structural reforms and growth: g20 framework presentation by zia qureshi world bank g24 and the...
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Structural Reforms and Growth:G20 Framework
Presentation byZia QureshiWorld Bank
G24 and The Growth Dialogue High-Level Seminar onNew Challenges to Growth and Productivity
Washington DC; September 25, 2013
Central role of structural reforms in agenda for strong, sustainable and balanced growth
• Restoring robust growth will require going beyond current focus on short-term macroeconomic and demand management and implementing reforms that remove structural impediments to stronger and sustainable growth
• Essential to stronger growth, structural reforms are also key to addressing the jobs challenge, promoting a balanced pattern of growth, reducing inequality, and supporting environmental sustainability
• The reform agenda spans product market regulation and competition, labor market regulation, financial sector reform, tax and expenditure reform, and investment in infrastructure and human capital
• Priorities vary across countries, but structural reforms are central to the growth agenda in advanced and emerging economies alike
• The G20 has stepped up its work on structural reforms under its Framework for Strong, Sustainable and Balanced Growth but more needs to be done
G20 structural reform commitments: more progress in financial sector reform, less in other areas
21%
10%
4%
7%
24%
34%
St. Petersburg Commitments
Product market regulation
Labor market regulation
Taxation
Human capital
Financial regula-tion
Other areas
10%
9%
8%
4%
43%
26%
Los Cabos Commitments
Source: OECD/World Bank
G20 emerging economies: degree of ambition of St. Petersburg structural reform commitments
Product Markets Labor Markets Financial Sector Taxation Human Capital Other Areas0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Low Medium High
Num
ber o
f com
mitm
ents
About half of commitments score high on degree of ambition within their policy domains
Source: OECD/World Bank
Priority Areas for Structural Reform for SSB Growth
Argentina- Remove barriers to private investment and competition- Improve agricultural productivity and diversify exports- Improve quality of public services
Brazil- Expand and improve quality of infrastructure- Improve quality of education at all levels- Extend progress on social inclusion
China- Strengthen the foundations for a market-based economy- Deepen fiscal reforms- Implement land and labor reforms to underpin urbanization
India- Improve infrastructure and labor/business regulations- Manage rural/urban dynamics- Promote inclusive human development
Indonesia- Reallocate fuel subsidies to infrastructure projects- Strengthen programs for productive inclusion of the poor- Expand tertiary/technical education and raise overall quality
Mexico- Implement a thorough tax reform- Move forward with energy sector reform- Implement regulatory reforms to strengthen competition
Russia- Complement labor reform with broader regulatory reform- Implement tax and expenditure reforms- Reduce the state's footprint
South Africa- Implement labor market and competition policy reforms- Address infrastructure gaps- Strengthen public service delivery mechanisms
Turkey- Improve labor market flexibility and business environment- Pursue an inclusive strategy to develop human capital- Further energy sector reform
Saudi Arabia- Implement labor market and education reforms- Improve firm entry/exit, credit, contract enforcement- Improve efficiency in energy consumption
Source: OECD/World Bank
G20 emerging economies: alignment of St. Petersburg structural reform commitments with reform priorities
Argentina Brazil China* India Indonesia Mexico Russian Federation
Saudi Arabia
South Africa
Turkey0
1
2
3
Prio
rity
polic
y ar
eas
cove
red
byre
form
com
mitm
ents
* No new commitments submitted at St. Petersburg.
Two-fifths of reform commitments score high on alignment with reform priorities
Source: OECD/World Bank
Monitoring of implementation of G20 structural reform commitments
Other
Financial regulation
Human capital
Taxation
Labour market regulations
Product market regulation
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Pending Ongoing Completed
%
Source: OECD/World Bank
Implementation status of Los Cabos structural reform commitmentsNeed for more vigor in implementation
Concluding Remarks
• The increased attention to growth-enhancing structural reforms and investment is a welcome refocusing of the G20 agenda
• The call in the St. Petersburg Leaders’ Declaration for G20 members to submit, peer review, and coordinate growth strategies will reinforce this shift of emphasis
• Complementing the G20 framework, the G24 could also consider adopting a more focused and structured process to facilitate peer dialogue and learning on structural reforms for growth and help build momentum for progress
• Long-term financing for investment is another, related area where the G24 could reinforce the current G20 initiative, including the promotion of South-South flows