Steve PiercePresident

The Oregon Chapter of the American Meteorological Society (AMS)

Oregon AMS Mission Statement

“The purpose of this society shall be to advance

professional ideals in the science of meteorology and to promote the development, exchange and application of meteorological knowledge.”

Current 2012/13 Oregon AMS

Executive Council

President – Steve Pierce

Vice President – Bobby Corser

Secretary – Brian MacMillan

Treasurer & Web Master – John Rinier

Councilors – Mark Nelsen, Tyree Wilde

& Crystal Stout

Oregon AMS Updates

Oregon AMS yearly membership dues are only $10 per year!

The Oregon AMS is now the single largest AMS chapter in the country with 180 members. We host 8 monthly meetings per year along with the annual “Winter Weather Forecast Conference” now in it’s 21st year. We also host a great season ending summer picnic.

We are on Twitter @OregonAMS and we are also on Facebook at: facebook.com/oregonams. Our web site is easily found on any search engine. Just type “Oregon AMS!”

Are you an AMS member?

Oregon AMS Updates ** Upcoming Meetings **

 

Tuesday, March 19th 7:30pm“Hurricanes, weather patterns and climate change — why a few degrees matter” with Richard Anthes, former President of the American Meteorological Society (2007).Location: Portland State University. Co-sponsored by the Columbia / Willamette Sigma Xi chapter.

April – *Tentative* Hydrology & Flood Forecasting Reliability w/ Les Miller (Army Corps) and Andy Bryant (National Weather Service). Time, Date and Location = TBD

A Quick Winter Weather Update

A Quick Winter Weather Update

BORING WEATHER = NO SNOW!

AIR FORCE WEATHER

Lt Col Matt Doggett

Commander,

123 Weather Flight

Oregon Air National Guard

Who Are We Three Weather Units. Three distinct missions Aviation

142FW○ 123 FS

OSW (Weather)

Special Ops123STS

○ SOWT

Army123WF

How We Are Organized

Air Force Weather History The Early Years 1804. Military responsibility 1819. Medical Corps 1870. Signal Corps 1890. Weather Bureau 1937. Birthday!

The Early Years

Earliest known records

1804. Enter the military

1819-1870. The Medical Corps

Dr Joseph Lovell

1870-1890. The Signal Corps

An U.S. Army Signal Corps soldier at Pikes Peak weather station, transmits latest weather data by heliograph (circa 1880s)

1890-1917. The US Weather Bureau

U.S. Army Signal Corps and Weather Bureau Station on Pikes Peak, altitude 14,147 feet (circa 1890s) (U.S. Army Signal Corps)

Birth of a Weather Service

July 1, 1937

Weather War Stories Birth of the Jet Stream. First Tornado Forecast Small Forecast. Big Impact. Winds of Change Isn’t that Special? A Quick Rescue Beyond the Battlefield The Final Frontier Some Gave All

Know the enemy, know yourself; your victory will never be endangered. Know the ground, know the weather; your victory will then be total. - Sun Tzu, The Art of War, c.400-320 b.c.

Birth of the Jet Stream.

Carl-Gustav Rossby

First Tornado Forecast

Aircraft damage from first Tornado at Tinker AFB, 20 Mar 1948

Capt Miller and Maj Fawbush

Small Forecast. Big Impact.

Winds of Change

Within hours of the attacks, AFCCC produced special reports on winds for all three runways at Reagan National

Winds of Change

AFWA iGRADS replaced the need for manned rawinsonde operations with a Field Artillery unit in a combat zone.

Isn’t that Special

SOWT operator transmitting an observation from a remote location high in the mountains of Afghanistan.

A Quick Rescue

Beyond the Battlefield

Hurricanes, Volcanoes, and Floods! Oh my!

Haiti Deepwater Horizon. Pakistan flooding.

The Final Frontier

Rocket Launches Shuttle support Solar

Some Gave All

Capt Nathan J Nylander27 Apr 2011

Why Not Just Use the NWS?

NWS Ft Drum Forecast

When will the snow start?When will it end?How much?Will my aircraft be able to fly? When will aviation be grounded?Will tracked vehicles be affected?Will satellites or communications be hindered?

US Air Force CWT Ft Drum Forecast

AIR FORCE WEATHER

Training and OpsSMSgt Chris Payne

• Weather Forecasting School• Weather Readiness Training Course• Training at Home Station• Operations

Unclassified/FOUO

Weather Forecasting School, Keesler AFB – 30 weeksTraining includes basic, intermediate, and advanced meteorology, meteorological reports and computer operations. Other topics include: satellite meteorology, weather chart analysis, weather radar, weather products, tropical meteorology, synoptic level analytical meteorology, weather prognosis techniques, and severe weather forecasting.

Upon completion of Basic Training or transfer from sister service (US Army, US Navy, US Coast Guard or US Marines)

Wx School Course Outline• Element 1

Block 1-Meteorology (Basic, Intermediate, and Advanced).

Block 2-Satellite (Interpretation)

Block 3-Encoding/Upper Air Charts

Block 4-Macroscale Analysis Techniques (A Study of the long wave pattern to include physics and dynamics, an introduction to models, and they also have to successfully analyze a hemispheric chart, and satellite)

Wx School Course Outline• Element 2

Block 5-Synoptic scale analysis techniques (Including: Physics, Dynamics, a more in-depth look at satellite interpretation, and modelinitialization/verification)Block 6-Synoptic Lab (Chart analysis of both the long wave pattern, synoptic pattern, satellite)

Block 7-Mescoscale Analysis Techniques (A study of convective/non-convective severe weather, to include radar basics)Block 8-Mesoscale Analysis Lab (Analysis of Synoptic and Mesoscale features; students are actually put on an OPUP with a saved scenario (many scenarios) for them to practice, and special observations) .Block 9-Macro/Synoptic Scale Forecast Techniques (Study of basicMacro/Synoptic scale rules/dynamics)Block 10-Macro/Synoptic Scale Forecast Lab

Wx School Course Outline• Element 3

Block 11-Meso/Microscale Forecast Techniques

Block 12- Meso/Microscale Forecast Lab (The students are given an in-depth look at models, further interpretation of the models, and how to apply them in the real world.

Block 13-Forecast Lab (The students are given a base to forecast for, and issue WWA's, write TAFS, do manual observations, analyze charts/satellite

Block 14-Air Force Weather Career Field (Basic 5 and 7 skill level progression, the FMQ-19, deployable equipment, some basic Army support terminology)

Active Duty Weather Troops

– Assigned to one of eight (8) major Air Force Weather "Hubs" (which are major regional weather forecasting stations) • Barksdale AFB, LA• Shaw AFB, SC• Davis-Monthan AFB, AZ• Scott AFB, IL• Sembach AB, Germany• Yakota AB, Japan• Hickam AFB, HI• Elmendorff AFB, AK.

– Undergo intensive on-the-job training for a period of 15 to 24 months.

• 17 Week Course (Starts every 4 weeks)– Observing, Met Applications, Army Unique Weather Support, Air

Field Unique Weather Support

ANG Weather Operations Course (Camp Blanding, FL)

Battlefield Airmen Weather Support Locations

210WF

199WF

127WF

154WF

208WF

156WF105WF

200WF113WF

207WF

159WF

202WF

203WF

209WF

116WF

123WF

126WF

125WF

164WF

195WF

Battlefield Weather Flights supporting Conventional ARNG Forces

181WF

107WF

146WF

Special Operations Weather Teamssupporting Special Operations Forces

Army Weather Support

• Wx Warnings & Advisories• Weather Briefings• Extended Planning Weather Forecasts• Climatology• River Level Forecasts• Weather Thresholds to weapons systems

• Specific Mission and Army Customer – 41st IBCT (Clackamas, OR)– 116th CAV (Boise, ID)– State Joint Operations Center (Salem, OR)

Questions?

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SOWT History - WWII

Yugoslavia_ OSS recruited weathermen to parachute into German occupied

Yugoslavia to radio out weather reports _ Supported bombing missions against targets in the Balkans to support supply missions to Marshall Tito’s partisans _ These men received their jump training at a British jump school in Palestine

Normandy / Holland _ Weathermen attached to the 101st ABN and 82nd ABN _ Parachuted into Europe in order to provide weather data

China-India-Burma Theater_ OSS weathermen parachuted into

Burma to train Burmese fighters _ Trained to take & send out weather reports

Pacific Theater_ JC-40 Group weathermen worked behind Japanese lines in the Philippines to support air strikes & naval bombardments in preparation for MacArthur’s campaign _ By October of 1944 they operated 39 weather reporting stations

SOWT History – Grimes Years

Birth of Modern SOWT_ In 1963 Captain Keith Grimes formed Detachment 75 of the 2nd Weather Group at Hurlburt Field to support Air Force Air Commandos_ ‘Jungle Jim’, elements provided weather support to special forces involved in unconventional warfare throughout Vietnam and surrounding countries_ 1965 deployed with 7th SFG during the Dominican Republic crisis

Laos_ 1965 to 1973 Grimes and his weatherman established a weather network in Laos _ They trained Laotians & Air America members how to record & transmit weather data_ At its height 10 Air America and 18 Laotian sites were producing & transmitting 4500 observations a month

Cambodia_ 1974 LtCol Grimes as commander, established weather network in Cambodia creating 3 weather stations_ Improved aerial reconnaissance and resupply missions

SOWT Training Pipeline

Special Operations Weather Selection Course, Lackland, AFB - 2 weeks

Special Operations Weather Initial Skills Course, Keesler AFB – 29 weeksTraining includes basic, intermediate, and advanced meteorology, meteorological reports and computer operations. Other topics include: satellite meteorology, weather chart analysis, weather radar, weather products, tropical meteorology, synoptic level analytical meteorology, weather prognosis techniques, and severe weather forecasting.

U.S. Army Airborne School, Fort Benning - 3 weeks

U.S. Air Force Basic Survival School, Fairchild AFB, - 2 ½ weeks

U.S. Air Force Water Survival Training, Fairchild AFB – 2 days

U.S. Air Force Underwater Egress Training, Fairchild AFB - 2 days

Special Operations Weather Apprentice Course, Pope AFB – 13 weeks

Special Tactics Operational Readiness Training , Hurlburt Field - 12-months Produces mission-ready operators for the Air Force and U.S. Special Operations Command

Additional SOWT Training

- Static Line Jumpmaster

- Military Free Fall Parachutist

- MFF Jumpmaster

- Military Scout Swimmer

- Military Scuba Qualification

- Avalanche Analysis and Forecasting (LVL 2)

- Riverine Analysis and Forecasting Course

-Small Unmanned Aircraft Systems Operator Certification

SOWT Core Competencies

- Environmental CollectionTerrain AnalysisRiverine AssessmentsAvalanche Hazard AssessmentsSmall Unmanned Aircraft System (SUAS)WX Sensor Emplacement

- Austere Airfield Weather OperationsSurface/Upper Air Observations

- Limited Data Forecasting/ Nowcasting/ Mission Execution Forecasting- Chemical Downwind Message

SOWT Way Ahead

National Meteorological Service Assessments Assess a nation's meteorological infrastructure strictly based on the nation's capability to provide operationally and tactically relevant and accurate weather information in support of SOF missions and mission profiles to include FID, COIN, and other SOF-enabled operations.

Establishing SOF and Indigenous Weather NetworksOrganize, train, equip, advise, and assist SOF and indigenous forces to build meteorological capacity/infrastructure in order to provide a more adequate weather data coverage

Weather Site SurveysConduct weather site surveys of existing airfield services, of airfields without services, and of assault landing zones to determine the level of existing weather operations or the requirement for weather capabilities IOT allow for use in humanitarian, nation building, or other activities.

OREGON MILITARY DEPARTMENT Command Brief

American Meteorological Society

Col Mike Bieniewicz

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Federal Mission

Provide trained combat ready, front-line units to deploy in support of the national military strategy –

to deter war.

Provide the citizens of the State of Oregon and the United States with a ready force of citizen soldiers and airmen, equipped and trained to respond to any

contingency, natural or manmade.

State Mission

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FSA/Authorized Assigned

Army Guard 6428* 6618

Air Guard 2202 2187

Totals 8630 8795

Information current as of 6 Jan 12

Manning Levels

* NGB Authorized Strength: 6650

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AIRBrig Gen

GreggSalem

41 IBCT Tigard

TAGMG Rees

Salem

GovernorKitzhaber

Salem

Chain of Command

142 FWPortland

Deputy Director and State Defense Force Commander

BG Caldwell

ARMYBG Bush

Salem

COGCol Bieniewicz

Portland

173 FWKlamath Falls

82 BDELake Oswego

Oregon Emergency Management

Camp WithycombeClackamas

Gresham

Corvallis

Coos Bay

Burns

Grants Pass

Ashland

Hillsboro

Forest Grove

Klamath Falls

Medford

KlieverJackson

Tigard

St. Helens

Lebanon

McMinnville

Roseburg

162 Regiment AFRC

Woodburn

Albany

Dallas

Newport

Prineville

Baker City

Hermiston

The Dalles

Hood River

Milton-Freewater

La Grande

Lake Oswego

Redmond

Salem JFHQ, ARC, 17 St., AASF

Pendleton

Ontario

Bend

Camp Rilea

Monmouth RTI

Pendleton AASF

Biak

Unit Locations

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War

rent

on t

o A

shla

nd

340

425Coos Bay to Ontario

Portland IAP

Camp Rilea

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2002Operation Southern Watch 529Operation Enduring Freedom(OEF - Afghanistan) 108State Fires 1600

2003Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) 1305ONE 66

2004OIF 1396OEF 62

2005OIF 152 OEF 127 TF Katrina 1,930

13080 Service Members Deployed Since 2002

2006OIF 3OEF 942

2007OIF 337OEF 5GTMO 6

2008OIF 39OEF 17

2009OIF 3267OEF 111

Deployments Since 2002

2010OIF/New Dawn(OND) 549OEF 253

2011OND 12OEF 258

2012OND 0OEF 170

2013OND 0*OEF 20*

*FY 2013 Numbers are projected based off of current sourcing requirements

UNCLASSIFIED/FOUO

UNCLASSIFIED/FOUO

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Canada142FW (1) Kyrgyzstan

142FW (1)

Qatar 142 FW (2)COG (1)

Operations/Deployments

AIR – CONUS142 FW (5)173 FW (3)COG (2)

ARMY – CONUS MOB/DEMOB sites (2)Operational Support (0)CBWTU (53)WTU (26)ALT MTF (7)NGB (75)SW Border (2)

Afghanistan142 FW (2)173 FW (1)COG (12)1186 MP (146)115 MPAD (18)2-641 AV (3)

Germany142FW (1)JFHQ (1)

Army 353 Air 46 Joint Total 399

England173FW (2)

Bahrain142FW (3)

UAE142FW (6)173FW (1)COG (1)

DjiboutiJFHQ (1)

Egypt C 7-158 AV (1)

Kuwait142FW (2)173FW (1)C 7-158 AV (20)

Oregon Air National Guard

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Guarding America – Defending Freedom

Oregon Air National Guard

• 2200+ Members• Two F-15 Wings

– Portland – 142 FW - Air Defense– Klamath Falls – 173 FW – F-15 Training

• Combat Ops Group– Special Ops– ATC– Air Battle Management– Weather

Oregon ANG Units

142 FWCOG/HQ125 STS123 WF

116 ACS

Warrenton

Portland

173FW270 ATCS

Klamath Falls

JFHQ

Salem

• 142 FW• Aerospace Control Alert (ACA)

• 173 FW • F-15 C/D FTU (ANG & Active Duty)

• State Combat Operations Group (COG)• 116th Air Control Squadron• 270th Air Traffic Control Squadron• 123rd Weather Flight • 125th Special Tactics Squadron

• State Partnership Program• Bangladesh• Vietnam

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Guarding America – Defending Freedom

Provide 24/7 Air Defense of the Pacific Northwest, Dominate the Air Superiority

Arena, and Support National Security Objectives

142d Fighter Wing

173d Fighter Wing

Produce the best air-to-air combat pilots, intelligence specialists, and healthcare

professionals and serve our nation and state in times of peace and war

Combat Operations Group

To provide our nation, state, allies and partners with the means to plan and conduct air, space, and cyberspace operations, any time, any where

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Questions?

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