system retrofits in efficiency programs: track record and ... retrofits in... · e.g. thermal...

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System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and Outlook Webinar 8-12-20 https://buildings.lbl.gov/cbs/ getting-beyond-widgets-enabling-utility-incentive Cindy Regnier, P.E. Paul Mathew, Ph.D. [email protected] [email protected]

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Page 1: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and Outlook

Webinar 8-12-20

https://buildings.lbl.gov/cbs/getting-beyond-widgets-enabling-utility-incentive

Cindy Regnier, P.E. Paul Mathew, [email protected] [email protected]

Page 2: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

2

Please enter questions via chat

Please make sure to keep your line muted

Page 3: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Challenge

3

The opportunity:System retrofits can provide 50%+ additional whole building energy savings in existing buildings over ‘widget’ retrofits.

However, barriers exist:

• Systems are inherently more complex and disruptive; need simplified approaches to access savings, understand interactions

• Lack of industry awareness of how systems provide deeper savings, about the state of systems deployment in industry, and the R&D needed to increase uptake

Figure – Regnier et al, Energy and Buildings, 2017 (Regnier et al, 2017)

Page 4: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

What is a System?

4

“A building system is a combination of equipment, operations, controls, accessories and means of interconnection that use energy to perform a specific function.“ (ASE, 2016, 2017)

Page 5: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Industry System Retrofit Study –System Definitions

5

End Use Systems:Consist of equipment, supporting devices, distribution, termination and sensors/controls• e.g. HVAC, lighting, DHW etc.

Interactive Systems:• No physical communications link

between end use systems• One system responds to behavior of

another via impacts to the space• e.g. Lighting dimming systems responding to lower daylighting due to shade operation

Integrated Systems: • Active controls communications between end use systems • e.g. Automated shading controlled to reduce HVAC energy use while optimizing daylight availability

(communicates with HVAC system to determine mode of operation, cooling or heating)

1

2

3

Page 6: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

End Use System Retrofit Examples

6

e.g. Air Source Heat Pump with Demand Control Ventilation

e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls

e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air

e.g. Hydronic fan coil with occupancy controls

e.g. ASHP with hydronic storage and Time Of Use controls

Page 7: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Motivating questions

u What is the extent of systems retrofits compared to component retrofits?

u Do systems retrofits save more energy than component retrofits?

u What types of measures are used in systems retrofits?

7

Page 8: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Data and Approach

12,255 projects10 building types | 7 climate zones

Cohort Analysis

8

Data sources

Cohort Attribute Attribute CategoriesRetrofit Type Non-System retrofits

End-Use System retrofitsInteractive System retrofitsIntegrated System retrofits

Project Savings Low Energy Savings projects High Energy Savings projects

Program Type FederalNAESCOUtilityOther

Page 9: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

What is the extent of systems retrofits compared to component

retrofits?

9

Page 10: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Systems retrofits relatively uncommon

10

82%

17%

6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Non-SystemRetrofits EndUseSystemRetrofits InteractiveSystemRetrofits

%ofR

etrofitProjects

DistributionofSystemRetrofits

Page 11: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Systems retrofits less prevalent in utility programs

11

91%

71%

33%

9%9%

26%

60%

84%

0%

13%

38%

74%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Utility Federal ESCO Other

%ofP

rojectsforEachDataset

DistributionofSystemRetrofitsinDifferentProgramTypes

Non-SystemRetrofits

EndUseSystemRetrofits

InteractiveSystemRetrofits

Page 12: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Do systems retrofits save more energy than component

retrofits?

12

Page 13: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Systems more prevalent in high savings projects

13

86%

65%

13%

32%

3%

18%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

LowEnergySavingsProjects HighEnergySavingsProjects

%ofP

rojectsforEachDa

taset

AllPrograms>HighandLowEnergySavingsbyRetrofitType

Non-SystemRetrofits

EndUseSystemRetrofits

InteractiveSystemRetrofits

Page 14: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

ESCOs have more high savings system projects

14

Utility Projects

Federal ProjectsESCO Projects92%

83%

8%

17%

0% 0%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

LowEnergySavingsProjects HighEnergySavingsProjects

%ofP

rojectsforEachDa

taset

Utility>HighandLowEnergySavingsbyRetrofitType

Non-SystemRetrofitsEndUseSystemRetrofitsInteractiveSystemRetrofits

73%

62%

24%

32%

9%

28%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

LowEnergySavingsProjects HighEnergySavingsProjects

%ofP

rojectsforEachDa

taset

Federal>HighandLowEnergySavingsbyRetrofitType

Non-SystemRetrofitsEndUseSystemRetrofitsInteractiveSystemRetrofits

38%

29%

56%

64%

29%

45%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

LowEnergySavingsProjects HighEnergySavingsProjects

%ofP

rojectsforEachDa

taset

ESCO>HighandLowEnergySavingsbyRetrofitType

Non-SystemRetrofitsEndUseSystemRetrofitsInteractiveSystemRetrofits

Page 15: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

What types of measures are used in system retrofits?

15

Page 16: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Non-system projects highly dominated by lighting

16

58%

18%

15%

7%

1%0% 0% 0%

59%

18% 18%

4%1%

0% 0% 0%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Lighting Cooling Heating Ventilation Envelope PlugLoads DHW Refrigeration

%ofT

otalEEM

sforEachDataset

Non-SystemRetrofits>EEMEndUseCategoriesforHighandLowEnergySavingsProjects

LowEnergySavingsProjects

HighEnergySavingsProjects

Non-SystemRetrofits>EEMEndUseCategoriesforHighandLowEnergySavingsProjects

Page 17: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

End-use system retrofits dominated by lighting and HVAC

17

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

%ofP

rojectsinEachDataset

EndUseSystemRetrofits>EndUseCategoriesforHighandLowEnergySavingsProjects

LowEnergySavingsProjectsHighEnergySavingsProjects

Lighting HVAC-Cooling

HVAC-Ventilation

HVAC-Heating

Envelope PlugLoads

DHW Refrigeration

WatersideHVACmeasures(AirsideHVACmeasuresshownassolid)

EndUseSystemRetrofits>EndUseCategoriesforHighandLowEnergySavingsProjects

Page 18: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Interactive system retrofits include lighting, HVAC and envelope

18

41%

29%

20%

7%

3%

36%

26%

19%

11%

7%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

LightingandHVAC EnvelopeandHVAC Lighting,EnvelopeandHVAC

PlugLoadsandHVAC

LightingandEnvelope

%ofP

rojectsinEachDataset

InteractiveSystemRetrofits>EndUseCategoryCombinationsforHighandLowEnergySavingsProjects

LowEnergySavingsProjects

HighEnergySavingsProjects

Page 19: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

19

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EndUseSystemRetrofits>Utility>HighEnergySavingsProjectsUtility System Retrofit Distribution by Type –High Energy Saving Projects

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Page 20: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

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20

Federal Retrofit Program System Retrofit Distribution by Type – High Energy Saving Projects

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Page 21: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

21

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EndUseSystemRetrofits>ESCO>HighEnergySavingsProjects

ESCO Project System Retrofit Distribution by Type –High Energy Saving Projects

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Page 22: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Stakeholder Insights

22

Page 23: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Stakeholder Insightsu Less than 10% of implementers/programs currently

address systems

u Lighting most common retrofit due to ease and cost

u Larger buildings more likely to do system retrofits

u Key sectors: offices, schools, healthcare, datacenters, biotech

u Barriers real and perceived:q Systems are too complexq Systems have poor cost effectivenessq Utility programs still highly ”widget” orientedq Lack of training for vendors and service providers

23

Page 24: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Recommendationsu Bundle with low-cost measures for cost-effectiveness.

u Systems that ”work right out of the box”

u Reduce complexity and cost of design and implementation

u Ease controls integration with standards, plug and play.

u Lower touch “deemed”-style programs

u Expanding financing options

u Incentivize based on lifetime savingsu Flexibility in existing building baselines

u Case studies comparing systems vs. component approaches

u Awareness through professional and trade associations

24

Technology

Policy and Programs

Education

Page 25: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

Takeawaysu Systems are an underutilized EE strategy, that can

provide substantial energy savings over individual widgets.

u Utilities remain a largely untapped resource for systemsand they are motivated to deploy them.

u Systems can be cost effective, but demand assistance to reduce complexity, increase ease in deployment. Need R&Din technology development and methods to reduce transaction cost

25

Page 26: System Retrofits in Efficiency Programs: Track Record and ... Retrofits in... · e.g. Thermal storage and Time Of Use controls e.g. ASHP with Heat Recovery on Relief Air e.g. Hydronic

3 Systems: Simplified, validated assessment tools(excel based) available for all three systems, including system specifications and test results:cbs.lbl.gov/beyond-widgets-for-utilities

ACEEE 2018 Summer Study paper: ‘Beyond Widgets: Validated Systems Energy Savings and Utility Custom Incentive Program Systems Trends’ https://aceee.org/files/proceedings/2018/index.html#/paper/event-data/p122

3 Systems vs Component based upgrade comparison paperhttps://eta-publications.lbl.gov/publications/energy-cost-savings-systems-based

Systems Resources – Beyond Widgets Program