sugar-ppt
TRANSCRIPT
SUGAR EXPORT FROM INDIA TOBANGLADESH
By:- Vinod Prajapat (63) MIBS Pune
INTRODUCTION
INDIA IS THE SECOND LARGEST COUNTRYIN TERMS OF SUGARCANE PRODUCTION 30% OF THE TOTAL SUGAR PRODUCED GOES FOR GUR AND KHANDARI , 45% GOES FOR SUGAR PRODUCTION AND THE 25% FOR ALCOHOL PRODUCTION (ETHANOL) 6 STATES CONTRIBUTE MORE THAN 85% OF TOTAL SUGAR PRODUCED IN INDIA
INDIAN & GLOBALSCENARIO
INDIA PRODUCES 26 MILLION TONES ON AN AVERAGE BUT THE PRODUCTION FORTHE FY09 IT IS EXPECTED TO GO BELOWBY 20%
GOLBAL CONTRIBUTION IS 3% BY INDIA,BRAZIL ALONE DOES 36% AND OTHERCOUNTRIES GIVE A TOTAL OF 45% ANDTHE REST IS DONE BY CHINA, CUBA ,INDONEASIA, THILAND, U.K AND USA
WORLD COUNSUMPTION OF SUGAR150.3 MMT FOR 2007-2008, PROJECTEDTO BECOME 160.7 BY 2010
THERE ARE 453 SUGAR MILLS IN THE COUNTRY
252 ARE IN THE CO-OPERATIVE SECTOR 134 ARE IN THE PIVATE SECTOR 67 IN THE PUBLIC SECTOR 136 UNITS ARE IN THE IMPLEMANTATION STAGES
U.P PRODUCES 24% ALONE ANDMAHARSHATRA CONTRIBUTES 20%
STATES AS TAMIL NADU, KARNATAKA,GUJRAT, PUNJAB
AND ALL THESE STATES CONTRIBUTE ATOTAL OF 85%
SUGAR CONTRIBUTION
INDIAN VIEW
AN OVERVIEW
SUGAR EXPORT
INDIA HAS AN AVERAGE EXPORTEABLESURPLUS OF 6.23 million tones EVERYYEAR
THE PAST FIVE YEARS IT EXPORTED 4.07million tones
SINCE DOMESTIC PRICES ARE HIGHERTHAN INTERNATIONAL THE RATE OFEXPORT IS EXPECTED TO COME DOWN
Bangladesh
• The annual consumption of sugar in Bangladesh is 1.2-1.3 million tonnes.•Refiners are supplying 4,000 tonnes of sugar to the wholesalers every day.
PESTLE ANALYSIS
Political :- Prime Minister: Sheikh Hasina GDP :- 6.30% GDP per capita :- $1400 Government :- Parliamentary democracy. Population:- 156,050,883 Capital:- DHAKA (12,560,000)
Economic
Exchange rate:- 1 Indian Rupee = 1.23955 Bangladeshi Taka 1 Bangladeshi Taka (BDT) = 0.80675 Indian Rupee (INR)Inflation :- 9.1%Bank rate :- 5%
Social
Bangladesh is composite, and over centuries has assimilated influences of Hinduism, Jainism, Buddhism, Islam, hristianism.Population growth rate:- 1.2%
SWOT ANALYSIS
STRENGTHS GLOBAL PRICES TO MOVE UP –AN
INCREMENTAL POSITIVE THE DEMAND IS EVER LASTING ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SUITABLE
FOR THE GROWTH OF SUGAR CANE ABOUT 2.7% CULITVABLE LAND IS USED
FOR THE CANE PRODUCTION THE SUGAR INDUSTRY ALSO INCLUDES
ALCOHOL, GUR AN KHANDRI WHICH ISMAINLY FOR THE DOMESTIC INDUSTRY
WEAKNESS PRODUCTION TO DECLINE BY 20-25%
IN FY09 SHIFT OF THE FARMER FROM CANE TO
PADDY, WHEAT, PULSES AND OILSEEDS
THE GREATER DIVERSION OF CANE TOUN-ORGANISED SECTOR
THE IGNORANCE IN THE RESIDUALSUGAR MARKET
SOME OF THE GOVERNMENT POLICYTHAT ADHERE THE GROWTH OF THESUGAR INDUSTRY
SHORTAGE IN SUGAR CANE SUPPLY OBSELETE TECHNOLOGY
OPPRTUNITIES PRICES TO RISE BY 25% IN FY09 AND
MORE IN FY10E HIGHER MARGINS , LOWER CYCLICALITY
DRIVING SHIFT TOWERDS INTEGRATION THE ON GOING INCREASE IN DEMAND
YEAR AFTER YEAR THE SHIFT OF BRAZIL FROM WHITE
SUGAR TO PRODUCTION OF ETHANOL
THREATS LESS RAINFALL IN THE HIGHEST
SUGARCANE CULTIVATING REGIONS DUE TO WATER SHORTAGE THE SHIFT OF
THE FARMERS TO MULTIPLE CROPSCULTIVATION
DUE TO GOVERNMENT POLICIES THESELLING OF SUGARCANE BY THEFARMERS TO PRIVATE SECTORS
SUGAR PRODUCTION BEING MOREVOLATILE THAN CANE PRODUCTION
DUE TO RISE IN DOMESTIC CONSUMTIONTHE EXPORT IS LIKELY TO FALL
THE KEY PLAYERS IN SUGARINDUSTRY
BAJAJHINDUSTAN LTD.(ENTERPRISE VALUE: Rs mn
62,136) BALRAMPUR CHINNI MILLS LTD.
(ENTERPRISE VALUE: Rs mn32,819)
SHREE RENUKA SUGARS LTD.(ENTERPRISE VALUE: Rs mn
43,283)
CONCLUSION
INDIA IS LACKING DUE TO ITSPOLICY,METHODS,AND LACK OFKNOWLEDGE FOR THIS ONLYGOVERNMENT CAN MAKE A BIG CHANGE
INDIA INCLUDES SUGAR AS ANESSENTIAL COMMODITY AN IT HAS
BECOME MORE LIBERAL IN THIS SECTOR INDIA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
THE WORLDS BIGGEST EXPORTER BYREMOVING THE MISSING LEADS.
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