super, smart or supersmart grid? · not only super –but also smart •the more res, the more...
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Super, Smart or SuperSmart Grid?
The Grid: enabler of the energy transition
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Würzburg
Antonella Battaglini
22 September 2015
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Content
• Current developments and challenges
• Why a SuperSmart Grid is needed
• Not only infrastructure matters!
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Source: ECF Roadmap 2050
We are in the middle of an energy revolution: Rebuilding the system of production, transmission and distribution
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New industries were created by first movers countries…
RES development the beginning
Particularly in countries like Spain, Germany and Denmark
0
100
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1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Coal, Fuel Oil and Nuclear Gas Renewables
European Power Capacity (GW)
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And there is more to come…
And we now have over 200GW of renewable power
Germany, Spain and Italy have 130GW between them…
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• Solar costs are going to continue to fall…
Strong move towards decentralised generation
Which will have impacts on the grid and who pays for what
Today 2017Module Costs
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Conventional capacity has to react to intermittent energy changes
Impacts so far
2. The weather increasingly determines the power price
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Variability is a challenge
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Variability in NL only: 0-90%
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Solar eclipse as a test case for TSO cooperation
• Comparison of expected infeed from solar on March 20 during clear sky conditions with and without solar eclipse. (EntsoE)
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The need for flexibility
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The grid
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We are meant to see a big expansion in the grid
Some €150bn needs to be invested in the grid by 2020
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SuperGrids reduce variability
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Variability in NL only: 0-90%
Variability in EU27: 10-50%
• Too little supply causes system instability• Too much supply requires forced shut-downs
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Not only Super – but also Smart
• The more RES, the more decentralized system and more innovations needed
• Active Load Management
• Virtual power plant
• Demand response
• Home or community storage
• Power to gas/heat
• Electro mobility
• Smart home/Internet of things
• Smart Cities
Only a combination of Super and Smart leads to cost-efficientsolutions
14More people affected
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SuperSmart Grid
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BUT…
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“Communism is Soviet power plus the
electrification of the whole country” - Lenin
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..not only infrastructure matters
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We need to learn!
• Experience from Bestgrid/Inspiregrid
• TSO/NGO cooperation
• Better planning and engagement processes
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It is not the strongest or the most intelligent who will survive but those who can best manage change
Invent the future together with citizens
How to integrate 100% RES?
“The needs of the many
outweigh the needs of the few”
Mr. Spock