stories to watch 2017

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Page 1: Stories to Watch 2017
Page 2: Stories to Watch 2017

Photo: Michael Fleshman/Flickr

FEATURING

Andrew SteerPresident & CEOJanuary 11, 2017

Page 3: Stories to Watch 2017

Strange Times

Photo: Flickr/Ted Eytan

Page 4: Stories to Watch 2017

Greatest Political Uncertainty Since 1989

Photo: Wikimedia Commons

Page 5: Stories to Watch 2017

A Globalization Backlash

Photo: Ben White/ CAFOD, October 2015

Page 6: Stories to Watch 2017

People Feeling Left Out of Economic Opportunity

Photo: Flickr/Joseph

Page 7: Stories to Watch 2017

Devaluation of Facts

49% of Republicans believe #PizzaGate is real

Photo: Wikimedia Commons

Page 8: Stories to Watch 2017
Page 9: Stories to Watch 2017

A NEW ADMINISTRATION:How Far Will Trump Go?

STORY 1

Photo: Flickr/Matt Johnson

Page 10: Stories to Watch 2017

WHERE DOES HE STAND?

Photo: Flickr/Jennifer Woodard Maderazo

SEPTEMBER 2015: “I don’t believe in climate change.”

DECEMBER 2009: “We support your effort to ensure meaningful and effective measures to control climate change.”

—Letter to Pres. Obama, signed by Donald Trump NOVEMBER 2016:

“I have an open mind to it.”

Page 11: Stories to Watch 2017

TRUMP’S FOSSIL FUEL CABINET

Photo: Flickr/Gage Skidmore, William Muno

EPA: Scott Pruitt DOE: Rick Perry STATE: Rex Tillerson DOI: Ryan Zinke

Page 12: Stories to Watch 2017

AMERICANS WANT CLIMATE ACTION

66%of registered voters

say U.S. should reduce GHG emissions

Photo: Flickr/Nick v

55%of Trump voters support climate

policies

Page 13: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Photo: Flickr/Paul A.Fagan

• Ozone and Methane Emissions Standards• Renewable Fuel Standard Program• Energy Efficiency Standards• Waters of the United States Rule

Environmental Protection Under Attack?

Page 14: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Undoing the Clean Power Plan?

Photo: Flickr/ Ted Eytan

DC Circuit Ruling

Early 2017 Supreme Court?

Defund?Rescind and Replace?

Page 15: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Photo: Flickr/U.S. Army Corps of Engineers

American Energy & Infrastructure Act,

first 200 days?

Infrastructure: Gray or Green?

Page 16: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will He Gut U.S. Climate Policies?

Source: “Delivering on the U.S. Climate Commitment: A 10-Point Plan Toward a Low-Carbon Future.”

Page 17: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will He Gut U.S. Climate Policies?

Source: “Delivering on the U.S. Climate Commitment: A 10-Point Plan Toward a Low-Carbon Future.”

Page 18: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

…and Will He Abandon the Paris Agreement?

Photo: COP Paris

• Syria• Nicaragua• Uzbekistan

Page 19: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

How Will Congress Respond?

Photo: Flickr/Thomas Hawk

52REPUBLICANS

46+2DEMOCRATS + INDEPENDENTS

Page 20: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will More States and Cities Step Up?

Photo: Flickr/Gage Skidmore

15 States &51 CitiesHave Called for Climate Action

Page 21: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Taking It to the Streets?

Photo: Flickr/Stephen Melkisethian

Page 22: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will Environmentalists Prevail in the Courts?

Photo: Flickr/wp paarz

27-11in Bush Era

Page 23: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Crossing the Line?

Gutting the OCE is “the dumbest fricking thing I’ve ever heard ....”

—Sen. Lindsey Graham,Fox News, Jan. 3, 2017

Page 24: Stories to Watch 2017

How Far Will Trump Go? STORY 1

Photo: Flickr/Matt Johnson

Page 25: Stories to Watch 2017

GLOBAL ENERGY MARKETS: A Fossil Fuel Renaissance or Renewable Energy Surge?

STORY 2

Photo: USFWS/Joshua Winchell

Page 26: Stories to Watch 2017

RESURGENCE OF COAL?

Photo: Flickr/Wojtek Mszyca

Page 27: Stories to Watch 2017

Source: US EIA

U.S. COAL INDUSTRY IS DECLINING

Page 28: Stories to Watch 2017

WIND & SOLAR POWER ARE NOW COST-COMPETITIVE

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

Page 29: Stories to Watch 2017

• Wind turbine technician is fastest growing U.S. job

• 769,000 U.S. jobs in renewable energy

Photo: Dennis Schroeder/DOE

CLEAN ENERGY: JOB CREATOR

Page 30: Stories to Watch 2017

• 71 Fortune 100 companies have renewable goals

• 22 Fortune 500 companies are committed to 100% renewables

Photo: Flickr/Walmart

U.S. COMPANIES DEMAND MORE RENEWABLE ENERGY

Page 31: Stories to Watch 2017

U.S. UTILITIES AREN’T TURNING BACK

• 450 Mw of new solar, equivalent to taking 118,000 vehicles off the road each year

• 500 Mw in the works

Source: http://buyersprinciples.org/corporate-re-strategy-map/

Page 32: Stories to Watch 2017

$266 BillionInvestment in renewable energy capacity was double coal & gas last year

Photo: Google Earth

AND AT THE GLOBAL LEVEL...

Page 33: Stories to Watch 2017

2015:• South Africa increased 329% ($4.5 billion)

• Chile increased 151% ($3.4 billion)

• India increased 22% ($10.2 billion)

Photo: Flickr/Brookhaven National Lab

EMERGING MARKETS LEADING IN CLEAN ENERGY INVESTMENTS

Page 34: Stories to Watch 2017

CHINA: #1 IN RENEWABLE ENERGY INVESTMENT

Source: IEA

Page 35: Stories to Watch 2017

1/3 of new capacity planned is coal

80% of which is in a few rapidly developing Asian economies

Photo: Flickr/blake.thornberry

BUT, COAL REMAINS IN THE GLOBAL PIPELINE

Page 36: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Photo: Flickr/Stuart Rankin

4:1 failure-to-completion rate of planned coal plants in Europe, South Asia, Latin America and Africa

Will Coal Plants Thrive or Fail?

Page 37: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Source: US EIA

Will U.S. Coal Exports Rebound?

Page 38: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Photo: Flickr/hsbfrank

• Tax credits• R&D funding

Will U.S. Support for Renewables Remain?

Page 39: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Photo: Flickr/Julian Schüngel

Will Financial Capital Shift Toward Clean Energy?

July 2017

G20 Summit

Page 40: Stories to Watch 2017

A Fossil Fuel Renaissance or Renewable Energy Surge? STORY 2

Photo: USFWS/Joshua Winchell

Page 41: Stories to Watch 2017

INTERNATIONAL ACTION:Will Momentum on Climate Continue?

STORY 3

Photo: Falcon Photography/Flickr

Page 42: Stories to Watch 2017

Source: CAIT/WRI

123countries

PARIS AGREEMENT RAPIDLY ENTERS INTO FORCE

19 countries joined since U.S. election

Page 43: Stories to Watch 2017

ECONOMIC GROWTH & EMISSIONS ARE DECOUPLING

Source: WRI

30countries

Page 44: Stories to Watch 2017

LAUNCH OF NDC PARTNERSHIP

8institutions

38countries

Page 45: Stories to Watch 2017

TURNING COMMITMENTS INTO ACTION

Source: http://www.wri.org/publication/achieving-mexicos-goals

Page 46: Stories to Watch 2017

NOVEMBER 2016: INDIA OPENS WORLD’S LARGEST SOLAR PLANT

Photo: Wikimedia Commons/Vinaykumar8687

648Megawatts

Enough to power

150,000homes

Page 47: Stories to Watch 2017

$360 billioninvestment in

renewables by 2020

JANUARY 2017: CHINA ANNOUNCES RENEWABLE ENERGY INVESTMENT

Photo: Flickr/Martijn van Gameren

13 millionjobs by 2020

Page 48: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will We See Implementation Accelerate?

21 Countrieshave committed to restore

63 million hectares of degraded land by 2030

Source: AFR100

Page 49: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will India Hit Its Solar Targets?

Sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF); The Economic Times.

Page 50: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will China’s National Carbon Market Take Off?

NEED PHOTO13%of global GHG

emissions covered by carbon pricing

Page 51: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will China’s National Carbon Market Take Off?

NEED PHOTO25%of global GHG

emissions covered by carbon pricing

Page 52: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

More Climate Refugees?

Photo: Flickr/UN Photo/Tobin Jones

26.4 million people displaced by disasters

per year since 2008

Equivalent to one person

per second

Page 53: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will UN SG Prioritize Climate?

Photo: Flickr/ OEA-OAS

Page 54: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Who Will Step Up?

Photo: Flickr/Kevin Gill

Page 55: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

European Elections?

Photo: Flickr/Indigo Skies Photography

Netherlands: March 15 (National Election)

France: April 23 (Presidential)

Germany: August-October (Federal Election)

Italy: New Prime Minister must be confirmed

Page 56: Stories to Watch 2017

Will Momentum on Climate Continue?STORY 3

Photo: Falcon Photography/Flickr

Page 57: Stories to Watch 2017

TOMORROW’S MARKETS:Will Businesses & Investors Accelerate Momentum Toward Sustainability?

STORY 4

Photo: Wikimedia Commons

Page 58: Stories to Watch 2017

CORPORATE COMMITMENTS ARE GROWING

579 Deforestation-free supply chains

84 100% Renewable Energy

205Science-based Targets

Page 59: Stories to Watch 2017

SOME COMPANIES ARE STARTING TO TRANSFORM THEIR BUSINESS MODELS

From coal mining to life-sciences company

Recognizes “peak stuff” & finite resources

Future is not just selling more cars

Page 60: Stories to Watch 2017

MAJOR INSTITUTIONAL ASSET OWNERS ARE HUNGRY FOR SUSTAINABLE CAPITAL

Multiple studies confirm ESG factors can lead to higher returns and are “neutral”

Photo: Public Domain

Page 61: Stories to Watch 2017

Recommendations of Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures

Photo: Flickr/Bank of England

PRESSURE ON MARKETS IS BEGINNING

Page 62: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will Sustainable Investments Keep Up the Pace?

Source: GSIA 2015

61% increase in professionally managed assets held in ESG screened investments

Page 63: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will 100 More Companies Sign Up to Science-based Targets?

Will they go further to include land and water?

Page 64: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will Demand Be Transmitted to Corporate Board Rooms?

Page 65: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will Demand Be Transmitted to Corporate Board Rooms?

Page 66: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will Demand Be Transmitted to Corporate Board Rooms?

Page 67: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Davos 2017: Business Commission on Sustainable Development

Photo: Flickr/David McIntyre/Crossroads Foundation Ltd.

How will businesses and investors respond?

Page 68: Stories to Watch 2017

Will Businesses & Investors Accelerate Momentum Toward Sustainability?

STORY 4

Photo: Wikimedia Commons

Page 69: Stories to Watch 2017

STORY 5

Photo: Flickr/Stacy Spensley

SUSTAINABLE FOOD:The Ascent of Plant-Based Protein?

Page 70: Stories to Watch 2017

FOOD DEMAND IS RISING

Sources: FAOSTAT (data 1980-2013), Alexandratos and Bruinsma (2012) with WRI adjustments (projections 2014-2050).

Page 71: Stories to Watch 2017

MEAT DEMAND GROWS AS INCOME GROWS

Sources: FAOSTAT (data 1980-2013), Alexandratos and Bruinsma (2012) with WRI adjustments (projections 2014-2050).

Page 72: Stories to Watch 2017

• Beef uses 1/3 of water for all agricultural production

• “Cattle Nation” = 3rd largest GHG emitter after China and U.S.

Photo: Flickr/American Committee for KEEP, Inc.

THE BIGGEST BEEF IS WITH BEEF

Page 73: Stories to Watch 2017

BEEF PRODUCTION:

• ~70% of deforestation in South America

• #1 driver of tropical deforestation globally

Photo: Flickr/CIFOR

A QUARTER OF THE EARTH IS PASTURELAND

Page 74: Stories to Watch 2017

• 2.5 acres of land for the average American diet

• One-half for beef

Photo: Pexels/Mail Maeder

BEEF PRODUCTION AND LAND USE

Page 75: Stories to Watch 2017

After 1 year of global dietary guidelines:

• 5+ million lives could be saved

• $700+ billion in healthcare costs avoided

Photo: Flickr/Many Goldberg

LESS RED MEAT IS BETTER FOR PEOPLE…

Page 76: Stories to Watch 2017

…AND BETTER FOR THE PLANET

If highest consumers cut beef consumption in half: It would free up ~300 million hectares of land (the size of India)

Photo: Flickr/Bureau of Land Management

Page 77: Stories to Watch 2017

WE GET NEARLY ENOUGH PROTEIN FROM PLANTS

Source: WRI/Shifting Diets

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Page 78: Stories to Watch 2017

AMERICANS ARE MOVING AWAY FROM BEEF

Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/numbers/how-much-meat-do-americans-eat-then-and-now-1792/

Page 79: Stories to Watch 2017

• One quarter of Americans report eating less meat

• One in ten millennials is a vegetarian or vegan

Photo: Flickr/USDA

INTEREST IN PLANT PROTEIN IS GROWING…

Page 80: Stories to Watch 2017

• Tyson Foods launched $150 million venture capital fund to expand meat alternatives

• Better Buying Lab companies serve 25 billion meals per year

Photo: Flickr/Ronald Sarayudej

…AND BUSINESSES ARE RESPONDING

Page 81: Stories to Watch 2017

• China’s dietary guidelines call to reduce meat consumption by 50%

• Denmark proposed first-ever tax on red meat

Photo: Flickr/tosa muu

GOVERNMENTS ARE STARTING TO TAKE ACTION

Page 82: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will Health and Sustainability Agendas Align?

Photo: Loic Venance Via Getty Images

JUNE 2017: EAT-Lancet Commission recommendations on diet, health & sustainability

Page 83: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Photo: Flickr/Scrubhiker

Will Pressure on Beef Production Grow?

• Group of investors representing $1.25 trillion pushing meat industry to diversify

• Will more beef companies make deforestation commitments?

Page 84: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will Momentum for Meat Alternatives Build?

• Beyond Meat products in more than 11,000 stores

• Top restaurants & chefs serving Impossible Burgers

Photo: Flickr/ Michael Saechang

Page 85: Stories to Watch 2017

The Ascent of Plant-Based Protein?STORY 5

Photo: Flickr/Stacy Spensley

Page 86: Stories to Watch 2017

STORY 6

Photo: Flickr/thisisbossi

AUTONOMOUS, SHARED, ELECTRIC: Will Mobility Trends Help People & the Planet?

Page 87: Stories to Watch 2017

UNACCEPTABLE COSTS: CONGESTION…

Photo: Flickr/Neil Rickards

Workers lose 8 days of productivity per year sitting in traffic

Page 88: Stories to Watch 2017

POLLUTION…

Photo: Flickr/AIRS

TRANSPORT SECTOR:

• 14% of global emissions globally

• #1 source of emissions in U.S., surpassing energy

Page 89: Stories to Watch 2017

…AND LIVES

Photo: Flickr/AIRS

• 1.25 million road deaths per year

• 90% due to human error

Page 90: Stories to Watch 2017

MOBILITY FACES MAJOR DISRUPTION

Photo: Flickr/AIRS

• Ridesharing• Electrification• Automation

Page 91: Stories to Watch 2017

RIDESHARING ON THE RISE

Photo: Flickr/ Tauno Tõhk / 陶诺

UBER:• 1 million

rides/day

• $62.5 billion valuation

DIDI:• 20 million

rides/day

• $28 billion valuation

Page 92: Stories to Watch 2017

CAR OWNERSHIP ON THE WAY OUT?

Photo: Flickr/Spiros Vathis

“By 2025, owning a car will go the way of the DVD.”

—Lyft co-founder John Zimmer

Page 93: Stories to Watch 2017

ELECTRIC VEHICLES POISED FOR TAKEOFF

Photo: Flickr/ Håkan Dahlström

• 1 million electric vehicles on the road globally

• 30,000 U.S. charging outlets

• Battery tech advancing

Page 94: Stories to Watch 2017

Photo: Flickr/AIRS

AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES LEAP FORWARD

Page 95: Stories to Watch 2017

Photo: Flickr/Steve Jurvetson

SELF-DRIVING RIGS ON THE ROAD

Tested in Ohio, Colorado and Nevada

Page 96: Stories to Watch 2017

AUTOMATION: AN ECONOMIC DISRUPTOR

Page 97: Stories to Watch 2017

Photo: Flickr/AIRS

A TIME FOR CAREFUL NAVIGATION

“Simply eliminating the drivers from cars, and keeping everything else about our system the same, will be a disaster.”

—Robin Chase, co-founder of Zipcar, WRI Board Member

Page 98: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will EVs Go Mainstream and Reduce Emissions?

Photo: Flickr/Paladin27

Chevy Bolt: 2017 Car of the Year

Page 99: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will Auto Innovation Crowd Out or Complement Mass Transit?

Photo: Flickr/rachaelvoorhees

Page 100: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will Robots Pass Their Road Tests?

Photo: Flickr/smoothgroover22

• Gothenburg: Volvo• Detroit: General Motors• Munich: BMW• Phoenix: Waymo• Cologne: Ford• Boston: nuTonomy• Los Angeles to New York City: Tesla

Page 101: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

Will It All Come Together?

Page 102: Stories to Watch 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:

A Better Way?

Photo: Flickr/William Murphy

Page 103: Stories to Watch 2017

Will Mobility Trends Help People & the Planet?STORY 6

Photo: thisisbossi/Flickr

Page 104: Stories to Watch 2017

500 YEARS AGO

Photo: Wikimedia Common

Page 105: Stories to Watch 2017

100 YEARS AGO

Photo: Russian Public Domain

Page 106: Stories to Watch 2017

10 YEARS AGO

Photo: Wikimedia Commons

Page 107: Stories to Watch 2017

Photo: Michael Fleshman/Flickr

STORY 1 A NEW ADMINISTRATION: How Far Will Trump Go?

STORY 2 GLOBAL ENERGY MARKETS: A Fossil Fuel Renaissance or Renewable Energy Surge?

STORY 3 INTERNATIONAL ACTION: Will Momentum on Climate Continue?

STORY 4 TOMORROW’S MARKETS: Will Businesses & Investors Accelerate Momentum Toward Sustainability? 

STORY 5 SUSTAINABLE FOOD: The Ascent of Plant-Based Protein?

STORY 6 AUTONOMOUS, SHARED, ELECTRIC: Will Mobility Trends Help People & the Planet?

Page 108: Stories to Watch 2017