stikky™ stock charts

50
Stikky Stock Charts

Upload: arpit-srivastava

Post on 14-Apr-2018

213 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 1/50

Stikky™ Stock Charts

Page 2: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 2/50

Page 3: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 3/50

Stikky Stock ChartsLEARN THE 8 MAJOR STOCK CHART PATTERNS USED BY PROFESSIONALS

AND HOW TO INTERPRET THEM TO TRADE SMART—IN ONE HOUR, GUARANTEED.

Laurence Holt Books

New York

Page 4: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 4/50

© 2003 Laurence Holt Books

www.stikky.com

Distributed in the United States by:

Four Walls Eight Windows39 West 14th Street, Room 503

New York, ny, 10011

www.4w8w.com

First printing October 2003

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced,

stored in a data base or other retrieval system, or transmitted in

any form, by any means, including mechanical, electronic,

photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written

permission of the publisher.

The author and publisher specifically disclaim responsibility for any

liability, loss, or risk, personal or otherwise, arising from the use or

application of any part of this book.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data on file.

Cover design and illustrations by Kate Shannon.

Charts created at www.prophet.net.

isbn 1-56858-284-6

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

Printed in Canada

Page 5: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 5/50

What this book is aboutStikky Stock Charts uses a powerful learning method to teach anyone the signals that

professional traders use to make buy and sell decisions, step-by-step.

Each step builds on what came before and reinforces it.

That way, by the time you reach the end of the book, you

will be confident in reading a stock chart and forecasting

the most likely next move.

Still more exciting, the things you learn will serve as

‘hooks’ on which you can hang future knowledge about

stock chart trends and patterns.

The book also explains how to set a  stop loss, which can

help you to minimize your trading losses and maximize

your gains.

 Stikky Stock Chartshas four parts:

Sequence One tells you how to identify trends and

draw trendlines, support lines, and resistance lines. It also

teaches you to recognize channels and rectangles, how to

use them to make investment decisions, and how to

place an order with a broker. If possible, you should read 

this sequence in one sitting.

Sequence Two builds on what you learned in Sequence

One, adding several patterns: the megaphone, three types

of triangle, the double top, and the head and shoulders top.

It also tells you how to read volume, what a stop loss is,

and how to set one. Ideally, you should leave a few days, but 

no more than a week, between completing Sequence One and reading Sequence Two.

The Epilogue, a special feature of Stikky books, brings

together everything you have learned and reinforces it in

some new and unfamiliar situations. Again, you should 

leave a few days between completing Sequence Two and reading 

the Epilogue.

If, by the end of the book, you are hungry to find outmore, as we hope you will be, you will find dozens of 

things to explore in the Next Steps section.

You can skip to the Next Steps section at any time, of 

course, but the rest of the book only makes sense if read in

order: Sequence One, Sequence Two, Epilogue.

Page 6: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 6/50

Page 7: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 7/50

How to read this bookLearning with Stikky Stock Charts may be different from how you are used to learning.

Please read this page carefully.

First, read Sequence One which runs from the next page to

the Pause point on page 121. That should take only 30

minutes (but don’t worry if it takes longer).

We find people get more out of the book if they stop there

and practice what they have learned for real. We’d like you to

do the same.

Then, after a few days, read Sequence Two. If you are away

from the book for more than a week, you may find it

helpful to review some of Sequence One before starting

Sequence Two.

Many people think the stock market is too complex for

them to understand. Some have a ‘mental block’ about it.

If that describes you, remember this: everything in this

book is simply about finding patterns on a piece of paper.

To get the most from Stikky Stock Charts:

Relax and take your time

Don’t worry about taking notes

Don’t worry about memorizing anything

Try to avoid being interrupted

Don’t just visualize lines, draw them on the chart.

Most importantly, by turning this page you promise

yourself that, when asked a question in the text, you

will not flip ahead until you have tried to answer it.

(Flipping backwards to review pages you have already

covered is fine.)

Keep this promise and what you learn will stick.

Page 8: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 8/50

Page 9: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 9/50

Sequence One

   S   E   Q   U   E

   N   C   E   O   N   E

1

Page 10: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 10/50

   T   W   O

   E   P   I   L   O   G   U   E

   N

   E   X   T   S   T   E   P   S

A distant relative has left you

$100,000 in Acme Corp stock

plus $100,000 in cash.

Here is the recent stock chart

for Acme.

You have to decide whether to

sell the stock. Or do you use the

cash to buy more stock? Or doyou wait and see?

2

   O   N   E

  w  w  w .  p  r  o  p   h  e   t .  n  e   t

Page 11: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 11/50

3

   O   N   E

Most people would say they

needed more information about

Acme Corp: its business, itsmanagement, its prospects, etc.

Page 12: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 12/50

But consider this: stock market

professionals, who follow the

market every day, already knowall that information.

And they have already acted on it.

4

   O   N   E

Page 13: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 13/50

5

   O   N   E

If they believed Acme was

under valued, they would have

bought it, and the price wouldnow be higher.

If they believed Acme was

over valued, they would have

sold it, and the price wouldnow be lower.

Page 14: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 14/50

In other words, all of that

information about Acme Corp is

 already in the chart .

Of course, you could go and

read the information anyway.

But would you wind up withany better insight than the

market in general?

6

   O   N   E

Page 15: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 15/50

7

   O   N   E

There is an easier way.

According to ‘technical analysts’,all you need is to read the chart.

And recent research has backed

up that claim—information in

the chart can sometimes be usedto predict future prices.

Page 16: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 16/50

In fact, professional traders

make many of their decisions

using a few simple patternsthat occur again and again in

the charts.

This book will teach you to find

those patterns. At the end of it,

reading charts like Acme’s willbe second nature.

But first, some basics… 

8

   O   N   E

Page 17: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 17/50

9

   O   N   E

Here’s another typical stock

chart (we’ll come back to

Acme). Let’s zoom in on the lastpart of it…

   T   W   O

   E   P

   I   L   O   G   U   E

   N

   E   X   T   S   T   E   P   S

Page 18: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 18/50

It’s made up of vertical bars.

Zooming in even further…

10

   O   N   E

Page 19: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 19/50

11

…you can see that each bar tells

you a lot.

The top and bottom of the bar

tell you the highest and lowest

prices that the stock reached

that day.

This stock reached a high of 

$84.60 and a low of $82.90.

   O   N   E

$84.60 . . . . . .

$82.90 . . . . . .

Page 20: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 20/50

The stubs on the left and right

side of the bar tell you what the

price was at the start and end of the day.

But it turns out that they are not

usually much help in finding

trends and patterns, so don’tworry about the stubs.

12

   O   N   E

Opening . . . . . . .

price

. . . . . . Closing

price

Page 21: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 21/50

13

Zooming back out, you can see

how the stock price moved over

a series of days, in this caseDecember 2002.

O   N   E

Page 22: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 22/50

(If the market is closed—on a

weekend, say, or a holiday such

as Christmas Day—there are nobars for that day. As far as the

stock chart is concerned, those

days simply don’t exist.)

14

   O   N   E

Page 23: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 23/50

15

Okay, so what is the lowest

price for this stock across the

whole period?

Go ahead and figure it out

before flipping the page.

   O   N   E

Page 24: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 24/50

Halfway between $81 and $84:

$82.50.

16

   O   N   E

. . . . . $82.50

Page 25: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 25/50

17

And what’s the highest price for

this period?

   O   N   E

Page 26: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 26/50

A little way above $90

($90.60 in fact).

18

   O   N   E

$90.60 . . . . . .

Page 27: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 27/50

19

Notice that the bottom of the

bars on this chart seem to lie

along a line. This line isimportant—it’s called a

‘trendline’.

When professionals see a stock

chart, the first thing they do isdraw lines like this wherever

three or more bars line up.

You are about to do the same.

So take a good look at where

this line is drawn.

   O   N   E

Page 28: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 28/50

Trendlines must touch at least

three separate bars.

This one touches four.

20

   O   N   E

1

2

34

Page 29: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 29/50

21

Okay, your turn.

Take a ruler and a pencil anddraw a trendline across the

bottom of the bars on this chart.

(To learn chart patterns properly,

you really need to draw the line,not just visualize it.)

   O   N   E

Page 30: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 30/50

Flip back to compare your

trendline with this one. Does it

connect the same bars?

A trendline connecting the low

points of a chart, like this one

does, is called a lower trendline.

Being able to draw trendlines is

a key skill. When mastered, it

will allow you to forecast future

price movements. So it’s worth a

little more practice.

22

   O   N   E

Page 31: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 31/50

23

Draw a lower trendline for

this chart.

(Bear in mind that trendlines

can slope upwards as well as

downwards.)

   O   N   E

Page 32: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 32/50

Did you draw one of these three

lines? They are valid trendlines,

but there is a better one.

Better trendlines touch more bars

and touch bars spread over a

greater distance, which shows

that the trend is persistent.

24

   O   N   E

Page 33: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 33/50

25

Or did you draw this? It’s also a

valid trendline—it slightly

crosses a bar, which is okay aslong as it’s only one or two bars.

But we are looking for the most

recent trend (the one furthest to

the right)…

   O   N   E

Page 34: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 34/50

…which is this one.

26

   O   N   E

Page 35: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 35/50

27

So, try drawing a lower

trendline on this chart.

   O   N   E

Page 36: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 36/50

Here is the line we drew.

28

   O   N   E

Page 37: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 37/50

29

It’s not a perfect fit—points

and don’t quite touch the

trendline—but there are anotherfour that are a good fit.

The fit is almost never perfect,

but the better it is, the better

the trendline.

   O   N   E

1

2 3

46

2

3

5

Page 38: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 38/50

If you connected the tops of bars

rather than the bottoms, you

drew an upper trendline not alower trendline.

(We’ll cover upper trendlines

in a moment. You’re ahead of 

the game.)

30

   O   N   E

Page 39: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 39/50

31

Often, you will be able to find

more than one trendline to draw.

Those that connect the most

recent bars (at the right of the

chart) are called short-term

trendlines.

They are useful for very active

traders who buy or sell every few

days or hours.

   O   N   E

Short-term

trendline

Page 40: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 40/50

Trendlines that connect more

distant bars across a larger area

of the chart are called medium-term trendlines—useful for

people who buy or sell every

few weeks or months.

We assume you are going tohold on to an investment longer

than a day, so you can

completely ignore short-term

trendlines from here on.

32

   O   N   E

Short-term

trendline

Medium-term

trendline

Page 41: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 41/50

33

The medium-term trendlines

you are looking for extend

across at least a month andprobably several months.

So find the medium-term

trendline in this chart.

   O   N   E

Page 42: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 42/50

If your trendline was shorter

than this, you may want to go

back and re-read the lastfew pages.

(You may notice that one of the

bars protrudes a little way

through the trendline—that’sallowed here because there are

several other good touches.)

34

   O   N   E

Page 43: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 43/50

35

Now draw the medium-term

upper trendline on this chart

(so connect the very tops of bars, not the bottoms).O

   N   E

Page 44: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 44/50

36

   O   N   E

Page 45: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 45/50

37

   O   N   E

This is more like a real

stock chart.

Draw a lower trendline here

(so connect the bottoms of bars).

Remember, you’re looking for

a trendline that covers more

than one month, possiblyseveral months.

amzn (Amazon), 2001-2002

Page 46: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 46/50

This line has three good touches

and some other near touches.

It cuts the chart in mid-Januarybut that’s allowed since it’s only

one bar.

38

   O   N   E

amzn (Amazon), 2001-2002

Page 47: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 47/50

39

   O   N   E

Maybe you drew this line. It is

valid too, though it lasts only

just over a month.

amzn (Amazon), 2001-2002

Page 48: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 48/50

Or perhaps you drew one of 

these two? Each of these lines

only has two good touches.

(Where we show charts for real

stocks, we put the name of the

stock at the top—this is

Amazon’s stock price for

2001-2002.)

40

   O   N

   E

amzn (Amazon), 2001-2002

Page 49: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 49/50

41

   O   N

   E

There are two lower trendlines

to find on this chart for

Dell Computer.

One covers most of the width of 

the chart—find it first.

dell (Dell Computer), 1995-96

f

Page 50: Stikky™ Stock Charts

7/30/2019 Stikky™ Stock Charts

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/stikky-stock-charts 50/50

Don’t worry if you don’t get the

exact same position as this—even

the experts sometimes disagree.

42

   O   N

   E

dell (Dell Computer), 1995-96