Sustainable Energy for AllA focus on efficiency and climate change

Kandeh K. Yumkella, Director-General

WMO, Geneva, 23.3.2012

The Age of Planetary Boundariesand Resource Scarcity

• 3 billion more middle class consumers expected

• 80% rise in steel demand by 2030

• Since the turn of the century, 147% increase in real commodity prices

• December 2010, FAO food price index at all time high (2010 to 2011 wheat prices rose by 75%)

• 100% increase in average cost to bring a new oil well into production in last two decades

• TGIF

• Water stress

2

•The UN Secretary-General, Ban Ki-moon, established a newHigh-Level Group on Sustainable Energy for All

• Co-chairs: Yumkella and Holliday (Bank of America)

• Multi-stakeholder group with strong private sector participation

Full Action Agenda delivered at Rio+20, 2012

3

By 2030:

•Universal Access

•Double the historical rate of improvement in Energy Efficiency

•Double the share of Renewable Energy in the overall mix

4

Implications of achieving universal modern energy access

0

10

20

30

40

0

5

10

15

20

World energydemand

2030

World energy demand in thecentral scenario

World CO2

emissions2030

World CO2 emissions in thecentral scenario (right axis)

Additional CO2 emissions in theEnergy for All Case (right axis)

0.7% Additional energy demand in theEnergy for All Case 1.1%

Source: IEA 5

66

Final energy demand and GHG Emissions in the GEA scenarios (blue lines) and compared to a business as usual case (red line)

7

Low-income developing economies

Lower middle-income developing economies

Upper middle-income developing economies

High-income developing economies

Industrial energy intensity

8

UNIDO database on Industrial Energy Efficiency policies

http://ieep.unido.org/

9

10

1111

Temperature profiles for one of the GEA scenarios and for a business as usual development. Climate sensitivity of 1.5-4.5 degrees C from IPCC 2007 AR4