state of dekalb county’s economy · $ 45,550 first-line supervisors of retail sales workers 151...
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State of DeKalbCounty’s Economy
Center for Governmental StudiesNorthern Illinois University
Brian [email protected]
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Purpose
•Identify challenges and opportunitiesthat will inform a shared economicdevelopment vision for DeKalb County
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Spheres of Development
Community Development
Economic Development
Business Development
Industry Development
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Overview
• DeKalb County’s economy• Economic recovery out of the recession• Unique characteristics in the region
• DeKalb County’s characteristics provide opportunities• Regional ‘value chains’• Demographics• Commuting patterns• Infrastructure• Agricultural heritage• Entrepreneurship• Educational system
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DeKalb County in the Larger Region
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Northern Illinois Region
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Change in EmploymentRecent Economic Cycles 1990-2015
Recession 6/1990 -3/1991
Expansion 4/1991 -2/2001
Recession 3/2001 -11/2001
Expansion 12/2001 -11/2007
Recession 12/2007 -
6/2009
Post-Recession 1/2010 -9/2015
DeKalb County -2.5% 2.4% -1.4% 17.1% -4.1% 9.2%
State of Illinois -3.0% 13.5% 0.0% 1.2% -5.7% 8.9%
U.S. -2.8% 21.5% 0.2% 5.8% -5.3% 11.7%
Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2015.
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Regional Employment Trends
Trend
DeKalb County 9 County Region State of Illinois Percent Change 2010-2013
2010 2013 2010 2013 2010 2013 DeKalb County Region State of
Illinois
Total Employment 51,973 53,402 738,567 761,633 7,251,630 7,507,203 2.7 3.1 3.5
Employment - % Manufacturing 7.5 7.7 12.3 13.1 8.2 8.0 4.9 10.4 3.8
Employment - % Services 33.1 33.6 38.4 39.4 42.6 44.4 4.4 5.8 6.2
Employment – % State & Local Govt 25.8 24.8 12.2 11.8 10.6 10.0 -1.2 -0.8 -1.8
Earnings by Place of Work (2013 $) $2.2 B $2.4 B $35.6 B $37.0 B $435.0 B $449.8 B 5.9 3.7 3.4
Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
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Opportunities – Value Chain• Regional Manufacturing Clusters
• Nonmetallic mineral products• Fabricated metal products• Machinery• Electrical equipment and
appliances• Transportation equipment• Food• Chemicals• Plastics and rubber products
• Higher than average concentration
• Employment growth• Growth is higher than
nation for that industry
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Opportunities – Value Chain
• Suppliers and customers of these industry clusters represent opportunities
• Linked Industries• Transportation equipment
manufacturing• Fabricated metal product
manufacturing• Machinery manufacturing• Chemical manufacturing• Plastics and rubber products
manufacturing• Ambulatory health care services• Hospitals
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DeKalb County
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DeKalb County Top Industries
• Higher than average concentration
• Employment growth• Growth is higher than
nation for that industry
Sector Firms Jobs Average Wage
Ambulatory health care services 129 1,481 $67,857
Hospitals 3 1,369 48,260
Nursing and residential care facilities 12 982 27,335
Truck transportation 51 804 50,218
Machinery manufacturing 21 490 57,002
Electrical equipment and appliance mfg 4 446 73,050
Crop production 24 349 43,650
Plastics and rubber products mfg 8 242 46,406
Animal production 16 215 30,697
Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages.
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Growth in High Paying Occupations• Educational needs for these occupations must be met
Source: Labor Insight Jobs (Burning Glass Technologies)
Occupation TitleNumber of
Job Postings, 2014
Projected Growth, 2012-
2022
Mean Salary
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 231 13.4% $ 45,550 First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers 151 5.0 40,440 Registered Nurses 136 10.5 68,030 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing 109 8.8 68,560 Speech-Language Pathologists 80 12.2 71,400 Occupational Therapists 71 20.8 77,930 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 57 6.5 41,740 General and Operations Managers 47 10.1 104,870 Postsecondary Teachers, All Other 47 N/A 85,660 Managers, All Other 35 8.5 103,080 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 35 1.6 58,930 Education Administrators, Postsecondary 34 12.3 92,460 Occupational Therapy Assistants 32 37.3 57,100
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Labor Force
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
Jan-
06
Apr-
06
Jul-0
6
Oct
-06
Jan-
07
Apr-
07
Jul-0
7
Oct
-07
Jan-
08
Apr-
08
Jul-0
8
Oct
-08
Jan-
09
Apr-
09
Jul-0
9
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
Apr-
10
Jul-1
0
Oct
-10
Jan-
11
Apr-
11
Jul-1
1
Oct
-11
Jan-
12
Apr-
12
Jul-1
2
Oct
-12
Jan-
13
Apr-
13
Jul-1
3
Oct
-13
Jan-
14
Apr-
14
Jul-1
4
Oct
-14
Jan-
15
Apr-
15
Jul-1
5
Labor Force Employed Unemployment RateData Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.
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Commuting Patterns
DeKalb Residents' EmploymentCount Share
DeKalb County, IL 17,538 39.1%Kane County, IL 6,864 15.3%Cook County, IL 5,349 11.9%DuPage County, IL 3,566 7.9%Winnebago County, IL 1,926 4.3%
DeKalb Workers ResidenceCount Share
DeKalb County, IL 17,538 50.8%Kane County, IL 2,545 7.4%Cook County, IL 2,371 6.9%LaSalle County, IL 1,308 3.8%Ogle County, IL 1,185 3.4%DuPage County, IL 1,166 3.4%Winnebago County, IL 1,142 3.3%Kendall County, IL 1,020 3.0%
Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics.
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Commuting Patterns
• Percentage of workers in each municipality that work in DeKalb County
*Boundaries cross to an adjacent countyData Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics.
Workers DeKalb County1,610 Cortland 44.2%
12,486 DeKalb 50.4%2,839 Genoa 25.5%
844 Hinckley 25.6%372 Kingston 45.4%544 Kirkland 43.2%112 Lee* 31.3%371 Malta 57.7%510 Maple Park* 21.2%
2,739 Sandwich* 24.7%295 Shabbona 55.6%694 Somonauk* 22.3%
10,027 Sycamore 37.0%712 Waterman 35.1%
41,375 DeKalb County 38.8%
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Municipal Populations
• DeKalb County • 104,802
• Unincorporated • 13,277
1,647
1,009
5,734
340
870
4,390
1,3421,014
2,0451,459
7,509
2,319
17,566
44,281
Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
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DeKalb County Population by Age
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
Under 5years
5 to 9years
10 to 14years
15 to 19years
20 to 24years
25 to 29years
30 to 34years
35 to 39years
40 to 44years
45 to 49years
50 to 54years
55 to 59years
60 to 64years
65 to 69years
70 to 74years
75 to 79years
80 to 84years
85years
and over
2000 2010 2014
Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
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Opportunities – Labor Force
• DeKalb County’s unique demographics and significant number of commuters may represent a large untapped local workforce
• Retention of graduating students• Employment closer to home
02000400060008000
1000012000140001600018000
2000 2010 2014
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Business “Churn”DeKalb County, Illinois (2000-2013)
Firms: 26
MOVED INJobs: 188
Firms: -26
MOVED OUTJobs: -226
Firms: 376
OPENEDJobs: 2,282
Firms: -508
CLOSEDJobs: -2,692
Firms: -110
CONTRACTEDJobs: -424
EXPANDEDFirms: 158
Jobs: 2,217
Data Source: National Employment Time Series (NETS) database, 2015.
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Who will start businesses?
• Early retirees 55-65• Women age 25-34• Immigrants• Farmers with small acreages• Unemployed
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High Speed Fiber
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Opportunities - Entrepreneurship
• Creative economy: individuals and businesses producing and using creativity of thought, form, design, and language for sustainable economic growth
• Growing retiree population• College age population• High speed internet• Agricultural base• University resources
• CoB innovation and entrepreneurship• Springboard• Engineering – product design & prototyping
02000400060008000
1000012000140001600018000
2000 2010 2014
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Summary
• DeKalb County and the surrounding region are experiencing increasing employment growth
• Regional and local characteristics suggest opportunities• Industry Value Chains• The college age population and early retirees can grow the economy
• Creative activities• Untapped labor force
• Other strengths provide specific opportunities• High speed data• Agriculture
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State of DeKalbCounty’s Economy
Center for Governmental StudiesNorthern Illinois University
Brian [email protected]