supply of money interest rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or...

26
Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the price of money © 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 9- 1 LO1

Upload: hester-black

Post on 17-Jan-2016

221 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Supply of Money

Interest Rate • the annual rate at which payment is made for the

use of money (or borrowed funds)

• a percentage of the borrowed amount

• the price of money

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 9- 1

LO1

Page 2: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Supply of Money

The supply of money is determined by the Bank of Canada

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 9- 2

LO1

Ra

te o

f in

tere

st

Quantity of money

MSthe supply of money is constant at any one point in time

Page 3: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

The Bank of Canada

• Canada’s central bank

• Government owned institution

• Directors and governor are appointed by the federal cabinet

• Current governor Mark Carney

LO1

9- 3© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

Page 4: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Functions of the Bank of Canada

• The issuer of currency

• The government’s bank and manager of foreign currency reserves

• The bankers’ bank and lender of last resort

• The auditor and inspector of commercial banks

• The regulator of the money supply

LO1

9- 4© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

Page 5: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Demand for MoneyMade up of 2 types of demand:

1. Transactions demand for money– The desire to hold money as a medium of exchange,

that is, to effect transactions– The major determinants are the level of real income

and the level of prices

2. Asset demand for money– The desire to use money as a store of wealth, that is,

to hold money as an asset– The major determinant is the rate of interest

LO1

9- 5© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

Page 6: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Transactions Demand

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 9- 6

LO1

Transactions demand is unrelated to the

rate of interest

r

Quantity of Money

MDT

r1

r2

Q

Page 7: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Asset Demand

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 9- 7

LO1

There is an inverse relationship between asset demand and the

rate of interest

r

Q of Money

r1

Q1

r2

Q2

MDA

Page 8: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Money Demand

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited 9- 8

LO1

Total demand for money is the sum of transactions demand

+ asset demand

r

Q of Money

MD= MDT+ MDA

MDT

MDA

Page 9: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Demand for Money

Determined by:

1. The level of transactions (real GDP)

2. The average value of transactions (the price level)

3. The rate of interest

LO1

9- 9© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

Page 10: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

EquilibriumLO1

9- 10© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

Shortage

MS

MD

Q of MQ1

r1

r2

r3

Surplus • At equilibrium interest rate, r1, there is no surplus or shortage of money. • At any other rate there is either a shortage or surplus.

Page 11: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Self-Test 1

a) Assume that the nominal GDP in this economy is $800 and that the transaction demand for money is equal to 10 percent of nominal GDP. Draw in the total demand for money curve.

b) If the money supply is $150 billion, draw in the money supply curve.

c) If the interest rate, is 10 percent, is there a surplus or shortage of money? How much?

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

LO1

9-11

Page 12: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Self-Test 1a) Assume that the nominal GDP in this economy is $800 and

that the transaction demand for money is equal to 10 percent of nominal GDP. Draw in the total demand for money curve.

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

LO1

9-12

Interest rate Asset Demand

($billions)

Transaction Demand

MD

12 50

11 55

10 60

9 65

8 70

7 75

6 80

Page 13: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Self-Test 1

a) Assume that the nominal GDP in this economy is $800 and that the transaction demand for money is equal to 10 percent of nominal GDP. Draw in the total demand for money curve.

b) If the money supply is $150 billion, draw in the money supply curve.

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

LO1

9-13

Q

iS

140 150 160

10%

12%

6% D

Page 14: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Self-Test 1

c) If the interest rate is 10 percent, is there a surplus or shortage of money? How much?

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

LO1

9-14

Q

iS

140 150 160

10%

12%

6% D

Page 15: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

How the Money Market Adjusts

–Money markets adjust to a surplus or shortage through bond yields

– People can hold wealth as either money or bonds – Surplus of money: people buy bonds – Shortage of money: people sell bonds

LO1

9- 15© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

Page 16: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Bond Yields

Bonds

– Loans for a set period of time – Issued by corporations, banks, and various levels

of government– Have a set face value– Pay a fixed rate of interest (the coupon rate) – Can be bought and sold in the market

LO1

9- 16© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

Page 17: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Bond Yields

Bonds:

- The return (“yield”) on a bond depends on:1. the coupon rate 2. the profit or loss on its sale

- Bond prices adjust to reflect return on other financial instruments with similar risk

- The higher the price, the lower the return

LO1

9- 17© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

coupon interest +/ change in the bond priceRate of return (rate of interest) = 100

Price paid for bond

Page 18: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Bond Yields

Example: $5000 bond, 4% coupon rate, 1 year

- The higher the price, the lower the yield - The lower the price, the higher the yield

LO1

9- 18© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

coupon interest +/ change in the bond priceRate of return (rate of interest) = 100

Price paid for bond

($200 $300)Purchase price: $4700: Rate of return = 100 10.64%

4700($200 $100)

$4900: Rate of return = 100 6.12%4900

($200 $100)$5100: Rate of return = 100 1.96%

5100

Page 19: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

How the Money Market Adjusts

Surplus of money

– People choose to buy bonds to reduce their liquidity and earn income

– Bond prices rise, leading to a fall in bond yields and interest rates

– Rates fall until there is no more surplus

LO1

9- 19© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

Page 20: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

How the Money Market Adjusts

Shortage of money

– People sell bonds in order to increase their liquidity

– Bond prices fall, leading to an increase in bond yields and interest rates

– Rates increase until there is no more shortage

LO1

9- 20© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

Page 21: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

How the Money Market Adjusts

Increase in interest rate caused by:

– Rise in the demand for money OR– Fall in the supply of money

Decrease in interest rate caused by:

– Fall in the demand for money OR – Rise in the supply of money

LO1

9- 21© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

Page 22: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Self-Test 2a) If money supply = $150, what is the equilibrium interest rate?

b) If money supply = $140, what is the equilibrium interest rate?

c) If interest is 11% and MS = $150, what are the implications?

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

LO1

9-22

Interest rate Asset Demand

($billions)

Transaction Demand

MD

12 50 80 130

11 55 80 135

10 60 80 140

9 65 80 145

8 70 80 150

7 75 80 155

6 80 80 160

Page 23: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Self-Test 2a) If money supply = $150, what is the equilibrium interest rate?

b) If money supply = $140, what is the equilibrium interest rate?

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

LO1

9-23

Interest rate Asset Demand

($billions)

Transaction Demand

MD

12 50 80 130

11 55 80 135

10 60 80 140

9 65 80 145

8 70 80 150

7 75 80 155

6 80 80 160

Page 24: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Self-Test 2c) If interest is 11% and MS = $150, what are the implications?

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

LO1

9-24

Interest rate Asset Demand

($billions)

Transaction Demand

MD

12 50 80 130

11 55 80 135

10 60 80 140

9 65 80 145

8 70 80 150

7 75 80 155

6 80 80 160

Page 25: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Self-Test 4Show the effects if the Bank of Canada buys $2 billion worth of securities directly from the commercial banks.

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

LO1

9-25

All Commercial Banks

ASSETS

Reserves:

in vaults $ 70

on deposit at B of C 12

Securities 118

Loans 600

Total assets $ 800

LIABILITIES

Deposits 800

Total liabilities $ 800

Bank of Canada

ASSETS

T-bills and bonds $ 82

Total assets $ 82

LIABILITIES

Notes in circulation $ 65

Deposits of banks 12

Other liabilities 5

Total liabilities $ 82

Page 26: Supply of Money Interest Rate the annual rate at which payment is made for the use of money (or borrowed funds) a percentage of the borrowed amount the

Self-Test 10

a) If M is $100, P is $2, and Q is 500, what is the velocity of money?

b) Given the same parameters as in a), if the velocity of money stays constant and assuming the economy is at full employment, what will be the level of P if M increases to $120?

© 2012 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited

LO1

9-26