-EU.S. Postagel-D MailOther
$30. Omm
(Excludes student computing and telephones)
I,ooo+ known terminals
Word processing interest (over 120 systems now)
11 major computers, over 160 small computers
MAJOR COMPUTER FACILITIES
CENTER
1. A. I. LAB.
2. GSB
3. IMSSS
4. LOTS
5. SCIP (Campus)
6. SCIP (SLAC)
7. STUDENT SERVICES
8. SUMEX-AIM
SYSTEM(S)
DEC-KI-10
DEC-20, HP2OOO
DECK 1-10
DEC-20
370/168
2x370/168, 360/91
370/135
DECK 1-10-2X
11 SYSTEMS
BUDGET(MILLIONS)
$1.5 -$2.0
0.1
2.1
0.3
5.0
3.1
0.3
0.5
$12.9 - $13.4
FULL-TIMESTAFF
12
3
55
3
96
63
5
7
244
»
COMM ITTEES/GROUPS CONCERNED WITH COMPUTING
1. Academic Working Group
2. Administrative Computing Staff (ACS)
3. Committee On Office Systems And Technology (COST)
4. Consulting Study On T-C -- BA&H
5. Engineering Committee On Computers (New, information)
6. Hospital Data Processing Steering Committee
7. Humanities & Sciences Advisory Committee On Computing
8. Medical Center Computing Subsidy Committee
9. Stanford Advisory Committee on Computer Sciences
10. Task Force on Computing
plus at least one Personal Computing Club
T-C STUDY PHASE I RESULTS ~
So, the issue isn't whether to replace the current system, it'swhat is the proper scope and nature of the replacement
Switch deployment: centralized/distributed, on premise/off premise
Student phones
Shared voice/ data network backbone
Transmission technology
Network "utility" features/ services
NON-VOICE CAMPUS COMMUNICATIONS ISSUES
Technological Trends
Impact On Information Resources Management
Future Network Concepts
TECHNOLOGICAL TRENDS
On Campus:
"Electronic freshmen"
More user EDP sophistication
Richer computerized bibliographic services
"Electronic libraries"
Proliferating data terminals, computers, word processors
Increasing university mail traffic with slower service
Laboratory simulators
More electronic media in education
year
per year
TECHNOLOGICAL TRENDS
Off Campus:
USPS— poorer service, higher costs
Soaring telephone, energy rates
Electronic logic and storage costs declining 20% - 25% per
Communications transmission costs declining 10% - 15%
"Friendly" personal computers, data terminals
TV sets used to display data, correspondence, images
Cheap multi-purpose workstations
At-home terminals, personal computers, workstations
IMPACT ON INFORMATION RESOURCES MANAGEMENT (IRM)
Technological Trends
CheapPowerfulFriendlyÜbiquitous
Will significantly influence how Stanford people deal withtheir information
Ten examples illustrate how we think these technologies willbe applied on the Stanford campus
ELECTRONIC MAIL
Definition End to end transmission of correspondence
Potentially "everybody" -- all faculty, administratorsstudents, researchers
Stanford Users
l-D and off campus mailScope
ELECTRONIC MAIL
HOW IT WORKS
Getting your mail
User signs onto mail system and requests list of itemsin "in-box"
System displays/prints requested items
Disposing of mail
User may read and "circular file"
Or user may file in personal storage facility
Or user may annotate and "buck slip"
Writing a letter
Word processing features support text generation
Writer "addresses" and distributes by accessing themail network system
WORD PROCESSING
Definition— Generation and filing of correspondence
Potentially "everybody" — all faculty, administrators, studentsresearchers
Stanford Users
Scope — Letters, memos, reports, theses, documentation-- virtually all writtenmaterial located on campus
system
WORD PROCESSING
HOW IT WORKS
Creating the text
Users dictate, copy, or type in words to the word processing
Boilerplate is scanned, included
Powerful edit capabilities aid creation of final copy
Distributing the text
Output can be directed to typesetting services, terminals,facsimile machines or other word processors
BIBLIOGRAPHIC RESEARCH
Definition ~ Identification and location of reference material
Stanford Users — Students, researchersStudents, researchers
Scope — On campus and off campus libraries
HOW IT WORKS
Accessing the library database
Users sign onto the bibliographic system database and enter searchrequests , authors, titles or topics
The system displays where to find material meeting the requests
Obtaining the reference material
Once a candidate reference has been selected the system retrievesthe pages from the electronic library
»
ELECTRONIC LIBRARY
Definition Electronic storage of written resources— potentially all writtenmaterial, books, publications, newspapers
Stanford Users; - Potentially "everybody" - faculty, administrators, students,researchers
Scope On campus and off campus libraries (Stanford libraries, Library ofCongress)
t
i
ELECTRONIC LIBRARY
HOW IT WORKS -Storing Volumes
Books and other written material are "copied" into the systemincluding pictures, up to three colors and half tones
A combination of image and coded characters reduces storage needs
Remote libraries allow access and transmission of their electronicbooks under new copyright laws
Accessing books
Students sign onto the library system and obtain requested bookson their displays
Books can be paged; "yellow lined", selected material can becopied and all material to be saved can be placed in personal files
Or students can request original "hard copies" to be reservedfor later use
4
review
replay
COMPUTER ASSISTED INSTRUCTION AND LEARNING
Definition Faculty and students using computers/data bases to create,and use information
Stanford Users — Students and faculty
Scope — Offices, teaching labs, dormitories/homes, corporate subscribers
HOW IT WORKS -Computer Assisted Instruction (CAI)
Faculty structures drill and remedial instruction seminars
Classroom presentations can be video- recorded for subsequent
Some exams can be given and scored automatically
Computer Assisted Learning
Problem solving feasibilities can be created for student use
Students would be taught to use computers/databases to solveunstructured problems
ELECTRONIC LABORATORY
Definition - Laboratory tests simulated electronically
Stanford Users - Students, faculty, researchersStudents, faculty, researchers
Scope - On campus chemistry, physics, kinematics- all laboratory sciences
HOW IT WORKS
Creating a simulation database
Properties of chemicals and materials and mathematical formulasare defined
Projections, simulations, and emulations of chemical reactions,physical properties and mathematical series are performed usingprobability and experience models
Executing tests and experiments
Students perform previously "proven" experiments or researchersand others devise new experiments and tests
Predictive models for probable reactions and results are executedand immediate feedback is provided. Results can be summarizedand recorded
NON-TRIVIAL DATA PROCESSING
Definition — Processing beyond micro and minicomputer capabilities.
Stanford Users — Students, researchers
Scope — On campus large scale processors
HOW IT WORKS
Input
Students and researchers create problem-solving algorithms and data
Jobs (programs and data) are transmitted to a large scale computer
Process
Large scale computer(s) supplement student data with proprietary data
The problem is "crunched"
Output
Results may be transmitted back to the originator
Or, high volume output can be printed locally
Or, output can be stored in user files for subsequent access/processing by personal computers
EXTERNAL INFORMATION SERVICES
Definition - Off-campus proprietary data bases, computers, data networks
Stanford Users - Potentially "everybody" - all faculty, administrators, studentsand researchers
Scope — On campus users of off campus services
HOW IT WORKS
Students direct requests for money to family or personal bank accountsand memo post transers through electronic checkbooks
Physicians requiring specialized medical data or case histories accessremote hospitals or data banks -e.g., University of Washingtoncommunicable disease research, U.S.F.D.A. rare poisons and remedies
Researchers locate relevant papers on other universities' library computers
Anybody subscribes to electronic versions of periodicals
be
PATIENT MONITORING AND DIAGNOSTICS
Definition — Analysis of patients' vital signs/symptoms by computer
Stanford Users — Selected physicians and medical researchersSelected physicians and medical researchers
Scope — Stanford patients on campus and off campus
HOW IT WORKS -Patients' heartbeats, breath rates, blood pressure and other signs canmechanically monitored and transmitted to receiving stations.
Monitors risk patients' symptoms and alerts medical personnelduring early stages of emergencies
Cooperative agreements with other medical facilities or remotepatient monitoring capability
Automated diagnoses can confirm physicians' assessments
»
COMMUNITIES OF INTEREST
Special interest groups keeping in contactDefinition
- Potentially "everybody" - all faculty, administrators,students, researchers
Stanford Users
All campus occupants who have answered questionnairesScope
HOW IT WORKS -Special interest groups can identify potential members orparticipants from common data, eg:
Fiber optic terminal interface researchersStudents from Los Angeles wanting rides home for ChristmasSki clubsPorsche ownersChildren of lawyers
Critical skills or needs can be identified rapidly
Students with special language skills or mechanical skillsRare blood types and body parts donors
.
Non-Trivial Data Processing
External Information Services
Patient Diagnostic Systems
Community of Interest X X X
User Application Support Requirements
BetweenClass-room
DataBases
Off-Application Labs Campus
Electronic Mail
Word Processing
X
X
Bibliographic Research
Electronic Library
X X
X X
Computer Assisted Instruction/ XLearning
X X X XX
Electronic Laboratory
FUTURE NETWORK CONCEPTS
Changing information resource management practices imply:
Individual users on campus will alternately use many of the emergingIRM capabilities
Multi-purpose terminals or workstations will provide economical userinterfaces
But, unless a multi-purpose transmission network is provided, parallelcommunications networks/ lines will multiply
And that "solution" will be costly and will retard progress
Parallel lines will be laid in re-dug trenches
Thousands of multi-purpose workstations will need multiplecommunications interfaces to "talk" to computers and otherworkstations on different networks
Diverse protocols will complicate software and impedeinterconnection between users of different networks
Thus, some sort of common network capability appears mandatory
STANFORD UNIVERSITY1
ALTERNATIVE TELEPHONE SYSTEM CONCEPTS
Note: Shading dapicti partitioned sections of the switch which are dedicatedto serving j> group of user telephones.
Stanford UniversityPOTENTIAL ELEMENTSOF A "WIRED CAMPUS"FACULTY HOUSING
STUDENTDORMITORIES
HOSPITAL
PATIENT
ROOMS
CLASSROOMS/LECTURE HALLSSTUDENT/RESEARCH
WORK AREAS
ACADEMIC AND ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICES
RESEARCH LABORATORIES
LIBRARY INDICES
BIBLIOGRAPHIC
CROSSREFERENCES
ABSTRACTS ANDFULL
TEXTSLESSON PLANS
_■
CONTENT MATERIAL/
POINTERS
RESEARCH SUPPORT
ADMINISTRATIVE
APPLICATIONS
COMPUTER ASSISTED
INSTRUCTION
COMPUTER ASSISTED
LEARNING
OFF -CAMPUS.
FACULTY
STAFFSTUDENTS
COMPUTERSTELEPHONES
TERMINALS
DATABANKS
ELECTRONIC
MAIL SERVICESEFT
SERVICES
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CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SHARED VOICE/DATA NETWORK
Probably a self-contained transmission utility
Network node controllers located at key points on campus
Node controllers multiplex users onto backbone, carvingout "lines" and establishing session links
Nodes also perform A/D conversion
Computers, terminals, workstations, PBXs would be "customers"buying tie lines on the network to get between on-campus buildingsand off-campus networks
Probably digital transmission between network node controllers;possibly digital to on-campus terminals/instruments/computers
_fe
»
Initial implementation likely to resemble "long lines" service
Eliminates duplicate physical networks
But does nothing to reduce multiple protocol problems
Thus, the network should evolve data/information networkingservices such as:
Virtual call service (interactive, non-interactive)
Network message switching (on-demand/automatic delivery,storage, "broadcast", W-P, security)
Host/network interfacing (terminal emulation, packetizing)
Terminal/network interfacing (buffered and unbufferedcontention, polled)
» . »
CURRENT SHARED VOICE/DATA NETWORK SITUATION
Telephone companies currently use digital shared voice/datalinks between some cities
Only a few "user" organizations have begun to implement theirown shared networks
Typically a tandem/Telpak network with certain linesdedicated to specific applications during scheduled timesof the day
Digital networks multiplexing voice and data over ashared, broadband facility are still a rarity
Equitable Life Assurance
4 Danray CTX 2000 PBXsOn-site backbone is coaxSwitches use FDM to permit shared voice/data
Fort Monmouth
Northern SL-1 PBXsDigital end-to-end (including phones)
.
MERIT (Michigan Educational Research Instructional Triad)
Packet switched data networkSpecial front end network switchesNo shared voice/ data
ARPANET
Premier packet switching networkExperimental voice packetizing marginally successful
" ■»IP
4 . >
7 SUMMARY
Campus non-voice communications are likely to evolve into acomplex set of interconnected terminals, computers and databases
A shared on-campus network could expedite this evolution economically
A better view of the future computing environment (in the broadestsense) is necessary to define the functional specifications for trienetwork