sustainable and impact investing - ubs · millennial express strong interest in impact investing ....
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Sustainable and Impact Investing
Dr James Gifford, PhD Executive Director UBS AG
For Marketing Purposes
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Investment portfolios have an impact on the world, for better or for worse.
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A simple premise
The world has an impact on your investments, for better or for worse.
The world has an impact on your investments, for better or for worse.
The world has an impact on investment portfolios, for better or for worse.
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Three approaches
Exclusion
Screen and exclude companies or sectors that do not meet certain environmental, social or governance criteria
Integration
Focus on securities with strong environmental, social and governance (ESG) characteristics in combination with attractive financial fundamentals.
Impact Investing
Investments made with the explicit intention to generate measurable environmental or social impact alongside financial return.
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Size of the market – sustainable investing Current estimates (ex renewables)
Not scaled to size. Sources: Global Sustainable Investment Alliance, Market Watch,
USD 24 Trillion Global assets professionally managed with SI strategies USD 70 Trillion
Total value of largest global stock exchanges in 2017
USD 114 Billion Impact Investing
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Size of the market – impact investing Growth of the Impact Investing market (ex renewables)
Sources: Global Impact Investing Network, Calvert Foundation
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Interest is on the rise
28%
40%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Today Future
Family offices who self report engaging in impact investing and who plan to increase their exposure to impact / environment, social and governance
investments
Current FO client base
Source: The UBS / Campden Wealth Global Family Office Report 2017 For illustrative purposes only. Please always read in conjunction with the risk information at the end of the document.
The face of wealth is changing
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2015 2020
USD 24 trillion of global assets will be owned by millennials in 2020
USD Trn
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Millennial express strong interest in impact investing
28% 24%
6% 5% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Millennials Gen X Baby Boomers Mature
Interested insocial impactinvesting
Have madesocial impactinvestments
28% 24%
85%
55%
85% Of millennials interested or very interested in
social impact investing
Source: US Trust, BOML (2016). US Trust Insights on Wealth and Worth Survey For illustrative purposes only. Please always read in conjunction with the risk information at the end of the document.
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Sustainability
88% of women want to invest in entities that have a positive social impact
Women's economic power is on the rise
Source: Boston College Social Welfare Research Unit, McKinsey, Warner (2006) The Power of the Purse: How Smart Businesses are Adapting to the World's Most Important Consumer – Women, Ernst and Young LLP (2016) Harnessing the power of women investors in
wealth management ,UBS. For illustrative purposes only. Please always read in conjunction with the risk information at the end of the document.
6.7%
5.1%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Projected 2017 - 2021 wealth growth by gender, annual %, global market
research
Inheritance
Women to inherit 70% of the USD 41 trillion of legacies in the US (2003 – 2043)
Sources: The Millennium Project, 2014.
For illustrative purposes only. Please always read in conjunction with the glossary and the risk information at the end of the document.
Challenges and Opportunities
Global challenges as drivers of sustainable investing
The world's population is expected to reach over 8 billion by 2030, further increasing demand for food, water and
energy supplies.
US$13 trillion of sustainable investment opportunities
in key sectors by 2050.
• US$3.5 trillion Health and Education
• US$3.5 trillion Metals
• US$3.0 trillion Energy
• US$1.9 trillion Agriculture and Food
• US$0.6 trillion Water and Forestry
8.3 billion people require compared to 2015
+35% Food
+40% Water
+50% Energy
Huge opportunities in key sectors:
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Returns across three dimensions Three reasons to engage in sustainable & impact investing
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Sustainability challenges UN Sustainable Development Goals
Source: United Nations, November 29, 2017 Please see important disclaimer at the end of the document.
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Reaching the SDGs is question of financing USD 2.5 trillion annual funding gap for key SDG sectors
Total annualinvestment needs
Current annualinvestment
Total investmentgap
3.9 1.4
2.5
Estimated investment gap in key SDG sectors in developing countries Trillions of USD, annual average 2015 - 2030
Source: UNCTAD World Investment Report, 2014
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Private wealth needs to be part of the solution Annual funding gap for SDGs dwarfs in comparison to private wealth holdings
Source: Credit Suisse, Global Wealth Report 2013, Brookings Institute
Investment gap Top 1% private wealth
$2.5 trillion
$130 trillion
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Aligning and passing down family values Building and preserving a legacy
Family unity and engagement
Millenials
Intergenerational engagement
Disengaged members
Members without interest in finance
Next generation skills development Widen the circle of competence
Life Satisfaction Passion, meaning, happiness, personal values fulfillment
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“There have been more than two thousand academic studies on factors related to sustainable Investing over the last 40 years (Friede et al, 2015).
Systematic reviews of the literature conclude that integrating sustainable factors either improves financial returns , or causes no detriment to them , across all asset classes .”
Professor Timo Busch, 2017 School of Business, Economics and Social sciences University of Hamburg
How does it perform financially?
Source: Interview, 2017. For illustrative purposes only. Please always read in conjunction with the glossary and the risk information at the end of the document.
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Similar performance over long term
Sustainable and conventional equity indices exhibit similar performance Comparison of S&P 500 Index and MSCI KLD 400 Social Index (i.e. sustainability equivalent of S&P 500) April 1990 – June 2016
Average Return
10.4%
Annual. Volatility
14.5%
Source: Bloomberg, as of June 2016. Please always read in conjunction with the risk information at the end of the document.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
S&P 500 Index MSCI KLD 400 Social Index
Average return (annualized)
Volatility (annualized)
Average Return
10.4%
Average Return
10.9%
Annual. Volatility
15.1%
Past performance is not a reliable indication of future results
Annual. Volatility
14.5%
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Sustainability themes leverage megatrends
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100% Sustainable and Impact portfolio - liquid
Cash 5%
World Bank bonds 13%
Green bonds 10%
ESG leaders bonds 18%
ESG leaders equities
10%
Improving ESG equities
15%
ESG thematic equities
15%
ESG engagement
equities 14%
Sustainable Investing
Impact Investing
Other
Liquidity
Bonds
Equities
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• A leading computer manufacturing company faced heavy criticism for the unethical treatment of its Asia-based employees
• The fund manager used its influence as a shareholder to push the company to address the issue.
• The company has made solid progress, as verified by an independent assessment .
• In 2017, the company was officially taken off a third-party Controversial Companies List.
Shareholder engagement
Global computer manufacturing company:
Social sustainability
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Shareholder engagement ESG engagement can improve financial performance
Engagement (both successful andunsuccessful)
Successful engagement
1.8%
4.4%
Abnormal positive returns following ESG engagement 1,800 engagements observed, 1999 - 2009
Source: Dimson, E., Karakas, O. and Li, X. (2015). Active Ownership. The Review of Financial Studies. For illustrative purposes only. The above asset classes and allocations are indicative only and can be changed by UBS without notice. Please always read in conjunction with the glossary and the risk information at the end of the document.
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Green bonds
• Green bond issued by utility company has driven the company's transition into renewable energy.
• This includes the launch of 13 renewable energy projects, including wind turbines, solar panels and biogas.
Clean energy through Green Bonds:
Environmental Sustainability
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Green bonds
Comparison of Bloomberg Barclays MSCI Green Bond index and Barclays Global Aggregate Dec 2013 – Oct 2017
Source: Bloomberg Please always read in conjunction with the risk information at the end of the document.
Similar historical return / risk
95
100
105
110
115
120
Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17
Bloomberg Barclays MSCI Global Green Bond Index (USD…Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index (USD…
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Key takeaways
Portfolios have an impact on the
world
You can have both financial returns and
impact
The world has an impact on portfolios
Sustainable and Impact Investing
Panel:
Shuyin Tang, Partner, Patamar Capital
Robert Kraybill, Managing Director, Portfolio Management, IIX
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Disclaimer
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