state failure in developing countries and strategies of institutional reform by: mushtaq h. khan...

27
State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/2010 1 Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem

Upload: kelly-knight

Post on 18-Jan-2016

221 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 1

State Failure in

Developing Countries and

Strategies of Institutional

ReformBy: Mushtaq H. KhanDepartment of Economics, SOAS, University of London

6/16/2010

Page 2: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 2

What is the role of the government?Service provider: To provide law and order, stable property

rights, key public goods and welfares re-distributions.

ORSocial transformer: From traditional production systems to a

capitalist economy.

6/16/2010

Page 3: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 3

Service-Delivery viewThe three theoretical component of liberal

market economy:1. Efficient markets are rent-free and have

stable property rights.2. Rent-Seeking creates rent and destabilizes

property rights.3. The absence of democracy and a weak

bureaucracy allows rent-seeking to continue.

6/16/2010

Page 4: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 4

Failure

6/16/2010

Page 5: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 5

How can we deal with this failure?Institutional (governance) reforms:Economic reforms.

Rent-free marketsPolitical reforms.

Democracy-Decentralization-Civil societyInstitutional reforms.

Right size – Judiciary independence – Raise salaries

+ Fighting corruption

6/16/2010

Page 6: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 66/16/2010

Page 7: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 76/16/2010

Page 8: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 8

The social transformation state view

Social and Economic Change.

The economic power and violence potential of the

state is inevitably deployed for better or for worse.

The state is an instrument in the hands of

contending classes, groups and political

entrepreneurs each attempting to capture resources

and steer the transformation in specific directions

6/16/2010

Page 9: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 9

Economic facts in capitalist countriesMuch of the resources for running the political

system comes from the capitalist sector.

The dominance of the capitalist sector means

that the immediate welfare of most people,

even if they are not capitalists, depends on the

health of the capitalist sector.

6/16/2010

Page 10: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 10

Failure

The absence of a dominating feedback loop

from the performance of the capitalist

sector to the political process allows a much

greater range of variation in policies and

institutions, and makes it possible for there

to be sustained state failure in ensuring a

dynamic transformation.6/16/2010

Page 11: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 116/16/2010

Page 12: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 12

State intervention – Social Transformation

A tax system that is efficient in raising resources for delivery of democratically agreed upon public goods

Well-defined rights would help efficient re-allocations only if transaction costs were low.

The outcomes of transfer and destruction of property rights depend not on the stability of prior property rights structures but on who is capturing resources and the institutional structure imposing discipline.

6/16/2010

Page 13: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 13

The stability which distinguishes

high- growth states is not a stability

of property rights but rather a more

subtle stability of commitment to

growth, which means that dynamic

entrepreneurs could have stable

expectations that if they remained

dynamic, they were unlikely to be

touched.6/16/2010

Page 14: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 14

South KoreaMaintaining sufficient discipline to ensure that

the transfer of wealth process was not entirely captured by inefficient groups.

The conditional subsidy scheme for learning technologies could have had high social costs if as a result many plants had to be scrapped. But in practice, not only subsidies, but plants too were re-allocated across industrial groups when failure appeared likely. The state was involved in frequent corporate restructurings that re-allocated plants, using its financial muscle in the banking sector to get its way

6/16/2010

Page 15: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 15

ChinaProperty rights are not well-defined in

China but its growth is much better than

all countries.

China was able to re-allocate rights over

land and to control internal population

movements that allowed it to set up such

massive export zones (Changing

objective) in the first place.6/16/2010

Page 16: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 16

Dynamic State !?Managing growth-enhancing rents.

Institutions for managing information rents.Schumpeterian rents are essential for

innovation.Creating learning rents to enhance the usage

of advanced technologies.

Destroy growth-reducing rents.competition policy. regulation.6/16/2010

Page 17: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 17

Organizing ring-fenced transfers to maintain

political stability.

In reality, transfers often cause serious

economic damage if the only way in

which fragmented groups can capture

resources is by creating or capturing a

large number of uncoordinated value-

reducing rents, like inferior public good

provision or by capturing subsidies for

industrial learners.6/16/2010

Page 18: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 18

What is required? Set of institutions with the regulatory

capacity to make distinctions between

different kinds of rents and with the

political capacity to manage these

rents to generate growth and rapid

transformation.

6/16/2010

Page 19: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 19

Transformation States

6/16/2010

Page 20: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 20

Other dimensions of state failure during the transformation.

The Effectiveness of Institutional Enforcement.

Fail to effectively enforce industrial policy regimes.

Fail to enforce any growth-generating institution, including property rights for potentially productive users.

Effective enforcement requires both institutional capacity and a compatibility of institutions with the interests of powerful social groups.

6/16/2010

Page 21: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 21

institutional capacityinstitutional capacity means the

ability of the state to do (positive) things. It requires:

1. Staffed court system.2. Effective political capacity to:

Neutralize unproductive groups. Creation of political organization

of productive groups. 6/16/2010

Page 22: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 22

Compatibility of institutions The need to construct a compatible package

of institutional reform and political restructuring of organized power which may allow better enforcement of a dynamic transformation strategy in the future.

The lesson is that in poorly performing countries, much more deliberate steps have to be taken to construct compatible packages of institutions and political settlements to achieve even second-best transformation success.

6/16/2010

Page 23: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 23

The Costs of Enforcement The enforcement cost is the aggregate rent-seeking

cost of running particular institutions including: The costs of lobbying, The resources spent in economic and political

corruption, The costs of all types of “political” activity from

maintaining patron-client networks to contributions to political parties,

The policing costs of the state, All expenditures and activities that aim to protect

or change institutions.

6/16/2010

Page 24: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 24

The Location of State Failure

6/16/2010

Page 25: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 25

Critical success factors for growth-enhancing institutional transition

1. Political will and democracy,

2. Wisdom of leaders,

3. The institutions through which

the change is organized, and

4. Distribution of power between

groups.6/16/2010

Page 26: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 26

Reforming the State: The Challenge for PolicyThe transformation state perspective identifies

critical state capacities for managing and

regulating rents and for organizing changes in

property rights systems.

The experience of the high-growth economies

suggests that if growth and sustained poverty

reduction are the objectives, these capacities have

to become the focus of institutional and political

reform6/16/2010

Page 27: State Failure in Developing Countries and Strategies of Institutional Reform By: Mushtaq H. Khan Department of Economics, SOAS, University of London 6/16/20101Presented

Presented By: Mohamed A. Salem 27

Thank You

6/16/2010