stock indices ~ p i. · » elliott wave misconceptions 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis...

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In This Edition » ............................................. page 1 STOCK INDICES - Part I » . .............................. page 3 Risk Disclosure » ............................................. page 4 Shock - Pop - Drop » ........................................ page 5 Flat Expanding - Shock - Pop - Drop » ......... page 6 Zig Zag - Single vs. Impulse Exp. 5W » ...... page 7 Copper - Weekly » ............................................ page 8 S&P 500 » - Weekly .......................................... page 9 E » LLIOTT WAVE MISCONCEPTIONS ....... page 10 S&P 500 - Weekly » ........................................ page 11 Nasdaq 100 - Monthly » ................................ page 12 Dow Jones 30 - Quarterly » ..................... page 13-14 S&P 500 - Yearly - Composite Cycle » ........ page 15 SENTIMENT & ECONOMIC INDICATORS » . page 16 Equity Market Peak Survey » ...................... page 17 Volatility (S&P 500) Index - Monthly » ..... page 18 NYSE Advance-Decline - Daily » ............... page 19 COT and S&P 500 Data » ............................. page 20 AAII Bullish Sentiment - Monthly » ......... page 21 US Consumer Sentiment Index » ................ page 22 US Consumer Confidence Index » .............. page 23 US Gross Domestic Product » ................ page 24-25 Price to Book Ratio (S&P 500) Index » ....... page 26 Price/Sales Ratio (S&P 500) Index » ........... page 27 P/E Ratio CAPE (S&P 500) - Monthly » ..... page 28 INFLATION-POP » ......................................... page 29 U.S. Consumer Sentiment Index » .............. page 30 GRAND RE-SYNCHRONOISATION » ........ page 31 Zig Zag - Single vs. Impulse Exp. 5W » ..... page 32 S&P 500 | Hang Seng | MSCI » ................ page 33 STOCK INDICES ...continue... » ................... page 34 S&P 500 - Weekly » ........................................ page 35 S&P 500 - Daily - Composite Cycle » .......... page 36 S&P 500 - Daily » ....................................... page 37-39 Dow Jones 30 - Weekly & Daily » ........ page 40-41 Russell 2000 - Weekly & Daily » ............ page 42-43 Nasdaq 100 - Weekly & Daily » ............. page 44-45 S&P 400 Mid-Cap Index - Daily » ............... page 46 PHLX - KBW Banking Index » .............. page 47-48 XLK Technology SPDR - Monthly » ........... page 49 NASDAQ Biotechnology » .................... page 50-51 XLF Financial SPDR - Weekly » ............. page 52-53 XLP Consumer Staples - Weekly » .............. page 54 XLY Consumer Disc. - Weekly » ........... page 55-56 STOCK INDICES ...continue... » ................... page 57 EuroStoxx 50 - Weekly, Daily & #2 » .... page 58-60 Xetra Dax 30 - Weekly, Daily & #2 » ...... page 61-63 FTSE 100 - Weekly & Daily » ................. page 64-65 STOCK INDICES ...continue.. » .................... page 66 MSCI Emerging Markets - Weekly » ......... page 67 MSCI Emerging Markets - Daily » ............. page 68 Bovespa Brasil - Daily » ................................ page 69 RUSSIA RTS » - Weekly................................... page 70 India Nifty 50 - Weekly » ............................. page 71 Sensex - Weekly » .......................................... page 72 MSCI China - Weekly » ................................ page 73 Shanghai Composite Index - Weekly » ...... page 74 HS-China Enterprises Index - Weekly » ... page 75 MSCI Hong Kong Index - Monthly » ......... page 76 Hang Seng - Monthly » ................................. page 77 Singapore Straits Times Index - Monthly » page 78 Taiwan SE Weighted Index - Weekly » ...... page 79 ASX 200 Australia - Weekly » ...................... page 80 NIKKEI 225 » - Weekly ................................. page 81 TABLE OF CONTENTS {click on TOC text!} » STOCK INDICES ~ P ART I. VIDEO UPDATE! JUNE 2018 (data through 19 th June 2018) 1 WaveTrack Internatonal GmbH Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89 - 21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0) 89 - 92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com IN THIS EDITION TERMINAL 3 RD WAVE IN FOCUS FOR REMAINDER OF 2018! We’re pleased to announce the publication of WaveTrack’s mid-year 2018 video updates of medium-term ELLIOTT WAVE price-forecasts. Today’s release is PART I, STOCK INDICES – Parts II & III will be published during the next month. PART I - STOCK INDICES » PART II – COMMODITIES » PART III – CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES » DECEMBER ’17 FORECASTS FOR 2018 The Annual 2018 report published last December highlighted several main points - the secular-bull uptrend remained in upward progress and contrary to consensus Elliott Wave and Economists’ opinion, was on course to continue higher over the next 18-month/2-year period – the post financial-crisis uptrend was approaching its terminal 3 rd wave peak but would undergo a severe -7% per cent correction into January before resuming the last phase of its impulse sequence - Emerging Markets were set to continue their outperformance role but they too would undergo some significant retracement which leads the major indices lower in a period of underperformance - however, their ‘inflation-pop’ uptrends are strong and will recover afterwards. The banking sector was expected to underperform during the same period. Chinese indices were forecast approaching an interim peak having advanced over the last 2-year period – then stage a severe correction along with other EM’s. {continued next page} »

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Page 1: STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete

In This Edition » ............................................. page 1STOCK INDICES - Part I » . .............................. page 3Risk Disclosure » ............................................. page 4Shock - Pop - Drop » ........................................ page 5Flat Expanding - Shock - Pop - Drop » ......... page 6Zig Zag - Single vs. Impulse Exp. 5W » ...... page 7Copper - Weekly » ............................................ page 8S&P 500 » - Weekly .......................................... page 9E » llIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS ....... page 10S&P 500 - Weekly » ........................................ page 11Nasdaq 100 - Monthly » ................................ page 12Dow Jones 30 - Quarterly » ..................... page 13-14S&P 500 - Yearly - Composite Cycle » ........ page 15SENTIMENT & ECONOMIC INDICaTORS » . page 16Equity Market Peak Survey » ...................... page 17volatility (S&P 500) Index - Monthly » ..... page 18NYSE advance-Decline - Daily » ............... page 19COT and S&P 500 Data » ............................. page 20aaII Bullish Sentiment - Monthly » ......... page 21US Consumer Sentiment Index » ................ page 22US Consumer Confidence Index » .............. page 23US Gross Domestic Product » ................ page 24-25Price to Book Ratio (S&P 500) Index » ....... page 26Price/Sales Ratio (S&P 500) Index » ........... page 27P/E Ratio CaPE (S&P 500) - Monthly » ..... page 28INFlaTION-POP » ......................................... page 29U.S. Consumer Sentiment Index » .............. page 30GRaND RE-SYNChRONOISaTION » ........ page 31Zig Zag - Single vs. Impulse Exp. 5W » ..... page 32S&P 500 | hang Seng | MSCI » ................ page 33STOCK INDICES ...continue... » ................... page 34S&P 500 - Weekly » ........................................ page 35

S&P 500 - Daily - Composite Cycle » .......... page 36S&P 500 - Daily » ....................................... page 37-39Dow Jones 30 - Weekly & Daily » ........ page 40-41Russell 2000 - Weekly & Daily » ............ page 42-43Nasdaq 100 - Weekly & Daily » ............. page 44-45S&P 400 Mid-Cap Index - Daily » ............... page 46PhlX - KBW Banking Index » .............. page 47-48XlK Technology SPDR - Monthly » ........... page 49NaSDaQ Biotechnology » .................... page 50-51XlF Financial SPDR - Weekly » ............. page 52-53XlP Consumer Staples - Weekly » .............. page 54XlY Consumer Disc. - Weekly » ........... page 55-56STOCK INDICES ...continue... » ................... page 57EuroStoxx 50 - Weekly, Daily & #2 » .... page 58-60Xetra Dax 30 - Weekly, Daily & #2 » ...... page 61-63FTSE 100 - Weekly & Daily » ................. page 64-65STOCK INDICES ...continue.. » .................... page 66MSCI Emerging Markets - Weekly » ......... page 67MSCI Emerging Markets - Daily » ............. page 68Bovespa Brasil - Daily » ................................ page 69Russia RTs » - Weekly ................................... page 70India Nifty 50 - Weekly » ............................. page 71Sensex - Weekly » .......................................... page 72MSCI China - Weekly » ................................ page 73Shanghai Composite Index - Weekly » ...... page 74hS-China Enterprises Index - Weekly » ... page 75MSCI hong Kong Index - Monthly » ......... page 76hang Seng - Monthly » ................................. page 77Singapore Straits Times Index - Monthly » page 78Taiwan SE Weighted Index - Weekly » ...... page 79aSX 200 australia - Weekly » ...................... page 80NiKKEi 225 » - Weekly ................................. page 81

TaBlE OF CONTENTS {click on TOC text!}

»

STOCK INDICES ~ PaRT i.vIDEO UPDaTE!JuNE 2018(data through 19th June 2018)

ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

1WaveTrack Internatonal Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com

IN ThIS EDITION

TERMINal 3RD WavE IN FOCUS FOR REMaINDER OF 2018!We’re pleased to announce the publication of WaveTrack’s mid-year 2018 video updates of medium-term ELLIOTT WAVE price-forecasts. Today’s release is PART I, STOCK INDICES – Parts II & III will be published during the next month.

PART I - STOCK INDICES » PART II – COMMODITIES » PART III – CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES »

DECEMBER ’17 FORECaSTS FOR 2018

The Annual 2018 report published last December highlighted several main points - the secular-bull uptrend remained in upward progress and contrary to consensus Elliott Wave and Economists’ opinion, was on course to continue higher over the next 18-month/2-year period – the post financial-crisis uptrend was approaching its terminal 3rd wave peak but would undergo a severe -7% per cent correction into January before resuming the last phase of its impulse sequence - Emerging Markets were set to continue their outperformance role but they too would undergo some significant retracement which leads the major indices lower in a period of underperformance - however, their ‘inflation-pop’ uptrends are strong and will recover afterwards. The banking sector was expected to underperform during the same period. Chinese indices were forecast approaching an interim peak having advanced over the last 2-year period – then stage a severe correction along with other EM’s. {continued next page}

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{continued}

EW-FORECaST REvIEW – h1 2018

Reflecting back to last December’s forecasts, we can report that most of the forecasts were realised within acceptable tolerance. The secular-bull uptrend has remained on course, the 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete.

January did see an interim sell-off, but larger than our -7% per cent estimate with the benchmark S&P 500 dropping -11.8% per cent – this wasn’t the end of the secular-bull uptrend as consensus reports led us to believe with outperforming indices since trading to new record highs.

Emerging Markets have underperformed with the benchmark MSCI EM index falling -13.0% per cent so far this year.

The U.S. KBW Banking index has been down from its January peak by -12.2% per cent, underperforming the S&P by -8.0% percentage points whilst in Europe, the Eurostoxx Banks index is down from its January peak by a massive -23.8% per cent. China’s Shanghai Composite is down by -19.8% per cent.

WhaT NEXT h2 2018? – U.S. BENChMaRK INDICES

There’s a lot of bearish divergence in U.S. stock indices which alerts us to another up-coming downswing, extending the counter-trend corrective pattern that began declines from last January’s 2018 highs.

U.S. trade tariff policies are taking their toll and in this latest MID-YEaR 2018 vIDEO UPDaTE, we’re examining the current location of not only U.S. indices but how the pattern progress has unfolded for key EUROPEAN & ASIAN indices too. Will the current tariff plans explode into a full-blown trade war? Is such a possibility evident in the Elliott Wave charts?

EUROPEaN INDICES

Key European indices formed important highs last November (2017) which created bearish divergences when U.S. indices formed subsequent highs last January. Since then, overall declines are identified as corrective, counter-trend sequences within five wave impulse uptrends in progress from the Feb.’16 lows. BUT hOW FaR CaN ThESE DEClINES UNFOlD? WE INTEND TO FIND OUT!

EMERGING MaRKETS + aSIa - aUSTRalIa - JaPaN

Emerging Markets along with many benchmark commodity markets are unfolding into the ‘INFLATION-POP’ schematic first postulated in these reports back in year-2010. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the inflation-pop represents the second sequence of a multi-decennial expanding flat counter-trend pattern that is unfolding from the 2007/08 peaks that ended super-cycle uptrends. In this latest mid-year video, we take a look across EM’s, ASIA, Australia and Japan and answer why EM’s have been particularly hard hit this year and what to expect for the remainder of 2018.

***

ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

2WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Elliott Wave Video Forecast - Stock Indices - Part I.

EllIOTT WavE vIDEO FORECaST - STOCK INDICES - PaRT I.

ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

3WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Risk Disclosure

RISK DISClOSURE

ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

4WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Shock - Pop - Drop

ShOCK - POP - DROP

ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

5WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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fig 1 Flat Expanding - 3 Waves - Shock - Pop - Drop

FlaT EXPaNDING - 3 WavES - ShOCK - POP - DROP

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

6WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 2 CRB CaSh InDEx - MOnThly

ZIG ZaG - SINGlE vS. IMPUlSE EXPaNDING 5 WavES - EMERGING MaRKETS & COMMODITIES vS. US STOCK INDICES

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

7WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 3 ZIg Zag - SInglE VS. IMPulSE ExPanDIng 5 WaVES - EMERgIng MaRkETS & COMMODITIES VS. uS STOCk InDICES

COPPER - WEEKlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

8WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 4 MSCI EMERgIng MaRkETS - WEEkly

S&P 500 - WEEKlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

9WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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DOW JOnES 30 - QuaRTERly- FORECaST 25Th nOVEMBER 2014!

EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS & OBJECTIvE TRUThS

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

10WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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S&P 500 - WEEKlY

FIg 5 IMPulSE ExPanDIng 5 WaVES PaTTERn ExTEnSIOn 5Th

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

11WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 6 S&P 500 - WEEkly

NaSDaQ 100 - MONThlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

12WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 7 DOW JOnES 30 - QuaRTERly

DOW JONES 30 - QUaRTERlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

13WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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DOW JONES 30 - QUaRTERlY

FIg 8 DOW JOnES 30 - QuaRTERly

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

14WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 9 S&P 500 - yEaRly - COMPOSITE CyClE

S&P 500 - YEaRlY - COMPOSITE CYClE

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

15WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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SEnTIMEnT & ECOnOMIC InDICaTORS

SENTIMENT & ECONOMIC INDICaTORS

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

16WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 10 EQuITy MaRkET PEak SuRVEy

EQUITY MaRKET PEaK SURvEY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

17WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 11 VOlaTIlITy (S&P 500) InDEx - MOnThly

vOlaTIlITY (S&P 500) INDEX - MONThlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

18WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 12 nySE aDVanCE-DEClInE (CuMulaTIVE) - DaIly

NYSE aDvaNCE-DEClINE (CUMUlaTIvE) - DaIlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

19WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 13 COT anD S&P 500 DaTa - SPECulaTIVE nET POSITIOnS

COT aND S&P 500 DaTa - SPECUlaTIvE NET POSITIONS

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

20WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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aaII BUllISh SENTIMENT - MONThlY

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FIg 14 aaII BullISh SEnTIMEnT - MOnThly

ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

21WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 15 uS COnSuMER SEnTIMEnT InDEx- MOnThly

US CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX- MONThlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

22WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 16 uS COnSuMER COnFIDEnCE InDEx - MOnThly

US CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX - MONThlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

23WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 17 uS gROSS DOMESTIC PRODuCT - QuaRTERly

US GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT - QUaRTERlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

24WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 18 uS gROSS DOMESTIC PRODuCT - QuaRTERly

US GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT - QUaRTERlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

25WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 19 PRICE TO BOOk RaTIO (S&P 500) InDEx - WEEkly

PRICE TO BOOK RaTIO (S&P 500) INDEX - WEEKlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

26WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 20 PRICE/SalES RaTIO (S&P 500) InDEx - MOnThly

PRICE/SalES RaTIO (S&P 500) INDEX - MONThlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

27WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 21 P/E RaTIO CaPE (S&P 500) - MOnThly

P/E RaTIO CaPE (S&P 500) - MONThlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

28WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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InFlaTIOn-POP

INFlaTION-POP

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

29WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 22 u.S. COnSuMER SEnTIMEnT InDEx - MOnThly

U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX - MONThlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

30WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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gRanD RE-SynChROnOISaTIOn

GRaND RE-SYNChRONOISaTION

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

31WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 23 ZIg Zag - SInglE VS. IMPulSE ExPanDIng 5 WaVES - gRanD RE-SynChROnISaTIOn

ZIG ZaG - SINGlE vS. IMPUlSE EXPaNDING 5 WavES - GRaND RE-SYNChRONISaTION

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

32WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 24 S&P 500 | hang SEng | MSCI EM | SIngaPORE STRaITS TIMES - CORRElaTIOn STuDy

S&P 500 | haNG SENG | MSCI EM | SINGaPORE STRaITS TIMES - CORRElaTION STUDY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

33WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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STOCk InDICES ...COnTInuE...

STOCK INDICES ...CONTINUE...

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

34WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 25 S&P 500 - WEEkly

S&P 500 - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

35WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 26 S&P 500 - DaIly - COMPOSITE CyClE

S&P 500 - DaIlY - COMPOSITE CYClE

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

36WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 27 S&P 500 - DaIly

S&P 500 - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

37WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 28 S&P 500 - DaIly

S&P 500 - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

38WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 29 S&P 500 - DaIly - COunT #2

S&P 500 - DaIlY - COUNT #2

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

39WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 30 DOW JOnES 30 - WEEkly

DOW JONES 30 - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

40WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 31 DOW JOnES 30 - DaIly

DOW JONES 30 - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

41WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 32 RuSSEll 2000 - WEEkly

RUSSEll 2000 - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

42WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 33 RuSSEll 2000 - DaIly

RUSSEll 2000 - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

43WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 34 naSDaQ 100 - WEEkly

NaSDaQ 100 - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

44WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 35 naSDaQ 100 - DaIly

NaSDaQ 100 - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

45WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 36 S&P 400 MID-CaP InDEx - DaIly

S&P 400 MID-CaP INDEX - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

46WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 37 Phlx - kBW BankIng InDEx - WEEkly

PhlX - KBW BaNKING INDEX - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

47WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 38 Phlx - kBW BankIng InDEx - DaIly

PhlX - KBW BaNKING INDEX - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

48WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 39 xlk TEChnOlOgy SPDR - MOnThly

XlK TEChNOlOGY SPDR - MONThlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

49WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 40 naSDaQ BIOTEChnOlOgy - MOnThly

NaSDaQ BIOTEChNOlOGY - MONThlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

50WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 41 naSDaQ BIOTEChnOlOgy - WEEkly

NaSDaQ BIOTEChNOlOGY - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

51WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 42 xlF FInanCIal SPDR - WEEkly

XlF FINaNCIal SPDR - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

52WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 43 xlF FInanCIal SPDR - DaIly

XlF FINaNCIal SPDR - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

53WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 44 xlP COnSuMER STaPlES - WEEkly

XlP CONSUMER STaPlES - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

54WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 45 xly COnSuMER DISC. - WEEkly

XlY CONSUMER DISC. - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

55WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 46 xly COnSuMER DISC. - DaIly

XlY CONSUMER DISC. - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

56WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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STOCk InDICES ...COnTInuED...

STOCK INDICES ...CONTINUED...

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

57WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 47 EuROSTOxx 50 - WEEkly

EUROSTOXX 50 - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

58WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 48 EuROSTOxx 50 - DaIly

EUROSTOXX 50 - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

59WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 49 EuROSTOxx 50 - DaIly - COunT #2

EUROSTOXX 50 - DaIlY - COUNT #2

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

60WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 50 xETRa Dax 30 - WEEkly

XETRa DaX 30 - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

61WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 51 xETRa Dax 30 - DaIly

XETRa DaX 30 - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

62WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 52 xETRa Dax 30 - DaIly - COunT #2

XETRa DaX 30 - DaIlY - COUNT #2

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

63WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 53 FTSE 100 - WEEkly

FTSE 100 - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

64WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 54 FTSE 100 - DaIly

FTSE 100 - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

65WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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STOCk InDICES ...COnTInuED...

sTOcK iNDicEs ...cONTiNuED...

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

66WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 55 MSCI EMERgIng MaRkETS - WEEkly

MSCI EMERGING MaRKETS - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

67WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 57 MSCI EMERgIng MaRkETS - DaIly

MSCI EMERGING MaRKETS - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

68WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 58 BOVESPa BRaSIl - DaIly

BOvESPa BRaSIl - DaIlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

69WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

»

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FIg 59 RuSSIa RTS - WEEkly

Russia RTs - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

70WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 60 InDIa nIFTy 50 - WEEkly

INDIa NIFTY 50 - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

71WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 61 SEnSEx - WEEkly

SENSEX - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

72WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 62 MSCI ChIna - WEEkly

MSCI ChINa - WEEKlY

« »

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

73WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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FIg 63 ShanghaI COMPOSITE InDEx - WEEkly

ShaNGhaI COMPOSITE INDEX - WEEKlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

74WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Page 75: STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete

FIg 64 hS-ChIna EnTERPRISES InDEx - WEEkly

hS-ChINa ENTERPRISES INDEX - WEEKlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

75WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Page 76: STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete

FIg 65 MSCI hOng kOng InDEx - MOnThly

MSCI hONG KONG INDEX - MONThlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

76WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Page 77: STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete

FIg 66 hang SEng - MOnThly

haNG SENG - MONThlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

77WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Page 78: STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete

FIg 67 SIngaPORE STRaITS TIMES InDEx - MOnThly

SINGaPORE STRaITS TIMES INDEX - MONThlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

78WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Page 79: STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete

FIg 68 TaIWan SE WEIghTED InDEx - WEEkly

TaIWaN SE WEIGhTED INDEX - WEEKlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

79WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Page 80: STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete

FIg 69 aSx 200 auSTRalIa - WEEkly

aSX 200 aUSTRalIa - WEEKlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

80WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Page 81: STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete

FIg 70 nIkkEI 225 - WEEkly

NiKKEi 225 - WEEKlY

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

81WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com « »

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Page 82: STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete

EnD OF PaRT I.

END OF PaRT I.

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»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

82WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: [email protected] www.wavetrack.com «

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