steel - the road forward nicholas walters. steel: a key driver of the worlds economy
TRANSCRIPT
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Steel - the road forward
Nicholas Walters
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Steel: A key driver of the world’s economy
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Steel is everywhere in your life
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Sustainable steel: steel at the heart of the green economy
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Life Cycle Assessment (LCA):
New solutions for new times
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Environmental impact: use phase often dominates
% contribution of each life cycle phase
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Raw materials Materialproduction
Manufacturing Use phase End of life
The use phase of products often has the greatest environmental impact Aim of regulations: to reduce use phase impacts Steel industry involvement to improve use phase Material production and end-of-life become more important Move to lighter weight, higher strength steels
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Environmental impact: use phase often dominates
% contribution of each life cycle phase
7
The use phase of products often has the greatest environmental impact Aim of regulations: to reduce use phase impacts Steel industry involvement to improve use phase Material production and end-of-life become more important Move to lighter weight, higher strength steels
Raw materials Materialproduction
Manufacturing Use phase End of life
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Global economic trends
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Global growth expected flat in 2013 but developing economies outlook improving
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Source: Global Insight (January 15, 2013), worldsteel
Global GDP developments (%, Real 2005 USD billions)
2009 2010 2012 2013
EU27 -4.3 2.0 -0.2 0.1NAFTA -3.2 2.6 2.3 1.9S.America -0.3 6.0 2.3 3.3CIS -6.8 4.9 3.6 3.6Africa 2.7 4.7 5.0 4.4Middle East 1.3 5.9 3.3 2.2Asia 1.8 7.7 4.9 4.7Global -1.9 4.2 2.6 2.5
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Emerging markets drive steel demand at the margin
2012 another record year for apparent steel use
China’s share of global demand at peak levels
Source: worldsteel
Source: Global Insight & worldsteel
10
0.0
200,000.0
400,000.0
600,000.0
800,000.0
1,000,000.0
1,200,000.0
1,400,000.0
1,600,000.0Developing ex China China Developed
28%
45%
26%
56%
16%
27%
Structure of real GDP & Apparent steel use Developed Developing ex China China
GDP ASC GDP ASC GDP ASC
2000 78% 56% 18% 27% 3.6% 16%
2005 75% 40% 20% 26% 5.0% 33%
2010 70% 24% 22% 31% 7.6% 45%
2012 69% 23% 23% 32% 8.5% 45%
Global apparent steel use (Billions of tonnes, finished)
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Other key trends shaping the industry
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Demographics and its impact on demand
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Source: United Nations, worldsteel
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Urbanisation trends indicate concentration to larger cities
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Distribution of urban population by type of city:
1970 2010
Source: United Nations
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Urbanisation trends in developing countries contribute to significantly higher steel intensity vis-a-vis developed countries.
While developing countries are less steel intensive in both industrial and consumer goods.
Developing regions more steel intensive in important use sectors
Source: worldsteel
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Construction Industrial goods Consumer goods0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%Developing Developed
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What future for the Chinese automotive sector?
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Volatility of raw materials
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Steelmaking capacity
Source: OECD
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Changes in technology
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The future
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Design requirements
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Efficient and optimised production processes
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Sustainability must apply over the life cycle of steel- Not possible without supply chain collaboration
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worldsteel.org