steel market development institute
TRANSCRIPT
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Steel Market Development Institute
a business unit of AISIwww.smdisteel.org
A Steel Industry Perspective onAdvanced High-Strength Steels
Ronald KrupitzerVice President, Automotive Market
February 9, 2012AHSS Technology Workshop - Southfield MI
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Outline
Automotive Steels Keeping Pace with Demand• Oil Crisis High Strength, HSLA Steels• PNGV ULSAB A/SP projects AHSS
New Challenges for Steel• Double Fuel Economy Mass reduction• New AHSS Grades Promises and Roadblocks
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• Oil Crisis of 1973• Embargo by Arab Exporting Countries• High gasoline prices• Shortages with long lines at the pump• No lights on National Christmas Tree
Early HSS - HSLA
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Oil Crisis
Early HSS - HSLA
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• Steel High Strength Low Alloy Technology • (Alaska Arctic Line Pipe Project, 1970s)• Strength• Toughness• Weldability• Consistency• Low Cost
HSLA STEEL, X60 and X65
Early HSS - HSLA
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55.9%
1.7%
15.0%
14.0%
3.0%
4.6%
2.2%
3.6%
Calendar Year 1975
Mild Steel
Medium and High Strength (HSLA) Steels
Other Steels
Iron
AluminumOther Metals
Other Materials
3,900 Pounds of Material Content
Plastics
Richard Schultz, Ducker Research, MST 2006
Early HSS - Materials Content
3.6%
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Low StrengthSteels (<210MPa)
Ultra High Strength Steels (>550MPa)High Strength Steels
Elo
ngat
ion
(%)
Yield Strength (MPa)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 400 600 1000200 800 1200
IF
MildIF
HSLA
BHCMn
IS
Conventional HSS
Growth of HSLASteels 1970-2000
Early HSS - HSLA
20 to 30 years of development
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Early HSS - HSLA Metallurgy
Microally Additions of Columbium, Vanadium, Titanium
Fine Ferrite Grain Size
Precipitation Hardening
Low Sulfur and Inclusion Shape
Control
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Early Issues - High Strength Steels
•Materials Uniformity (A/SP Project 1987-1995)•Tooling Costs, Tribology, etc. (A/SP 1987 -2012)•Stamping (A/SP 1989 - 2012)•Welding (A/SP 1989 – 2012)•HSS Design Manual (A/SP 1994-1996)
STAMPINGSTAMPING
TOOLINGTOOLING
WELDINGWELDING
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•Partnership New Generation of Vehicles (PNGV)– 1993 Goal Fuel Economy of 80 MPG– USCAR and Federal Government– Lightweight Materials, but no Steel
•ULSAB Projects – Global Steel Initiative– Why ULSAB (1994-2002)– What it accomplished
ULSAB – Then AHSS Development
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2002 ULSAB-AVC Mass Reduction
Source: WorldAutoSteel
ULSAB-AVC (2002)UltraLight Steel Auto Body -Advanced Vehicle Concept
- 25% (*) mass reduction - Improved crash performance- At no additional cost
ULSAS (2001)UltraLight Steel Auto Suspensions
- 25% - 34% (*) mass reduction - At no additional cost
ULSAC (2001)UltraLight Steel Auto Closures
- 25% - 30% (*) mass reduction - At no additional cost
* Mass Reductions versus PNGV Mild Steel Benchmark Vehicle
A Series of Global Vehicle Engineering Studies
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2002-2009 A/SP Projects
Domestic (Auto/Steel Partnership) DOE-Funded EngineeringProjects 22% to 32% Weight Reduction, 2002-2009
FreedomCAR Goals50% mass reduction
same cost
Lightweight Front-End Structures - 32% (*) mass reduction - At no additional cost
Future Generation Passenger Compartment- 30% (*) mass reduction - Improved crash performance- At no additional cost
Lightweight Closures- 22% (*) mass reduction - At no additional cost
Lightweight Rear Chassis - 24% (*) mass reduction - At no additional cost
* Mass Reductions versus actual OEM donor vehicles
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$022%Lightweight Closures7
-33%Equivalent mass to aluminum
Lower Control Arm8
$024%Lightweight Rear Chassis6
$032%Lightweight Front End Structures5
$030%Future Generation Passenger Compartment
4
$025%ULSAB-AVC3
$025-30%ULSAC2
$025-34%ULSAS1
CostMass ReductionProjectNo.
Cost of Steel-based Mass Reduction
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ULSAB-AVC => First Generation AHSSE
long
atio
n (%
)
Tensile Strength (MPa)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 600 1200300 900 1600
DP, CP
TRIP
MART
HSLA
IF
MildIF-HS
BHCMn
ISO
-
BH
First Generation AHSS (Dual Phase, TRIP, etc.)
2002-2012
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Physical Metallurgy of AHSS
Actual MicrostructureSchematic Illustration
Dual Phase
Actual Microstructure
Martensite
TRIP
Actual Microstructure Schematic Illustration
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AHSS Processing: Hot Dip Line
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AHSS Processing: CA Line
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The Hot Stamping Process
Punchingof Blanks
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2007
43.1%
15.7%8.4%
7.0% 1.9%
0.2%
3.7%
8.1%
11.9%
Mild Steel
Other Steels
IronAluminum
Other Metals
Other Materials
Mag.
Plastics
Medium and High Strength Steels
Average North American 2007 Vehicle
Source: Ducker Worldwide
57%STEEL
4050 lbs.
Light Vehicle Materials Content
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North American Net Material Content Per Light Vehicle in Pounds
757065Other Ferrous (PMP& SS)***
3,7553,5034,058Total Pounds/Curb Weight
540550581Glass, Rubber, Textiles etc
320213180Plastics and Composites
148130125Cu, Zn, Mg & other Metals
654214Other Aluminum
25917070Cast Aluminum
258333609Cast Iron
191*35-Advanced & Ultra HS Steels
357258146Bake Hard and HS Steels
1,5421,7022,268Mild Steel
200919951975Material
*Totals for 2009, 2015 and 2020 contains 40 lbs., 66 lbs. and 90 lbs. of AHSS long products **Excludes the impact of batteries for high volume electric and hybrid vehicles*** Powdered Metal Parts and Stainless Steel
Materials Trends
59%59%STEELSTEEL
59%59%STEELSTEEL
58%58%STEELSTEEL
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Goal 1: Total Steel Content >57%
Total of 3,863 pounds, 58% steel
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050
100150200250300350400450
2000 2005 2007 2009 2020
AHSS (other)TRIP, CP,RAMartensiteBoronDP
AHSS Growth in NA Vehicles
Source: Ducker Worldwide 2009
AHSS - Fastest Growing Automotive Material
Pou
nds
per V
ehic
le
Projected Market Penetration by 2020
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BMW Implementation of AHSS
3´SeriesSedan5´Series
7´Series
1´Series
3´Series Sedan
7´Series 5´Series
5´SeriesSports Wagon
3´SeriesSports Wagon
5´SeriesSports Wagon
3´Series Sports W. 3´Series Coupé
3´SeriesCompact
Z4´Coupé
6´Series Coupé
3´SeriesCoupé
Z4
3´SeriesConvertible
6´Series Convertible
150
200
250
300
350
400
500
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Start of Production
Ave
rage
min
. Yie
ld S
treng
th (M
Pa)
Previous X5
Current X5X6
New 7 series
Doubling the strength of Body structural materials
over the last decade.
The Body in White of the New BMW 5 Series Gran Turismo,Duane Copeland and Markus Pfesdorf, BMW, GDIS 2010, Livonia MI
Implementation of AHSS
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Mass and Performance Trends
Figure 19. Vehicle Weight and Performance since 1975 (Heavenrich 2006).
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Increasing Crash Requirements
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
1991FMVSS 208
30MPH Front
2003USNCAP35MPH Front
2012FMVSS 2163.0 X GVW
1994FMVSS 2161.5X GVW
2000SINCAP38.5MPH
Side
1995IIHS
40MPH 40%
1990FMVSS 214
Side
1997FMVSS 201Side Pole
2006IHSS Side
Higher, Heavier Barrier
2006FMVSS30155MPH 70%
2003FMVSS 30150MPH 50%
2009IIHS
4.0 X GVW
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IIHS Side Impact Test
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New CAFE Standards
Fuel Economy Regulations
20122012--2016 and 20172016 and 2017--20252025
MASS REDUCTIONMASS REDUCTION
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Mass Reduction and Fuel Consumption
Determination of Weight Elasticity of Fuel Economy for Conventional ICE .Vehicles, Hybrid Vehicles and Fuel Cell Vehicles, fka Report 55510, June 2007
Source: WorldAutoSteel
2 to 5 %
5 to 8 %
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Growing Threat from Competing Materials
Expect Ford’s next-generation F-Series full-size pickup to
feature aluminum body panels.
WardsAuto, Jan. 3, 2012
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Pittsburgh Post Gazette, October 9, 2011
Growing Threat from Competing Materials
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Representing 70% marketshare worldwide:
• Small cars(up to 4,000mm, A/B class)
• Mid-Class cars(up to 4,900mm, C/D class)
FutureSteelVehicle
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More AHSS Grades = More Mass Reduction
FutureSteelVehicle’s Steel Portfolio
Expanded range of steel gradesdenotes steel included in ULSAB-AVC
Mild 140/270 DP 350/600BH 210/340BH 260/370 SF 570/640 DP 700/1000
IF 260/410 MS 950/1200IF 300/420DP300/500
DP 500/800HSLA 350/450 TRIP 450/800
MS 1250/1500HSLA 490/600
denotes steel grades added for FSV
Mild 140/270 DP 350/600 TRIP 600/980BH 210/340 TRIP 350/600 TWIP 500/980BH 260/370 SF 570/640 DP 700/1000BH 280/400 HSLA 550/650 CP 800/1000IF 260/410 TRIP 400/700 MS 950/1200IF 300/420 SF 600/780 CP 1000/1200DP300/500 CP 500/800 DP 1150/1270FB 330/450 DP 500/800 MS 1150/1400HSLA 350/450 TRIP 450/800 CP 1050/1470HSLA 420/500 CP 600/900 HF 1050/1500FB 450/600 CP 750/900 MS 1250/1500HSLA 490/600
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T1
T6
T5T4
T3
T2 Linear-StaticTopology
Optimization
GaugeOptimization
Final DesignConfirmation
Phase1Technology Assessment
Packaging
Non-Linear Dynamic Topology Optimization
(LF3G)Sub-System3G Optimization
Detail Design
Styling & aerodynamic
DesignConfirmation
Phase 2Report
T2
T3
Mass Reduction Through Load Path and 3G Optimization with AHSS
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Stamping AHSS
Roll-forming AHSS
Hydroforming AHSS
Extrusion Aluminum
Move together for flat mating condition
Independent Control Points
Rocker otr
Rocker reinf
Floor side inr
Hold seal flange
Design Space (common)
Section control points – constraining method determines the manufacturing solution
Mass Reduction Through Sub-System Optimization
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Body Structure Mass(Actual vs. Regression Analysis Prediction)
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
200 250 300 350 400Body Structure Mass (Regression Analysis Prediction)
Bod
y St
ruct
ure
Mas
s (A
ctua
l)
a2mac1 (database)ULSAB-AVC Ref.ULSAB-AVCFSVAluminum
35
FSV Compared to UltraLight – Mass
11%
Source – A/SP Benchmarking Project
1998ULSAB_AVCRef. Vehicle
Audi A2
Jaguar XK
Audi TT
ULSAB-AVC
Steel Mass Similar to Aluminum
35%
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AAC Project Addressing Threats
WHEELS
Multi-LinkTwist Beam
Struts & Links Lotus Unique
Upper Wishbone
Lower Wishbone
Multi-LinkTwist Beam
Struts & Links Lotus Unique
Upper Wishbone
Lower Wishbone
SUSPENSIONS
CLOSURES
FUEL TANKS
Lower Control Arm, 2010 – 2011Twist Beam - 2012
Doors, 2011 – 2012 Wheels, 2011 – 2012
Fuel Tanks, 2010 – 2011
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New 3rd Generation AHSS Grades offer more mass reduction with AHSS, because more parts can be made at high strength
For 2017-2025, new formable AHSS grades will
enable more steelmass reduction
3rd Generation of AHSS
Elo
ngat
ion
(%)
Tensile Strength (MPa)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 600 1200300 900 1600
DP, CP
TRIP
MART
HSLA
IF
MildIF-HS
BHCMn
ISO
-
BH
TWIPAUST. SS
L-IP
Future Opportunity
Third Generation AHSS
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LCA Research at UC DavisLCA of Lotus Study
(HD vs LD BIW)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
HD BIW LD BIW
Kg
CO
2e
7%
Al, Magnesium, Al, Magnesium, C Fiber StructureC Fiber Structure
AHSS AHSS StructureStructure
Materials Matter
Bill of Materials Approach for OEMs
ProductionProduction
UseUse
RecyclingRecycling
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• Steel products have kept pace with OEM demands for decades.
• New aggressive fuel economy standard are putting a premium on mass reduction, right or wrong.
• Optimized (3G - gage, geometry, grade) steel structures approach the mass of aluminum structures in many cases.
• 10% mass reduction results in 2 - 3.5% reduction in fuel consumption for ICE vehicles and 5.5 - 8.2% if powertrains are resized.
• 3rd Generation AHSS grades are being researched and will add more mass reduction capability for steel parts which today cannot be easily formed.
• WorldAutoSteel’s FutureSteelVehicle project is an engineering study showing the growing potential of steel to fulfill future vehicle demands.
• LCA gives a decided advantage to steel in terms of enabling lower total emissions in future high-fuel-economy vehicles.
Steel Conclusions