sviluppo di disegni sperimentali: esperienze e...
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Sviluppo di disegni sperimentali:
esperienze e proposte
Gianluca Fincato
Medical Director
BU Oncology
Novartis Farma SpA
ISS – Roma, 17/11/2017
BU ONCOLOGY
This material, and all contents cited within, is intended to provide free medical
information for physicians. The objective is to share scientific data allowing
each HCP to draw autonomous conclusions and make autonomous decisions
from the material provided.
The scientific information may include data/information on investigational uses
of compounds/drugs that have not been approved by regulatory authorities.
Efficacy and safety have not been established. There is no guarantee these
compounds will become commercially available.
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Novartis products, but it is not intended to promote or recommend any
indication, dosage, regimen or any claim not covered
in the licensed product information (SPC).
Use of This Slide Deck
From R&D strategy to trial design
Our strategy is defined by patient selection, novel
combinations and understanding resistance
Pathway analysis
and drug sensitivity
Patient preselection
with genetic and
pathway biomarkers
Genetic analysis of
responders and
non-responders
New targets and
combinations
Clinical trial
design
Understanding
resistance
Patient selection is critical for efficient,
successful cancer drug development
Drives:
• Improved patient benefit
• Increased probability of success
• Faster time to market with lower development cost
• Highest social benefit
All early development conducted with patient selection
Companion diagnostics underway for all relevant full development programs (Genoptix)
Gianluca Fincato, Novartis Farma S.p.A., Sviluppo di disegni sperimentali - ISS, 17/11/2017
Novartis drug development model
Target selection
Compoundselection
IND-enablingstudies
First humanstudies
Proof of Concept
Full Development
Registration
NIBR
TCO
GDD
Gianluca Fincato, Novartis Farma S.p.A., Sviluppo di disegni sperimentali - ISS, 17/11/2017
NIBR = Novartis Institute for BioMedical Research
TCO = Translational Clinical Oncology
GGD = Global Drug Development
Patient selection can markedly shorten
development timelines
Phase I FPFV
45 monthsAUY922 POC
18 monthsBKM120 POC
5 moLGX818 POC
LDK378 POC (April 24)11 months
18 monthsLDE225 POC
Selection at FPFV
Selection at MTD
No selection
6 moTasigna POC
60 monthsHCD122 POC
65 monthsTKI258POC
Gianluca Fincato, Novartis Farma S.p.A., Sviluppo di disegni sperimentali - ISS, 17/11/2017
Alternative trial design: adaptive
studies
Types of adaptation in clinical
trials
Chow and Chang (2007)
Motivations and definition
• Motivations
• Increase the probability of success for identifying the clinical
benefit of the treatment under investigation.
• Reduce costs of drug development programs through more
efficient study designs.
• Definition and Features
– Adaptive design is defined as a study that includes a
prospectively planned opportunity for modification of one or
more specified aspects of the study design and hypotheses
based on analysis of data (usually interim data) from subjects in
the study (FDA, 2010).
– Aim to enhance the trial, not a remedy for inadequate planning
Gianluca Fincato, Novartis Farma S.p.A., Sviluppo di disegni sperimentali - ISS, 17/11/2017
Phase I/II in oncology: Novartis
approach
From the Traditional 3+3 design...
New cohort at a new dose
level: Enroll 3 patients
Go to next higher dose level
or same dose if highest dose
level
Enroll 3 additional pts
at the same dose level
Go to next lower dose level
or declare MTD at next lower
dose level if 6 pts already tested
(never re-escalate)
DLT >1/3DLT =1/3
DLT =0/3
DLT =1/6 DLT >1/6
Go to next higher untested
dose level ordeclare MTD otherwise
Go to next lower dose level
or declare MTD at next lower
dose level if 6 pts already tested
(never re-escalate)
Gianluca Fincato, Novartis Farma S.p.A., Sviluppo di disegni sperimentali - ISS, 17/11/2017
...to a Bayesian model: combination of
clinical and statistical expertise
Informed decisions: clinical data, historical knowledge and
Statistics
DLT rates
p1, p2,...,pMTD,...
(uncertainty!)
Historical
Data
(prior info)
Model based
dose-DLT
relationship
Trial Data
0/3,0/3,1/3,...
Clinical
Expertise
Dose
recommen-
dations
DecisionsDose Escalation
Decision
Gianluca Fincato, Novartis Farma S.p.A., Sviluppo di disegni sperimentali - ISS, 17/11/2017
Phase I/II: adaptive study: a Novartis
example combining phase I bayesian
and two stage phase II
Phase I
Phase II
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00526045?term=auy922&cond=Solid+Tumor&phase=04&rank=4
Primary objective - dose escalation arm
• To determine the MTD of AUY922 as a single agent when administered IV on a
once weekly schedule to adult patients with advanced solid tumors, whose
disease has progressed despite standard therapy or for whom no standard
therapy exists.
Phase I/II: adaptive study
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00526045?term=auy922&cond=Solid+Tumor&phase=04&rank=4
Primary objective - breast cancer dose expansion arm
• At the MTD two further arms will be expanded to assess response (according to a two
stage multinomial design) in the following breast cancer patient populations:
1. Patients with HER2 positive inoperable locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer
must have:
• History of trastuzumab resistance, defined as either local or systemic disease
progression on treatment with at least 8 weeks of a trastuzumab containing
regimen.
• Received up to 3 prior anti HER2 based regimens (i.e. trastuzumab and/or
lapatinib in combination with other agents) and up to 2 lines of cytotoxic therapy
for advanced disease.
• Patients who develop metastases while receiving adjuvant or neo-adjuvant
trastuzumab are eligible.
2. Patients with ER positive inoperable locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer
whose disease has progressed on at least one and up to 3 lines of standard sequence
endocrine therapy and who received up to 2 lines of ct for adv. disease.
Phase I/II: adaptive study
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00526045?term=auy922&cond=Solid+Tumor&phase=04&rank=4
Secondary objectives
• To characterize the safety and tolerability of AUY922 treatment.
• To characterize the pharmacokinetic (PK) profiles of AUY922
• To assess changes in target and downstream PD markers in pre- and post- AUY922 dosing in
PBMCs as a measure of HSP90 inhibition, including such markers as HSP70, CDK4, and HSP90/p23
complex dissociation.
• To assess changes in target and downstream PD markers in pre- and post AUY922 dosing in tumor
tissue biopsies (where available and accessible) as a measure of HSP90 inhibition, including such
markers as HSP70, AKT, pAKT, and CDK4.
• To assess changes in relevant client proteins in pre- and post- AUY922 dosing in biopsies of tumor
tissue (where available and accessible). These client proteins may include HER2 and ER
• To assess changes in cellular response markers in pre- and post- AUY922 dosing in tumor tissue
biopsies (where available and accessible), including (Ki67) for proliferation and cleaved caspase 3
and M30 for apoptosis.
• To asses changes in cellular response markers in pre- and post- AUY922 dosing in peripheral blood
including M30 and M65 for apoptosis.
• To quantitate the number of circulating tumor cells (CTC) and analyze either a pharmacodynamic
marker (HSP70) or client protein expression (HER2) in pre- and post AUY922 therapy peripheral blood
of patients with locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer
Phase I/II: adaptive study
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00526045?term=auy922&cond=Solid+Tumor&phase=04&rank=4
Selection criteria
9 inclusion criteria 18 exclusion criteria
MBC HER2+/HR+
Tumor tissue
sample
1-2 anti HER2 o 1
hormono previous
treatments
Other selection
criteria
mBC patients
Eligible patients
Phase I/II: adaptive study -> need for patient selection
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00526045?term=auy922&cond=Solid+Tumor&phase=04&rank=4
Our colleague Tom Marsilje – the acknowledged discoverer of Zykadia (ceritinib),
died Tuesday afternoon of colon cancer at a hospital in San Diego.
He was 45.
1
Although he had already begun his battle
with colon cancer, he was continuing his
drug research efforts. He could view his
role both as a researcher and as a patient.
So today, as you dash off that e-mail, make that presentation, arrange that
meeting, please pause and take a moment to remember Tom, his family and the
effort he put forth to make life better for patients and their families.
• LDK378 exhibits potent antitumor
activity in ALK+ NSCLC, including in
patients previously treated
with CRZ
• CNS activity of LDK378 was seen in
NSCLC patients with brain metastases
• Response rates in patients treated
with LDK378 ≥400 mg/day:
• Median duration of response
(patients with ≥1 PR [n=44])
was 7.4 months
– Duration of response was
≥6 months in 71% of patients
– Data to be updated at ASCO 2013
LDK378: a successful example of
adaptive design and pts selection -> a
phase I “efficacy” study (130 pts)
CNS, central nervous system; CR, complete response; PR, partial response; uPR, PR documented only once to date.
Shaw AT, et al. ESMO 2012; Abstr 440O.
Patients CR
n (%)
CR + PR
n (%)
CR + PR + uPR
n (%)
NSCLC, ≥400
mg/d (n=59)1 (2) 24 (41) 42 (71)
NSCLC + prior
CRZ, ≥400
mg/d (n=45)
1 (2) 21 (47) 36 (80)
Shaw, A., NEJM, 370(13), 1189-1197
LDK 378: FDA Breakthrough Designation
Phase I Study (LDK 378 X2101) 80 % of objective responses in 70 NSCLC pats
Activity found also on brain metastasis
Phase II studies: • LDK378 A2201 (≥3L, after CT & crizotinib)
• LDK378 A2203 (≥2L, after CT)
Phase III study: • LDK378 A2301 (1L, pts naïve)
• LDK378 A2303 (3L, after CT & crizotinib)
1. Leukapheresis: patient’s T cells are
collected1-3
2. T cells are genetically transduced
ex vivo with a lentiviral vector
encoding the anti-CD19 CAR1,3
3. CTL019 cells undergo ex vivo
expansion on magnetic antibody-
coated beads1-3
4. Lymphodepleting chemotherapy:
the patient may receive a preparative
lymphodepleting regimen before T cell
infusion1-3
5. CTL019 cells are infused into the
patient1-3
1. Porter DL, et al. N Engl J Med. 2011;365:725-733; 2. Porter DL, et al. J Cancer. 2011;2:331-332; 3. Kalos M, et al. Sci Transl Med. 2011;3:95ra73.
Image from Levine BL. Cancer Gene Ther. 2015;22:79-84.
Overview of CTL019 Therapy in
the Clinic
Copyright © Novartis Corporation
Business Use Only23
Adaptive design in phase I/II: need for
new approaches
Recent advances in molecular biology have led to the development of a
myriad of anticancer agents that specifically target aberrant pathways and
other proteins that are relatively specific for tumor cells. The number of
agents available for testing dictates that a more efficient system aimed at
quickly and accurately identifying promising agents for phase III testing
be developed. This will allow investigators to efficiently discard non
efficacious agents and devote time to the development of the more
promising agents, thus conserving financial and human resources.
A barrier to achieving this goal is the lack of good surrogates of true patient
benefit, which in oncology is improvement in overall survival. In addition to
identifying good surrogates, which could be imaging biomarkers or
biochemical, genetic, or molecular biology biomarkers, novel approaches to
phase II study design need to be tested.
Alex A. Adjei, Clin Cancer Res 2009
Until recently, the phase II trial in oncology generally took the form of the
single-arm two-stage design, for which the typical end point was objective
tumor response (by RECIST)
A two-stage design was frequently constructed to distinguish between a
study-level response rate felt to indicate a lack of promise and a response
rate that would indicate promising activity . The dominant use of this design
was based on the premise that an agent that could not produce a tumor
response was not likely to produce a clinically meaningful overall survival
(OS) or progression-freesurvival (PFS) benefit in subsequent phase III
testing.
The recent rapid evolution in oncology drug development has challenged
these previously accepted paradigms. Target agents not always are likely to
produce or improve tumor response rates; rather that such agents will
improve PFS or OS.Larry Rubinstein, Clin Cancer Res 2009
Adaptive design in phase I/II: need for
new approaches
Benefits and disadvantages of
adaptive design
• Benefits
– Increase of information value given the same number of patients
– Less patients needed compared to classical non-adaptive
designs
• Hurdles
– Adaptations at an interim analysis may lead to operational bias,
thus resulting in a slight change of the study population.
– Statistical inferences such as confidence interval and/or p-
values on the treatment effect of the test treatment under study
may not be reliable.
Introduction to Pharmaceutical Statistics | IIS China | Adaptive Clinical Trials
Practical issues: regulatory
perspective
• Regulatory requirements for adaptive designs in Phase I or II trials
are very different to those for Phase III trials
• It is mandatory to control the overall Type I error rate in the strong
sense and maintain trial integrity for Phase III trials
• EMEA Reflection Paper (2007) on
Methodological issues in confirmatory clinical trials
planned with an adaptive design
• FDA Draft Guidance for Industry (2010) on
Adaptive design clinical trials for drugs and biologics
Summary and conclusions
• The potential advantages offered by adaptive designs should be
viewed in balance against any perceived risks or complexities.
• Strict control of processes for handling interim data and
restricting information, and documentation that are followed, will
be critical.
• Some types of adaptations convey limited information for which it
seems difficult to envision how the trial might be compromised.
• Others convey more information, but perhaps we can implement
extra steps to mitigate the risk.
Introduction to Pharmaceutical Statistics | IIS China | Adaptive Clinical Trials