statewide - crosscutoll. survey methods a total of 504 registered voters in washington state were...

READING THE CROSSTABULATION TABLES

StatewideThe Crosscut Elway Poll is property of Cascade Public Media

© January 2019 Cascade Public Media. All Rights Reserved. Information may be excerpted and quoted with proper attribution to the Crosscut Elway Poll.

An independent nonpartisan analysis of public opinion trends in Washington and the Northwest

The crosstabulations found in this report are presented in a“banner table” format. Categories of respondents (e.g. “35-54 years old,” or “Female”)

are listed across the top of each page (the “banner”). The questions asked in the survey are listed down the left margin. The figures in the cells are

percentages based on the number of respondents in the category at the head of each

TOPLINE DATASAMPLE:

SAMPLE FRAME:

MARGIN OF SAMPLING ERROR

DATA COLLECTION:

FIELD DATES:

REGION:

GENDER:

• The questions are presented here as they were asked in the interview• The figures in bold type are percentages of respondents who gave each answer.• The raw results were statistically weighted slightly by region to align them with the state population.• Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding.

502 Registered Voters in WA

Registered Voter List

±4.5% at the 95% level of confidence

December 27-30, 2018

MALE...49% FEMALE...51%

Telephone Survey with Live Interviewers51% via cell phone

King 30% Other West WA 50% Eastern WA 20%

1. In the first few questions, I would like to know – in general terms – whether you expect things will go well or not so well in the next year or so. First, over the next year, do you think things will get Much Better, Somewhat Better, Somewhat Worse or Much Worse...

2. The next questions are about Governor Jay Inslee [INS-lee]. Overall, how would you rate the job Mr. Inslee is doing as Governor? Would you say…

3. There are several parts to the job of governor. For each of the following things, tell me whether you rate the job Inslee has been doing as: Excellent, Good, Only Fair, or Poor. The first one is…

ROTATE TOP/BOTTOM MB

13

10

11

22

SB

29

43

54

52

SW

33

30

22

15

MW

19

11

5

4

DK

7

6

8

7

A In the United States

B In Washington state

C In your community

D For you and your household

CROSSCUT/ ELWAY POLL JANUARY 2019 1 / 26

INDEX: 1.13

ROTATEQ2: Overall RatingA Managing state government

B Providing leadership to the state legislature

EXLNT GOOD FAIR POORPOS NEG DK

10 38 23 23 648 4645 4945 46

37 26 23 637 24 23 6

88


4. Jay Inslee is reported to be thinking about a run for President of the United States. In your opinion, would Inslee make a [INSERT LIST] President?

6 Excellent29 Good23 Only Fair33 Poor9 DK/NA

5. Do you think it would be good or bad for Washington state if Inslee ran for president, or would it be neither good nor bad?

33 Good20 Bad41 Neither7 DK/NA

6. How likely would you be to vote for Inslee to become the Democratic nominee for President? Would you…

9 Definitely vote for Inslee29 Probably vote for him17 Probably vote for someone else 22 Definitely vote for someone else14 [WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE IN THE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY/ NOMINATION PROCESS]10 [DK/NA]

7. Now let’s talk about the state legislature. As you may know, the annual session of the legislature begins in a couple of weeks. In your personal opinion, what are the most important issues the legislature should focus on during this session? [ANSWERS AT END] 8. You mentioned [ # 1 ISSUE NAMED IN Q7 ] as an important issue. How confident are you that significant progress will be made on that issue during this session of the legislature? Would you say you are… [01/11]

3 Very confident31 Somewhat confident33 Not very confident28 Not at all confident5 DK/NA


37% FOR39% AGAINST


The next questions are some of the issues the legislature will be discussing.

9. The following are some proposals that the legislature will be considering. As I read each one, tell me whether you think that should be a High Priority for state government, a Low Priority, or Not a Priority at all for state government. The first one is:


HIGH LOW NOT DK

Saving the orcas in Puget Sound

Fixing the state mental health system

Promoting statewide housing affordability

Preventing and controlling wildfires

Combating climate change

ROTATE A-B FAV ACCEPT OPPOSE UNAC DK

52

86 11

35

2

10

1

3

70 22 8 1

73

52

23

28

3

17

1

2

10. Next are some of the ways that are being proposed to fund the state government buget. As I read each, tell me whether you Favor that approach, think it could be Accepable, probably Oppose it, or Find it Unacceptable, The first one is:

12. IF SUPPORT: If you knew that the cost of a carbon tax would be passed along to consumers as higher prices for electricity and gas would you…

11. Recent efforts to impose a statewide carbon tax on businesses in order to reduce pollution have failed in the legislature and on the ballot. Which of these statements comes closest to your opinion:

56 I would support a carbon tax if it is done right

41 I oppose a carbon tax in any form

3 DK/NA

A. Establish a 9 percent tax on capital gains earnings over $25,000 per person. This tax would be on the sale of stock and bonds and some property, The tax would not apply to retirement accounts, sale of single-family residences or farms

B. Increase the Business & Occupation tax forprofessional services like attorneys, accountants,architects, beauticians and therapists

17

11

27

26

27 26

2732

4

5

Favor the carbon tax

Think in could be acceptable

Probably oppose it

Find it unacceptable

OPPOSE

NO OPINION

% OFSUPPORTERS

% OF ALLRESPONDENTS

27 1540 2221 12

413

13 7


13. I have just a few last questions for our statistical analysis. How old are you? 11 18-35 26 36-50 37 51-64

25 65+ 1 [NO ANS]

14. If you had to register by party in order to vote, would you register as a… 39 Democrat 20 Republican 37 Independent

4 [DK/NA]

15. What is the last year of schooling you completed? 11 High school 29 Some college or vocational school 38 College degree 21 Post graduate school 1 NO ANS

16. Would you describe the community in which you live as: 22 Urban 35 Suburban 24 Small town 19 Rural 17. Finally, I am going to list four broad categories. Just stop me when I get to the categorythat best describes your approximate household income - before taxes - for this year. 22 $50,000 or less 20 $50 to 74,000 17 $75 to 99,000 30 $100,000 or more 11 [DO NOT READ: NO ANSWER]

18. What is your gender? 49 Male 51 Female - Other

19. As I said earlier, this survey is sponsored by the news organization Crosscut and KCTS 9.A reporter from Crosscut may wish to call some people back who participated in thissurvey to talk about these issues in more detail. Would it be all right with you if a reportercalled you?

219 AGREED TO BE CALLED (44%)




19. What are the most important issues the Legislature should focus on during this session?[Numbers are %’s. Individual coded responses are rolled up into CATEGORIES. %’s may not sum, due to multiple responses and rounding. ]

SOCIAL SERVICES 27

ECONOMY 24

EDUCATION 22

TAXES 20

TRANSPORTATION 15

ENVIRONMENT 14

IMMIGRATION 11

HEALTH CARE 15

BUDGET/SPENDING 11

PUBLIC SAFETY 9

GOVERNMENT 4

OTHER 11

INFRASTRUCTURE 5

Homeless 21Mental Health 5Welfare 1Other Social Svcs 2

Housing Cost 9“The Economy” 8Jobs 4Helping Business 2Cost of Living 2Wage Issues 1Income Equality 1

“Education” 12Funding 9Teacher Salaries 1Other Education 1

Taxes 15Tax Reform 3Specific Taxes 3

Roads 7“Transportation” 5Traffic 4Transit/Rail 2Tolls 1

“The Environment” 9Climate Change 5Pollution 1Orcas 1

Immigration Reform 8Border Wall 2Illegal Immigrants 1

Balance Budget 8Govt Spending 3Other Budget 1

“Public Safety” 2Crime 2Drugs 2

“Government” 2Polarization 2Corruption 1

Trump 3Values Issues 3Energy 2Growth Mgt 1

No Answer 4


SURVEY METHODSA total of 504 registered voters in Washington state were interviewed for this survey between December 27-30, 2018. The interviews were conducted by telephone with live interviewers; 51% were conducted via cell phone. The sample was proportional by county. The overall margin of sampling error is ±4.5% with 95% confidence. The margin of error is larger for subgroups. This means that, in theory, had this same survey been conducted 100 times, the results would be within 4.5 percentage points of the results reported here at least 95 times. In addition to sampling error, the practical difficulties of conducting any survey of public opinion may introduce other sources of error into the poll, such as include population coverage, non-response, and question wording.

An independent nonpartisan analysis of public opinion trends in Washington and the Northwest



statewide - crosscutoll. survey methods a total of 504 registered voters in washington state were...

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