state regents meeting january 31, 2013

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State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

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State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013. Adults with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher (2011). Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey. 84% of national average. Bachelor Degree Attainment by Age 24, by Family Income, 2011. >$105k. $ 63-105k. $ 33-63k.

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Page 1: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

State Regents MeetingJanuary 31, 2013

Page 2: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Adults with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher (2011)

23.8%

28.5%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

Oklahoma U.S.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey. 84% of national average.

Page 3: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Bachelor Degree Attainment by Age 24, by Family Income, 2011

10.4%14.6%

30.4%

71.2%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

Lowest Quartile

2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile Top Quartile

Source: Postsecondary Education OPPORTUNITY, Number 245, November 2012, www.postsecondary.org.

<$33k

$33-63k

$63-105k

>$105k

Page 4: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

OKPromise High School Enrollment

(By High School Graduation Year)

1,442

2,418

5,882

7,1877,753

8,179

9,527 9,854 9,89410,315 10,257

10,653

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

$32,000

$50,000

$24,000

As of 12-20-12

Page 5: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Estimated Percent of Oklahoma Families with Total Income Under

$50,000

61% 60%58% 58%

56%54%

52%

48%46%

48% 48%46%

40%

50%

60%

70%

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

Source: US Census Bureau, 2000 Census, American Community Survey-2001-2011

Page 6: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Oklahoma Public School Students Eligible for Free/Reduced Lunch

48% 49% 49%52% 53% 54% 55% 55% 55% 56%

59%61%

40%

50%

60%

70%

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles State Reports, 2007-2011

Page 7: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Inflation Impact on $50,000 Income Limit

$50,000 in 2012 equivalent to about $37,600 in year 2000 dollars*

$50,000 in year 2000 dollars equivalent to about $66,500 in year 2012 dollars*

*based on national consumer price index; 33% rate of inflation from 2000 to 2012

Page 8: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

High School Requirement Completion Rates

67.2%71.7%70.3%69.2%69.4%66.4%66.7%65.4%65.7%64.7%64.1%

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

$32,000$50,000

As of 12-20-12

Page 9: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

High School Students Completing OKPromise

Requirements(by Grad Year)

8841,624

4,216

5,0515,365

5,6736,322

6,576 6,470 6,780 6,634 6,831

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

$32,000

$50,000

$24,000

As of 1-2-13

Page 10: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Ethnicity – 2012 HS Completers

52%

13% 11% 9% 3% 3% 9%

58%

17%10% 9% 2% 3% 1%

0%

25%

50%

75%

Wh

ite

Am

er. In

d.

Afr

ican

Am

er.

His

pan

ic

Asi

an

mu

lti-r

acia

l

n/a

OKPromise All HS Seniors

Page 11: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

2012 OKPromise Champions

B Moss & Wapanucka 10

A Wright City 15

2A Northeast Academy - OKC 28

3A Dove Science Academy - OKC 35

4A Santa Fe South – OKC 70

5A Del City 59

6A Union - Tulsa 128

Page 12: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

2012 OKPromise State Champions

6A-Union-Tulsa (128)

2A-Northeast Academy-OKC (28)

3A-Dove Science Academy-OKC (35)

4A-Santa Fe South-OKC (70)

5A-Del City (59)

B-Wapanucka (10)

A-Wright City (15)

B-Moss (10)

Page 13: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Union Public Schools Students Eligible for Free/Reduced Lunch

16% 16% 18% 20%26%

30%33%

37%40% 41%

47%

54%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles District Reports, 2000-2011

Page 14: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Oklahoma City Public Schools Hispanic Student Population

20% 22%25% 27%

30%33% 35% 37% 38% 40% 41%

44%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

Source: Office of Accountability, Profiles District Reports, 2000-2011

Page 15: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

2012 Gates Millennium Scholars It appears that about 37 of 53

(70%) Gates Foundation Millennium Scholars named in Oklahoma in 2012 are OKPromise students.*

*Tulsa World article, 7/2/12

Page 16: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Gender TrendsOKPromise High School Grads, 2002-

2012

64% 61% 60% 60% 61% 61% 60% 60% 60% 60% 58%

36% 39% 40% 40% 39% 39% 40% 40% 40% 40% 42%

0%

50%

100%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Female Male

OK H.S. Seniors: 49% Female, 51% Male

Female

Male

Page 17: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Geographic Distribution Trends OKPromise High School Grads, 2004-

2012

70% 69% 66% 64% 63% 63% 60% 59% 58%52%48%

30% 31% 34% 36% 37% 37% 40% 41% 42%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Rural OKProm Rural OK Urban OK Urban OKProm

“Urban” is defined as the 5 most populous counties – Oklahoma, Tulsa, Cleveland Canadian, and Comanche.

Page 18: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

High School GPA’s

3.49 3.49 3.47 3.46 3.45 3.42 3.40 3.39 3.39 3.37 3.38

3.38 3.37 3.34 3.33 3.34 3.30 3.31 3.28 3.27 3.26 3.28

3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.01

2.75

3.25

3.75

'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12

OKPromise-Overall OKPromise-Core OK Seniors

Page 19: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

2012 ACT Composite Scores

21.0 21.0

0

5

10

15

20

OKPromise Non-OKPromise

Page 20: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

2012 ACT Testers By Income*

74%

14% 12%

33%

46%

21%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Under $50k Over $50k Not Reported

OKPromise Non-OKPromise

*Self-reported on ACT test application

Page 21: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

2012 Average ACT Scores By Income*

21.0

21.8

20.0

19.1

22.4

20.9

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

Under $50k Over $50k Not Reported

OKPromise Non-OKPromise

*Self-reported on ACT test application

Page 22: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

College-Going Rates Compared to All Oklahoma HS Graduates

79% 81% 82% 82% 82% 81% 81% 82% 81% 80%

56% 58% 59% 58% 57% 58%52% 51% 55%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

OKPromise Completers OK HS Grads

Page 23: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

College Remediation Rates

32.5%30.4%

32.3% 31.8%29.8%

32.2% 31.9%35.0%

31.7%

36.3% 35.0% 36.1% 36.7%35.0%

36.9%38.3%

40.8%38.0%

15.0%

25.0%

35.0%

45.0%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

OK Promise Ok. HS Grads

Page 24: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Full-Time College Enrollment

90% 89% 90%

79% 78% 79%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2009-10 2010-11 2011-12

OK-Promise Non-OKPromise

First-time entering students enrolled in 12 hours or more per fall or spring semester

Page 25: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

College Freshman – GPA of at least 2.0

86%84% 85%

81% 81%84%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2009 2010 2011

OK Promise Non-OKPromise

Percentages calculated based on students with GPA reported to UDS.

Page 26: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

College Freshman to Sophomore Persistence Rates

87% 86% 85% 83% 83% 83% 83% 84% 84%

78% 77% 76% 74% 72% 70% 71% 68% 71%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

OKPromise Non-OKPromise Students

Page 27: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Degree Completion Rates(through 2011-12)

38%

47%50%58%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

6-Year 9-Year

Non-OKPromise OKPromise

Page 28: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Employment of College Graduates

in Oklahoma(after 1 year, April 2010 – June 2011)

89%

92%

87%

88%

89%

90%

91%

92%

93%

All Grads OKPromise

Page 29: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Scholarship Recipients

5,889

9,155

12,101

14,670

16,92918,303

19,431 20,081 20,029 19,650 19,300

'03-

04

'04-

05

'05-

06

'06-

07

'07-

08

'08-

09

'09-

10

'10-

11

11-1

2

12-1

3

13-1

4

Actual Projected

As of 1-2-13

Page 30: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Factors Impacting Future Enrollment and Cost of Oklahoma’s Promise

Shrinking pool of potential applicants ($50,000 limit unchanged since 2000)

New statutory 2nd family income check for 2012 high school graduates

New statutory college GPA and “Satisfactory Academic Progress” requirements beginning in fall 2012

Page 31: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Average Annual Award

$2,777 $2,736 $2,846 $2,972

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12

Page 32: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Average Scholarship by Tier

$3,484 $3,622 $3,728

$2,817 $2,943 $3,114

$1,263 $1,304 $1,407

$0

$1,000

$2,000

$3,000

$4,000

09-10 10-11 11-12

Research U. Regional U. 2-Yr Coll

Page 33: State Regents Meeting January 31, 2013

Scholarship Expenditures(In $ millions, by fiscal year)

$10.4$17.8

$25.9$33.8

$43.0$50.9 $53.2

$57.2 $59.5 $61.3 $62.7

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

FY'0

4

FY'0

5

FY'0

6

FY'0

7

FY'0

8

FY'0

9

FY'1

0

FY'1

1

FY'1

2

FY'1

3

FY'1

4

As of 11-14-12

Projected

Actual