state of the nation 2014
DESCRIPTION
The State of the Nation survey, which has tracked public opinion since 2012, finds that people are three times more optimistic about the economy in 2014 than they have been for the past two years, alongside various other findings conducted by Ipsos MORI for British Future.TRANSCRIPT
Who do we think we are? England
Which, if any, best describes how you see yourself? - Eng-land
More English than British 34% (18% 'English not British')Equally English and British 38%More British than English 22%Don't know 6%
Ipsos MORI for British Future (Dec 2013). England base size 1,744
Who do we think we are? Scotland
Which, if any, best describes how you see yourself? - Scotland
More Scottish than British 49% (24% 'Scottish not British')Equally Scottish and British 31%More British than Scottish 19%Don't know 2%
Ipsos MORI for British Future (Dec 2013). Scot-land base size 394
Who do we think we are? Wales
Which, if any, best describes how you see yourself? - Wales
More Welsh than British 42% (15% 'Welsh not British')Equally Welsh and British 22%More British than Welsh 35%Don't know 2%
Ipsos MORI for British Future (Dec 2013). Wales base size 106
Personal optimism, national anxieties
Europe
Britain
Place I live
Personal/family
14
29
36
50
38
29
36
28
42
39
25
20
Will 2014 be a good or bad year
Optimistic Neither Pessimistic
Anxious but hopeful about the economy: optimism rising as pessimism falls
2012 2013 2014
9
19
29
74
50
40
Optimistic Neither Pessimistic
Economic optimism: a question of politics – and class
NET Optimist
Pessimist
Neither
Men -8 31 39 27 Women -14 27 41 29
AB + 4 39 35 - 26C1 - 15 27 42 - 28C2 - 15 26 41 - 29DE - 20 23 43 - 30
Conservative +48 62 14 23Labour - 37 19 56 24LibDem +12 41 29 30UKIP - 38 17 55 28
Ipsos MORI for British Future (Dec 2013)
Its gloomier up north – as south looks upEcon Family Place Britain Europe
Men -8 +28 +8 - 10 - 29 Women -14 +31 +15 - 10 - 26
England - 11 +29 +11 - 10 - 28Scotland - 12 +30 +18 - 12 - 27Wales - 21 +35 +14 - 11 - 28
London - 11 +25 +15 -5 - 24North - 22 +29 +3 -20 - 32Midlands - 7 +28 +5 -12 - 33South - 1 +33 +22 0 - 19
Ipsos MORI for British Future (Dec 2013)
Which 2014 events matter most to you personally?
None
European Elections
Rugby Six Nations
Commonwealth Games
Centenary WW1
Romania and Bulgaria immigration
Scottish referendum
Football World Cup
The budget
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 8010
2
8
38
13
11
72
11
32
20
11
10
10
17
23
16
24
47
20
14
25
24
13
18
24
23
33
19
11
11
13
16
22
22
23
45
GB Welsh English Scottish
Which 2014 events most affect how you feel about Britain?
None
European Elections
Rugby Six Nations
Commonwealth Games
Centenary WW1
Romania and Bulgaria immigration
Scottish referendum
Football World Cup
The budget
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 7015
6
4
37
13
29
62
5
29
25
13
7
13
18
29
22
13
31
22
15
29
15
14
29
26
5
35
24
12
8
15
18
29
25
12
31
GB Welsh English Scottish
Not ‘one nation’ in 2014(Based on question “Which three events matter most to you personally”)
England Scotland Wales
1st The budget 47% Scottish referendum 72%
The budget 33%
2nd World Cup football 24%
Commonwealth Games 38%
Rugby six nations 25%
3rd Romania/Bulgaria 23%
The budget 32% Scottish referendum 24%
4th WW1 centenary 17%
WW1 centenary 13% Commonwealth Games 24%
5th Scottish referendum 16%
World Cup football 11% and Romania and Bulgaria immigration 11% (tied)
World Cup football 23%
What we expect Romanians and Bulgarians who come here to do
Don't know
Nothing - will never be accepted
Nothing - shouldn't have to do anything special
Support British sporting teams
Celebrate British customs
Make friends outside their community
Spend money in Britain, not send it home
Not claim benefits
Get a job and pay taxes
Learn English language
6
2
2
1
4
20
29
48
64
69
Q: "What are the most important things EU migrants can do to be accepted?"
Minimum standards and benefits matter more than in/out questions
Don't know
Other
Shouldn't do anything
Advice to promote integration
Support areas with higher immigration
Leave EU if rules don't change
Stay in EU but try to change rules
Restrict benefits that people from other EU countries can claim
Enforce minimum wage
9
2
2
18
22
26
24
63
45
Q: "How should the UK government respond to immigration from Romania and Bulgaria ?"
A worried, yet welcoming, nation?
Agree68%
Disagree13%
Neither15%
Romanians and Bulgarians coming to Britain have got to learn the language, work hard and pay taxes, fit in
and be part of the community. If they do that we should welcome them to the UK
How much Europe do we want?
28%
38%
8%
6%
3%
17%
Britain's longterm policy should be …
Leave the EUStay and try to reduce EU powersLeave things as they areStay in EU and try to increase EU powersWork towards single European government Don't know
Most prefer EU renegotiation to exit – but UKIP supporters think its time to get out.
Leav
e EU
Stay i
n, reduce
powers
Leav
e as th
ey are
Stay i
n, incre
ase powers
Single
European
gove
rnment
Don’t know
29
57
4 3 1 619
41
14 10 5 1122
43
15 11 3 6
73
192 1 1 4
2838
8 6 317
Do you think Britain’s long-term policy should be …
Conservative Labour LibDem UKIP All
Most UKIP voters say May 2014 is a protest messageQ: Which of the following reasons describes why you vote for the party
you choose in the European election?
0
20
40
60
ConservativeLabourUKIPLibDemGreen
Who will you support in the World Cup?
England
Whoever plays England
Another team
Nobody - will watch as neutral
Nobody - won't watch
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
13
15
10
20
37
53
1
4
7
31
27
8
5
13
41
Welsh English Scottish
50 years of hurt – how England fans stopped dreamingQ: How far will England get in the World Cup?
Don't know
Knocked out in first round
Second Round
Quarter-final
Semi-final
Final
Win
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 3527
32
26
11
2
1
1
25
26
24
16
4
2
3
29
29
20
17
2
1
1
26
27
24
15
4
1
2
GB Welsh English Scottish
How far will England get? (All GB respondents, excluding 26% who answered “Don’t know”)
Knocked out in first round
Second Round
Quarter-final
Semi-final
Final
Win
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
36
32
21
6
2
3
A solemn commemoration, not victory pride
Proud commemoration of victory in just war
22%
Remembrance of loss of life and national reflection
59%
No commemoration of unnecessary war
6%
How should Britain mark the centenary of the first world war in 2014?
Should Scotland be an independent country?*
Wales
England
Scotland
GB
50
43
49
44
19
19
32
20
28
29
10
27
4
9
9
9
Disagree Agree Neither Don't know
Voters across Britain want Scotland to stay in the Union– Scots themselves are the least likely to still be on the fence.
Can you predict the Scots’ referendum result?
Wales
England
Scotland
GB
20
24
22
24
56
47
58
48
24
29
20
28
Remain in UK Vote for independence
Three-quarters of Scots who express a view think there will be a No vote.
The impact of independence
• 47% of Britain say whole country weaker if Scotland leaves
• 57% of Scots say UK weaker without Scotland (vs 45% of English) .
• 50% of Scots think Scotland will be weaker if it leaves UK; 34% think they’ll be stronger
• 60% of English think an independent Scotland would be a weaker country; 31% of them think England would be weaker if Scotland left the UK.