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Zambia Country Report STRENGTHENING UNIVERSITY CONTRIBUTIONS TO CLIMATE COMPATIBLE DEVELOPMENT IN SOUTHERN AFRICA

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  • Zambia Country Report

    STRENGTHENING UNIVERSITY CONTRIBUTIONS TO CLIMATE COMPATIBLE DEVELOPMENT IN SOUTHERN AFRICA

  • SARUA CLIMATE CHANGE COUNTS MAPPING STUDY

    VOLUME 2 COUNTRY REPORT 11 2014

    STRENGTHENING UNIVERSITY CONTRIBUTIONS TO CLIMATE COMPATIBLE DEVELOPMENT IN SOUTHERN AFRICA

    Zambia Country Report

    Series Editor: Piyushi Kotecha

    Authors: Penny Urquhart and Heila Lotz-Sisitka

  • Note

    This is the Zambia Country Report of the Southern African Regional Universities

    Association (SARUA) Climate Change Counts mapping study. It brings together

    background documentation on climate change in Zambia, insights into knowledge and

    research needs and capacity gaps (individual and institutional), a mapping of existing

    university roles and contributions to climate compatible development (CCD); as well as a

    discussion on possibilities for CCD learning pathways and future collaborative knowledge

    co-production and use in Zambia.

    This report is one of a set of 12 Country Reports in Volume 2, which inform Volume 1: the

    integrated regional Knowledge Co-production Framework of the Climate Change Counts

    mapping study, and which includes comparative regional analysis using the outputs of the

    other SADC countries, as well as the proposed regional framework for collaborative

    research on climate compatible development.

    © SARUA 2014

    Southern African Regional Universities Association (SARUA)

    PO Box 662

    WITS

    2050

    SOUTH AFRICA

    The contents of this publication may be freely used and reproduced for non-profit purposes, provided full acknowledgement of the source is given. All rights reserved.

    ISBN: 978-0-9922355-3-6

    Series Editor: Piyushi Kotecha

    Authors: Penny Urquhart and Heila Lotz-Sisitka

    Project Management and Coordination: Botha Kruger, Johan Naudé, Ziyanda Cele

    Research and Workshop Facilitation: Charles Namafe, Manoah Muchanga, Dick Kachilonda, Dylan McGarry

    Project Steering Committee: Professor Xikombiso Mbhenyane, University of Venda; Professor Raymond Mande Mutombo, University of Lubumbashi; Professor Mark New, University of Cape Town; Professor Samson Sibanda, National University of Science & Technology; Professor Pius Zebhe Yanda, University of Dar es Salaam

    Copy-editing: Kim Ward

    SARUA is a not-for-profit leadership association of the heads of the public universities in the 15 countries of the SADC region. Its mission is to promote, strengthen and increase higher education, research and innovation through expanded inter-institutional collaboration and capacity-building initiatives throughout the region. It promotes universities as major contributors towards building knowledge economies, national and regional socio-economic and cultural development, and for the eradication of poverty.

    The authors are responsible for the choice and the presentation of the facts contained in this document and for the opinions expressed therein, which are not necessarily those of SARUA and do not make any commitment for the Association.

  • Core mapping study Partners

    Programme Owner Implementation Partner

    Supplementary Study Sponsors

    SADC Regional Environmental Education Programme

    University Sponsors and Hosts

    Rhodes University

    Tshwane University of Technology

    Universidade Agostinho Neto

    Université des Mascareignes

    University of Cape Town

    University of Dar Es Salaam

    University of Fort Hare

    University of Malawi

    University of Namibia

    University of Pretoria

    University of Seychelles

    University of Swaziland

    University of Zambia

    Vaal University of Technology

    Zimbabwe Open University

    The Climate Change Counts mapping study is the inception phase of the SARUA

    Programme for Climate Change Capacity Development. The mapping study was made

    possible through the professional, financial and in-kind support of multiple partners. The

    principal study sponsor was the Climate and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN).

  • May 2014

    1 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    Contents

    1 INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................................... 6

    1.1 Regional climate risks and university leadership for climate compatible development in southern Africa .................................................................................................................................... 6

    1.2 The SARUA Climate Change initiative: History and objectives ............................................... 10

    1.3 The SARUA CCD mapping study: Mapping existing capacity and future possible knowledge co-production possibilities ................................................................................................................ 12

    1.4 Key concepts ........................................................................................................................... 12

    2 METHODOLOGY, DATA SOURCES AND ANALYSIS LOGIC .................................................... 16

    2.1 Research design ...................................................................................................................... 16 2.1.1 Document analysis .......................................................................................................................... 16 2.1.2 Stakeholder and university staff consultations (national workshop) .............................................. 16 2.1.3 Questionnaires ................................................................................................................................ 17

    2.2 Limitations of the mapping study ........................................................................................... 18

    2.3 Expanding the mapping study ................................................................................................ 19

    2.4 Analysis logic .......................................................................................................................... 19

    3 NEEDS ANALYSIS .................................................................................................................. 20

    3.1 Introducing the needs analysis ............................................................................................... 20

    3.2 Socio-economic context ......................................................................................................... 20

    3.3 Observed and projected climatic changes, impacts and vulnerabilities ................................ 21 3.3.1 Observed climatic changes .............................................................................................................. 21 3.3.2 Projected climatic changes.............................................................................................................. 21 3.3.3 Impacts and vulnerabilities ............................................................................................................. 22

    3.4 Identified needs: Short to medium term national priorities for CCD in Zambia .................... 23 3.4.1 Identified adaptation and mitigation priorities articulated in policy and strategy ......................... 23 3.4.2 Identified adaptation and mitigation priorities articulated by workshop participants ................... 24 3.4.3 Identified needs for CCD articulated in questionnaire data ............................................................ 26

    3.5 Specific knowledge and capacity needs: CCD research, knowledge and individual and institutional capacity gaps (related to CCD priorities) ....................................................................... 28

    3.5.1 Needs analysis: Specific research needs and knowledge gaps ........................................................ 28 3.5.2 Needs analysis: Individual capacity gaps ......................................................................................... 38 3.5.3 Needs analysis: Institutional capacity gaps .................................................................................... 39

    4 INSTITUTIONAL ANALYSIS ................................................................................................... 41

    4.1 Introducing the institutional analysis ..................................................................................... 41

    4.2 Policy and institutional arrangements.................................................................................... 41 4.2.1 Policy and institutional arrangements governing Higher Education in Zambia............................... 41 4.2.2 Policy context for climate change ................................................................................................... 42 4.2.3 Institutional arrangements for climate change ............................................................................... 42

    4.3 Research and development frameworks................................................................................ 43

    4.4 Some current CCD initiatives and programmes ..................................................................... 44

    4.5 Existing status of CCD research, education, outreach and networking in Zambia ................. 46

  • May 2014

    2 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    4.5.1 Understandings of CCD: National policy, stakeholders and university staff .................................. 46 4.5.2 Current research related to climate compatible development ....................................................... 49 4.5.3 Curriculum innovations and teaching for CCD ................................................................................ 57 4.5.4 Community and policy outreach ..................................................................................................... 60 4.5.5 Student involvement ....................................................................................................................... 60 4.5.6 University collaboration and networking ........................................................................................ 61 4.5.7 University policy and campus management ................................................................................... 63

    4.6 What existing practices can be strengthened and what can be done differently? ................ 64 4.6.1 Co-ordination, collaboration and improved partnership building .................................................. 64 4.6.2 Strengthen and expand understandings of CCD ............................................................................. 64 4.6.3 Capacity building for CCD and staffing ............................................................................................ 64 4.6.4 Curriculum development and curriculum innovation ..................................................................... 65 4.6.5 Research recommendations ........................................................................................................... 66

    4.7 The role of university leaders ................................................................................................. 66

    5 KNOWLEDGE CO-PRODUCTION POSSIBILITIES ................................................................... 67

    5.1 Current knowledge co-production practices via multi-, inter- and transdisciplinary approaches ........................................................................................................................................ 67

    5.1.1 Clarifying the meanings of multi-, inter- and transdisciplinary approaches to research................. 67 5.1.2 The current ‘status’ of multi-, inter- and transdisciplinary approaches to research and knowledge co-production ................................................................................................................................................ 69

    5.2 Multi-, inter- and transdisciplinary research possibilities: Benefits and constraints ............ 70 5.2.1 Benefits and constraints.................................................................................................................. 70 5.2.2 Possibilities to strengthen this kind of research ............................................................................. 71

    6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSION ............................................................................................ 72

    6.1 Synthesis perspective knowledge, research, individual and institutional capacity needs analysis .............................................................................................................................................. 72

    6.1.1 Broad adaptation and mitigation needs.......................................................................................... 72 6.1.2 Specific knowledge and research gaps ............................................................................................ 73 6.1.3 Notable themes ............................................................................................................................... 73 6.1.4 Individual capacity gaps .................................................................................................................. 73 6.1.5 Institutional capacity gaps .............................................................................................................. 74

    6.2 Synthesis perspective on the institutional assessment .......................................................... 74

    6.3 A broad map of Zambia CCD knowledge co-production pathways ........................................ 75

    6.4 Possibilities for linking into a networked system of knowledge co-production in the SADC region ................................................................................................................................................ 77

    APPENDIX A: WORKSHOP ATTENDANCE LIST ............................................................................. 78

    APPENDIX B: ACTIVE RESEARCHERS IDENTIFIED WHO ARE CONTRIBUTING TO CC /CCD RELATED RESEARCH ACTIVITIES ................................................................................................................. 83

    APPENDIX C: UNIVERSITIES QUESTIONNAIRE ............................................................................. 84

    APPENDIX D: STAKEHOLDER QUESTIONNAIRE ........................................................................... 88

    APPENDIX E: IDENTIFIED SOURCES OF EXPERTISE FOR CCD FOR ZAMBIA................................. 90

  • May 2014

    3 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    Tables

    Table 1: Workshop programme outline ..................................................................................................... 17

    Table 2: Needs identified by different stakeholders / disciplinary specialists (derived from questionnaire

    data) ........................................................................................................................................................... 26

    Table 3: Knowledge, research and individual and institutional capacity gaps identified by workshop

    participants ................................................................................................................................................. 31

    Table 4: More detailed research and knowledge needs from Zambian policy documents, workshop and

    questionnaires ............................................................................................................................................ 35

    Table 5: Some CCD initiatives and programmes in Zambia ........................................................................ 44

    Table 6: First ten articles listed with ‘Climate Change’ and ‘Zambia’ in the search, with first author origin

    .................................................................................................................................................................... 50

    Table 7: Diversity of university faculties and departments involvement in climate change research ....... 52

    Table 8: Research projects currently being undertaken in response to CC and the need for CCD ............ 54

    Table 9: Courses oriented towards climate compatible development ...................................................... 58

    Table 10: Roles ascribed to the different partners involved in the knowledge co-production process .... 62

    Table 11: CCD Knowledge co-production partners (potential, with some already actualised) .................. 62

    Table 12: CCD knowledge, research, capacity building and institutional capacity gap analysis for one of

    the Zambia cross-cutting priorities: Curriculum Development and Youth Capacity building ................... 75

    Table 13: Active researchers who are contributing to CC/CCD related research activities in Zambia ....... 83

    Table 14: Identified sources of expertise for CCD in Zambia...................................................................... 90

    Figures

    Figure 1: Projected change in the annual average temperature (°C) and annual average rainfall (mm) over

    the SADC region, for the time-slab 2040–2060 and 2080–2099, relative to 1970–2005 ................................. 7

    Figure 2: Projected change in the annual average temperature (°C) and annual average rainfall (mm) over

    the SADC region, for the time-slab 2040–2060 and 2080–2099, relative to 1970–2005 ................................. 8

    Figure 3: The SARUA Climate Change Capacity Development Programme, showing the mapping study . 11

    Figure 4: Conceptual framework for Climate Compatible Development (adapted from Mitchell and

    Maxwell, 2010) ........................................................................................................................................... 13

    Figure 5: Research approaches .................................................................................................................. 67

  • May 2014

    4 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    Acronyms

    BID Background Information Document

    CCAM Conformal-Cubic Atmospheric Model

    CCD Climate compatible development

    CDC Curriculum Development Centre

    CDKN Climate and Development Knowledge Network

    CDM Clean Development Mechanism

    CFFU Climate Change Facilitation Unit

    CGCMs Coupled Global Climate Models

    CSIR Council for Scientific and Industrial Research

    CSO Civil Society Organisation

    DRR Disaster Risk Reduction

    DSEE Distance Sustainable Energy Engineering

    EERG Energy and Environment Research Group

    ERB Energy Regulation Board

    ESCO Energy Service Company

    FFEWS Famine and Flood Early Warning System

    GHG GreenHouse Gas

    GIS Geographical Information System

    HEI Higher Education Institution

    HEMA Higher Education Management Africa consortium

    INC Initial National Communication

    IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

    IPPS International Programme in Physical Sciences

    KTH Royal Institute of Technology (Sweden)

    LRCE Lusaka Regional Centre of Expertise

    LSSE Language and Social Sciences Education

    MEAs Multilateral Environmental Agreements

    MRV Monitoring, Reporting and Verification

    MSc Master of Science

    MU Mulungushi University

    MUEESA Mulungushi University Environmental Education Student Association

    NAMA Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Action

    NAPA National Adaptation Programme of Action

    NCCDC National Climate Change and Development Council

    NCCRS National Climate Change Response Strategy

    NCSA National Capacity Self-Assessment

    NGO Non-Governmental Organisation

    PPCR Pilot Programme on Climate Resilience

  • May 2014

    5 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    PRSAP Poverty Reduction Strategy and Action Plan

    R&D Researh and Development

    REDD Reduced Emissions from Deforestation's and Forest Degradation

    SADC Southern African Development Community

    SADC REEP Southern African Development Community Regional Environmental Education Programme

    SARUA Southern African Regional Universities Association

    SASSCAL Southern African Science Service Centre for Climate Change and Adaptive Land Use

    SHS Solar Home Systems

    SNC Second National Communication

    UNDP United Nations Development Programme

    UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

    UN-REDD+ United Nations - Reduced Emissions from Deforestation's and Forest Degradation

    UNZAEESA University of Zambia Environmental Education Student Association

    ZCCN Zambia Climate Change Network

    ZMD Zambia Meteorological Department

  • May 2014

    6 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    1 INTRODUCTION

    1.1 Regional climate risks and university leadership for climate compatible development in southern Africa

    Globally, southern Africa is one of the most vulnerable regions to the impacts of climate

    change. Current climate variability and vulnerability to extreme events such as floods and

    droughts is high, and a range of existing stressors, including water availability, land

    degradation, desertification and loss of biodiversity constrain food security and development.

    Reduction of the region’s structural poverty is further challenged by health threats such as

    malaria and HIV/AIDS, as well as institutional and governance aspects. Climate change will

    compound many of these interlinked problems for regional livelihoods, which are often based

    on subsistence agriculture, and for regional economies, which are often dependent on natural

    resources. The region’s high vulnerability to climate change is a function of the severity of the

    projected physical climate impacts and this multi-stressor context, which heightens both

    exposure and sensitivity to the impacts.

    In addition to its role as a risk multiplier, climate change introduces new climate risks. Already

    the observed temperature changes for southern Africa are higher than the increases reported

    for other parts of the world (IPCC 2007); projections indicate a 3.4°C increase in annual

    temperature (up to 3.7°C in spring), when comparing the period 1980–1999 with the period

    2080–2099. Mean warming over land surfaces in Southern Africa is likely to exceed the

    average global land surface temperature increases in all seasons.1 Further projections are for

    overall drying for southern Africa, with increased rainfall variability; a delay in onset of the

    rainy season with an early cessation in many parts; and an increase in rainfall intensity in some

    parts. [See Figure 1. 2] Additional climate-driven risks, in addition to the direct effects of

    increased temperature and increased incidence and/or severity of extreme events like floods

    and droughts, include more wind storms, hot spells and wild fires. Both the heightened and

    the new risks will act at the local level to compound other stressors and development

    pressures faced by people, and at the national level on the region’s natural resource-

    dependent economies. The all-encompassing nature of the impacts highlights the fact that

    climate change is not a narrow environmental problem, but a fundamental development

    challenge that requires new and broad-based responses.

    1 IPCC. 2013. Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation: Africa. IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, draft for Final Government Review,

    Chapter 22. 2 The projections of future climate change displayed in Figures 1 and 2 were provided by the Council for Scientific and Industrial

    Research (CSIR), and have been obtained through downscaling the output of a number of coupled global models (CGCMs) to

    high-resolution over Africa, using a regional climate model. All the CGCMs downscaled contributed to the Coupled Model

    Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and Assessment Report 5 (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

    (IPCC). Details on these simulations are provided in the LTAS Phase 1 Technical Report no. 1. The regional model used is the

    conformal-cubic atmospheric model (CCAM), developed by the CSIRO in Australia. For various applications of CCAM over

    southern Africa, see Engelbrecht, F.A., W.A. Landman, C..J. Engelbrecht, S. Landman, B. Roux, M.M. Bopape, J.L. McGregor and

    M. Thatcher. 2011. “Multi-scale climate modelling over southern Africa using a variable-resolution global model,” Water SA 37:

    647-658.

  • May 2014

    7 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    Note: The 90th percentile (upper panel), median (middle panel) and 10th percentile (lower panel) are shown for an ensemble of downscalings of three CGCM projections, for each of the time-slabs. The downscalings were performed using the regional model CCAM. All the CGCM projections are contributing to CMIP5 and AR5 of the IPCC, and are for RCP4.5.

    Figure 1: Projected change in the annual average temperature (°C) and annual average rainfall (mm) over the SADC region, for the time-slab 2040–2060 and 2080–2099, relative to 1970–2005

  • May 2014

    8 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    Note: The 90th percentile (upper panel), median (middle panel) and 10th percentile (lower panel) are shown for an ensemble of downscalings of three CGCM projections, for each of the time-slabs. The downscalings were performed using the regional model CCAM. All the CGCM projections are contributing to CMIP5 and AR5 of the IPCC, and are for RCP8.5.

    Figure 2: Projected change in the annual average temperature (°C) and annual average rainfall (mm) over the SADC region, for the time-slab 2040–2060 and 2080–2099, relative to 1970–2005

  • 9 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    May 2014

    Figures 1 and 23 showed the projected change in the annual average temperature (°C) and annual

    average rainfall (mm) over the SADC region, for the time-slabs 2040–2060 and 2080–2099, relative

    to 1970–2005. Figure 1 CGCM projections are for RCP4.5 and Figure 2 projections are for RCP8.5.

    Shifting perspective from ‘development’ to ‘climate compatible development’ requires significant

    scientific and social innovation. New forms of learning, leadership, planning, policy making and

    knowledge production are needed. New collaboration platforms will be needed within and between

    countries and their universities. Universities have a key role to play in supporting societal innovation

    and change for CCD. Not only do they develop the knowledge and competence of future leaders in

    government, business and civil society, but they also provide immediate societal responses given

    their pivotal role as centres of research, teaching, knowledge sharing and social empowerment.

    Given the risk multiplier effect of climate change, coupled with the multiple stressor context, it is

    clear that the impacts of climate change will be far-ranging, acting upon diverse sectors such as

    transportation, agriculture, health, industry and tourism. This necessitates a wide-ranging and cross-

    sector response, in which non-climate-related knowledge fields will be called upon.

    Universities need to develop a strong understanding of the knowledge, teaching, research and

    outreach implications of the external climate change development context in which they operate.

    This calls for:

    New scientific directions and practices;

    New teaching and learning content and approaches;

    Stronger forms of community outreach and policy outreach activities; and

    Enhanced collaboration between universities and other knowledge producers and users in

    society.

    In recognition of the above issues and their longer-term implications for society and universities, the

    Southern African Regional Universities Association (SARUA) hosted a Leadership Dialogue in 2011,

    which resulted in a vision for a collaborative programme on climate change capacity development,

    with a defined set of outcomes. This programme is highly relevant for Zambia, given the country’s

    vulnerability to the impacts of climate change (Box 1).

    3 Engelbrecht et al. 2014. “Multi-scale climate modelling”. Climate trends and scenarios for South Africa. Long-term Adaptation Scenarios

    Flagship Research Programme (LTAS). Phase 1, Technical Report no. 1.

  • May 2014

    10 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    1.2 The SARUA Climate Change initiative: History and objectives

    Arising from the 2011 Leadership Dialogue, SARUA designed a five-year programme for Climate

    Change Capacity Development, to deliver on its mandate of promoting, strengthening and increasing

    higher education research and innovation, through expanded inter-institutional collaboration and

    capacity building initiatives throughout the region. The five-year programme is endorsed by a

    majority of Vice Chancellors within SARUA’s 62 public university members (as at August 2013). The

    programme aims to build capacity for climate compatible development (CCD), which is emerging as

    a platform for significant collaboration across the academic sector. The objectives identified are as

    follows:

    Collaborative network development (establishment of six topical collaborative networks)

    Policy and community outreach;

    Research (140 PhD students (average 10 per country) in two themed research programmes);

    Teaching and learning (integration of CCD into undergraduate and Masters degree

    programmes);

    Knowledge management (regional database and knowledge management systems); and

    Institutional learning and support (ongoing reflexive development of programme).4

    The programme started with an extensive mapping study of current climate-related priorities and

    university capabilities for CCD of countries in the region, supported by funding from the UK and

    4 Butler-Adam, J. 2012. The Southern African Regional Universities Association (SARUA). Seven Years of Regional Higher Education

    Advancement. 2006-2012. Johannesburg: SARUA.

    Box 1: Zambia’s vulnerability to the impacts of climate change

    Zambia National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA, 2007) states:

    Zambia’s main climate change-related human vulnerabilities and livelihood impacts lie within

    the areas of agriculture and food security; natural resources, wildlife and forestry; health;

    water and energy. Climate change impacts in the form of floods, extreme heat, and droughts

    have adversely impacted water quality, agricultural production, food security, water security,

    wildlife and infrastructure and resulted in the displacement of human populations. Persistent

    poverty and food insecurity will be aggravated by increasing environmental degradation and

    climate change. Zambian communities’ strong dependence on rain-fed agriculture makes

    them particularly vulnerable to the current and expected climatic changes, which can

    precipitate widespread crop failure, negatively impact food and water security and,

    ultimately, affect the sustainability of rural livelihoods. Since the 1980s, agricultural

    production within Zambia’s agro-ecological regions I and II, which are especially vulnerable

    to climatic effects, has been affected by late onset and shortening of the rainy season. The

    country faces potentially dramatic reductions in maize production.

  • May 2014

    11 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    Dutch-funded Climate and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN). The Higher Education

    Management Africa consortium (HEMA) is coordinating the study on behalf of SARUA. This Zambian

    Country Report forms part of the mapping study.

    The initiative is diagrammatically illustrated below.

    Figure 3: The SARUA Climate Change Capacity Development Programme, showing the mapping study

    The intended outcome of the SARUA mapping study will be a collaborative research framework to

    enhance co-production of knowledge on CCD. It will include strategies to strengthen networks for

    climate compatible development research, teaching, community and policy outreach involving

    knowledge co-production processes between participating universities and policy and community

    stakeholders. This framework will form the basis for the realisation of the longer term objectives of

    the SARUA programme outlined above, as well as for a SADC-level research programme and various

    country-based partnership agreements. It will provide a ‘knowledge platform’ for regional and

    country-based fundraising for research and knowledge co-production. As such the framework seeks

    to benefit universities themselves, while also strengthening regional interaction and co-operation.

    The Regional Knowledge co-production Framework for Climate Compatible Development can be

    obtained from the SARUA website www.sarua.org.

    YEAR 1 YEARS 3 AND ONWARDYEAR 2

    Regional knowledge co-production framework

    Programmes and actions as per knowledge co-production framework to establish and grow collaborative networks

    Additional actions based on individual network development plans

    Conduct a mapping study comprising:1. A comprehensive needs analysis of

    country-specific CCD challenges and gaps

    2. An institutional assessment of regional university strengths and knowledge production outputs on CCD

    Develop a regional knowledge co-production framework to:1. Support universities in the SADC region2. Enhance African leadership, ownership

    and capacity in CCD3. Strengthen the capacity, coordination

    and collaboration of higher education institutions

    4. Strengthen networks and relationships between universities, decision makers and other stakeholders

    Refine final network design and research themes by:1. Disseminating mapping study findings

    to regional stakeholders2. Launching the network development

    phase 3. Extending invitations to all universities

    for participation in SARUA network development

    4. Refining research clusters and themes with stakeholder participation

    5. Requesting Expressions of Interest from individual researchers, research entities and universities to join one or more SARUA collaborative networks

    Configure and build networks designed to achieve:1. Revitalisation of Higher Education2. Development of SADC3. Regional scientific base4. Contextualisation of education 5. Climate resilience and adaptation

    PHASE 1: Mapping StudyPHASE 3: Network

    Development & Collaboration

    Knowledge co-production roadmap

    Expressions of Interest (EOIs)

    PHASE 2: Transition and Network PlanningP

    has

    eO

    utp

    uts

    Act

    ion

    s

    SARUA Climate Change Capacity Development Programme

  • May 2014

    12 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    1.3 The SARUA CCD mapping study: Mapping existing capacity and future possible knowledge co-production possibilities

    Climate compatible development (CCD) is low carbon, climate resilient development. While the

    concept clearly requires integration of development, adaptation and mitigation (see definitions

    below), specific framing of the concept of CCD may vary between countries, universities and

    disciplines, according to differing national, institutional and disciplinary goals, needs and values. The

    scope and strength of existing expertise, networks and capacity for climate compatible development

    research and knowledge production in SADC is largely unknown or unconsolidated. Despite the

    emerging knowledge infrastructure for CCD in the region, opportunities for collaboration involving

    higher education institutions within and between countries are yet to be fully explored.

    To address these factors, the mapping study aimed to:

    Explore diverse understandings of CCD on a country-by-country basis;

    Scope CCD knowledge and capacity needs on a country-by-country basis (a ‘needs analysis’);

    Identify and map research, teaching and outreach capabilities for CCD that exist in southern

    African countries (an ‘institutional analysis’ of SARUA member universities); and

    Produce an up-to-date picture of the extent of knowledge co-production and trans-

    disciplinary research practices across the SARUA network and identify opportunities for

    future collaboration.

    While the mapping process has used a country-by-country approach, this is supplemented by a

    regional perspective generated through analysis across countries, to provide a platform for regional

    collaboration and knowledge co-production. This document contains the country analysis from

    Zambia.

    The mapping process was designed to be scientifically informed, participatory and multidisciplinary.

    Through the workshop process new collaborative possibilities will emerge, and a stronger

    engagement and participation in the SARUA five-year programme on Capacity Development for

    Climate Change will be established.

    1.4 Key concepts

    Climate Compatible Development

    Climate compatible development (CCD) is low carbon, climate resilient development. The concept

    has been developed in recognition of the urgent need for adaptation, given current climate

    variability and the severity of projected climate impacts that will affect the region; and the need to

    reduce emissions as rapidly as possible to avoid more catastrophic climate change in the future.

    Thus while CCD can be framed in different ways, given nationally and locally specific development

    trajectories, it does require that current and future climate risks are mainstreamed into

    development, and that both adaptation and mitigation are integral goals of development, as

    indicated by Figure 3. Thus CCD not only recognises the importance of both adaptation and

    mitigation in new development pathways, but, as further explained in Mitchell and Maxwell (2010),

    “Climate compatible development goes one step further by asking policy makers to consider ‘triple

    win’ strategies that result in low emissions, build resilience and promote development

  • May 2014

    13 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    simultaneously”. In the southern African context, poverty reduction, as an integral component and

    goal of regional and national development strategies, would be a desired co-benefit. Uncertainties in

    major drivers of change, including climate, socio-economic and political risks, necessitate that CCD

    be viewed as an iterative process, in which vulnerability identification and risk reduction responses

    are revised on the basis of continuing learning. Climate compatible development emphasises climate

    strategies that embrace development goals and development strategies that integrate the threats

    and opportunities of a changing climate.5 Thus climate compatible development opens up new

    opportunities for interdisciplinary and transdisciplinary research, teaching and engagement with

    communities, policy makers and practitioners.

    Figure 4: Conceptual framework for Climate Compatible Development (adapted from Mitchell and Maxwell, 2010)

    While CCD is the central concept used in the work that is funded by CDKN, it is important that this is

    understood alongside the concept of climate-resilient development pathways as defined by the

    Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the wider concept of sustainable

    development (see definitions below).

    5 Mitchell, T. and S. Maxwell. 2010. Defining climate compatible development. CDKN Policy Brief, November 2010.

  • May 2014

    14 SARUA Climate Change Counts mapping study: Zambia Country Report

    Climate-resilient pathways

    The following definition of climate-resilient pathways is taken from the glossary of the Fifth

    Assessment Report prepared by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)6:

    “Evolutionary processes for managing change within complex systems in order to reduce

    disruptions and enhance opportunities. They are rooted in iterative processes of

    identifying vulnerabilities to climate change impacts; taking appropriate steps to reduce

    vulnerabilities in the context of development needs and resources and to increase the

    options available for vulnerability reduction and coping with unexpected threats;

    monitoring emerging climate parameters and their implications, along with monitoring

    the effectiveness of vulnerability reduction efforts; and revising risk reduction responses

    on the basis of continuing learning. This process may involve a combination of

    incremental changes and, as necessary, significant transformations.”

    The IPCC highlights the need for a focus on both adaptation and mitigation, as indicated by the

    following sentence: “Climate-resilient pathways are development trajectories that combine

    adaptation and mitigation to realise the goal of sustainable development. They can be seen as

    iterative, continually evolving processes for managing change within complex systems.”7

    Sustainable Development

    The most widely accepted definition of sustainable development, as formulated in the Bruntland

    Commission’s ‘Our Common Future’ report in 1987, is “development that meets the needs of the

    present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs”. This

    definition has been highly influential in shaping international environmental and development

    policy, since the Rio Earth Summit in 1992, where Agenda 21 was put forward as a global

    development plan for aligning goals of economic development with social and environmental

    sustainability. Early discussions on sustainable development tended to focus on the triple bottom

    line concepts of environment, economy and society separately. More recent discussions on

    sustainable development foreground the need for ‘strong sustainability’, in which society, economy

    and environment are seen as interacting in an interrelated, nested system. The concept of

    sustainable development as used widely today emphasises that everything in the world is connected

    through space, time and quality of life, and thus necessitates a systems approach to understanding

    and solving interlinked social, environmental and economic problems.

    In 2002 South Africa hosted the World Summit on Sustainable Development, and the Johannesburg

    Plan of Implementation re-affirmed commitment to Agenda 21, and the Millennium Development

    Goals. These are currently under review and will be expanded through Sustainable Development

    Goals. In 2012 the Rio+20 Conference was held in Rio de Janeiro, and the outcomes of this global

    summit on sustainable development are captured in a document entitled ‘The Future We

    6 IPCC. 2013. Fifth Assessment Report: Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation. Currently in draft form. 7 Ibid.

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    Want’. One major shift in discourse and objectives from the early 1992 Summit and the Rio+20

    Summit is a stronger concern for climate change and climate compatible development, especially

    the emergence of a low carbon future, accompanied and partly implemented by Green

    Economies. These international commitments, together with ongoing assessment of national

    sustainable development concerns and goals, have driven the development of sustainable

    development policy and practice. The concept of CCD highlights the necessity of integrating current

    and future climate risks into development planning and practice, in the ongoing goal of achieving

    sustainable development.

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    2 METHODOLOGY, DATA SOURCES AND ANALYSIS LOGIC

    2.1 Research design

    This country-based study has been informed by an interactive and dialogical research design that

    included document analysis of key national and regional documents focusing on climate change in

    Zambia and in the SADC region. This produced an initial analysis which was used to plan for and

    engage university participants and national organisations involved in the climate change and

    development arenas in a consultation to discuss a) the validity of the analysis, and b) expanded

    views and perspectives on the analysis, and to generate further insight into knowledge co-

    production practice and possibilities for climate compatible development.

    The following methods were used to compile the mapping study Country Report for Zambia, within

    an overall interpretive, participatory and consultative, and social realist methodology8:

    2.1.1 Document analysis

    The country Background Information Document (BID) provides a summary of needs, priorities and

    capacity gaps already identified within key country documents (see below) for climate change,

    adaptation and mitigation, and in some cases, where this was available, climate compatible

    development. This was used as a source of background information for the stakeholder and

    institutional consultations held in each country. While the scope of CCD is necessarily wide, the

    document analysis did not focus on sectoral policy and institutions, but concentrated on overarching

    policy dealing with mainstreaming climate change into planning and development. The initial

    document analysis was presented to stakeholders during the workshops, and was revised based on

    outcomes of the consultations held in the country. In addition to drawing on the BID, the following

    documents were analysed through rapid desk review, to develop the Zambia Country Report:

    Initial National Communication (INC) to the United Nations Framework Convention on

    Climate Change (UNFCCC), 2002;

    Zambia National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA), 2007;

    National Capacity Self-Assessment (NCSA) for implementation of the Rio Conventions, 2007;

    Zambia National Climate Change Response Strategy, 2010;

    Zambia Sixth National Development Plan, 2011;

    Pilot Programme for Climate Resilience in Zambia – various documents, 2012; and

    Climate Risk Capacity Building in southern Africa: Zambia Needs Assessment, March 2012.

    2.1.2 Stakeholder and university staff consultations (national workshop)

    As part of the SARUA Initiative Climate Change Counts, country consultations were held for one and

    half days at the University of Zambia in Lusaka, Zambia on 9 and 10 July 2013. The workshop was run

    8 A social realist methodology takes account of knowledge that has previously been established via scientific methods before engaging

    with consultative and participatory knowledge production processes.

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    with a combined group that included university, government, private sector and NGO participants.

    See Appendix A for the list of participants. A workshop report was produced from detailed workshop

    proceedings captured by a team of rapporteurs, and circulated to all who participated in the

    workshop for verification and accuracy. Data produced in the workshops was also verified and added

    to during plenary sessions. The workshop report forms a substantive basis of the data used for this

    Country Report, combined with document analysis and questionnaire data.

    Table 1: Workshop programme outline

    Time Day 1: 9 July 2013 Day 2: 10 July 2015

    INTRODUCTION SARUA Initiative Overview Recap day and Agenda for day 2

    SESSION 1 Framing Climate Compatible Development

    Breakaway groups and plenary

    Who is doing what, where and why in Universities in climate compatible development? (Research, Teaching, Community Engagement)

    Who is doing what and where amongst stakeholder groups?

    How does this respond to the identified needs and priorities?

    What are existing university plans? What are the gaps?

    SESSION 2 Zambia priorities and needs

    Knowledge and institutional gaps and capacity

    Plenary discussion

    Knowledge co-production introduction and example of trans-disciplinary research programme

    Gaps in enabling environment, and needs for policy and practice support.

    SESSION 3 Group discussion (Breakaway)

    Zambia priorities and needs, knowledge and institutional gaps and capacity

    Plenary report-backs from group work

    Opportunities for collaboration

    Policy implications for government, universities and donors

    SESSION 4 What is the role of the university sector?

    Identifying other knowledge partners

    Way forward and closure

    SESSION 5 Framing Climate Compatible Development

    2.1.3 Questionnaires

    Two different questionnaires were prepared to obtain more in-depth data on climate change and

    CCD knowledge co-production practice and possibilities, and to enable people who were unable to

    attend the country workshops to participate in the mapping study (see Appendices C and D). One

    was designed for university professionals and the other for national and regional stakeholders

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    involved in climate change and CCD. For Zambia a total of 26 questionnaires were answered, which

    included 16 stakeholders and 10 university professionals. Questions covered the following areas:

    2.1.3.1 University staff questionnaire

    A. General demographic and professional information (name, gender, highest qualification, job

    title, years of experience, years of experience with CC, name of university, country, faculty,

    department, programme, contact details)

    B. Understandings of Climate Change and Climate Compatible Development and views on critical

    CCD issues and responses from universities (staff and university leaders)

    C. Capacity, knowledge and research gaps (levels of involvement in CC and CCD research – local,

    national and international; levels of single, inter- and transdisciplinary involvement in CCD

    research; stakeholder involvement; funding and fundraising for CCD research; policy

    contributions; major research programmes / projects; active researchers; research knowledge

    networks)

    D. Curriculum, teaching and learning (specialist courses; integration of CCD issues into courses;

    cross faculty teaching; inter- or transdisciplinary teaching approaches; service learning

    approaches; critical thinking and problem solving approaches; social or technical innovation

    courses; assessment and examination of CCD issues; staff willingness and staff ability; actual

    courses and teaching methods).

    E. Policy, community engagement and student involvement

    F. University collaboration (inside the university; between universities in country; with partners;

    regional and international involvement)

    G. University policy and campus management

    2.1.3.2 Stakeholder questionnaire

    The stakeholder questionnaire covered items A-C above, with an additional:

    H. Interests, policies, networks and Centres of Excellence or Expertise

    2.2 Limitations of the mapping study

    This mapping study was constrained by a) a lack of baseline data on knowledge and research gaps

    for climate compatible development and university-based responses in Zambia, and b) by time and

    resource constraints that did not allow for in-depth field visitation, individual interviewing or

    observation before, during and after the consultation process. Moreover, the information generated

    at the country workshop relates to the number of participants, their expertise and the number of

    different sectors and institutions present. Further, while every effort was made to obtain

    questionnaire responses from as wide a range of stakeholders as possible, and follow-ups were

    made post-workshop to enhance this, the range of questionnaire responses obtained does provide

    certain limitations to the data set. However, the best available information was carefully

    consolidated, reviewed and verified in the construction of this Country Report. Overall, the

    mapping study was further constrained by a budget cut imposed mid-way through the study.

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    While much information could be obtained on climate change- and CCD-related knowledge gaps,

    research needs and capacity gaps, there is obviously more to be learned about these. Similarly, as

    much information as possible was obtained on ‘who is doing what’ and on existing research,

    knowledge co-construction practice and possibilities, but there is clearly also more to learn.

    This Country Report therefore presents as a useful ‘initial document’ and it is hoped that Zambia,

    and in particular, University of Zambia, the Mulungushi University, Copperbelt University, the

    Ministry of Lands, Natural Resources and Environmental Protection, and the Ministry of Education,

    Science, Vocational Training and Early Education, can take this analysis forward in ongoing mapping

    and planning activities related to CCD research and knowledge co-production.

    2.3 Expanding the mapping study

    There are numerous ways to expand this study, most notably by administering the questionnaires

    (included in Appendices C and D) in a manner that would include every academic at universities in

    Zambia, and in a way that would allow for aggregate data within and across Faculties and

    Departments. The scope of such a detailed analysis lay beyond the capacity of the current mapping

    study. Data from questionnaires is therefore indicative rather than conclusive. Similarly, the

    questionnaire for stakeholders can be administered with additional national and local stakeholders

    (Appendix D) involved in environment and development initiatives in Zambia to understand the full

    scope of climate change and CCD responsiveness in Zambia, and to further develop the knowledge

    co-production capacity for CCD in Zambia. In many ways therefore the SARUA study, as reported in

    the Country Report, maps out the pathway forward for more detailed and ongoing reflexive analysis

    of CCD knowledge co-production capacity in Zambia, and through the questionnaires and analysis

    provided for in this document, begins to provide for ongoing monitoring and development capability

    for CCD knowledge co-production in Zambia. Ministries who could take this study forward could

    include the Ministry of Education, Science, Vocational Training and Early Education; the Ministry of

    Lands, Natural Resources and Environmental Protection Resources; together with other relevant

    partners and stakeholders.

    2.4 Analysis logic

    The analysis logic informing this Country Report is threefold. It firstly maps out a ‘needs analysis’

    which identifies country based knowledge, research and capacity gaps for key CCD priorities as

    articulated in documents, workshop and questionnaire responses. Secondly, it provides an

    ‘institutional analysis’ providing insight into existing institutional capacity for CCD knowledge co-

    production. Thirdly, it provides a perspective not only on existing knowledge co-production practice

    for CCD in Zambia, but also on knowledge co-production possibilities, based on information

    gathered during the mapping study. It provides a knowledge base for producing knowledge co-

    production pathways in Zambia, which may also assist Zambia to co-operate with other SADC

    countries in regional knowledge co-production processes.

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    3 NEEDS ANALYSIS

    3.1 Introducing the needs analysis

    The needs analysis starts with a brief overview of Zambia’s socio-economic context, which provides

    the baseline for addressing the climate change-related needs and priorities in the country (section

    3.2), and a summary of the observed and projected climatic changes for the country (section 3.3).

    This is followed by an overview of the broader priorities for addressing climate change as identified

    by policy (section 3.4.1), in workshops (section 3.4.2) and via the questionnaires (section 3.4.3). The

    needs analysis then moves on to describe more specific priorities and needs, and their associated

    knowledge, research and capacity gaps (section 3.5). A summative discussion of the needs analysis is

    provided in section 6.1.

    The following differentiation of knowledge, research and capacity gaps is used:

    Knowledge gaps (e.g. insufficient knowledge of appropriate CCD technologies);

    Research gaps (e.g. no research on cultural uptake of CCD technologies);

    Individual capacity gaps (skills needed) (e.g. for technicians / systems thinking etc.); and

    Institutional capacity gaps (which have inferred knowledge and research gap implications)

    (e.g. resources to implement large scale technology change programmes).

    It is possible that this analysis can be extended in future, and readers of the mapping study are

    advised to use the information provided here as best available information (produced within the

    constraints of the mapping study outlined above) rather than as definitive.

    3.2 Socio-economic context

    Zambia is a landlocked country located on the central plateau of the southern African region, with a

    land area of 752 614 km² and a fast-growing population of about 13,47 million (2011 figure). The

    country has a subtropical and tropical climate, modified by altitude, with three distinct seasons.9

    Rainfall increases from an annual average of 600 mm in the lower south to 1 300 mm in the upper

    north of the country. The country on the whole has high levels of climate variability, high

    evapotranspiration, and high risks of flash flooding, with the southernmost agro-ecological region

    (Region I) being prone to drought. Zambia is one of the few sub-Saharan African countries that is

    water secure. Miombo woodlands cover more than half of the country. Environmental problems

    include air pollution in mining towns, deforestation, water pollution and inadequate sanitation,

    wildlife depletion and land degradation, with associated biodiversity loss.

    While categorised as a least developed country, Zambia has the goal to be a middle income country

    by 2030, helped by good economic growth over the past decade. However, about 73 percent of

    9 August to November is hot and dry; November to April is the rainy season; and May to August is cool and dry.

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    Zambians lives below the poverty line.10 The per capita income is around $1 200 (2010 figure).

    Constraining factors to poverty reduction include poor infrastructure; undeveloped human capital;

    poor health indicators, such as high HIV prevalence and slow progress on maternal and child health

    and nutrition; environmental degradation and limited access to land; and inefficiencies in public

    management. While the mining sector (mostly copper) has driven growth, there is a need to

    diversify the still largely natural resource based economy, in which 85 percent of the Zambian labour

    force works in agriculture. Life expectancy in 2010 was 52 years for women and 48 for men.

    3.3 Observed and projected climatic changes, impacts and vulnerabilities

    3.3.1 Observed climatic changes

    The Zambia Meteorological Department (ZMD) states that observed climate trends over the past

    decades include an increase in the frequency of extreme events – floods and droughts; delayed

    onset and early cessation of rainfall, resulting in a shorter season with more intense rainfall; and an

    increase in temperature in both the cool and warm seasons, particularly in the valleys. Drought

    conditions have been on the increase during the last 30 years with the 1991/92 drought being the

    worst experienced so far while the 1978/79 period saw the wettest conditions in Zambia. From 2000

    to 2007, there have been two drought years, two flood years and two normal condition years. The

    severity and geographical distribution of floods and droughts is also changing.

    The mean annual temperature has increased by 1.3 °C since 1960, an average rate of 0.29 °C per

    decade.11 The rate of increase is most rapid in the winter, at 0.34 °C per decade. The mean annual

    rainfall over Zambia has decreased on average by 1.9 mm per month (2.3 percent) per decade since

    1960, largely due to reduced rainfall between December and February. The severe droughts in the

    1990s (1991/92, 1994/95, 1997/98) cannot all be linked to the El Niňo phenomenon alone. Flooding

    in recent years, such as the above average rains in January 2008 that caused severe flooding, is

    linked to a combination of both the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone and La Niňa.

    3.3.2 Projected climatic changes

    The mean annual temperature in Zambia is projected to increase by 1.2 to 3.4 °C by the 2060s, and

    1.6 to 5.5 °C by the 2090s12, with slightly more rapid warming in the southern and western regions.

    Rainfall projections do not indicate large changes in amount of mean annual rainfall. Seasonally, the

    range of projections from different models is large, but the multi-model averages indicate decreases

    in September-October-November (SON) rainfall and increases in December-January-February (DJF)

    rainfall, particularly in the north-eastern parts. The proportion of total rainfall that falls in heavy

    events is projected to increase annually, but mainly in DJF. All projections indicate substantial

    10 According to the Poverty Reduction Strategy and Action Plan (PRSAP). 11 Figures in this paragraph are taken from the Zambia National Climate Change Response Strategy (NCCRS), 2010. 12 Information in this section is taken from the UNDP Climate Change Country Profile and the NCCRS. However, note that workshop participants centrally involved in climate change in Zambia stated that there has been a 2°C increase over the past 50 years.

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    increases in the frequency of hot days and nights, which has implications for heat-related stresses on

    crop and livestock production, as well as on human health.

    3.3.3 Impacts and vulnerabilities

    Zambia’s main climate change-related human vulnerabilities and livelihood impacts lie within the

    areas of agriculture and food security; natural resources, wildlife and forestry; health; water and

    energy. Climate change impacts in the form of floods, extreme heat, and droughts have adversely

    impacted water quality, agricultural production, food security, water security, wildlife and

    infrastructure and resulted in the displacement of human populations.13 Persistent poverty and food

    insecurity will be aggravated by increasing environmental degradation and climate change. Zambian

    communities’ strong dependence on rain-fed agriculture makes them particularly vulnerable to the

    current and expected climatic changes, which can precipitate widespread crop failure, negatively

    impact food and water security and, ultimately, affect the sustainability of rural livelihoods. Since

    the 1980s, agricultural production within Zambia’s agro-ecological regions I and II, which are

    especially vulnerable to climatic effects, has been affected by late onset and shortening of the rainy

    season. The country faces potentially dramatic reductions in maize production – for example, crop

    yields from rain fed agriculture could drop by 50 percent in some African countries, including

    Zambia, by 2020.

    Climate-change related reductions in runoff and increased evaporation can reduce hydropower

    generation potential.14 Health impacts could lie in increased incidences of vector and waterborne

    diseases (including malaria and cholera), changing disease patterns and increased malnutrition.

    There are high risks of ecosystems shift in some parts of Zambia such as South Luangwa. Increased

    incidences of pests and diseases as well as forest fires can affect forestry; while droughts, especially

    in the southern region, threaten Zambia’s valuable wildlife and tourism sectors. The NCCRS notes

    that climate change will result in increased climate-induced migrations as well as additional and

    disproportionate impacts, for example on women and children. Increased damage to physical

    infrastructure, especially the road network as a result of extreme weather events, is also expected.

    According to a 2010 study, climate variability costs Zambia $4.3 billion over a ten-year period and

    $7.1 billion under Zambia’s worst rainfall scenario. The effects of current patterns of climate

    variability will dominate over those of potential climate change into the near future (until 2025).15

    13 The 2006/07 floods affected 1 443 583 people in 41 districts of the nine provinces of Zambia, and all sectors of the economy (DMMU, 2007). 14 More than 90 percent of the country’s electricity is generated through hydroelectric power generation. 15 Professor Prem Jain, UNESCO Chair on Renewable Energy and Environment, University of Zambia, presentation at the Climate change Counts Workshop, Lusaka, 9 July 2013.

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    3.4 Identified needs: Short to medium term national priorities for CCD in Zambia

    Section 3.4 focuses on the broad priorities and needs for addressing climate change and moving

    towards CCD in Zambia. Section 3.4.1 highlights key priorities and needs articulated in policy and

    strategy, after which some of the broader priorities articulated by workshop participants are

    discussed in section 3.4.2. This is followed by a presentation of the broader needs for CCD as

    specified in the questionnaire responses (section 3.4.3). A summative perspective on both broad

    priorities and specific identified needs (see section 3.5) for adaptation, mitigation and, ultimately,

    for CCD, is provided in section 6.1.

    3.4.1 Identified adaptation and mitigation priorities articulated in policy and strategy

    Zambia has identified key needs and priorities, related to the abovementioned observed and

    projected climatic changes, impacts and vulnerabilities. Zambia’s NAPA identifies ten priority

    adaptation projects that focus almost exclusively on adaptation needs:

    1. Strengthening of early warning systems to improve services to preparedness and adaptation to

    climate change;

    2. Promotion of alternative sources of livelihoods to reduce vulnerability to climate

    change/variability in communities living around Game Management Areas;

    3. Adaptation to the effects of drought in the context of climate change in agro-ecological region I

    of Zambia;

    4. Management of critical habitats;

    5. Promote natural regeneration of indigenous forests;

    6. Adaptation of land-use practices (crops, fish, and livestock) in light of climate change;

    7. Maintenance and provision of water infrastructure to communities to reduce human-wildlife

    conflict;

    8. Eradication of invasive alien species;

    9. Capacity building for improved environmental health in rural areas; and

    10. Climate-proofing sanitation in urban areas.

    Some adaptation measures already being implemented include: promotion of irrigation and efficient

    use of water resources, strengthening early warning systems and preparedness, and using

    GIS/remote sensing in mapping of drought and flood prone areas. With respect to adaptation and

    disaster risk reduction, the aim in Zambia’s National Climate Change Response Strategy (NCCRS) is to

    ensure that the most climate-sensitive sectors are protected from climate impacts by putting in

    place climate-resilient adaptation actions and ensuring that disaster risk reduction is mainstreamed

    in all sectors of the economy. The NCCRS lists numerous sector-specific adaptation activities.

    The following overarching barriers to adaptation can be discerned from national climate change

    documents reviewed:

    Lack of financial resources to implement adaptation measures for climate change;

    Lack of a clear and specific legal and policy framework;

    Inadequate institutional, system and individual capacity in issues related to climate change;

    Inadequate public awareness on climate change and its potential impact on the social-

    economic situation, livelihoods and ecosystems;

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    Inadequate skills to translate strategies into action at the community level;

    Lack of private sector involvement in issues related to climate change;

    Limited understanding of concrete or best practices/activities for adaptation to climate

    change; and

    Monitoring and evaluation plans, including environmental impact assessments, are weak

    and lack best standards and practices that consider climate change implications and climate

    as a non-static element.

    With respect to mitigation and low carbon development, the aim in Zambia’s National Climate

    Change Response Strategy is to ensure that mitigation actions are implemented in the most

    greenhouse gas-intensive sectors of land-use (agriculture and forestry), energy, transport and

    mining, and to ensure that development proceeds using low carbon pathways. In the transport

    sector, they include promotion of mass public transport means for urban centres, promotion of non-

    motorised modes of transportation as well as building a modern railway network for long distance

    and low-carbon transportation of cargo and passengers. Mitigation actions recommended for the

    energy sector have been pegged on the Government’s Renewable Energy Strategy (2010), which

    recommends enhanced investment in renewable energy sources such as solar, wind, geothermal,

    small and mini hydro-power. The Low Emissions Capacity Building Project will support the

    development of Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs), to reduce emissions from

    selected sectors. The UN-REDD Programme–Zambia Quick Start Initiative will prepare Zambian

    institutions and stakeholders for nationwide implementation of the REDD+ mechanism, including

    completion of a national strategy to reduce deforestation by 2013.

    Thus Zambia’s policy documents make a strong connection between climate change adaptation and

    disaster risk reduction, calling for DRR to be mainstreamed into all sectors of the economy. With

    respect to an integrated approach to adaptation and mitigation, this is recognised in the NCCRS,

    which specifies that development should proceed using low-carbon pathways.

    3.4.2 Identified adaptation and mitigation priorities articulated by workshop participants

    Participants provided a range of responses during the workshop, which indicated a strong level of

    engagement with the issue. They highlighted the following priority needs and issues to be

    considered in addressing CCD in Zambia:

    Youth-related aspects:

    Full participation in policy making (60 percent of the population (13million) is youth);

    Awareness creation among youth;

    A youth consortium and focal point on climate change; and

    Youth capacity building.

    Awareness, knowledge, education:

    Knowledge creation on climate change;

    Local scientific knowledge and application of Indigenous knowledge;

    Integration of CCD into the curriculum (at all levels); and

    Awareness creation, teaching and learning materials.

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    Implementation:

    Lack of implementation of Climate Change programmes;

    Gender mainstreaming;

    Linking the policy and legal framework to CCD;

    Monitoring, Reporting and Verification (MRV) in planning;

    Sustainable forestry resource management; and

    Mineral and water resources management.

    Several issues emerged from the plenary discussion of the workshop and some key points were as

    follows:

    Climate change and environmental education, which could be main vehicles of

    implementing CCD and related issues, are not yet institutionalised at all levels of education.

    For example, Zambia Curriculum Development Centre (CDC) has untenable argument that

    the curriculum is too full to accommodate such emerging issues;

    Inadequate climatic data and poor institutional capacity to publish climatic data;

    Inadequate documentation and publications on climate change adaptation and mitigation;

    Inadequate technologies for climate adaptation and mitigation;

    Limited human capacity i.e. limited number of personnel with expertise in CCD;

    Limited research on climate change, compounded by poor information dissemination and

    uptake of research findings;

    Poor leadership and management among different stakeholders;

    Poor vulnerability mapping i.e. Disaster Management Unit in Zambia has only mapped few

    areas in Zambia; and

    Lack of coordinated efforts among stakeholders especially Civil Society Organisation (CSOs)

    and NGOs because they seem to compete against one another – in general, weak

    collaboration within and between sectors and stakeholders.

    Regarding a frequently mentioned point on the disjunction between policies and practice, the non-

    implementation of policies was linked to the question of who sets the agenda – often this is donors,

    who provide the money to develop the policies.

    There was discussion on whether the school curriculum was indeed overloaded, and if so, how this

    could be addressed to deal with important emerging issues such as climate change, while avoiding

    “adjectival education” – i.e. gender education, HIV education. Participants noted that there has been

    a recent curriculum review, which perhaps may result in removal of some of the repetitive elements,

    to create space for critical new issues like climate change which need to be fully incorporated.

    Finally, participants were in agreement that it is essential to use a collaborative approach to set the

    research agenda, as we need efforts from all sectors of society, including even religious

    organisations, to address the considerable challenges.

    In addition to this discussion, Prof Prem Jain from the University of Zambia, who holds the UNESCO

    Chair in Renewable Energy and Environment, considered the following to be the amongst the key

    priorities for responding to climate change vulnerability in Zambia in a presentation at the SARUA

    workshop:

    Climate compatible approach should include practical matters such as reducing energy

    consumption and traffic decongestion; and

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    Deforestation is an underlying factor for increased GHGs in the atmosphere in Zambia.

    As noted in the workshop, other responses to climate change of relevance for Zambia include the

    following:

    Arrest deforestation and embark on reforestation/afforestation programmes;

    Conservation agriculture;

    Decreased use of fossil fuels – petroleum, coal and gas; and

    All round energy efficiency and increased use of renewable energy.

    “Climate change is going to remain with us for rest of our life, thus it is our concern. The

    future environment will be determined by our actions now.”

    University professional, Zambia

    3.4.3 Identified needs for CCD articulated in questionnaire data

    Questionnaire data showed that while there is some relationship between institutional interest /

    mandate and/or disciplinary interest / mandate and the definition of priority needs, on the whole

    Zambia stakeholders who completed the questionnaires tended to highlight more cross-cutting

    priorities, regardless of their institutional/disciplinary mandate (see Table 2).

    Table 2: Needs identified by different stakeholders / disciplinary specialists (derived from questionnaire data)

    Need identified Institutional interest / mandate

    and/or disciplinary interest / mandate

    Issues of sin respect of CCD so as to be well aware is of importance Statistics and Population Studies

    Capacity building, networking, collaboration, partnerships Language and Social Sciences Education

    Strengthen policy and institutional frame work. Collaboration of stakeholders with regional and international institutions

    Language and Social Sciences Education

    CCD projects implemented in agriculture, municipalities and human health Biological Sciences

    People need to change this mindset towards the environment, if that can be done attaining CCD would be made much easier

    Disaster Management Training Centre

    Effective policy implementation concerning climate change is needed; Awareness creation on climate change among communities and schools

    Disaster Management Training Centre

    Population, the rate at which the number of people is increasing at a faster rate and it has to be considered in order for CCD to be achieved. Production levels have increased and are still increasing affecting the environment at whole.

    Disaster Management Training Centre

    Sustainable Energy development, Improvement of research and development

    Language and Social Sciences

    Need for sensitisation, most people do not even know issues concerning climate change. Behaviour change can only come with Education and sensitisation not only for those in schools but the entire community.

    Language and Social Sciences

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    Need identified Institutional interest / mandate

    and/or disciplinary interest / mandate

    The most critical aspect is deforestation and poor waste management which results in the increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere due to burning of waste. Ignorance on the subject of climate change is also another aspect as people need to be educated on the dangers of these actions.

    Soil Sciences

    I think there is need for a balance to be struck between adaptation and mitigation strategies considering the country's context. This entails that adaptation should be the main priority in our development goals while at the same time embracing the opportunities of cleaner energy and other low carbon technologies that are being invented and availed to poor countries.

    Development Studies

    In the power sector, the discouragement of the usage of wood and charcoal for cooking and the encouragement of environmental friendly power sources such as solar systems. Proper waste management and drainage systems and usage of modern eco-friendly equipment in mines and other industries

    UNICEF (Development)

    Mindsets of people in the most rural of areas. Bring in more recycling facilities. Institutions being open to new technologies and innovations that help fight climate change or detect it

    Unite 4 Climate (UNICEF), CCD

    Cross/multi-sectoral planning and programme. Implementation and mainstream. Domestic resource mobilisation.

    Disaster Risk Reduction (OXFAM)

    Need to migrate smallholder agriculture production capacities to become less reliant on rainfall by supporting irrigation infrastructure – since impacts are already manifesting at an increased scale, urgent adaptation action is a must – crop, income and livelihood diversification will be very important to provide a safety net – improved information and knowledge system that address local needs and circumstances

    Zambia Climate Change Network

    Strengthening of policies on the environment Ensuring youth participation in decision making on climate change issues Improving on the dissemination of information about climate change to the public Introducing environmental education into the school curriculum and all the highest learning institutions

    Environmental Education (Youth Environment Network)

    Deforestation, charcoal production and management of forests; reducing traffic congestion.

    CBNRM (World Wide Fund For Nature)

    Deforestation and poverty Unite 4 Climate (UNICEF) CCD

    To increase environmental awareness and local participation of the youth, women and vulnerable people such as in decision making or policy making

    Physics, Energy and Environmental Group

    Advocacy, curriculum integration of the CCD. Teaching and learning materials

    Climate Change Advocacy

    Poverty, corruption. Relevant technical skills development. Reducing use of paraffin through increased use of solar lighting.

    Remote Sensing and Technical applications

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    Table 2 shows that many stakeholders highlighted the need, as a priority in addressing CCD in

    Zambia, for cross-cutting actions on awareness raising, education, capacity building, communication

    and collaboration. Governance-related priorities mentioned by a range of stakeholders included

    strengthening policies, implementation, cross-sectoral planning and programmes, partnerships, and

    increased participation – for example of youth, women and marginalised people in policy and

    decision making. Specific or sectoral priorities mentioned included switching to cleaner energy

    sources such as solar power, reducing deforestation and sustainable forest management,

    considering the increased consumption on the part of a growing population, and climate-proofing

    resource-dependent livelihoods through climate-proofing small holder agricultural production and

    diversifying livelihoods.

    Thus, while there are different perspectives on broad priorities to address in Zambia, these did not

    map out clearly at all along disciplinary or institutional mandates, but tended to focus on cross-

    cutting issues, or even issues beyond the apparent disciplinary or institutional orientation of the

    questionnaire respondent. This is positive for addressing the interdisciplinary and multi-sectoral

    nature of climate change, and for harnessing skills in Zambia to address CCD through knowledge co-

    production. Priorities expressed throughout the workshop and questionnaires seemed to be well

    related to the particular needs of Zambia, with regard to youth, energy, the need for increased

    awareness, education, capacity development, information sharing and partnerships, and

    development and policy challenges.

    3.5 Specific knowledge and capacity needs: CCD research, knowledge and individual and institutional capacity gaps (related to CCD priorities)

    A second important part of the Needs Analysis undertaken in the context of the SARUA mapping

    study involved more detailed analysis of CCD knowledge, research and capacity gaps, related to the

    broad CCD priorities discussed above, with a focus on those identified in key national documents,

    and as articulated by stakeholders and university staff attending the workshops and completing

    questionnaires. These specific knowledge, research and capacity gaps, distilled from all three data

    sources, are discussed in this section.

    3.5.1 Needs analysis: Specific research needs and knowledge gaps

    At a policy level the documents reviewed showed a range of knowledge and research gaps, as well

    as individual and institutional capacity gaps, relevant to climate compatible development.

    Human capital constraining factors identified in the Sixth National Development Plan include

    increased scarcity of skilled manpower, limited access to higher and tertiary education, and a

    mismatch between the existing supply of skills and the demand in the labour market. In the 2013

    national consultations on the Post-2015 Development Agenda in Zambia, greater investment in a

    quality education that leads to decent job creation for Zambian youth was ranked as the highest

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    demand, as well as “the game changer to realise a prosperous middle income status for all

    Zambians”.16

    Zambia’s NAPA does not contain any explicit text on knowledge and research gaps. Research and

    development is one of the seven pillars of the NCCRS, as is capacity building, and technology

    development and transfer. The NCCRS states that R&D is important not only in understanding the

    causes, manifestations and impacts of climate change, but also in responding to it.

    A National Capacity Self-Assessment (NCSA) was carried out in 2007 to identify capacity needs,

    constraints and priorities for the implementation of the Climate Change, Desertification and

    Biodiversity Conventions. A key point of relevance to the SARUA initiative highlighted by the NCSA is

    the “limited research capacity and expertise within the country and insufficient level of

    contemporary, up-to-date knowledge in certain specialised areas (especially concerning climate