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UTME 2013:Candidates’ Performance

Analysis

UTME2013:

44.91%Scored 200 and Above

The Joint Admissions and Matriculation Board (JAMB) released the 2013 Unified Tertiary Matriculation Examination (UTME) results less than one week after it was conducted on the 27th of April, 2013.

In addition we will test if:“The general performance of candidates in this year’s examination shows remarkable improvement compared with last year” (as reported in some dailies)

This study is carried out to analyze candidates’ performance in UTME 2013 as well as to establish – if any – any appreciable improvement and to what degree from previous performance.

A total of 1,735,729 candidates applied for UTME 2013; with the introduction of other testing modes – Computer Based Testing (CBT) and Dual (Computer/Paper) Based Testing (DBT) – below is the breakdown of candidates choices:

Exams have been conducted for DBT and PPT already, totally 1,644,119 candidates. CBT exams will be conducted from May 18th to June 1st, 2013.

TESTING MODE USEDComputer-Based Testing 91,610

Dual (Computer/Paper) Based Testing

15,008

Paper & Pencil Testing 1,629,111

Grand Total: 1,735,729

UTME results are usually announced by the Registrar of JAMB, Prof. Dibu Ojerinde, in a news conference. Besides other information, the following are extracted and therefore used in this analysis: No. of candidates that sat for UTME

No. that scored 200 and above No. of UTME candidates scored below 200 No. of UTME candidates scored below 170 No. of UTME candidates scored 170 – 199 No. of UTME candidates scored 200 – 249 No. of UTME candidates scored 250 – 269 No. of UTME candidates scored 270 – 299 No. of UTME candidates scored above 300 No. of UTME candidates with invalid or incomplete

results No. of UTME results withheld for malpractice No. of UTME results being investigated Absent

No. of Candidates That Sat for UTMEYear Total Candidates % Increase

2009 1,182,381  -2010 1,375,652 16.352011 1,493,604 8.572012 1,503,931 0.692013 1,735,729* 15.41

UTME started in 2010 following the merger of Monotechnics, Polytechnics and Colleges of Education (MPCE) and University Matriculation Examinations (UME). This could have contributed to the 16.35% increase in the number of applicants.Total applicant is 1,735,729 while 1,644,119 applicants have tested already

having chosen PPT and DBT as testing modes. Hence, 1,644,110 will be used in subsequent calculations

No. of UTME Candidates Scored Below 170

Performance in this category is far better for 2013 compared to previous years. Only 14.02% scored less than 170, UTME 2012 being the worst – 22.36%.

Year Total

CandidateBelow 170 %

2009 1,182,381 167,251 14.15%2010 1,375,652 - -2011 1,493,604 201,798 13.51%2012 1,503,931 336,330 22.36%2013 1,644,119 230,506 14.02%

Evidently, these candidates do not qualify for PostUME in Universities, may be some Polytechnic/College of Education would

accept them.

No. of UTME Candidates Scored 170 – 199

Year 2013 shows a great improvement from 2012; 34.75% scored between 170 and 199. However, UTME 2011 still emerged the best in this category with 42.93% of candidates.

Year Total

Candidate170 – 199 %

2009 1,182,381 293,451 24.822010 1,375,652  - -2011 1,493,604 641,143 42.932012 1,503,931 374,920 24.932013 1,644,119 571,298 34.75

This category is qualified for both College of Education and Polytechnic

PostUME.

No. of UTME Candidates Scored Below 200

If most Universities decide to peg PostUME qualification criterion at 200 marks from UTME; 41% of candidates

will not be qualified for University admission.

Year Total

CandidateBelow 200 %

2009 1,182,381 460,702 38.962010 1,375,652 - -2011 1,493,604 842,851 56.432012 1,503,931 711,250 47.292013 1,644,119 674,787 41.04

No. That Scored 200 and Above

44.91% of candidates obtained score greater than or equal to 200 (of 400). This is just a slight improvement from that of 2012 with 44.78%.

Year Total

CandidateScore ≥

200% (≥200)

2009 1,182,381 548,543 46.39%2010 1,375,652 501,463 36.45%2011 1,493,604 597,494 40.00%2012 1,503,931 673,394 44.78%2013 1,644,119 738,375 44.91%

In essence, less than 50% Candidates scored 200 and above

in UTME 2013.

No. That Scored 200 and Above (contd.)

Even though more candidates scored “200 and above” in 2013; there are lesser admission opportunity compared to that of 2012. 70.42% are eligible for PostUME if 200 is the benchmark for consideration as agianst 74.25% in 2012.

Year Score ≥

200Carrying Capacity

% of Carrying Capacity

2009 548,543 183,420 33.442010 501,463  - -2011 597,494 400,000 66.952012 673,394 500,000 74.252013 738,375 520,000 70.42

No. of UTME Candidates Scored 200 – 249

2013 candidates emerged the best in this category; generally, there is an appreciable increase from 2011 to 2013.

Year Total

Candidate200 – 249 %

2009 1,182,381 - -2010 1,375,652 - -2011 1,493,604 495,426 33.17%2012 1,503,931 601,151 39.97%2013 1,644,119 704,622 42.86%

About 43% of 1.7million candidates scored between 200

and 249!.

No. of UTME Candidates Scored 250 – 269

There is a sharp drop for 2013 candidates as only 2.01% achieved a score of 250 – 269.

Year Total

Candidate250 – 269 %

2009 1,182,381 - -2010 1,375,652 - -2011 1,493,604 67,732 4.53%2012 1,503,931 71,339 4.74%2013 1,644,119 33,115 2.01%

This implies approximately only 2% of candidates scored 60% of

400 marks!.

No. of UTME Candidates Scored 270 – 299

Fewer number of candidates scored 270 – 279 compared to UTME 2011 and 2012.

Year Total

Candidate270 – 299 %

2009 1,182,381 - -2010 1,375,652 - -2011 1,493,604 31,444 2.11%2012 1,503,931 901 0.06%2013 1,644,119 628 0.04%

There is a progressive and consistent drop in number of candidates in this

category.

No. of UTME Candidates Scored 300 & Above

Candidates in this category increased by over 300% from that of UTME

2012; however, UTME 2011 is still of great achievement compare to others.

Year Total

CandidateScore ≥

300%

2009 1,182,381 - -2010 1,375,652 - -2011 1,493,604 2,892 0.193632012 1,503,931 3 0.000202013 1,644,119 10 0.00061

No. of UTME Candidates With Invalid or Incomplete Results

According to JAMB, those who are in this category are as a result of either multiple

shading or no shading at all.

Year Total

Candidate

Invalid or Incomplete

Results%

2009 1,182,381 - -2010 1,375,652 - -2011 1,493,604 28,069 1.882012 1,503,931 5,161 0.342013 1,644,119 40,692 2.48

Financially, this is 40,672 x 4,600 = N187,091,200*A UTME form cost N4,600 [without online registration]

No. of UTME Results Withheld for Malpractice

UTME 2013 malpractice figure is the lowest in the last five UTME. Technology though has

aided candidates in this act, it also shows that JAMB has developed a more proven

strategy to curbing malpractices in UTME.

Year Total

CandidateWithheld %

2009 1,182,381 23,819 2.012010 1,375,652 20,780 1.512011 1,493,604 15,160 1.012012 1,503,931 27,266 1.812013 1,644,119 12,110 0.74

No. of UTME Results BeingInvestigated & Absent

Year Total

CandidateInvestigated Absent

2009 1,182,381 - -2010 1,375,652 - 98,8572011 1,493,604 7,504 -2012 1,503,931 - -2013 1,644,119 68,309 47,974

Absent: 47,974 x 4,600 = N220,680,400

In Summary:

Year Rated UTME Year

Best Worst

Scored Below 170 2011 2012Scored 170 – 199 2009 2011Scored Below 200 2009 2011Scored 200 and Above 2013 2010Scored 200 – 249 2013 2011Scored 250 – 269 2012 2013Scored 270 – 299 2011 2013Scored above 300 2011 2012Invalid or Incomplete Results 2012 2013

Withheld for Malpractice 2013 2009

Even though more candidate scored 200 and Above in UTME 2013 (44.91% = 738,375), in comparison with the available admission spaces, year 2012 is better as more candidates had higher chances of admission.From this analysis, we cannot say that this year’s examination shows “remarkable improvement compared with last year”. Though more candidates can compete for the 520,000 available admission spaces compared to last year 500,000, but the carrying capacity of 2012 (74.25%) gave opportunity to more candidates compared to 2013 (70.42%).

Nevertheless, it is still disturbing that for straight five years we have not been able to achieve 50% pass rate.

UTME2013: 44.91%UTME2012: 44.78% UTME2011: 40.00% UTME2010: 36.45% UTME2009: 46.39%

Scored 200 & Above

Freely share use and acknowledge the source – © Wale Micaiah

Data source:- UTME result as announced in the

dailies

Analysis by: Wale Micaiahe: walegate@yahoo.comm: 08078001800b: walemicaiah.blog.comw. www.statisense.info

StatiSense ® - Wale Micaiah ©

Freely share, freely use and freely recognize the source – © Wale Micaiah

Data source:- JAMB result as announced in the dailies

Analysis by: Wale Micaiahe: walegate@yahoo.comm: 08078001800b: walemicaiah.blog.comw. www.statisense.info