sustainability & resilience 23 04_15
TRANSCRIPT
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Beyond Cities
Community Action for Transition to Sustainable Living
Chris Cook
Glasgow 23rd April 2015
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“21st Century questions do not have 20th Century answers”
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Introduction - Resilience
Resilience - the enduring power of a body or bodies for transformation, renewal and recovery through the flux of interactions and flow of events
Resource Resilience – keeping the lights on
Human Resilience – building capacity & capability
Financial Resilience – financial system which does not come two hours away from collapse
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Introduction – 21st Century Questions
What are the operating principles of a sustainable society?
What are the protocols & frameworks within which these principles may be made manifest?
What instruments are necessary within such frameworks?
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Introduction – Research Methodology
Review of current global policy to identify successful operating principles, protocols and instruments
Review of historic protocols and instruments
Action-based research:
Micro - proof of concept at community level
Macro – eg Caspian Energy Grid initiative
Systems Thinking - if resilient Micro is networked outcome should be resilient Macro
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Resource Resilience – Case of Denmark
Since 1980 Denmark's GDP rose 78%
Energy use has been stable
Carbon fuel use has declined significantly
How did Denmark achieve this?
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Resource Resilience
Least Carbon Fuel Cost principle
- minimum carbon fuel input for a given output of electricity, heat or power
- investment in renewables, heat, transport, energy efficiency
- distinct from least DK cost (or least $, € or £ cost)
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Emerging Outcome - Natural Grid
- decentralised/distributed energy
- knowledge & knowhow base: Vestas the biggest global wind turbine company in country of 6m people
- trend to energy security and energy independence
- not forgetting........reduction in carbon use
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Linlithgow Natural Grid (LNG) – Phase 1
Aim: Linlithgow to become independent in energy
Means: application of least carbon fuel cost principle
Catalyst
- Mainstreaming Innovation academic input
- CARES funded study carried out by Dr Mohammed Imbabi of Aberdeen University
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Linlithgow Natural Grid - Initial Study
Objective 1 – map energy use in Linlithgow Cross
Objective 2 – identify & prioritise viable least carbon fuel cost interventions leading to energy descent
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Systemic Funding Problem
Denmark's fiscally robust local government guaranteed finance of renewables & funded heat infrastructure
UK intermediated 'for £ profit' market economy
- renewables compete with profitable marginal energy
- energy efficiency reduces energy sales
So if private sector won't & public sector can't, how can renewables & energy savings be funded?
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Linlithgow Natural Grid – Phase 2
Edinburgh Centre for Carbon Innovation (ECCI) Smart Accelerator programme
Development of community-based instruments & protocols to accelerate community energy projects
Instruments - Prepay Energy Credit
Protocols - Energy Partnership & Energy Pool
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Instrument – Prepay Credit
Tax
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Tax Prepay
Tax Prepay – credit returnable in payment of taxes
Tax Return – 'stock' part of tally stick returned to Treasury
Rate of Return - rate over time at which stock is returnable for cancellation
eg Prepay £8 for £10 tax - £2 profit 25% pa rate of return
- not fixed - depends on existence & quantity of flow
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Protocol - Energy Partnership
Custodian(Community)Custodian
(Community)
InvestorInvestor
ConsumerConsumer
Prepay %
%
ManagerManager
Payment
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Energy Partnership – Energy as a Service
Social Contract - relationship-based not transaction-based; costs transformed to revenue shares
Neutrality – removes ego and politics
Collaborative - stakeholder interests aligned
Sustainable - all have interest in minimising cost over time
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Energy Prepay – the Value Proposition
Community
- sells value of future energy production or savings
- interest-free energy loan until credit cancelled by return vs supply or repurchase from energy savings
Consumer
- prepays for energy and locks in price
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Energy Prepay – the Value Proposition
Investor
- Energy Loan investment directly “Peer to Asset”
- Consumers buy credits from Investors at best price below physical energy price & return against supply
Manager
- shares in gross revenues or production
- interests aligned with Investor
- no 'Principal/Agency' problem
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Protocol - Energy Pool Clearing Union
CustodianEnergy Pool
CustodianEnergy PoolInvestors
Consumers
Manager
£ EnergyLoan Buy units
at market price
£
Prepay
Prepay
Units
£
£
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Q1: Based on your current research or practice, what potential future research in your area and/or multidisciplinary research should follow?
A. Implementation of protocols and instruments in two Linlithgow proof of concept locations:
- Linlithgow Energy Park – business oriented
- Vennel Energy – community oriented
Next StepsNext Steps
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Q2: How the outputs of your research and/or practice could support social innovation, i.e. engagement of community groups or individuals in applying the research or practice outputs to contribute to more sustainable living?
A. Subscription of the community to the aims of Linlithgow Natural Grid via subscription to the protocols
NB. More expensive carbon fuel becomes, the more £ profit there is in saving it – reduced CO2 use follows
Next StepsNext Steps
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Q3: What dissemination routes would enable faster understanding and application of new knowledge not only by businesses and industry, but also by communities and entrepreneurial individuals?
A. Cascading local community engagement for older generations plus social media for younger generations
Suitably crafted documentaries and reality TV
Community level events & engagement
Next StepsNext Steps
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Q4: Who might be potential enablers of knowledge dissemination to the population – government and its agencies, local authorities, community groups, media, online knowledge platforms, etc. ?
A. Cadre of local & neighbourhood energy developers to lead development & disseminate best practice
Developer Guild approach: apprentice, journeyman, master ?
Paid out of energy production & reduction
Next StepsNext Steps
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Q5: What governance frameworks and partnerships should be developed to support social innovation?
A. Collective risk sharing – Guarantee Society
Associative production sharing – Capital Partnership
Nondominium governance
No stakeholder has dominant rights: stakeholders have veto rights on matters which concern them
Next StepsNext Steps
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Q6: What ‘big data’ do communities and innovators need to enable development of innovative solutions in your area of research or practice?
A. Energy production & use data.
Geospatial data.
Resource data – especially water
Transport use data
Next StepsNext Steps
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Q7: What tools should be developed for different users to enable the application of a systems approach in decision-making on governance, planning, infrastructure systems and development of innovative solutions?
A. Innovative use of graphic design & 3D representations
Online decision making tools - liquid democracy
Social engagement
Next StepsNext Steps
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21st Century questions do not have 20th century answers.........
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…....21st century answers pre-date modern finance