studies and prospects of higgs...
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L. Malgeri - METU-IPM 2015 - Higgs results and prospects 1
Studies and Prospects of Higgs searches
First Joint METU-IPM Conference on LHC PhysicsICTP-ECAR - Izmir - Turkey
29/9/2015 - 3/10/2015
Luca Malgeri
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A new star is bornBirth date: July 4th 2012Birth place: Geneva (LHC)
Parents (SM) and child are in perfect shape
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And everybody was waiting for it
From Inspire:
• total # of papers with “Higgs” in title: 15138
• # paper from CMS: 58
• # paper from ATLAS: 74
LHC starts Discovery
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…since a long time…..http://lepewwg.web.cern.ch/LEPEWWG/Last edited Dec 2011
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A more recent history: LHC Run 1
Summer 2011: nothing yet
End of 2011: some hint
Summer 2012: discovery!
End of 2012: confirmation!
From PDG
PRD 89 (2014) 092007,EPJC 74 (2014) 3076, EPJC 75 (2015) 212
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Higgs is part of the SM measurements now [p
b]σ
Prod
uctio
n C
ross
Sec
tion,
3−10
2−10
1−10
1
10
210
310
410
510
CMS PreliminaryJuly 2015
All results at: http://cern.ch/go/pNj7W 1j≥ 2j≥ 3j≥ 4j≥ Z 1j≥ 2j≥ 3j≥ 4j≥ γW γZ WW WZ ZZ
µll, l=e,→, Zνl→WqqWEW
qqZEW
WW→γγ
ssWW EW γWV tt 1j 2j 3j t-cht tW s-cht γtt ttW ttZ
σ∆ in exp. Hσ∆Th. ggH qqH
VBF VH ttH
CMS 95%CL limit
)-1 5.0 fb≤7 TeV CMS measurement (L )-1 19.6 fb≤8 TeV CMS measurement (L
7 TeV Theory prediction8 TeV Theory prediction
W+jet Z+jet
di-boson
tt+jet
“t”+V Higgs
https://twiki.cern.ch/twiki/bin/view/CMSPublic/PhysicsResultsCombined
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Outline
• Why Higgs
• Recent highlights:• ATLAS+CMS mass combinations• ATLAS+CMS couplings combination
• Other results:• Spin/CP studies• Invisible Higgs• Width• Differential cross sections
• Future Higgs (Run2, Run3, HL-LHC)• Conclusions
For BSM Higgs studies: A. Nikitenko talkFor specific ATLAS Higgs studies: T. Cuhadar talk
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Why were/are we so obsessed by the Higgs?
• Self consistency of SM theory• if MH would be 300 GeV, p=3x10-5
• Vacuum structure of the Universe• Its relation to Physics BSM
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arXiv: 1307.3536 Higgs, Top and vacuum stability
Higgs potential at large
If there is the desert between EW scale and Planck scale, it’s “life on the edge” (of metastability). Why so?
Current WA
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We know that the SM is an effective “low” energy theory that breaks down at Planck scale. In practical terms:Corrections for elementary scalar are quadratic in new-physics cutoff ΛMain loop corrections from strongest coupled particles: top, W, Z and Higgs self-couplings:
�m2H =
3
8⇡2v2(4m2
t � 2m2W � 4m2
Z �m2H)⇤2
1% fine tuning
10% fine tuning
If naturalness is taken as a criterium, a light Higgs (125 GeV) suggests that new physics should be maximum at the level of few TeV to keep fine tuning at 1%. If Λ is Mpl, tuning becomes 10-34 !!!!
Higgs and naturalness
Need a really fine tuning of the parameters to get the Higgs mass so low (quantum correction akes it diverge!)
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A very short reminder/legenda
SM Higgs production SM Higgs decays
ggH
VBF
VH
ttH
mH=125.09±0.24 GeV (see later)
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Recent highlights from Higgs analyses
The task of compiling a consistent list of recent results on Higgs studies has been made easy by ATLAS and CMS:two major milestones recently made public.
Mass combination (PhysRevLett.114.191803)
Couplings combination (ATLAS-CONF-2015-044, CMS-PAS-HIG-15-002)
Based on “legacy” results from the two collaborations:ATLAS:Mass: Phys. Rev. Le+. 114, 191803 Couplings: arXiv:1507.04548
CMS, mass and couplings: Eur. Phys. J. C 75 (2015) 212
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Higgs mass
Most precise channels used: H→γγ and H→ZZ
• fully reconstructed mass peaks• high resolution• enough sensitivity with Run 1
statistics
PRD 90, 052004
EPJC 74, 3076
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Higgs mass: inputsIn general, couplings analyses are used as starting point. ATLAS H→γγ has been designed specifically for the mass measurement.
H→γγ• event categorizations based on quality of
photons• event vertex chosen according to MVA
techniques• sgn+bkg shapes: Gauss/CB + data driven H→ZZ• event categories based on final states (4e, 4µ,
2e2µ, 2µ2e)• dominant bkg: diboson production• lepton calibration systematics negligible w.r.t.
statisticsSystematics:dominant →energy scale for e,µ and γsubdominant→Jet energy scalenegligible→theory
JINST 10 P08010
Phys. Rev. D. 90, 052004
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Higgs mass: systematicsLe
pton
mom
entu
m
scal
e/re
solu
tions
Oth
er e
xp
syst
emat
ics
The
ory
syst
emat
ics
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Higgs mass: resultsThe ATLAS+CMS combination technique is based on profile likelihood ratio:
Cross-section signal modifiers are left to vary independently
Nuisance parameters (~300 in total) take into account all systematics and their correlations.Note: correlation among experiments as well as internal!
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Higgs mass: results
Full consistency:• between experiments• inside experiments• between decay channels
mH=125.09 ± 0.24(±0.21 ± 0.11)GeV
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The experienced gained in the mass combination paved the way for a larger step: couplings!• Use as input the published results from ATLAS and CMS (in some cases improved with
latest greatest analyses)• The mass is fixed to the combined mass value (improves SM couplings measurements)
Higgs signal strength and couplings
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The inputs from the different ATLAS and CMS analyses are used in a global fit (profile-likelihood ratio)
Signal strength modifiers used both for production and decays:
Note: other production modes are included in the fit but not explicitly tagged (i.e. are part of a category above)
Higgs strength and couplings
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Higgs strength and couplings
Inputs to the fit: • most sensitive final discriminants distributions,
usually:- mass distribution for fully reconstructed channels- BDT output for more complex topologies
Total of 4200 nuisance parameters used in the global fit
SystematicsFour main categories:• finite MC statistics (uncorrelated between
experiments)• Signal theory normalization uncertainties
(largely correlated)• Bkg theory uncertainty (largely correlated)• Experimental uncertainty (largely
uncorrelated)
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Higgs strength and couplings
Signal strength
A single parameter fit assuming either BR or cross section SM-like, or two signal strength modifiers for “bosons” and “fermions” productions mechanism.
µi=1µf=1
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Higgs strength and couplings
Testing compatibility with µi and µf = 0
• Combining the two experiments we reach “5σ” in VBF production and H→ττ decay mode.
• We also see a ttH excess of 2.3σ w.r.t. SM (and a deficit in H→bb)
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Higgs couplings and new physicsThe LHC Higgs cross section working group proposed a framework to test deviations from SM by “modifying” the couplings by a multiplicative modifier k:
In this context BRBSM is either non-SM decay or undetected decays
• Loops can be resolved in effective k’s:
• k’s that are not accessible are just assumed to be : kc=kt, kµ=kτ,ks=kb
• To first order we are not sensitive to sign(k), but we can access the sign through interference. For example:
* all interference terms contain top couplings. Its sign its arbitrary in the fit (set >0 from now on)
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Higgs couplings to fermions and bosonsAssuming universal coupling modifiers for fermions and bosons
Negative kF disfavored
GlobalPer decay channel
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Higgs couplings to fermions and bosonsOr simply test scaling of coupling with mass (Yukawa coupling behaviour)
Assuming only SM particles in loop
Just a different (and more appealing) way to plot the same
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Does the Higgs couples to BSM?How much room we have for beyond SM Higgs decay?
• use effective couplings for γ and g, i.e. allow new particles in the loop
• allow BRBSM to increase the Higgs width
Given that we really measure only σxBR, some assumption should be made on ΓH (or BRBSM)
kV≤1 (e.g. 2HDM)BRBSM=0
BRBSM < 0.34 at 95% C.L.
�H(~) =2H(~) · �SM
H
1�BRBSM
�i ·BRf =�i(~) · �f (~)
�H(~)
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Many more studies than just mass and couplings!
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Higgs spin/CP fits
Bosonic channels are the most sensitive:
• ZZ is fully reconstructed, polarisation derived from kinematics of decay products
• γγ fully reconstructed but polarisation is not accessible (pT and cosϑ* give some sensitivity)
• WW not fully reconstructed but kinematic variables (Mll, Δφ and MT) sensitive to Higgs spin/CP
Global fits are are usually based on comparisons of kinematic variables vs matrix elements calculations
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Higgs spin/CP fits
• The SM hypothesis (0+) is tested against many alternative ones.• JP=0-, 1±,2± excluded at more than 3σ level
• CP mixture and alternative tensor structure also tested w/o any sign of non-SM behaviour
ATLAS: arXiv:1506.05669 CMS: PRD 92 (2015) 012004
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Higgs width - 1Direct limits from H→γγ and H→ZZ are limited by detector resolutions and not sensitive to the O(MeV) region:
• ATLAS: 2.6 GeV (6.2 GeV exp) in ZZ 5.0 GeV (6.2 Gev exp) in γγ)
• CMS: 1.7 GeV (2.3 GeV exp) (γγ and ZZ combined)
But ingenuity came to rescue: off-shell vs on-shell production is sensitive to Higgs total width (under certain assumptions/SM dependence)
JHEP 08 - 116 (2012), PRD 88 - 054024 (2013)JHEP 04 - 060 (2014)
Their ratio depends directly on ΓH, provided couplings ratio are unchanged on-shell and off-shell.
Limits:CMS: 22 (33) MeVATLAS: 23 (33) MeV
Theory
PRD 92 (2015) 012004PLB 736 (2014) 64 Exp.
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Higgs width - 2 (an interesting curiosity) …..ingenuity calls more ingenuity…..
Recently few theorists have also realised that we had already a very large sample of off-shell Higgs, even though not at high mass but a low mass: LEP!
arXiv:1504.02458
From a simplified fit:
Rh = �H
�SM
3 MeV
7.7 MeV
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Guiding principle: Stirling plot, cross sections increase by factor 2-3 @13 /14 TeV(up to a factor of 4 for ttH)
1fb-1 equivalent reach to Run1
2 fb-1 equivalent reach to Run110 fb-1 equivalent reach to Run1
Higgs prospects
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Higgs prospects
LHC timeline in terms of integrated luminosity
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Higgs prospects @ 300 fb-1
34
Higgs Physics expectations
• ~5 M Higgs events produced
• ~50 K events useful for precision measurements (x 40 w.r.t. now)
Physics subjects
• Higgs precision measurement - Mass (100 MeV reachable?)- Cross-sections- Couplings➡H→μμ might be measured
at 30% level
• Possible (but very difficult) WLWL scattering ?
Assumptions on systematic uncertainties:
Scenario 1: no changeScenario 2: theory unc. / 2, rest goes like 1/√L
CMS and ATLAS white papers: arXiv:1307.7135 and 1307.7292
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Higgs prospects @ 3000 fb-1
35
Higgs Physics expectations • 50 M Higgs events produced• 500 K events useful for
precision measurements (x 400 w.r.t. now)
Physics subjects
• Higgs precision measurement - Mass (100 MeV syst. limited?)- Cross-sections- Couplings➡H→μμ might be measured
at 10% level ?- di-Higgs (bbγγ and bbττ) up
to 2σ
• Possible (but very difficult) WLWL scattering ?
Assumptions on systematic uncertainties:
Scenario 1: no changeScenario 2: theory unc. / 2, rest goes like 1/√L
CMS and ATLAS white papers: arXiv:1307.7135 and 1307.7292
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Conclusions - 1
The last three years have been a fantastic ride for Higgs physics at LHC:
• mass measured @0.2% accuracy• signal strength measured @10% accuracy• Yukawa couplings behaviour verified at percent accuracy
It was also an exemplary exercise where both experiments managed to work together and delivered combined results in record time!
Many other studies performed and on-going, all of them showing that “this” particle is indeed the SM Higgs boson:• spin/CP, width, differential xsec, etc.
The Run2 and Run3 Higgs studies are expected to bring another order of magnitude in accuracy
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From S. Gori talk at LHCP15
The prospects for (future) Higgs studies are more than optimistic despite early “warnings”:
Conclusions - 2
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Additional material
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Higgs couplings: generic parametrizationsGeneric parametrisations are based on ratios of parameters that are less affected by theoretical uncertainties:• ratio of cross sections and BR• ratio of coupling modifiersin both cases the gg→H→ZZ production/decay is used as reference (cleanest channel)
reference
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Higgs couplings: generic parametrizations
• 2.4σ discrepancy in BRbb/BRZZ driven by large ZH and ttH
• Double minima seen in λtg and λWZ
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Invisible Higgs searchesSeveral channels and production mechanisms used by both ATLAS and CMS:
VBF production gives largest sensitivity (clean signature):• Large Δη(jj), m(jj) and large missing energy
ATLAS arXiv: 1508.07869 CMS-‐PAS-‐HIG-‐14-‐038
ATLAS: BR(H -‐> inv.) < 25% (27% exp.)
CMS: BR(H -‐> inv.) < 47% (35% expected)
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Differential distributions/XsecStatistics is not yet really discriminating but we are already starting to go differentials:• Fiducial region defined to minimise acceptance
corrections (unfolding applied for final results)• Kinematics sensitive to PDF, production mode (i.e.
VBF) , QCD effects• Affected by spin/CP and possible BSM• Extrapolation to full phase space (first real Xsec
measurements)
ATLAS:arXiv:1504.05833 CMS: PAS-HIG-14-028