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STATE OFDRONEREPORTIN SOUTH AFRICA

2018

TM

SPONSORED BY:

CONTENTS

STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2018 CONTENTS

01

02

04

05

06

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

14

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

WELCOME

CURRENT OPERATORS WITH RPAS OPERATOR CERTIFICATE (ROC)

MANUFACTURER REGISTRATION MARKET SHARE

MANUFACTURER DRONE REGISTRATION TREND

MODEL REGISTRATION MARKET SHARE

MARKET LEADER REGISTRATION TRENDS

OPERATORS REGISTRATION MARKET SHARE


REGISTRATIONS BY INDUSTRY

ACCUMULATED REGISTRATION TREND

INDUSTRY REGISTRATION TREND

APPLICATION REGISTRATION MARKET SHARE

The contents of this report shall only be regarded as information which, in no manner can be construed as constituting and does not constitute any advice, recommendations and/or endorsements of any of the contents hereof, nor do we warrant the truthfulness or accuracy of any of the contents hereof.

STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2018 PG EXECUTIVE SUMMARY01

EXECUTIVESUMMARY

METHODOLOGY

Figures released by the South African Civil Aviation Authority (SACAA) in December 2017, points to an increasingly sophisticated and regulated industry.

In such a rapidly evolving and growing sector of the economy, adherence and implementation of firm guidelines, safety standards, and compliance will result in growth and a business advantage for the South African drone industry to compete in this developing and under-regulated sphere of the global economy.

Currently, there are 663 Remote Piloted Aircraft Systems (RPAS) registered in South Africa, which tallies with the growing number of Remote Pilot Licences (RPLs) issued of 686. This growth correlates with figures released in February 2017 of

368 RPLs and 468 RPAs, providing further proof that the drone community has come to terms with South Africa's leading RPAS legal framework.

In comparison to the explosive growth seen in RPLs and registered RPAS, the number of approved operators, or ROCs, and training centres remains low with 20 ROCs and four training centres approved. For an industry still in its infancy, these numbers are likely to increase due to the factors of growing market demand and as expertise filters throughout the industry, within the regulatory, operator and training environment.

An analysis was completed on the database provided by the South African Civil Aviation Authority, which contains a list of all drone registrations completed during the period of July 2015 to April 2017.

This database includes the following information:

REGISTRATION NUMBER MANUFACTURER

FREQUENCY ANALYSIS

REGRESSION ANALYSIS ON TREND DATA COMMERCIAL REGISTRATION; NO REPRESENTATION OF HOBBY/RECREATION

TREND ANALYSIS (ON FREQUENCIES)

MODEL MODEL MTOW (MAXIMUM TAKE OFF WEIGHT)

REGISTRATION DATE

SERIAL NUMBER

OWNERS

An additional variable was included in this report that classifies each owner by sector of use and application. Due the limited amount of data available, this report was contained to:

Q

STATE OF DRONE REPORT 201802

South Africa’s commercial drone industry continues to grow exponentially, providing endless opportunities for pilots and operators to deliver compelling solutions in almost every sector of the South African economy. In partnership with the South African Civil Aviation Authority we continue to play a proactive role in building a sustainable and safe industry of the future.

WELCOME

WELCOME FROM THE SPONSOR

Chris Clark, Rocketmine MD

PG

SPONSORED BY:

STATE OF DRONE REPORT 201803

WELCOMEPG

SPONSORED BY:

In particular, the mining industry’s maturity and general reliance on traditional operating methods have been shaken up by the arrival of more data-accurate drone technology. Rocketmine was born of a passion to fill this service gap and ensure that this critical industry remains relevant and ahead of the curve through the safe, accurate and e�cient delivery of data.

As with other areas of technological development, the drone industry continues to witness extensive and fast-moving global innovation with new hardware, software and service companies entering the market on an almost daily basis. Consolidation of various areas within the industry continue to develop as expected, with dominant players emerging in both hardware development as well as niche applications, such as mining.

The Chinese continue to dominate the DJI multi-rotor market while the fixed-wing drone market opportunities remain largely competitive. Yet unexplored opportunities also remain in service areas such as forestry and agriculture.

This is the best time to be part of the shift in the drone industry as legislative requirements get tighter and standards of operating improve through the governing authority for unmanned aerial systems.

As with any new industry or technology penetrating an existing and mature market, there are lots of challenges to come. Firstly, a large amount of capital is used to start a regulated and licensed operation. Thus, it is critical to demonstrate that a business can remain profitable within an ever-changing technological landscape; spending money where it counts while maintaining high levels of safety and compliance.

Secondly, marrying old-school aviation and mining practices with new technology calls for an innovative and customised business solution. Rocketmine dedicates time and energy to illustrate the huge benefits of accurate and e�cient data production, always through the prism of addressing the client’s primary needs.

Thirdly, compliance with the regulations governing both the aviation and mining industries is a non-negotiable qualifier into the playing field. The challenge remains to adapt and accommodate to these ever-changing but critical guidelines to remain relevant, safe and productive.

The challenges we are and will be faced with, continue to hone our focus on customer service and the solutions that count. The ability to embrace change and find cost-e�ective, innovative answers to critical gaps in the market will ensure success and growth through 2018 and beyond.

STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2018 CURRENT RPAS OPERATORS04

CURRENT OPERATORSWITH RPAS OPERATOR

CERTIFICATE (ROC)

PG

ANGLO OPERATIONS (PTY) LTDCOMPACT AERIAL SERVICES (PTY) LTD DARKWING AERIALS (PTY) LTD

FORTUNE AIR (PTY) LTD

CORPORATE OPERATIONS ONLY

01 02 03

04 05 06

07 08 09

10 11 12

13 14 15

16 17

DC GEOMATICS (PTY) LTD FC HAMMAN FILMS CC

PREMIER AVIATION CCGILLCOR CCLS MULTI COPTER PROJECTS

AND SERVICES (PTY) LTD

SKYBOT CCPUBLIC DISPLAY

TECHNOLOGIES (PTY) LTD SCARAB INDUSTRIES CC

UAV & DRONE SOLUTIONS (PTY) LTDSKYHOOK (PTY) LTD TIMESLICE CINEMATOGRAPHY

VISUAL AIR PRODUCTIONS (PTY) LTDUAV INDUSTRIES (PTY) LTD

ROC’s | SOLUTION PROVIDER TRAINING COMPANY

ROCKETMINE (PTY) LTD

18

19 20

Flightpoint (Pty) LtdBAC Helicopters CC

21

VPM Planning CC

Information represented in this section has been extracted from the CAA website: http://www.caa.co.za/Pages/RPAS/RPAS%20operators.aspx

STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2018 MANUFACTURER REGISTRATION05

PG

MANUFACTURERREGISTRATIONMARKET SHARE

This chart represents the dominant drone manufacturer's market share interpreted from the registered data available on the the CAA website for South Africa. http://www.caa.co.za/Pages/Airworthiness/Aircraft_Register_List.aspx

Dà-Jiāng Innovations Science and Technology (DJI) is the dominant registered manufacturer, which alludes to their global ownership trend.

Overall registration market share for smaller manufacturers has declined during the time period of July 2015 to April 2017 in South Africa resulting in greater market dominance for larger players such as DJI and Sensefly.

INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS

PRO WINGS TRAINING (PTY) LTD

OTHERDJI

UDS

AERIAL KOPTER SOLUTIONS

SENSEFLY

3%

36%

50%

3%

3%6%

STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2018 DRONE REGISTRATION TREND06

PG

MANUFACTURER DRONE REGISTRATION TREND

Since the third quarter of 2015, DJI has increased its drone registration market share in South Africa steadily. This relates to worldwide drone ownership trends, where DJI holds a 70% total market share as reported by the Financial Times on August 10, 2017.

In 2015, smaller manufactures comprised 55% of the market based on registration, which has since declined to only 16% in 2017. The remaining 14 % of the market is shared by Ariel Kopter Solutions (7%), Sensefly (4%), Pro Wing (1%), and UDS, however UDS has not had a new product registered since the third quarter of 2016.


UDS

AERIAL KOPTERSOLUTIONS

SENSEFLY

DJI

OTHER

2015QTR 3 QTR 4 QTR 1 QTR 2 QTR 3 QTR 4 QTR 1

2016 2017

50%

27%

38%

43%

60%

63%

62%

70%

60%

41%

33%

17%

28%

16%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%


6%EBEE

13%INSPIRE

3%MATRICE

29%PHANTOM

3%BATHAWK


STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2018 MODEL REGISTRATION MARKET SHARE07

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MODEL REGISTRATIONMARKET SHARE

The most popular drone is the Phantom series from DJI, which accounted for 29% of registered RPAS in 2017. Alternative DJI models include the Inspire and Matrice.

Sensefly’s Ebee has captured 6% of available market share for registrations, while UDS Bathawk has remained steady with a 3% share.

The five models above represent 54% of the current registration market, while the remaining 46% of the market is divided between more than 100 di�erent models.

The average weight of the models listed between the second quarter of 2016 and the first quarter of 2017 is 4.5Kg (Maximum Takeo� Weight).

54%54%


STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2018 MARKET LEADER REGISTRATION TRENDS08

PG


It is evident that the largest operators have experienced significant fluctuations in market share during the reporting period.

It is also important to note the correlation that seems to exist between UAV Industries and UAV & Drones Solutions. It appears that when one is on an upward trajectory, the other one is on a lower trajectory.

PHANTOM

MATRICE

INSPIRE

EBEE

2015

QTR 4 QTR 1 QTR 2 QTR 3 QTR 4 QTR 1

2016 2017

60%

40%

20%

0%

BATHAWK

16%

15%

9%

4%

12% 12%

8%

2%

0%

5%

3%

10%

6%

12%

9%

17%

14%

21%

13%

23%

29%

38%

41% 41%

34%

56%

0%

QTR 3


STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2018 OPERATORS REGISTRATION MARKET SHARE09

PG

OPERATORSREGISTRATIONMARKET SHARE

The operators with the most RPAS are UAV & Drone Solutions: 6.5 %, UAV Industries: 5.8%, Public Display Technologies (PDT) 4.6 % and ProWings: 3.5%.

The industry has many owners that utilises drone technology, with the top 13 owners (by number of registered RPAS) only accounting for 34.4% of the owners within the industry.

Within the top 4 owners, most is focusing on Training, indicating that the aim is still to grow the industry significantly through upskilling and equipping the rest of the industry.

Four of the 18 ROC operators in South Africa own and operate more than 20% of the current registered RPAS in South Africa (663).

PUBLIC DISPLAYTECHNOLOGIES (PTY) LTD

UAV & DRONE SOLUTIONS (PTY) LTD

UAV INDUSTRIES (PTY) LTD


UAV & DRONE SOLUTIONS (PTY) LTD

UAV INDUSTRIES(PTY) LTD

6,5%

5,8%

PUBLIC DISPLAYTECHNOLOGIES

(PTY) LTD4,6%

PRO-WINGSTRAINING (PTY) LTD

3,5%

DRONE &ROBOTIC SYSTEMS

(PTY) LTD

1,7%

RBI TECHNICALSOLUTION

INTERNATIONAL(PTY) LTD

1,7%

ANGLOOPERATIONS

(PTY) LTD

1,7%VISUAL AIRPRODUCTIONS

(PTY) LTD

1,7%

AEROVISIONUNMANNED AERIAL

SOLUTIONS(PTY) LTD

1,5%

DRONE OPS(PTY) LTD 1,5%

PREMIER AVIATION

CC 1,5%

FC HAMMAN FILMS

CC

1,3%

RPAS TRAININGACADEMY(PTY) LTD

1,2%

5,8%

4,6%

3,5%

6,5%


2016 2017

20%

0%

UAV & DRONESSOLUTIONS(PTY) LTD





STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2017 MARKET LEADER REGISTRATION TRENDS10

PG


There is massive fluctuations experienced when looking at the owners with bigger market share.

It is also important to note the cycles that seem to exist between UAV Industries and UAV & Drones Solutions. It appears that when one is on an upwards trajectory, the other one is lower.

The margins of the di�erences between these cycles are increasing over time, with 2017 Quarter 1 experiencing the biggest gap.

13%

0% 0%

4%

8%

11%

15%

13%

8%

3%

5%

9%

6%6%

6%5%

12%

16%

0% 0% 0%

17%




0 5 10 15 20


ANGLOOPERATIONS(PTY) LTD

DRONE & ROBOTIC SYSTEMS(PTY) LTD

RBI TECHNICALSOLUTION INTERNATIONL(PTY) LTD

VISUAL AIRPRODUCTIONS(PTY) LTD

AEROVISION UNMANNEDAERIAL SOLUTIONS(PTY) LTD

DRONE OPS(PTY) LTD

PREMIER AVIATIONCC

TRAINING

FC HAMMANFILMS CC

RPAS TRAININGACADEMY (PTY) LTD


STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2018 REGISTRATIONS BY INDUSTRY11

PG

REGISTRATIONS BY INDUSTRY

The industry has many owners that utilise drone technology, with the top 13 owners (by number of registered RPAS) only accounting for 34% of the owners within the industry.

Within the top 4 owners, training is a critical priority, indicating that the aim is still to grow the industry significantly through upskilling and equipping the rest of the industry.

The result is that 62% of companies not in the top echelon are utilising drone technology for survey, mapping, inspection as well as film and marketing.

25 30 35 40

SURVEY,MAPPING,INSPECTION

FILM &MARKETING

PHOTOGRAPHY& VIDEO

SURVEILLANCE& SECURITY

AGRICULTURE OTHER


STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2017 DRONE MANUFACTURERS12

PG

ACCUMULATED REGISTRATION TREND

The industry, as a whole, has seen positive, sustainable registration growth over the past seven quarters – 61% per quarter (or 45% quarter-on-quarter growth).

This is exceptionally high growth, especially compared to South Africa’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth over the past seven quarters (which was virtually flat).

Although survey, mapping, inspection focused operators have the highest percentage of drones, the training, film and marketing operators are the fastest growing segments of the drone industry.

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

GROWTH OFINDUSTRY


2016 2017

136

201

252

297

379

437

504

GROWTH = 61 PER QUARTERR² = 0.9957


2016 2017

0.45

0.25

0.05

-0.15


STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2017 INDUSTRY REGISTRATION TREND13

PG

INDUSTRY REGISTRATION

TREND

Survey, mapping and inspection have been on a positive registration growth trajectory during the period under review.

Growth within the training sector plateaued during the second quarter of 2016 to the first quarter of 2017, with a noticed decline during the second quarter of 2017.

The rapid growth evident in film & marketing applications initially indicated that this would become the dominant sector of the industry overtaking surveys and inspections, however after its growth stabilised, its trajectory is similar to the fluctuations experienced by the training sector.

36%

35%

13%

21%23% 24%

21%

25%

24%

7%8%

19%

10%

24%

24%

21%

7%

42%

26%29%

43%

27%

35%

40%

TRAINING


FILM &MARKETING


STATE OF DRONE REPORT 2018 APPLICATION REGISTRATION14

PG

APPLICATION REGISTRATION MARKET SHARE

The chart displays the primary growth sectors of the commercial drone industry: training, survey, mapping & inspection, film & marketing, over the timespan of the review period.

Agriculture, surveillance and security are emerging growth points for the drone industry to adopt should advances in technology persist and more complex operations be approved by the SA CAA.



0 10% 20% 30% 40%


DRONE & ROBOTIC SYSTEMS(PTY) LTD

RBI TECHNICALSOLUTION INTERNATIONL(PTY) LTD

VISUAL AIRPRODUCTIONS(PTY) LTD

AEROVISION UNMANNEDAERIAL SOLUTIONS(PTY) LTD

DRONE OPS(PTY) LTD

PREMIER AVIATIONCC

TRAINING

FC HAMMANFILMS CC

50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%


FILM &MARKETING

PHOTOGRAPHY& VIDEO

SURVEILLANCE& SECURITY

AGRICULTURE OTHER

NA - UNWILLING TO PROVIDE INFO

NA - UNWILLING TO PROVIDE INFO

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www.rocketmine.com+27 (10) 590 1254 | [email protected]

state of drone report - rocketmine-the drone service ... › wp-content › uploads › 2019 ›...

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