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Identifying Key Support and Resistance Levels presented by Thomas Wood | MicroQuant SM Swing Trading Success – Debit Spreads –

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Page 1: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Identifying Key Support and Resistance Levels

presented by

Thomas Wood | MicroQuantSM

Swing Trading Success – Debit Spreads –

Page 2: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Submit All Questions Via GoToWebinar Side Menu

Page 3: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Risk Disclaimer Trading   or   inves-ng   carries   a   high   level   of   risk,   and   is   not   suitable   for   all  persons.   Before   deciding   to   trade   or   invest   you   should   carefully   consider  your   investment  objec-ves,   level  of  experience,  and  ability   to   tolerate   risk.  This  content  is  subject  to  change  at  any  -me  without  no-ce,  and  is  provided  for   the   sole   purpose   of   educa-on   and   assistance   in   making   independent  investment   decisions.   ValueCharts.com   has   taken   reasonable   measures   to  ensure   the   accuracy   of   the   informa-on   contained   herein;   however,  ValueCharts.com   does   not   guarantee   its   accuracy   and   is   not   liable   for   any  loss  or  damage  which  may  result  directly  or  indirectly  from  such  content  or  from  an  inability  to  access  such  informa-on  or  any  delay  in  or  failure  of  the  transmission   or   the   receipt   of   any   instruc-on   or   no-fica-on   in   connec-on  therewith.   Any   past   performance   results   are   shown   for   illustra-on   and  example  only,  are  hypothe-cal  and  as  such  have  many  inherent  limita-ons.  No  representa-on  is  being  made  that  any  account  will  or  is  likely  to  achieve  profits  or  losses  similar  to  those  shown.  Past  performance  is  not  necessarily  indica-ve  of  future  results.    

Page 4: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

CFTC Rule 4.41 (Hypothetical Disclaimer)

U.S.  Government  Required  Disclaimer   -­‐  Commodity  Futures  Trading  Commission  Futures  and  Op-ons  trading  has  large  poten-al  rewards,  but  also  large  poten-al  risk.  You  must  be  aware  of  the  risks  and  be  willing  to  accept  them  in  order  to   invest   in  the  futures  and  op-ons  markets.  Don't  trade  with  money  you  can't  afford  to  lose.  This  is  neither  a  solicita-on  nor  an  offer  to  Buy/Sell  futures,  stocks  or  op-ons  on   the   same.  No   representa-on   is  being  made   that  any  account  will   or   is   likely   to  achieve  profits  or  losses   similar   to   those   discussed   on   this   web   site.   The   past   performance   of   any   trading   system   or  methodology  is  not  necessarily  indica-ve  of  future  results.    CFTC  RULE  4.41  -­‐  HYPOTHETICAL  OR  SIMULATED  PERFORMANCE  RESULTS  HAVE  CERTAIN  LIMITATIONS.  UNLIKE   AN   ACTUAL   PERFORMANCE   RECORD,   SIMULATED   RESULTS   DO   NOT   REPRESENT   ACTUAL  TRADING.  ALSO,  SINCE  THE  TRADES  HAVE  NOT  BEEN  EXECUTED,  THE  RESULTS  MAY  HAVE  UNDER-­‐OR-­‐OVER   COMPENSATED   FOR   THE   IMPACT,   IF   ANY,   OF   CERTAIN  MARKET   FACTORS,   SUCH   AS   LACK   OF  LIQUIDITY.  SIMULATED  TRADING  PROGRAMS  IN  GENERAL  ARE  ALSO  SUBJECT  TO  THE  FACT  THAT  THEY  ARE   DESIGNED  WITH   THE   BENEFIT   OF   HINDSIGHT.   NO   REPRESENTATION   IS   BEING  MADE   THAT   ANY  ACCOUNT  WILL  OR  IS  LIKELY  TO  ACHIEVE  PROFIT  OR  LOSSES  SIMILAR  TO  THOSE  SHOWN.    NO  REPRESENTATION  IS  BEING  MADE  THAT  ANY  ACCOUNT  WILL,  OR  IS  LIKELY  TO  ACHIEVE  PROFITS  OR  LOSSES   SIMILAR   TO   THOSE   DISCUSSED   WITHIN   THIS   SITE,   SUPPORT   AND   TEXTS.   OUR   COURSE(S),  PRODUCTS  AND  SERVICES  SHOULD  BE  USED  AS  LEARNING  AIDS  ONLY  AND  SHOULD  NOT  BE  USED  TO  INVEST  REAL  MONEY.   IF   YOU  DECIDE   TO   INVEST  REAL  MONEY,  ALL   TRADING  DECISIONS   SHOULD  BE  YOUR  OWN.    

Page 5: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

About Me… Formal info

•  1995  Graduate  of  Vanderbilt  University  

•  Full  Broker  at  23  with  Merrill  Lynch  

•  12  Year  Senior  Advisor  Vanguard  Asset  Management  Service  

•  27  months  in  Stocks  &  Op-ons  Live  Trading  Room  

Page 6: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Swing Trading  

•  Importance  of  Time  Frame  

•  Swing  Trading  defini-on  

•  The  Hourly  Chart  

•  How  to  Swing  on  the  Hourly  chart  

Page 7: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Swing Trading  

•  Fine  Tuned  Trading  –  ½  Size  Charts  

•  Technical  Analysis  Pajerns  that  work  on  a  60  min.  

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Debit Spread Basics  

•  What  is  a  Debit  Spread?  

•  Trading  Stocks/ETFs  vs  Debit  Spreads  

•  Basics  of  Debit  Spreads  –  Strengths  &  Weaknesses  

Page 9: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Debit Spread Basics  

•  Debit  Spreads  –  Key  to  trading  Small  Accounts  

•  What  you  need  to  know  to  trade  Debit  Spreads  well…  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  The  Basics  –  buy  op-on,  sell  further  away  

•  Where  to  place  Strikes?  

•  How  Wide?  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  How  long  un-l  expira-on?  

•  Profitable,  now  what?  …  Staged  Profits  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Setup  your  Trade  Parameters  

•  Searching  for  Opporuni-es  

•  Leong  the  Trade  Develop  &  come  to  you  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Do  the  trade  on  the  ½  Size  chart  

•  Execute  the  trade  on  the  :45s  

•  Set  your  StopLoss  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Evaluate  every  :30  and  :00  

•  Take  Staged  Profits  

•  Take  care  of  the  last  20%  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  12  Pages  of  Wow!  

•  Put  it  all  together…  

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Swing  Trading  

Page 17: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Swing Trading

•  Swing  Trading  defini-on  

– Trades  in  a  respec-ve  Timeframe  that  lasts  more  than  one  trading  day  

– Usually  “in  a  trade”  across  2  –  4  trading  days  

Page 18: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

•  The  Importance  of  Timeframe    

-­‐  Timeframe  –  the  length  of  -me  per  chart  bar    -­‐  Bigger  -meframes  represent  bigger  Price  Bars  

-­‐  Bigger  Price  Bars,  bigger  $$$  poten-al  moves  

-­‐  Danger,  Larger  Stop  Loss  distances  

Swing Trading  

Page 19: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

•  The  Importance  of  Timeframe    

-­‐  Slower,  more  manageable  Entry  points  (you  have  -me)  

-­‐  Tick  charts  :  about  30  seconds  a  bar  

-­‐  Time  Charts  :  5min,  15minute,  60  minute  bars  

-­‐  Easier  to  enter,  flexibility  to  use  ½  size  Time  charts  

Swing Trading  

Page 20: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

•  Why  Swing  Trade?    

-­‐  Even  on  Swing  Trades,  stocks  don’t  move  in  straight  line  

-­‐  Fibonacci  levels  work  very  well  on  60  minute  charts  

-­‐  Plan  for  a  “measured”  move  &  structure  Debit  Spread  accordingly  

Swing Trading  

Page 21: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Swing Trading  

Page 22: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

•  Why  Swing  Trade?      

à  TREND  TRADES  ß  -­‐  Trend  Trades  /  Breakouts  are  more  plen-ful  

-­‐  Trending  moves  are  more  plen-ful  on  longer  -meframes  

-­‐  See  the  trend  on  60minute  &  Daily  charts  

-­‐  Trends  tend  to  persist  within  those  frameworks.  

Swing Trading  

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Swing Trading  

•  The  Hourly  Chart  –    

– The  best  chart  to  use  for  swing  trades  that  last  2  –  4    trading  days  is  the  60  minute  (Hourly)  chart.  

– There  are  6  –  7  Bars  a  day,  each  trade  move  is  12  –  24  bars  

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Swing Trading  

Page 25: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Swing Trading  

•  The  Hourly  Chart  –    

– Very  commonly  used  -meframe.      – Hourly  Support  &  Resistance  levels  

– TA  Price  Pajerns  usually  are  successful  because  everyone  sees  them  and  trades  them  

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Swing Trading  

•  The  Hourly  Chart  –    

– Op-mize  Trading  by  adding    

– “Higher  TF”  Daily  EMAs  (8  day,  50  day)  

–   Support  &  Resistance  levels  from  Weekly  &  Monthly  charts  

 

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Swing Trading  

Page 28: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Swing Trading  

Page 29: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Swing Trading  

•  Fine  Tuned  Trading  –  ½  Size  Charts  

– When  using  60  minute  charts  for  TA  pajerns,  

– Use  a  15  &  5  minute  chart  to  get  a  “headstart”  on  the  entry  bar  

– Evaluate  entrys  at  (x:45),  using  60,  30,  15,  5  minute  charts  

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Swing Trading  

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Swing Trading  

•  Technical  Analysis  Pajerns  that  work  on  a  60  min.  

Reversals  :  Divergences  Fibonacci  Retracements  

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Swing Trading  

•  Technical  Analysis  Pajerns  that  work  on  a  60  min.  

Trends  :  •  Bullish  Breakout,  push  higher  through  Resistance  level  

•  Bearish  Breakout,  push  lower  through  Support  level  

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Swing  Trading  :  Quiz  

Page 34: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Swing Trading  

1.  How many Hourly Bars are there in a typical “Swing Trade?”

Page 35: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Swing Trading  

Q1. How many Hourly Bars are there in a typical “Swing Trade?”

•  Answer : typically 12 -24 – Swing Trades last 2-4 days, with around 6

bars hourly per day, should be 12-24 bars for the expected trade move from the entry bar.

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Swing Trading  

Q2. True or False. “Trending Trades appear a lot less frequently in the Hourly timeframe. “

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Swing Trading  

Q2. True or False. “Trending Trades appear a lot less frequently in the Hourly timeframe. “ •  Answer : FALSE

– Swing Trades are more frequent in the Hourly timeframe than the intraday timeframes of 1, 3, 5 minute timeframes. Almost even 50/50.

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Swing Trading  

Q3. Name one way to reduce the Entry Trade risk when getting into a Swing Trade.

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Swing Trading  

Q3. Name one way to reduce the Entry Trade risk when getting into a Swing Trade.

•  Answer : use a Smaller Timeframe – Swing Trades are usually done on an Hourly

chart. Use a 30, 15, or 5 minute chart to get a “headstart” around “:45”, before the close of the bar.

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Debit  Spread  Basics  

Page 41: Swing Trading Success Debit Spreads Workshop …...Swing Trading Success(Debit Spread Basics(• DebitSpreads(–Key(to(trading( Small(Accounts(L DebitSpreads(are(“ CHEAP” L($100(L($200(for($5(wide(spreads(with(14(days((L

Debit Spread Basics  

•  What  is  a  Debit  Spread?    

-­‐  Basic  level  of  Op-ons  knowledge  -­‐  Deriva-ve  of  stock  -­‐  Delta  :  value  changes  with  stock  price  -­‐  Theta  :  value  decreases  with  -me  to  expira-on    

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Debit Spread Basics  

•  What  is  a  Debit  Spread?    

-­‐  Simultaneous  long/short  posi-ons  of  op-ons…  -­‐  Same  underlying  stock  -­‐  Same  op-on  type  :  call,  put  -­‐  Same  expira-on  date  

 

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•  Debit  Spreads  –  the  Basics  

-­‐  Debit  Spread,  pay  for  spread  once  placed  

-­‐  Loss  is  limited  to  amount  invested.  

-­‐  No  need  for  “margin”  

Debit Spread Basics  

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Debit Spread Basics  

-­‐  Bullish  :  Call  Debit  Spread  

-­‐  Profits  when  price  moves  higher  

-­‐  Maximum  profit  @  expira-on  -­‐  when  price  is  higher  than  long  call  strike  

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Bullish Call Debit Spread  

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Debit Spread Basics  

-­‐  Bearish  :  Put  Debit  Spread  

-­‐  Profits  when  price  moves  lower  

-­‐  Maximum  profit  @  expira-on  -­‐  when  price  is  below  than  long  put  strike  

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Bearish Put Debit Spread  

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Debit Spread Basics  

•  Trading  Stocks/ETS  vs  Debit  Spreads    

– Trading  stocks/ETFs  •  Easier  entry,  simple  brokerage  order  •  Smaller  Bid/Ask  spread  •  Cheaper  “stocks”  commission  rate  •  Rela-vely  simple  %  return  

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Debit Spread Basics  

•  Trading  Stocks/ETF    

•  $200  priced  stock/ETF  x  100  shares  =  $20,000  cost  

•  $5  move  to  $205  x100  shares  =  $500  profit  

•  %  Return  =  $500/$20,000  =  2.5%  return  

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Debit Spread Basics  

•  Trading  Stocks/ETS  vs  Debit  Spreads  

– Trading  Op-ons  /  Debit  Spreads  •  More  complicated  order  entry  

–  Need  to  watch  op-on  volume  

•  Bid/Ask  spreads  both  help  &  hinder  order  fills  

•  Because  two  op-on  orders,  2x  commission  cost  

•  BENEFIT  :  LEVERAGE  !!!    

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Debit Spread Basics  

•  Trading  Debit  Spreads    

•  $200  priced  stock  

•  200/205  Call  Debit  Spread  =  $1.50x100  =  $150  cost  

•  $5  move  to  $205,  Spread  value  $3.00x100  =  $300  value  

•  %  Return  =  $150  cost  /$150  profit  =  100%  return  

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Debit Spread Basics  

•  Basics  of  Debit  Spreads  –  Strengths  &  Weaknesses  

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•  Debit  Spreads  –  the  STRENGTHS  

-­‐  LEVERAGE  :  Average  trade  profit  is  50%  or  higher  

-­‐  Small  cost  to  entry.  Most  $5  wide  spreads  cost  $1  or  $2  

-­‐  Easy  to  enter  and  exit  in  highly  liquid  stocks  

-­‐  S-ll  have  poten-al  trades  in  less  liquid  stocks  

Debit Spread Basics  

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•  Debit  Spreads  –  the  Weaknesses  

-­‐  You  are  Long  Op-ons,  some  Theta  effect  

-­‐  Timing  of  entry  &  exit  are  important  parts  of  trade  

-­‐  Moves  need  to  happen  rela-vely  soon  

-­‐  Don’t  hesitate  to  take  profits  when  they  appear  

Swing Trading Success  

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Debit Spread Basics  

•  Debit  Spreads  –  Key  to  trading  Small  Accounts  

-­‐  Debit  Spreads  are  “CHEAP”  -­‐  $100  -­‐  $200  for  $5  wide  spreads  with  14  days  

 -­‐  Maximum  risk  is  limited  to  Debit  Paid  

-­‐  Control  risk  per  trade  to  foster  steady  account  growth  

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Debit Spread Basics  

•  Debit  Spreads  –  Key  to  trading  Small  Accounts  

-­‐  Can  be  applied  to  “Big”  stocks  with  no  addi-onal  cost  –  allows  par-cipa-on  in  explosive  moves  

-­‐  Also,  wider  universe  of  Stocks  &  ETFs  can  be  traded  on  Swing  Trade  -meframe  with  no  “penal-es”  

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Debit  Spread  Basics:  Quiz  

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q1. When Constructing a Debit Spread, the following is true.

•  Debit Spreads is both long and short the same “type” of option

•  They have different expiration dates •  They have to be $5 wide spreads

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q1. -

•  With Debit Spreads, both long and short options are the same “type” of option

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q1. Answer

•  Debit Spreads is both long and short the same “type” of option

•  TRUE •  Bullish : Long/Short Call Options •  Bearish : Long/Short Put Options

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q1. •  They have different expiration dates

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q1. Answer

•  They have different expiration dates •  FALSE •  The Spread must have the SAME option

expiration date

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q1. •  They have to be $5 wide spreads

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q1. Answer

•  They have to be $5 wide spreads

•  FALSE •  The Spread can be any distance between

the strike prices. (within reason – usually $5,10, 15, 20 wide)

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q2. Why are Debit Spreads well suited for trading Smaller Size Accounts?

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q2. Why are Debit Spreads well suited for trading Smaller Size Accounts?

•  Answer : –  Debit Spreads have a very low cost to enter

a position : $100-$200 a spread – Debit Spreads have a known “maximum” loss – Debit Spreads have a very nice potential

returns of 75%, 150%, +200% returns.

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q3. One major concern for Debit Spread trades is Theta, or Option Decay.

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Debit Spread Basics  

Q3. One major concern for Debit Spread trades is Theta, or Option Decay.

•  Answer : FALSE – With a well constructed Debit Spread, with

enough time left until expiration, Theta or Time Decay is nullified by having long and short positions, until a point where there is less than 7 days until expiration.

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Debit  Spread  Construc-on  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Process  the  Poten-al  Move    •  Iden-fy  the  Profit  Target  Zone  

•  Iden-fy  the  Stop  Loss  level  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Process  the  Poten-al  Move  – With  guidance  from  the  Daily  Chart  –  Iden-fy  how  far  the  trade  could  go  on  60  min  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Iden-fy  the  Profit  Target  Zone  – Use  TA  Guides  

•  Fibonacci  Retracement  Levels  (38.2%,  50%,  61.8%)  •  Daily  8EMA,  Daily  50EMA  • Weekly/Monthly  Support  &  Resistance  levels  

– “Bracket”  a  reasonable  $5  or  $10  wide  Target  Profit  zone  

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Target  Profit  Zone  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Iden-fy  the  Stop  Loss  level  – Within  the  60  min  chart,  iden-fy  price  level  in  which  to  set  Stop  Loss  

•  For  Reversals:  previous  high/low  levels  

•  For  Breakouts:    – Fall  back  below  resistance,  or  above  support  – Pullbacks  into  consolida-on  zone  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  The  Basics  –  buy  op-on,  sell  further  away  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Where  to  place  Strikes?  

•  Strike  Prices  of  Debit  Spreads  should  bracket  the  Profit  Target  Zone  of  the  trade  

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Picking the Strike Prices  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Where  to  place  Strikes?  

•  Strike  Prices  of  Debit  Spreads  should  bracket  the  Profit  Target  Zone  of  the  trade  

•  Conserva-ve  –  ATM/ITM  strike  &  OTM  strike  

•  Aggressive  –  OTM  strikes  near  Profit  Target  $  

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Conservative vs Aggressive Spreads  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  How  Wide?  

•  Wide  –    

•  Mix  of  ATM/OTM  –  

•  Easier  to  profit,  overall  smaller  %  return  

 

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  How  Wide?  

•  Narrow  –  finely  tuned,    

•  Aggressive  OTM,  biggest  profit  poten-al  

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Wide vs Narrow Spreads  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  How  long  un-l  expira-on?  •  Need  just  enough  -me  to  complete  the  trade  but  not  much  more  

•  Normal  Trade  •  Swing  Trade  :  2-­‐4  days  •  Add  7-­‐10  more  •  Target  “days  to  expira-on”  :  9-­‐14  days  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  How  long  un-l  expira-on?  

•  Conserva-ve  Trade  •  Normal  “days  to  expira-on”  :  9-­‐21  days  •  (Add  +7  day  buffer)    •  Conserva-ve  “days  to  expira-on”  :  14-­‐21  days  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  How  long  un-l  expira-on?  

•  Aggressive  Trade  •  Swing  Trade  :  2-­‐4  days  •  Add  +  4  days  

•  Aggressive  “days  to  expira-on”  :  6-­‐8  days  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Sample  Calcula-on:    Projected  trade  –  3  Days    •  Calculate  Normal    •  Conserva-ve    •  Aggressive  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Profitable,  now  what?  …  Staged  Profits  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Staged  Profits  •  Along  the  path  of  the  Profit  Target  Zone  iden-fy…  

•  Support  &  resistance  price  levels  •  Daily  moving  averages  •  Fibonacci  levels    

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Staged Profit Plan  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Support  &  resistance  price  levels  – Daily  &  Weekly  price  levels    

•  Daily  moving  averages  – 8  Day  &  50  Day  Exponen-al  Moving  Averages    

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Fibonacci  levels    

– On  retracements  :  38.2%,  50%,  61.8%  

– On  extensions  :  127%,  162%  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Staged  Profits  

•  Iden-fy  2  or  3  “proven”  levels,  that  have  had  previous  interac-ons  of  stock  trend  

•  Divide  posi-on  into  2  or  3  groups  to  ini-ate  sells    

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Staged Profit Plan  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  If  enough  shares/contracts…  

•  Leave  small  por-on  as  “runner”,  placing  a  lock-­‐in  profit  stop  loss.  

 •  This  “runner”  might  be  start  of  a  very  large  move.  

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Interac-ve  Exercise  

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Interactive Exercise  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Type  of  Poten-al  Trade?  

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Interactive Exercise  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Where  is  the  Profit  Target  Zone?  

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Interactive Exercise  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Iden-fy  Poten-al  Strike  Prices.  

•  Iden-fy  Stop  Loss  Level  

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Interactive Exercise  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  What  is  your  Entry  Point?  

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Interactive Exercise  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Where  are  your  Staged  Profit  Points?  

•  What  is  your  Profit  Taking  Plan?  

 •  Runner?  

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Interactive Exercise  

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Debit Spread Construction  

•  Walk-­‐Through  Trade  one  more  -me…  

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Interactive Exercise  

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Debit  Spread  Construc-on:  Quiz  

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Debit Spread Construction  

Q1. How do you decide what Strike Prices to use for your Debit Spread?

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Debit Spread Construction  

Q1. How do you decide what Strike Prices to use for your Debit Spread?

•  Answer : –  The Profit Target Zone, the price level where

your believe your trade will move to, will determine your strike prices.

– Also, how aggressive or conservative you be in your trade, affects your selection

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Debit Spread Construction  

Q2. Why do more Aggressive Trades have shorter “days until expiration?”

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Debit Spread Construction  

Q2. Why do more Aggressive Trades have shorter “days until expiration?”

•  Answer : –  Normally, options with less “days until expiration”

are more affected by Delta price moves in the underlying.

– Also, max profit in an ITM spread occurs at expiration, because the Theta effect is stronger on short option than the ITM long option – widening the value of the spread.

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Debit Spread Construction  

Q3. What is the process that I use in taking profits that helps me boost my “win ratio”?

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Debit Spread Construction  

Q3. What is the process that I use in taking profits that helps me boost my “win ratio”?

•  Answer : –  I take profits, in a Planned Staged Profits

process. By using 2 or 3 logical points in the projected move towards the Profit Target Zone, I take profit “winners” by selling some percentage of my overall positions at the “profit sell points”

–  I also move my stop losses to breakeven trades when there is a profit, then eventually lock-in some profits with trailing stops.

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Detailed  Debit  Spread  Trading  Plan  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Setup  your  Trade  Parameters  

-­‐  Determine  appropriate  trade  size  -­‐  For  me,  define  risk  of  loss  at  50%  spread  -­‐  Divide  total  max  loss  by  amount    of  50%  spread  =  #  contracts  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Searching  for  Opporuni-es  

•  Search  on  the  :45s  – Look  at  60min,  15  min,  5  min  charts    

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Swing Trade Entry Charts  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Leong  the  Trade  Develop  &  come  to  you  

•  It  might  take  1  or  2  days  for  a  poten-al  trade  to  develop  enough  to  take  a  posi-on  

•  Maintain  an  ongoing  “watch  list”  of  poten-al  opportuni-es  1-­‐2  days  out  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Do  the  trade  on  the  ½  Size  chart  

•  Once  you  see  a  poten-al  trade  to  develop  on  the  60  minute  chart    

•  Iden-fy  the  parameters  to  “pull  the  trigger”  on  the  trade  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Execute  the  trade  on  the  :45s  based  on  price  ac-on  on  the  15  minute  or  5  minute  charts  

•  Use  limit  orders  to  fine  tune  entry  price  

•  Don’t  rush,  watch  for  2nd  chance  entrys  – Breakouts  :  last  kiss  pullbacks  – Reversals  :  sideways  bounces,  3rd  top/bojoms  

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Swing Trade Entry Charts  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Set  your  StopLoss  

•  Beware  the  big  stoploss  move  

•  Enter  on  smaller  TF  opportunity  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Watch  for  Opposite  Trend  develop  in  smaller  -meframe  which  may  give  clues  to  “wrong”  trade  

•  If  small  TF  says  “wrong”  but  Large  TF  says  “right”,  it  is  OK  to  reduce  posi-on  size  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Evaluate  Posi-on  every  :30  and  :00  

•  Remember  this  is  a  bigger  TF  opportunity  

•  Don’t  “stare”  at  the  trade  for  the  next  4  days  

•  Don’t  watch  your  P&L    

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Check  it  every  30  minutes.    

•  Con-nue  to  watch  the  Indexes,  usually  you  are  trading  in  the  same  direc-on  

•  Again,  Don’t  watch  your  P&L  –  this  leads  to  rash  decision  making  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Take  Staged  Profits  •  Set  out  your  2  or  3  “Planned”  profit  taking  levels  

•  As  you  approach  your  levels,  start  to  watch  on  5  minute  charts  

 •  Use  limit  orders  to  “sell  into  strength”  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan  

•  Take  care  of  the  difficult  last  20%  

•  Through  experience,  you’ll  find  out  that  the  first  80%  of  a  well  thought  out  trade  is  an  easy  trade  –  prices  moves  quickly,  easy  to  take  profits  selling  into  strength  

•  The  last  20%,  especially  when  prices  start  to  encounter  some  resistance,  it  may  be  more  challenging  to  sell  at  your  price.  You  may  have  to  be  a  lijle  more  aggressive  with  price  to  get  out.  

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Debit  Spreads  Summary  

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Ques-ons  &  Answers  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan Checklist  

•  Next  Steps…  

1st  Time  Around  –  Review  Workshop  recording  

•  Setup  60min/Daily  Scan  charts  

•  Look  for  trades  on  daily  chart,  and  60  minute  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan Checklist  

•  When  poten-al  Swing  Trade  setups  start  to  form  

•  Iden-fy  2  –  4  day  move,  Target  Profit  Zone  

•  Structure  your  Debit  Spread  Strike  Price  levels  and  Time  Un-l  Expira-on.  

•  Iden-fy  Entry  point,  Use  5min  &  15  min  charts  to  enter  the  posi-on  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan Checklist  

•  Once  your  “in  the  trade”    

•  Set  stop  loss  

•  Setup  your  2  –  3  Profit  Taking  Levels  

•  Watch  Trade  every  30  minutes,  Watch  indexes  

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Debit Spread Trading Plan Checklist  

•  Carry  out  Profit  Taking  Exit  Trades,  as  each  level  is  hit.  

•  Adjust  to  Break-­‐even  &  Profit  Locking  Stop  loss  Order  at  each  planned  Exit  

•  Leave  “runner”  on  with  logical  Stop  Loss  

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Example  Stock  List  for  Debit  Spreads  

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Example  Stock  List  for  Debit  Spreads  

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Thank  You